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宏安全视域下重大传染病防控模型构建研究*
引用本文:黄麟淇,吴欣,王秉,吴超.宏安全视域下重大传染病防控模型构建研究*[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2021,17(10):11-17.
作者姓名:黄麟淇  吴欣  王秉  吴超
作者单位:(中南大学 资源与安全工程学院,湖南 长沙 410083)
基金项目:* 基金项目: 湖南省自然科学基金青年科学基金项目(2021JJ40767)
摘    要:为全面系统地防控重大传染病,打破局部安全的僵局,建立宏安全视域下重大传染病防控模型。通过阐述局部安全到全面安全的转化,提出从全球视野认识重大传染病传播的宏安全新视角。结合安全事件的特征深入分析重大传染病的致因路径,得到传播过程中的4个关键节点和3个时间状态,明确宏安全视域下重大传染病安全事件演变发展及特征。从事故致因的预防角度确定重大传染病防控的内外部2个影响因素,提出应急管理和响应机制2种防控策略,由此构建宏安全视域下重大传染病防控模型。结果表明:模型在新冠肺炎防控过程中有较好的实用性,对探讨疫情防控的安全视角及逻辑具有重要理论和现实意义。

关 键 词:宏安全  事故致因  疫情防控  模型构建  新冠肺炎

Research on model construction of major infectious diseases prevention and control from perspective of macro security
HUANG Linqi,WU Xin,WANG Bing,WU Chao.Research on model construction of major infectious diseases prevention and control from perspective of macro security[J].Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2021,17(10):11-17.
Authors:HUANG Linqi  WU Xin  WANG Bing  WU Chao
Affiliation:(School of Resources and Safety Engineering,Central South University,Changsha Hunan 410083,China)
Abstract:In order to comprehensively and systematically prevent and control the major infectious diseases and break the deadlock of local security,a model of the prevention and control of major infectious diseases was established from the perspective of macro security.By expatiating the transformation from local security to comprehensive security,a new perspective of macro security was put forward to understand the spread of major infectious diseases.Combined with the characteristics of security events,the causative path of major infectious diseases was deeply analyzed,then the four key nodes and three time states in the transmission process were obtained,and the evolution,development and characteristics of major infectious disease security events in the perspective of macro security were defined.The internal and external factors influencing the prevention and control of major infectious diseases were determined from the prevention perspective of accident causes,and two prevention and control strategies of emergency management and response mechanism were proposed,so as to construct the model of the prevention and control of major infectious diseases in the perspective of macro security.The results showed that the model had good practicability in the prevention and control process of COVID-19,and the model has important theoretical and practical significance for discussing the security perspective and logic of epidemic prevention and control.
Keywords:macro security  accident cause  epidemic prevention and control  model construction  COVID-19
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