采场硫化矿石爆堆自燃危险性评价研究

在非煤矿山中,许多矿山因矿石含硫量高,在开采过程中经常发生矿石自燃火灾。因此,开展采场矿石自燃危险性评价意义重大。作者通过总结以往的评价方法,并在做了大量实验的基础上,建立了针对硫化矿石氧化自燃危险性的综合评价体系。首先,以“火灾、爆炸危险指数评价法”(DOW)为模型,根据影响硫化矿石自燃的因素分析,建立了针对硫化矿石自燃危险性的评价指数和等级。据此,结合新疆某矿的矿石自燃性开展评价。作者在评价过程中,考虑了该综合评价法在矿山生产中的实用性,评价方法中的各个影响因素都可以通过实验或者现场调查确定其应取的危险值,这种评价方法适用于所有的硫化矿山火灾危险性评价。     

煤质粉末活性炭自燃和热稳定性分析

针对煤质粉末活性炭最显著的热危险特性——自燃危险性进行试验。采用粉尘层最低着火温度测定系统对煤质粉末活性炭进行自燃试验,测定煤质粉末活性炭的最低着火温度;采用SDT Q600热重分析仪测定煤质粉末活性炭在氮气和空气气氛中以20℃/min的速率升温至700℃时的热解和燃烧特性,通过TG/DTG曲线计算其着火温度,并进行热稳定性评价。粉尘层自燃试验结果表明,煤质粉末活性炭最低着火温度为400℃,具有自燃危险性,易形成阴燃;氮气气氛中热解试验表明,热解过程经历了室温~120.0℃和280.0~700.0℃两次轻缓失重阶段,646.44℃时挥发分热失重速率最大,对应热失重速率峰值为0.082 6%/℃,自燃危险性较低;空气气氛中燃烧试验表明,燃烧过程经历了室温~95.5℃和300.0~600.0℃两次剧烈失重阶段,分别为吸附水分受热蒸发和氧化生成的有机官能团分解脱附导致,565.35℃时挥发分热失重速率最大,对应热失重速率峰值为13.20%/min,粉末较强的氧气吸附效应和较低的导热系数导致其自燃倾向较高,火灾危险性较大。     

F&EI评价法在汽车加油站安全评价中的应用

运用"道化学公司火灾、爆炸危险指数评价方法"对加油站的埋地汽油储罐和埋地柴油储罐进行安全评价,并提出相关的注意事项.     

F&EI评价法在汽车加油站安全评价中的应用

运用"道化学公司火灾、爆炸危险指数评价方法"对加油站的埋地汽油储罐和埋地柴油储罐进行安全评价,并提出相关的注意事项.     

F&EI评价法在汽车加油站安全评价中的应用

运用"道化学公司火灾、爆炸危险指数评价方法"对加油站的埋地汽油储罐和埋地柴油储罐进行安全评价,并提出相关的注意事项.     

基于层次分析法的矿井煤自燃危险性模糊评价

为了能够客观、科学的对煤矿开采过程中煤自燃火灾进行有效的预防,综合运用系统工程理论、层次分析法和模糊数学方法建立了煤自燃的危险性综合评价模型。从"人-机-环-管"系统原理角度出发,建立了多层次的煤自燃危险性评价指标体系,并采用层次法对各层次评价指标的权重进行了计算,确定了5类判断指标用于评价煤自燃的危险等级。并在实践中进行应用,评价结果和煤矿实际开采过程中煤自燃发生情况基本吻合,表明了该模型是合理可行的,能够实现对矿井煤自燃危险性进行评价。     

氢气爆炸特性研究

本文研究、总结了氢气与空气(氢气与氧气)的混合物的爆炸特性.即氢气在空气中,在比较低燃烧界限的情况下,只有向上的传播和非常少的超压可以观测得到.正因为氢气的这种特性,将氢应用于科技将极大地推进社会进步,氢燃料将成为一种主要的能源.然而,氢技术应用的成功与否主要取决于氢使用的安全性.所以,必须掌握实际使用时氢气燃烧的性能.本文在日本过去十年实验数据的基础上,通过实验研究了氢气与空气混合物的燃点.研究了氢气、氧气混合物经氮气稀释后,按化学当量比例将不同浓度的氢气与空气进行混合,并得出了低温下的爆炸压力特性.随后,分别讨论了在初始压力下一致的情况下,试管直径相同的状况下,氢气与空气混合浓度相同的情况下,这三种爆轰传播限制之间的关系.得出了在空气中直接点燃的发生爆轰的最小试管直径,最小的装药量之间的关系,进行了爆轰危险性分级.最后,文章概括比较了氢与其他燃料的燃烧特性,评估了氢气燃烧过程中的危险与安全因素.     

典型静电放电火花点燃危险性评价方法研究

通过研究典型静电放电火花的实际点燃能力 ,对实际生产工艺工程中的静电放电火花的点燃危险性进行定量评价。静电放电火花的放电相当能量、放电火花空间分布范围和放电火花持续时间 ,决定了静电放电火花实际点燃可燃物的可能性大小 ,因此不同类型的静电放电火花点燃可燃物的差异性很大。根据数据序列理论分析 ,引入静电放电火花点火源序列和可燃物危险性序列之间存在的关联性 ,反映了静电放电火花点燃可燃物的危险程度 ,可用于对静电放电火花的实际点燃危险性进行量化评价。对聚烯烃粉体生产工艺过程中典型和频发性的静电放电火花的点燃危险性进行了定量评价。     

危险化学品道路运输系统危险性分析

针对危险化学品道路运输中的安全问题 ,建立了危化品道路运输系统模式和系统危险性评价程序。应用所开发的ACES软件系统对汽车燃料汽油的替代品LPG的道路运输进行了最大事故后果分析评价 ,并提出了建议和对策。研究结果不仅能够为危化品道路运输系统危险性的控制和预防提供科学指导 ,还能为减少系统事故损失及事故时的应急疏散等提供参考数据 ,具有潜在的经济效益和社会效益。     

F&EI评价法在汽车加油站安全评价中的应用

运用“道化学公司火灾、爆炸危险指数评价方法”对加油站的埋地汽油储罐和埋地柴油储罐进行安全评价,并提出相关的注意事项。     

伤亡事故中生命经济价值估算研究

伤亡赔偿标准由于人的年龄、经历、工作等的不同而不同。本文参考国内外相关资料后,在人人平等的基础上区分了不同人的生命价值,设计的估算方法基本包含了各个年龄段的人的生命价值。估算结果仅适用于事故和不可抗力造成的伤亡情况,不适用于故意伤害谋杀等犯罪活动造成的伤亡。生命价值没有上限只有下限,使生命经济价值的估算值有较大提高,这对提高伤亡赔偿标准,对提高人们对生命价值的认识都有一定的价值。     

基于χ~2优化方法的铸钢侧架原始裂纹尺寸分布研究

将铸钢侧架清砂后未经修复的原始裂纹尺寸进行了统计 ,综合运用参数的点估计方法和区间估计方法 ,以置信区间作为优化的约束条件 ,提出了对检验值进行最优化处理的方法 ,并运用二参数约束非线性优化方法的直接解法 ,搜索出最佳点估计值。经过对裂纹尺寸分布参数的计算证明 ,其结果符合对数正态分布     

多元可燃混合溶液的闪点预测

为了预测多元可燃混合液的闪点,建立了一个预测模型,通过二元和三元可燃混合液闪点实测值的试验对比,证实此模型的误差在可接受的范围内。此模型可以在预知可燃混合液组分比例和单组分闪点基础上快速预测混合液的闪点。     

Distractions and the risk of car crash injury: the effect of drivers' age

PROBLEM: Motor-vehicle accidents are one of the major causes of injury in most motorized countries. Driver distractions have been suggested as a contributor to traffic accidents. Moreover, age of the driver seems to have a role in the relationship between distractions and car crashes. But very few studies have investigated the effect of driver's age on this relationship. This exploratory study investigated the association between distractions, both inside and outside the vehicle, and the increased risk of car crash injury among drivers across different ages. METHOD: This study used a case series design to analyze data routinely collected by the NSW police in Australia. A special focus of this study was on how drivers' age affects the risk of car crash injury, which was determined by using a well-documented risk estimation methodology. RESULTS: The results obtained indicated that drivers of all ages, on the whole, are more susceptible to distractions inside the vehicle than distractions coming from outside. Age was shown to affect the relationship between in-vehicle distraction and the risk of car crash injury. A separate analysis was also conducted on hand-held phone usage while driving with results supplementing previous findings reported in the literature. IMPACT TO INDUSTRY: Safety strategies to countermeasure in-vehicle distractions have been suggested and discussed.     

A Digital Filter for the State Estimation of Impulsive Noise Under the Existence of a Background Noise and its Experiment in the Work Environment

In the actual work environment, a specific objective noise, like machine and industrial noises, shows impulsive fluctuation form. Furthermore, it often occurs that a specific noise is partially or completely contaminated by background noise. In that case, the fluctuation wave form of the specific noise has to be estimated moment by moment in order to evaluate and/or improve the work environment. In this study, a digital filter for estimating an impulsively fluctuating specific noise is proposed. More specifically, after introducing a generalized time series regressive model of the specific noise, a method for estimating the impulsive noise based on an observation contaminated by the background noise is theoretically derived. Furthermore, the proposed method is applied to the actual task of estimating an industrial impact noise.     

Impact analysis of multi-sensor layout on the source term estimation of hazardous gas leakage

In chemical industry, sensors are used to monitor the leakage and emission of hazardous materials that are used for hazard warning and risk assessment to ensure safety production. The traditional sensor layout designs the scheme at single-layer, and thus causes large deviations in the estimated height and accuracy of source term estimation (STE). In this study, a dual-layer layout scheme for sensors is proposed. The numerical experiments verify that the improved schemes with an equal number of sensors, as well as detection errors, are beneficial to the accuracy of the STE results. The influence of the heights of the sensors and leak source on the results of STE is studied. Results show that the dual-layer sensor scheme with adjacent intervals at high places in the potential search space is highly favorable to locate the leak, and the scheme arranged near the ground is conducive for improving the estimation accuracy of source intensity. This study also compares the STE results of computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulated scenarios under different sensor schemes and verifies the effectiveness of the proposed dual-layer sensor deployment scheme with adjacent intervals under turbulence condition.     

环境成本核算研究综述

在全面总结国内外环境成本核算研究进展的基础上,对有关环境成本核算研究的内容和核算方法做了概述,并指出和分析了目前环境成本核算研究中存在的主要问题.     

Estimating the variance in before-after studies

Problem

To simplify the computation of the variance in before-after studies, it is generally assumed that the observed crash data for each entity (or observation) are Poisson distributed. Given the characteristics of this distribution, the observed value (x_i) for each entity is implicitly made equal to its variance. However, the variance should be estimated using the conditional properties of this observed value (defined as a random variable), that is, f(x_i|μ_i), since the mean of the observed value is in fact unknown.

Method

Parametric and non-parametric bootstrap methods were investigated to evaluate the conditional assumption using simulated and observed data.

Results

The results of this study show that observed data should not be used as a substitute for the variance, even if the entities are assumed to be Poisson distributed. Consequently, the estimated variance for the parameters under study in traditional before-after studies is likely to be underestimated.

Conclusions

The proposed methods offer more accurate approaches for estimating the variance in before-after studies.     

高硫油炼制企业H_2S中毒风险分析

随着企业炼油规模不断扩大及原油中含硫量不断提高,炼油企业中H2S中毒事故风险迅速增大。在对高硫油炼制企业H2S的分布及危险源状况分析的基础上,指出炼油企业存在两类H2S危险源,即含有H2S的气体和含有H2S的酸性水,炼油装置产出含H2S的气体中H2S含量一般在1%～92%,酸性水中H2S含量一般在0.01%～4.0%;介绍了不同H2S浓度等级的空气可对人产生的毒性危害后果,H2S在空气中数分钟内致人死亡的浓度为1500mg/m3;对炼油企业重大酸性气泄漏事故、酸性水泄漏事故进行定量毒性危害计算和分析,给出H2S毒性危害低危区、高危区及迅速致死区达到的下风距离及覆盖的区域面积,重大酸性气、酸性水泄漏事故迅速致死浓度可达到下风距离分别为300m和89m;指出H2S中毒已成为高硫油炼制企业的重大风险,应该加强安全措施,重点防控。     

事故损失预估方法的探讨

应用模糊数学的方法来评估企业的安全状况 ,在此基础上预估企业事故发生的概率及其可能产生的损失 ,为可靠地评价安全投资项目效益创造条件