Revisiting chronodisruption: when the physiological nexus between internal and external times splits in humans

In this Concepts & Synthesis paper, we expand the definition of chronodisruption in humans by proposing that it can be operationalized as the split nexus of internal and external times. With this premise, we suggest how chronotype may be used as a temporal marker (chronomarker) of exposure to chronodisruption in studies of cancer, and beyond, offer cancer risk predictions for observational research on the basis of a chronotype-related hypothesis and corollary, and point to first empirical data in humans. In an a priori way, we examine possible outcomes and perspectives for preventive measures following from our rationale and the suggested chronobiology-driven studies and close with overall advances of chronodisruption research.     

极低频电磁场对健康影响的流行病学调查及人体测试研究进展

流行病学调查结果表明，环境的极低频电磁场暴露与人群某些肿瘤，如白血病、乳腺癌、脑肿瘤等，以及生殖、神经、心血管和内分泌等系统疾患的发病相关，这些结果在一定程度上得到实验室人体测试的支持。然而，极低频电磁场对健康影响的确切效应，迄今尚未能作出结论，亟等进一步开展多层次、多水平的研究。     

Lungenkrebs nach Bestrahlung: Das Radon-Problem

The estimation and limitation of lung cancer risk from inhaled 222Rn-daughters in mines and in the home is one of the most important problems in radiation protection. The results of epidemiological studies are summarized. The radiation-induced increase in the age-specific lung cancer rate can be interpreted in terms of a proportional hazard model. On the basis of this model, the relative fraction of total lung cancer frequency which might be initiated by the radon-daughter exposure in homes is estimated.     

Light,timing of biological rhythms,and chronodisruption in man

This paper reviews abundant evidence suggesting that causes and course of aging and cancers can be considered as being both light- and rhythm-related. We define chronodisruption as a relevant disturbance of orderly biological rhythms over days and seasons and years in man. Light is the primary external mediator and melatonin a primary internal intermediary of such disturbances, which can result in earlier deaths via premature aging and cancers. We conclude that experimental and epidemiological research can provide further insights into common denominators of these chronic processes and may offer novel and uniform targets for prevention.     

对羟基苯甲酸酯在人体中的暴露研究进展

对羟基苯甲酸酯是目前被广泛使用于食品、化妆品和药品等的防腐抗菌剂。但近年来的研究显示,该类物质具有弱雌激素活性,可能是乳房癌和男性不育的诱因。开展对羟基苯甲酸酯在人体中的暴露评价,可以为流行病学和该类物质的风险评价提供基础数据。本文对对羟基苯甲酸酯的性质和用途,在体内的吸收和代谢,毒理学效应,在人体中的暴露水平及分析方法等进行了综述。     

北京市不同年龄人群PM2.5载带重金属的健康风险

在北京中心城区（北2~3环路）利用大流量颗粒物采样器连续采集了2016年全年共218个PM_2.5样品,通过电感耦合等离子体原子发射光谱法（ICP-AES）测定了其中9种重金属元素,即As、Cd、Co、Cr、Cu、Ni、Pb、V、Zn.结合我国人群暴露参数,利用美国环保署推荐的健康风险评价模型,对北京市1~80岁不同年龄人群致癌非致癌健康风险进行了评价.结果显示：2016年北京市PM_2.5重金属中Zn、Pb、Cu质量浓度最大,依次为（291±553）ng/m³、（53.6±73.5）ng/m³、（25.0±59.7）ng/m³,其次为As、Ni;所有重金属中,As具有最大致癌风险贡献（62.5%）,Co具有最大非致癌风险贡献（29.0%）.不同年龄、性别人群的重金属危害指数（HI）均小于1,显示无非致癌健康风险,另外,儿童期HI值大于成人期.不同年龄、性别人群的重金属总致癌风险（CR）均位于10^-6与10^-4范围（即每1万~100万的人群数量中增加1个癌症患者）,显示无显著致癌风险,另外,随着年龄的增长致癌风险增加.此外,同一年龄人群中,女性致癌及非致癌风险均稍低于男性.     

化工企业风险可接受标准研究

分析归纳了一些国家和地区个体风险和社会风险,首次提出以人群自然死亡率为基础,确定个体风险制定的基础,把化工企业个体风险分为三类,分别为单个或少量暴露人员场所、居住类高密度场所和特别敏感的目标对应的个体风险,与国家安全生产监督管理总局规定危险化学品重大危险源产生的个体风险基本吻合.采用ALARP原则,合理确定社会风险并划分为不可接受区、尽可能降低区和风险可容许区.风险标准值的制定为企业风险管理和风险决策提供更加有意义的参考,也为化工企业开展定量风险评估提供技术支撑.     

结冰条件下直升机飞行风险模糊综合评估

目的提高结冰条件下直升机的飞行安全,对飞行风险进行评估。方法基于模糊综合评估方法,综合考虑结冰气象条件、防/除冰系统状态和飞行员经验的影响,建立飞行风险评估方法。通过算例对建立的飞行风险评估方法进行了验证分析。结果基于结冰强度确定了飞行风险4级划分方法,利用层次分析法(AHP)确定各因素的权重,采用正态分布隶属函数建立评估矩阵,对权重集和评估矩阵进行加权平均运算,并对评估结果向量进行处理以给出最终的风险等级。结论该方法具有科学性和实用性。     

Getting ready for the manned mission to Mars: the astronauts’ risk from space radiation

Space programmes are shifting towards planetary exploration and, in particular, towards missions by human beings to the Moon and to Mars. Radiation is considered to be one of the major hazards for personnel in space and has emerged as the most critical issue to be resolved for long-term missions both orbital and interplanetary. The two cosmic sources of radiation that could impact a mission outside the Earth’s magnetic field are solar particle events (SPE) and galactic cosmic rays (GCR). Exposure to the types of ionizing radiation encountered during space travel may cause a number of health-related problems, but the primary concern is related to the increased risk of cancer induction in astronauts. Predictions of cancer risk and acceptable radiation exposure in space are extrapolated from minimal data and are subject to many uncertainties. The paper describes present-day estimates of equivalent doses from GCR and solar cosmic radiation behind various shields and radiation risks for astronauts on a mission to Mars.     

生活垃圾重金属对环卫工人身体健康影响研究

以珠江三角洲5市（广州、深圳、佛山、惠州和肇庆）生活垃圾为研究对象,分析了55个生活垃圾样品的干基组分及典型重金属（As、Cd、Hg、Cr和Pb）的含量,采用主成分因子分析探论重金属的主要影响因素及可能来源,并结合人体健康风险评价模型,用蒙特卡洛模拟定量评价生活垃圾收运、分类及处理各环节环卫工人的健康风险.结果表明,珠江三角洲5市生活垃圾中As、Cd、Hg、Cr和Pb的浓度分别为（4.49±1.18）,（1.95±1.96）,（0.41±0.60）,（147.28±160.48）和（121.59±199.42） mg/kg;生活垃圾中Hg和Pb可能主要来源于金属制品和镀金材料;Cd和Cr可能主要来源于金属制品、镀金材料、快餐垃圾和包装垃圾;As可能主要来源于生活垃圾中的沙土和草木组分.生活垃圾的收运、分类及处理环节,街道清扫保洁工人、分类收运工人和填埋处理工人的非致癌风险基本不用考虑,但致癌风险很高,致癌风险指数最高可达安全阈值的6倍,主要风险暴露途径为手-口摄入（非食物途径）;垃圾焚烧处理工人的非致癌风险和致癌风险均很高,非致癌风险和致癌风险指数最高值分别约为安全阈值的11倍和90倍,主要风险暴露途径为手-口摄入和呼吸吸入;相同暴露环境下,女环卫工人的非致癌风险和致癌风险概率均略高于男环卫工人.因此,生活垃圾收运、分类及处理环节需做好安全防范措施,对重金属人体暴露途径进行阻隔.     

我国中西部典型城市PM2.5中痕量金属的时空分布特征和健康影响

为研究我国中西部地区大气细颗粒物中的痕量金属区域分布、季节分布特征以及健康风险,在西安、乌鲁木齐、洛阳以及兰州四城市布点采样,利用ICP-AES（电感耦合等离子体原子发射光谱仪）测定了PM_2.5中9种痕量金属（V、Cr、Cd、Mn、Ni、Cu、Zn、As、Pb）的质量分数.结果表明：在痕量金属的时空分布特征方面,各城市主导痕量金属存在差异,西安、乌鲁木齐、洛阳以及兰州的主导痕量金属为Mn、Zn、Pb、Pb,除了主导痕量金属,对于单个金属,其空间分布及季节分布都存在差异;利用分歧系数法分析了城市间颗粒物中痕量金属的组成,洛阳与其他城市颗粒物中痕量金属的CD值在0.4左右,表明洛阳与各城市颗粒物中痕量金属的组成有很大差异,而西安与乌鲁木齐、兰州两个城市的CD值几乎都小于0.2,则他们组成相似;健康风险评结果显示,颗粒物PM_2.5中的痕量金属Cr对成年人有着显著的致癌和非致癌风险,而且Cd、As对4个城市居民的致癌风险是显著的,Ni对其致癌风险不显著.长期处于该研究环境,对人体健康存在一定健康威胁.此外痕量金属对人体的健康风险也具有季节性,所有痕量金属ILCR值都高于10^-6,尤其是As、Cd、Cr的致癌风险超过了安全水平（10^-4）,尤其是Cr和As春冬季的致癌风险最高.     

淮河流域典型癌病高发区土壤和地下水重金属积累及健康风险

分别采集淮河沿岸某癌病高发区土壤和地下水样品,分析和探讨了土壤和地下水重金属的含量、分布和季节变化,以及土壤和地下水重金属积累的生态与健康风险.结果表明,除Zn外,土壤和地下水重金属含量旱季均高于雨季,癌病高发村庄高于其他村庄,河流污染是沿岸土壤和地下水重金属积累的主要原因.除土壤Cd达到中度潜在生态风险外,土壤中其余重金属的潜在生态风险总体为轻微级.癌病高发村庄居民饮水中重金属致癌和非致癌健康风险明显高于其他村庄居民,均为其他村庄居民的2倍以上,其中,重金属非致癌健康风险达到93.09×10-10a-1,接近国际健康组织推荐的最大可忽略风险,重金属致癌健康风险达到27.82×10-5a-1,分别为ICRP和US EPA推荐的最大可接受风险的5倍和2倍以上.各种重金属中,Pb和Cr是主要的非致癌健康风险因子,Cr是主要的致癌健康风险因子.癌病高发村庄土壤和地下水重金属积累明显,存在较高的饮水重金属暴露健康风险.     

国产防锈水对威斯塔大鼠致癌性研究

对使用国产防锈水(主要成分为亚硝酸钠和三乙醇胺)的一个工厂进行肿瘤流行病学调查,发现该厂人员恶性肿瘤发病率略有增加。经长期给大白鼠饮用防锈水实验证明,该法可导致大鼠胰腺腺泡增生和不典型增生并能诱发出对照动物所没有的胰腺癌,同时还可引起胃粘膜的增生和胃乳头状瘤。     

PM2.5致卵巢癌的风险及城乡差异的生态学研究

为了评估PM_2.5排放导致女性生殖系统癌症的风险以及城乡差异,以卵巢癌为例,分析了中国东部地区2000~2011年期间PM_2.5和卵巢癌发病率和死亡率的相关关系,并估算了PM_2.5排放导致卵巢癌发病率和死亡率升高的风险.结果表明,城市地区卵巢癌发病率和死亡率显著高于农村,在城市地区,PM_2.5与卵巢癌发病率显著相关,PM_2.5年平均浓度每上升10μg/m³,城市地区卵巢癌发病率上升的相对风险为9.3%（相对于PM_2.5年平均浓度为35μg/m³时）,每十万人口升高0.51人.     

有机氯农药与乳腺癌发病的环境流行病学研究

为探讨乳腺癌发病与有机氯农药污染的关系,采用分阶段整群随机抽样的方法,按乳腺癌标化发病率高低抽取11个乡镇,再随机抽取行政村、自然村.测定各乡镇大米和土壤样品中有机氯各指标的含量,结合各乡镇的乳腺癌发病资料,进行统计分析.结果表明,各乡镇的乳腺癌标化发病率存在统计学显著性差异;大米中d-HCH、g-HCH、五氯酚钠以及土壤的d-HCH含量在各乡镇间有显著性差异;乳腺癌标化发病率与大米中PP-DDD含量呈负相关,相关系数为-0.609.说明经过近20年的降解过程,DDT的衍生物含量最终以PP-DDD居多,并且乳腺癌标化发病率与大米中PP-DDD含量呈负相关.     

管路复合环境试验风险评估与预防措施技术研究

目的增强新一代运载火箭液体推进剂增压及输送管路低温振动试验的风险抵抗能力,降低风险发生概率,提升管路在低温+内压+振动等复合环境试验的有效性及安全性。方法以项目风险管理相关知识为理论基础,分解试验系统各组成部分的风险因素,并加以辨识,评估各风险因素的危害成因及危害后果,在此分析的基础上,提出有效降低风险的改进方法与措施。结果通过风险的辨识、评估及预防方法与措施,在满足试验需求的基础上优化了试验系统,加强了应对此类试验风险的能力,对试验设备进行了有效改进,降低了风险发生概率,为新一代运载火箭增压输送管路地面复合环境试验的成功奠定了坚实的基础。结论对风险管理在新一代运载火箭增压管路环境模拟试验中的应用进行了研究,风险控制可以有效地降低试验中存在的各种风险的发生概率,包括风险的辨识、分析及项目的风险管理,不仅可以对人员、设备及产品的安全性提供更可靠的保障,也可以提升环境模拟试验的效率。     

The relationship between adaptation and mitigation in managing climate change risks: a regional response from North Central Victoria,Australia

This two-part paper considers the complementarity between adaptation and mitigation in managing the risks associated with the enhanced greenhouse effect. Part one reviews the application of risk management methods to climate change assessments. Formal investigations of the enhanced greenhouse effect have produced three generations of risk assessment. The first led to the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), First Assessment Report and subsequent drafting of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. The second investigated the impacts of unmitigated climate change in the Second and Third IPCC Assessment Reports. The third generation, currently underway, is investigating how risk management options can be prioritised and implemented. Mitigation and adaptation have two main areas of complementarity. Firstly, they each manage different components of future climate-related risk. Mitigation reduces the number and magnitude of potential climate hazards, reducing the most severe changes first. Adaptation increases the ability to cope with climate hazards by reducing system sensitivity or by reducing the consequent level of harm. Secondly, they manage risks at different extremes of the potential range of future climate change. Adaptation works best with changes of lesser magnitude at the lower end of the potential range. Where there is sufficient adaptive capacity, adaptation improves the ability of a system to cope with increasingly larger changes over time. By moving from uncontrolled emissions towards stabilisation of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, mitigation limits the upper part of the range. Different activities have various blends of adaptive and mitigative capacity. In some cases, high sensitivity and low adaptive capacity may lead to large residual climate risks; in other cases, a large adaptive capacity may mean that residual risks are small or non-existent. Mitigative and adaptive capacity do not share the same scale: adaptive capacity is expressed locally, whereas mitigative capacity is different for each activity and location but needs to be aggregated at the global scale to properly assess its potential benefits in reducing climate hazards. This can be seen as a demand for mitigation, which can be exercised at the local scale through exercising mitigative capacity. Part two of the paper deals with the situation where regional bodies aim to maximise the benefits of managing climate risks by integrating adaptation and mitigation measures at their various scales of operation. In north central Victoria, Australia, adaptation and mitigation are being jointly managed by a greenhouse consortium and a catchment management authority. Several related studies investigating large-scale revegetation are used to show how climate change impacts and sequestration measures affect soil, salt and carbon fluxes in the landscape. These studies show that trade-offs between these interactions will have to be carefully managed to maximise their relative benefits. The paper concludes that when managing climate change risks, there are many instances where adaptation and mitigation can be integrated at the operational level. However, significant gaps between our understanding of the benefits of adaptation and mitigation between local and global scales remain. Some of these may be addressed by matching demands for mitigation (for activities and locations where adaptive capacity will be exceeded) with the ability to supply that demand through localised mitigative capacity by means of globally integrated mechanisms.     

Ionizing radiation for maternal medical indications

Ionizing radiation should be considered an avoidable exposure although all pregnant women receive some radiation from their environment. The potential effect of ionizing radiation on the fetus is determined by the dose and the timing of the exposure with growing interest in the potential risks of transgenerational effects of radiation as an epigenetic phenomenon. High dosage exposure is very unlikely in routine situations such as occupational, diagnostic, or therapeutic exposures. Individual diagnostic radiation procedures (fetal dosage <50 mGy), are not associated with any increase in lethality (miscarriage or stillbirth), genetic damage, teratogenicity, growth impairment, mental retardation, or sterility. More recent modeling has suggested that a 10 mGy fetal dose is associated with an excess risk of childhood cancer risk as low as 1 in 4545, well below historical estimates.When the mother's condition necessitates diagnostic radiation it is necessary to balance the risks of the procedure with the benefits to be gained. As almost all diagnostic imaging involves doses below the 50 mGy threshold, clinically indicated investigations should not be withheld because of concerns regarding fetal radiation exposure. Even radiotherapy directed away from the abdomen or pelvis may be considered during pregnancy, if the benefits outweigh the risks and no suitable alternative is available.     

基于时序的导弹武器系统环境适应性分析方法

目前导弹武器系统的环境适应性分析方法主要是基于剖面分析的定性分析,分析结果比较依赖个人经验,某些情况下可能无法全面识别风险,并且出现反复发作的环境适应性问题。基于此,文中开展了相关研究,全面、合理地分析导弹武器系统的环境适应性,提升装备质量特性水平。提出了基于时序的武器装备环境适应性分析方法,给出了基于时序的环境要素分析方法、产品要素分析方法和基于研制流程的工程实施方法。将该方法应用于某战术导弹,发现了63项环境适应性风险,其中有3项影响成败,通过采取针对性改进措施确保了首飞和后续多发飞行试验任务连续成功。该方法可以充分暴露武器系统环境适应性风险,并且可以作为一种风险识别方法应用到试验充分性分析和测试覆盖性分析中,具有重要的工程应用和推广价值。