| 基于博弈论与可拓学的非正常接发列车人因风险评价 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 郑云水,康毅军,牛行通.基于博弈论与可拓学的非正常接发列车人因风险评价[J].中国安全生产科学技术,2018,14(1):179-184. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 郑云水 康毅军 牛行通 |
| |
| 作者单位： | (兰州交通大学 自动化与电气工程学院，甘肃 兰州 730070) |
| |
| 摘 要： | 为更加准确且全面地对非正常条件下接发列车作业人因风险进行评价，提出基于博弈论与可拓学的人因风险评价模型。在工作人员认知机理的基础上，构建认知行为模型，考虑到人因风险指标数据的特性，利用博弈论的思想将由AHP法得出的主观权重与由熵值法得到的客观权重进行最优组合，克服了单一赋权法的不足；引用可拓学原理，建立多级可拓评价模型，修正了风险评价的偏差，使人因风险评价更加准确。实例计算表明:此方法运用到铁路非正常条件下接发列车作业人因风险评价是有效的，且可为科学制订风险控制措施提供依据。
|
| 关 键 词： | 认知行为 博弈论 可拓学 接发列车 人因风险 |
Evaluation on human factor risk of abnormal train reception
and departure based on game theory and extenics |
| |
| ZHENG Yunshui,KANG Yijun,NIU Xingtong.Evaluation on human factor risk of abnormal train reception
and departure based on game theory and extenics[J].Journal of Safety Science and Technology,2018,14(1):179-184. |
| |
| Authors: | ZHENG Yunshui KANG Yijun NIU Xingtong |
| |
| Affiliation: | (School of Automatic & Electrical Engineering, Lanzhou Jiaotong University, Lanzhou Gansu 730070, China) |
| |
| Abstract: | In order to evaluate the human factor risk of train reception and departure operation under the abnormal conditions more accurately and comprehensively, an evaluation model of human factor risk based on game theory and extenics was put forward. The cognitive behavior model was constructed based on the cognition behavior mechanism of staff, and considering the self characteristics of human factor risk index data, the optimal combination of the subjective weights obtained by AHP method and the objective weights obtained by the entropy method was carried out by using the idea of game theory, which overcame the shortage of single weighting method. The multi-level extension evaluation model was established by using the principle of extenics, which corrected the deviation of risk evaluation effectively and made the evaluation of human factor risk more accurately. The case calculation showed that it is effective and feasible to apply this method in the evaluation on human factor risk of abnormal train reception and departure, and it can provide the reference for formulating the risk control measures scientifically. |
| |
| Keywords: | cognitive behavior game theory extenics train reception and departure human factor risk |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 等数据库收录！ |
| 点击此处可从《中国安全生产科学技术》浏览原始摘要信息 |
|
点击此处可从《中国安全生产科学技术》下载全文 |
