程序化的未确知测度模型用于水环境质量评价

未确知测度模型用于水环境质量评价具有合理性。为使模型更加完善,提出将未确知测度模型建立过程标准化,使其具有通用性。并针对水质评价指标众多致评价过程复杂、计算量大的情况,利用MATLAB软件将标准化后的未确知测度模型设计为既定的程序,依靠计算机模拟来实现水质评价。通过对浮桥河水库水质的评价结果及与其他多种方法的对比,表现出标准化模型的客观性、合理性,MATLAB程序的实用性、快捷性。程序化的未确知测度模型标准化后可进行推广。     

未确知信息对河流型水源保护区划分的影响

基于未确知数学理论,考虑河流环境系统信息的未确知性,定义二维水质模型主要参数为未确知参数,建立未确知二维水质模型,递推计算出保护区划分的合理长度及对应的污染物浓度取值区间及可信度分布,并对未确知二维水质模型中各参数的影响做了比较分析。结果表明,利用未确知二维水质模型,以COD为污染物计算的晋江干流水源二级保护区水域长度为6 220m,该长度能在0.934 0的主观可信度上保证水质安全,而基于确定性水质模型,利用各参数均值计算的保护区长度5 350 m存在95.22%的水质超标风险率。未确知二维水质模型各参数影响分析表明,模型应用的未确知参数及各参数变异性对模型计算结果有较大关系,未确知参数考虑越多,保护区划分长度越长;参数变异系数越小,其对计算结果影响越小。     

地下水水质评价的逻辑斯谛曲线模型

为检验已订的地下水水质评价标准的合理性，解决各单项水质指标的评估结果的不相容性问题，提高水质等级模型的分辨率，提出了一种新的水质评价模型－逻辑斯谛曲线模型，它的水质等级是连续的实数值。根据LOG模型的参数值可以分析各水质指标值对水质等级的影响程度，据此检验原订水质等级标准的合理性。并给出了基于实码遗传算法的LOG建模的实施方案。实例研究的结果说明，该方案是可行、有效且通用的，在环境质量综合评价中具有广泛的应用价值。     

不同模糊评价方法在水环境质量评价中的应用比较

近年来,运用模糊评价方法对水质和水体营养化程度进行评价逐渐受到重视。目前,对模糊评价方法的研究多集中在实测数据标准化、权重的确定和模糊模式识别模型研究几个方面。以滇池历年营养物质数据为实测数据,通过对几种实测数据标准化方法、权重确定方法和模糊模式识别方法的组合应用,获得水环境质量模糊评价最优组合方法。结果表明,在评价方法中,实测数据标准化方法采用线性内插法,权重的确定采用超标倍数法,模糊模式识别模型采用广义海明距离和加权海明距离法,即采用超标倍数法的广义海明距离和加权海明距离法能够更真实反映水环境质量的实际情况。     

三角模糊数优化的贝叶斯水质模型评价方法研究——以太湖竺山湾缓冲带湿地水质评价为例

用三角模糊数表征参评的水质指标浓度,并进行α截集处理,将经过处理的区间数代入传统的贝叶斯水质模型,建立了三角模糊数优化的贝叶斯水质模型评价方法。该方法综合了三角模糊数和贝叶斯水质模型的共同优点,考虑了水质监测过程中的误差,通过计算各采样点水质对不同水质级别的隶属度,再判定水质级别。将该方法应用于太湖竺山湾缓冲带湿地,结果表明:竺山湾缓冲带湿地水体水质为Ⅲ~Ⅳ类,未能达到Ⅰ类水质目标的要求;水体TN和COD污染较严重,在缓冲带生态建设和功能修复工作中应重点关注氮和有机物污染。     

基于主成分和粒子群优化支持向量机的水质评价模型

水质的评价是治理水污染必不可少的工作。为了准确、快速地对水质进行评价,利用主成分分析法从水质监测常见的多个物化指标提取出主成分,然后将主成分作为支持向量分类机的输入,利用历史数据进行水质评价训练并用粒子群算法优化参数,构造出水质评价模型,将从物化指标中得出的主成分代入此模型即可得到水质类别。最后,选取水质监测点实测数据进行试验,结果表明,模型的水质评价结果准确且稳定。     

改进的QGA-BP模型在弥苴河总氮量预测中的应用

水质预测对水环境规划、评价和管理十分重要。构建一种改进的量子遗传算法(QGA)优化BP神经网络的模型,即在量子遗传算法中引入了旋转角的动态改进策略和遗传算法的交叉变异操作,并以改进的QGA作为进化操作准则优化BP模型的权值和阈值。以弥苴河复杂水环境水质预测为实例,选取一组历史观测数据作为训练样本,对其进行分析。将结果与BP模型、QGA-BP模型仿真结果进行了对比,改进后的QGA-BP模型在进化代数、收敛速度和预测结果的准确率有较大提高。对弥苴河水质的预测结果表明,将改进QGA-BP模型用于水质预测是可行、有效的预测方法。     

饮用水源地突发性污染事件预警系统的构建及应用

基于FloodWorks程序构建水质预警系统,将水情遥测站、永质自动监测站的实时数据接人该水质预警系统并结合水动力学-水质一体化模型实现水质预警.该水质预警系统可在地理信息系统(GIS)图形界面下通过控制点、断面、连接等建模和模型管理工具完成工作,无需编写程序代码,方便易行.将构建的水质预警系统用于东台市泰东河饮用水源地水质监测预警,该水质预警系统对总磷、总氮、氨氮及高锰酸盐指教等污染指标的预测有较高的精度,其模拟确定性系数分别为0.72、0.76、0.83、0.86.     

改进属性识别法在水质评价中的应用

为克服水质综合评价过程中指标权重带有主观性的弱点,提出了基于数据驱动技术确定权重的改进属性识别法,综合利用分类标准信息和样本信息进行迭代确定权重.采用浮桥河水库枯水期水质监测资料进行水质评价,验证了该模型用于水质综合评价的可行性.     

ASM3模型研究与运用

根据国际水质协会推出的ASM3利用MATLAB建立模型,通过实验确定进水水质及模型初值,通过模拟结果与污水处理厂实测结果对比,确定重要模型参数范围,并用结果对其他污水处理厂进行模拟,模拟结果与实测结果吻合较好.     

Laboratory simulation of biodegradation of chemicals in surface waters: closed bottle and respirometric test

Microbial degradation is the most dominant elimination mechanism of organics from the environment. For evaluation of biodegradability of pure chemicals many standardized tests are available, but no standardized procedure for assessment of biodegradability of chemicals in surface water is agreed upon. Rates of in-situ biodegradation are usually estimated in laboratory simulation where environmental factors are reproduced to some extent. The aim of our study was to compare standardised ready biodegradability assessment, test (Closed bottle test) and its modifications employing the basic agreements on test conditions to simulate biodegradation in surface water. Standard test was modified using various natural river waters to simulate the natural environment in a simplified way. The impact of different types and amounts of nutrients and microorganisms on biodegradation was confirmed. The conditions in the recipient should be examined to extrapolate the results from ready biodegradability tests to real surface water.     

Chemical contamination and the ecological quality of surface water

In the assessment of the quality of surface waters, the typical procedure is that the concentration of contaminants in the surface water is monitored and subsequently compared with their respective Maximum Permissible Concentrations (MPCs). If the MPCs are not exceeded the water quality is considered to be safe. But can we be certain that this is true?We compared MPCs to observed and calculated effects of measured contaminants in Dutch surface waters and showed that effects of mixtures can cause a daphnid population to go extinct within 30 h of exposure even when MPCs are not exceeded. We conclude that there are shortcomings underlying the concepts of the MPCs. And that the MPCs aim to protect 95% of all species is not met.     

城市河流水质常规评价技术研究

运用综合水质标识指数法,对我国河流水质评价面临的关键技术问题,包括水质评价方法、水质评价项目,水质级别评价,水环境功能区达标评价、水质定性评价、河流及水系整体水质比较、水质随时间和空间变化等作了明确界定,并介绍了在上海河流水质评价中的应用。     

Hydrophobicity of complex organic mixtures

Hydrophobicity is an important property in risk assessment of chemicals. A group parameter that reflects the hydrophobicity of technical mixtures is not yet available. However, many substances are complex organic mixtures, for which it is practically impossible to determine each component separately. An experimental procedure to measure the hydrophobicity of organic mixtures without knowledge of the individual components was developed and tested for a mixture of benzene and twelve chlorobenzenes. This procedure is based on separation of the mixture into fractions of increasing hydrophobicity by reversed-phase HPLC, after which the total molar concentration in each fraction is determined by vapour pressure osmometry. The obtained information on hydrophobicity can be used for assessing bioaccumulation and sediment sorption after emission of the mixture to water has occurred.     

北京城市水系水环境模拟及情景分析

城市水系是流域水环境管理中最为脆弱的控制点.针对城市水系水动力条件差、有机污染和富营养化严重的问题,应用QUAL2K模型模拟、预测城市水系水环境的时空变化,并在此基础上探讨北环水系水环境管理和污染防治的合理有效方案.结果显示,经过多次调整后的模型模拟的匹配度达到了0.9135,水温、溶解氧、COD、TN、TP和Chl-...     

Temporal and spatial variations in the relationship between urbanization and water quality

With the development of economy, most of Chinese cities are at the stage of rapid urbanization in recent years, which has caused many environmental problems, especially the serious deterioration of water quality. Therefore, the research of the relationship between urbanization and water quality has important theoretical and practical significance, and it is also the main restriction factor in the urbanization advancement. In this work, we investigated the impact of urbanization on the water quality of the nearby river. We established a comprehensive environmental assessment framework by combining urbanization and water quality, and one model was designed to examine the impact of urbanization on the water quality in Jinan from 2001 to 2010 with factor component analysis. The assessment of urbanization level was accomplished using a comprehensive index system, which was based on four aspects: demographic urbanization, economic urbanization, land urbanization, and social urbanization. In addition, synthetic pollution index method was utilized to assess the water pollution of Xiaoqing River in the study area. Through the analysis of regression curves, we conclude that (1) when the urbanization level is below 25 %, the relationship is low and irregular; (2) if the urbanization level varies between 25 and 40 %, there will be an irreversible degradation of stream water quality; (3) there is a positive correlation between urbanization and pollution levels of urban river after the adjustment period; and (4) land and demographic aspects have the highest independent contribution. This study is a useful reference for policymakers in terms of economic and environmental management.     

基于聚类分析和水质标识指数的水质评价方法

为探讨一种适用于大尺度、多断面和长时间的水质评价方法,用层次聚类分析将2006~2008年海河5个监测断面的165个水质样本分为20组,并用方差分析验证了结果的可靠性。用综合水质标识指数表示水质样本的综合特征,与单因子评价法相比,该方法充分考虑了最差水质因子的影响,避免了单因子评价法以偏概全的缺陷,且分辨率高。将评价结果分解到各断面,结果表明:密云水库、官厅水库和于桥水库的水质处于II~III类水之间,可满足作为饮用水水源水的要求,三岔口断面大部分时间为IV~V类水,张家口八号桥断面全年有6个月以上水质属于劣V类。