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基于模糊综合评估理论的磁铁类玩具风险评估方法研究
引用本文:孙思衡,,谢婷,谢志利,黄国忠,姜莉文.基于模糊综合评估理论的磁铁类玩具风险评估方法研究[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2016,12(9):152-156.
作者姓名:孙思衡    谢婷  谢志利  黄国忠  姜莉文
作者单位:(1.北京科技大学 土木与环境学院,北京 100083;2. 国家质量监督检验检疫总局缺陷产品管理中心,北京 100012)
摘    要:磁铁类玩具存在缺陷将威胁到儿童的人身安全,甚至会造成窒息等严重伤害。在磁铁类玩具伤害案例分析的基础上,采用故障树及德尔菲法建立了窒息伤害和磁铁伤害两种伤害模式的风险评估指标体系,并利用G1法进行了指标权重计算。通过对磁铁类玩具伤害风险分析,构造了基于模糊综合评估方法的磁铁类玩具风险评估矩阵,最后通过实证分析,证明该模糊综合评估方法可应用于磁铁类玩具的风险评估。

关 键 词:磁铁玩具  德尔菲法  G1法  模糊综合评估  风险矩阵

Research on risk assessment method of magnet toys based on fuzzy comprehen-sive evaluation theory
SUN Siheng,,XIE Ting,XIE Zhili,HUANG Guozhong,JIANG Liwen.Research on risk assessment method of magnet toys based on fuzzy comprehen-sive evaluation theory[J].Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2016,12(9):152-156.
Authors:SUN Siheng    XIE Ting  XIE Zhili  HUANG Guozhong  JIANG Liwen
Affiliation:(1. School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Science and Technology Beijing, Beijing 100083, China;2. AQSIQ Defective Product Administrative Center, Beijing 100012, China)
Abstract:The defects of magnet toys can be a threat to the safety of children, and even cause severe injuries such as choking. Firstly, based on the case analysis of injuries caused by magnet toys, the risk assessment index system of two injury modes including the choking injury and magnet injury were constructed by using the Delphi method and FTA method. Then, the G1 method was adopted to determine the index weights. By analyzing the injury risk of magnet toys, the risk assessment matrix of magnet toys was established based on the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method. Finally, through the empirical analysis, it showed that the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method can be applied to the risk assessment of magnet toys.
Keywords:magnet toys  Delphi method  G1 method  fuzzy comprehensive evaluation  risk matrix
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