全国近岸海域水质空间插值算法精度分析

空间插值技术对近海环境数据的分析和表征具有广泛应用价值,但目前针对各类模型适用性和精度比较的研究很少。基于2009年全国近岸海域299个站位的水质监测数据,利用交叉检验法,对3种插值算法13种模型的空间拟合结果进行分析和验证。结果表明,13种模型的模拟值与实测值显著相关(r=0.643~0.750,P0.01,n=299),说明其均适用于近岸海域水质的空间模拟;综合比较模拟结果与实测结果的相关系数、平均误差、平均绝对误差、均方差及偏离程度,排序为IDW(p2)Spline-TensionIDW(p3)IDW(p4)IDW(p1)IDW(p5)IDW(p6)Kriging-GuassianKriging-Spherical,Kriging-CircularKriging-LinearKriging-ExponentialSpline-Regularized,提出IDW(p2)是精度最优的空间插值模型。     

综合污染指数评价与水质类别判定的关系

对水环境质量综合评价的定性、定量方法作了详细说明 ,并就综合污染指数评价方法与水质类别判定之间的相互关系、矛盾及总体的量化关系进行了分析 ;同时 ,对目前综合污染指数评价方法提出了改进意见。     

桂林市相思江流域氮磷分布特征解析及空间变化预测

通过2019年6—12月对相思江流域（临桂段）丰水期和枯水期的水质监测分析,并采用主成分分析（PCA）对污染初步溯源和反距离加权插值（IDW）对氮磷质量浓度空间变化插值预测。结果表明：研究区内氮磷污染严重,TN和TP质量浓度范围分别为0.312 mg/L～14.744 mg/L和0.004 mg/L～0.452 mg/L,TN质量浓度枯水期高于丰水期,TP两水期大致相等。研究区内非点源氮磷呈现出明显空间变异性,上游氮磷污染最为严重。农业面源污染中禽畜养殖和生活污水是流域内主要污染因子。     

福州市大气污染空间分布特征分析

利用2015年福州主城区6个大气国控点的6种主要大气污染物逐时监测数据、气象数据及空间基础数据等,通过增设站点后进行空间插值的方法分析大气污染物浓度的空间分布特征。结果表明:福州市大气中PM_(2.5)、PM_(10)最高值分别为35.57μg/m~3和62.35μg/m~3,高浓度区域集中在主城区中心和近郊区,其中台江区污染程度相对较高;O_3最高值为94.85μg/m~3,较高浓度主要集中在晋安区内海拔较高的森林地区;CO、SO_2和NO_2最高浓度低于一级标准浓度限值,高浓度区域分布在主城区中心。     

改进的模糊综合评价法在太湖水质类别判定中的应用

水质判别是一个多参数多级别的模糊概念,基础的模糊综合评价法存在局限性,对基础模糊数学法中隶属度函数及最大隶属度原则进行改进,建立一种改进的模糊综合评价法。以太湖流域水质判别为实例验证了此方法比传统的方法更有效,且适合在太湖流域应用。     

长沙市大气中PM_(2.5)浓度分布的空间插值方法比较

采用普通克里金(Kriging)、反距离加权(IDW)、趋势面、协同克里金(Co-kriging)插值和基于反距离加权的克里金插值方法对长沙市某时刻的PM_(2.5)浓度空间插值比较,结果表明:反距离加权和趋势面插值的结果与实际情况相差较远;普通克里金和协同克里金插值虽能反映出PM_(2.5)浓度分布一定的空间结构,但精度有待提高,且运行速度较慢;前4种方法效果不好的主要原因是由于长沙市PM_(2.5)浓度监测站点稀少。而基于反距离加权的克里金插值方法结合了2种模型的优点,其结果较为准确地分析长沙市PM_(2.5)浓度分布特征,误差远小于其他方法,且具有平滑性好、运行速度相对较快等优点。     

北京市土地利用分布与水质响应空间关系研究

以北京市16个水质监测断面和饮用水源地作为研究对象,利用2009—2010年16个水质监测自动站监测数据与2009年北京市土地利用数据,分析不同缓冲区内土地利用与过境水质之间的响应关系。研究结果表明,耕地产生的农业非点源污染对水质影响明显;在大尺度区域增加林地面积比例有利于改善水质;离水源近的农村居民用地对水质产生负面影响;工业建设用地对水质影响在较大尺度上更为显著。     

2019年连云港近岸海域水质环境分析与综合评价

于2019年春、夏、秋季对连云港近岸海域海水中营养盐、重金属等共19项指标进行3个航次采样监测.依照海水水质评价标准统计分析站点达标率,采用有机污染物指数法和富营养化指数法,对调查海域海水有机污染、营养水平等进行综合评价.结果表明:2019年连云港市海域站位全年达标率为86.4％,达标面积为6543 km2,占管辖海域...     

基于GIS空间插值方法的长湖水质评价

通过对各插值方法选择后取反距离加权法与克立格法对长湖的污染现状进行分析,结果表明大部分水域水质处于Ⅴ类和劣Ⅴ类,只有主要出水口习家口和刘岺闸附近的部分水域的水质可以达到Ⅳ类水质标准.同时发现反距离加权法与克立格法均具有较高的精度,但克立格法优于反距离加权法,这两种方法评价湖泊水质都能取得比较好的效果.     

南宁市城市内河黑臭分级综合评价研究

为有效避免南宁市城市内河水质出现仅透明度超标导致黑臭等级误判的情况,通过相关性分析、方差分析和多重对应分析确定评价指标和临界值,建立基于综合水质指数法的城市内河黑臭分级评价方法。结果表明:以溶解氧、氨氮、总磷和化学需氧量为黑臭分级评价指标,水体轻度黑臭和重度黑臭综合水质指数临界值分别为6.3和8.5。该评价方法结果符合实际情况,且能反映水质的时空变化情况。     

江苏如东贝类养殖区重金属的含量分布特征及潜在生态风险评价

根据2010年3月(冬季)、5月(春季)、8月(夏季)、11月(秋季)对江苏省如东县贝类养殖区4次现场监测资料,着重对养殖区海水和表层沉积物中重金属的分布特征进行了分析,并对养殖区进行了生态环境质量评价及潜在生态风险评价。结果表明:海水中重金属污染程度顺序为Pb>Zn>Hg>Cu>As>Cd;表层沉积物中重金属的污染程度顺序依次为Zn>Pb>As>Cu>Hg>Cd;表层沉积物中重金属的潜在生态危害程度顺序依次为Hg>Cd>As>Pb>Cu>Zn。4次调查结果的多种重金属的潜在生态风险指数(RI)均低于140,表明这些重金属对海洋生态系统的潜在生态风险属于低潜在生态风险水平,养殖环境良好。     

Linking on-farm dairy management practices to storm-flow fecal coliform loading for California coastal watersheds

How and where to improve water quality within an agricultural watershed requires data at a spatial scale that corresponds with individual management decision units on an agricultural operation. This is particularly true in the context of water quality regulations, such as Total Maximum Daily Loads (TMDLs), that identify agriculture as one source of non-point source pollution through larger tributary watershed scale and above and below water quality investigations. We have conducted a systems approach study of 10 coastal dairies and ranches to document fecal coliform concentration and loading to surface waters at the management decision unit scale. Water quality samples were collected on a storm event basis from loading units that included: manure management systems; gutters; storm drains; pastures; and corrals and lots. In addition, in-stream samples were collected above and below the dairy facilities and from a control watershed, managed for light grazing and without a dairy facility or human residence and corresponding septic system. Samples were analyzed for fecal coliform concentration by membrane filtration. Instantaneous discharge was measured for each collected sample. Storm runoff was also calculated using the curve number method (SCS, 1985). Results for a representative dairy as well as the entire 10 dairy data set are presented. Fecal coliform concentrations demonstrate high variability both within and between loading units. Fecal coliform concentrations for pastures range from 206 to 2,288,888 cfu/100 ml and for lots from 1,933 to 166,105,000 cfu/100 ml. Mean concentrations for pastures and lots are 121,298 (SE=62,222) and 3,155,584 (SE=1,902,713) cfu/100 ml, respectively. Fecal coliform load from units of concentrated animals and manure are significantly more than units such as pastures while storm flow amounts were significantly less. Compared with results from earlier tributary scale studies in the watershed, this systems approach has generatedwater quality data that is beneficial for management decisions because of its scale and representation of current management activities. These results are facilitating on-farm changes through the cooperative efforts of dairy managers, regulatory agency staff, and sources of technical and financial assistance.     

安徽某燃煤电厂周边土壤汞分布特征及风险评价

结合当地气象条件,采集了安徽某燃煤电厂周边地区的土壤,采用冷原子吸收法测定其汞含量,应用地统计学和地理信息系统方法分析了电厂周边表层土壤汞含量的空间分布特性,分析了土壤中汞与理化性质之间的相关性,并进行了风险评价。结果表明,电厂周边表层土壤汞含量范围为0.015~0.076 mg/kg,平均值为0.029 mg/kg,虽未超过国家允许的标准,但与当地背景值及安徽省土壤汞含量相比均有一定程度的增加;土壤汞含量的总体分布特征为除距排放源1~2 km的环形区域受影响最大外,污染程度随着与电厂距离的增大而递减,汞含量空间分布受主导风向影响呈现明显的条带分布。相比于单因子污染指数法和地累积指数法,潜在生态危害指数评价法能更好地反映燃煤电厂周围土壤中汞的污染水平和生态风险程度。土壤汞含量与土壤理化性质之间存在不同程度的相关性。     

京杭运河苏州市区段大型底栖动物种群结构特征与评价

对京杭运河苏州市区段4个点位进行了底栖动物群落结构和多样性进行多年研究,并进行了水质评价。结果表明,底栖动物共12种,寡毛类的克拉泊水丝蚓为各点位的优势种;从时间尺度来看,S1点位的物种种类数量从2008年开始明显增加,软体类物种出现,种群密度也在增加,生物污染指数下降,水质明显改善;从空间尺度来看,京杭运河苏州市区段上游和中游物种种类数量要多于下游和老运河城区段,下游水质有所下降。     

地表水环境质量综合评价方法研究与应用进展

水质评价是目前水环境质量管理的重要支撑,水质综合评价方法已经逐渐由断面评价向流域综合评价进行转变与突破。该文对目前的断面水质评价方法进行了归类综述,并且对流域水质综合评价方法及其在各个国家流域的应用进行了重点评述。分析认为中国在流域评价中所使用的\"断面比例法\"不够准确,缺乏污染物时空分析以及生物评价等问题,并据此提出了未来的研究方向,为未来地表水质评价方法的提升以及水环境管理的完善提供科学的参考依据和建议。     

downscaling procedures as a tool for integration of multiple air issues

In assessing the risks associated with climate change,downscaling has proven useful in linking surfacechanges, at scales relevant to decision making, tolarge-scale atmospheric circulation derived from GCMoutput. Stochastic downscaling is related to synopticclimatology, weather-typing approaches (classifyingcirculation patterns) such as the Lamb Weather Typesdeveloped for the United Kingdom (UK), the EuropeanGrosswetterlagen (Bardossy and Plate, 1992) and thePerfect Prognosis (Perfect Prog) method from numericalweather prediction. The large-scale atmosphericcirculation is linked with site-specific observationsof atmospheric variables, such as precipitation, windspeed or temperature, within a specified region. Classifying each day by circulation patterns isachieved by clustering algorithms, fuzzy rule bases,neural nets or decision trees. The linkages areextended to GCM output to account for climate change. Stochastic models are developed from the probabilitydistributions for extreme events. Objective analysiscan be used to interpolate values of these models toother locations. The concepts and some applicationsare reviewed to provide a basis for extending thedownscaling approach to assessing the integrated riskof the six air issues: climate change, UV-B radiation,acid rain, transport of hazardous air pollutants, smogand suspended particulates.     

重庆铜梁县空气质量历时演变与评价

以重庆市铜梁县为例,分析了西部小城镇空气质量的历时演变规律,并对小城镇空气质量进行了评价。结果表明,小城镇空气质量夏季优于冬季,NO2和O3年均浓度(分别为29~33、18~34μg/m3)有所增加,但均在《环境空气质量标准》(GB 3095—2012)标准值内,PM10和SO2的年均浓度则逐年下降,2012年年均浓度比2010年分别下降了34%和19%;PM10、SO2、NO2浓度与温度、风速呈显著负相关关系,与大气压、相对湿度呈显著正相关关系,O3浓度与温度、风速、气压、相对湿度的相关性则刚好与此相反。对铜梁县近3年空气质量状况的评价结果表明,铜梁县空气质量稳步提升,相对于2010年的空气质量状况来说,2012年空气质量等级为优和良的天数分别提高了5%和9%,空气质量等级为轻微污染的天数则降低了9%。研究结果可为小城镇空气质量的宏观调控提供参考。     

A Methodology for Space-Time Classification of Groundwater Quality

Safeguarding groundwater from civil, agricultural and industrial contamination is matter of great interest in water resource management. During recent years, much legislation has been produced stating the importance of groundwater as a source for drinking water supplies, underlining its vulnerability and defining the required quality standards. Thus, schematic tools, able to characterise the quality and quantity of groundwater systems, are of very great interest in any territorial planning and/or water resource management activity.This paper proposes a groundwater quality classification method which has been applied to a real aquifer, starting from several studies published by the Italian National Hydrogeologic Catastrophe Defence Group (GNDCI).The methodology is based on the concentration values of several parameters used as indexes of the natural hydro-chemical water condition and of potential man-induced modifications of groundwater quality. The resulting maps, although representative of the quality, do not include any information on its evolution in time. In this paper, this “stationary” classification method has been improved by crossing the quality classes with three indexes of temporal behaviour during recent years. It was then applied to data from monitoring campaigns, performed in spring and autumn, from 1990 to 1996, in the plain of Modena aquifer (central Italy). The results are reported in the form of space-time classification table and maps.