原有路基稳定性对高速公路加宽工程的影响分析

通过数值模拟,结合高速公路加宽工程实例,分析了在原有路基未固结稳定情况下新老路基的固结沉降变形特性,并对可能的处理方法进行了分析探讨。结果表明,新老路基的沉降随着老路固结度的减小而逐渐增大,但差异沉降却逐渐减小;当老路固结度较小时,在固结后期差异沉降可能逐渐减小;轻质路堤法和复合地基法分别处理新路地基时,各有优缺点,轻质路堤法对老路附加沉降影响较大,但能较好地控制不均匀沉降,复合地基法对老路附加沉降影响很小,但在老路固结度较低时,差异沉降较大。     

考虑支座转角的地基不均匀沉降基础隔震结构地震响应分析∗

地基不均匀沉降可能会引起沉降范围内部分隔震支座发生转动,造成隔震层刚度发生变化,进而导致上部结构地震损伤和失效风险增大。针对地基不均匀沉降条件下基础隔震结构地震响应研究,现有成果大都通过施加平动位移进行模拟,并未考虑隔震支座转角的不利影响。为了研究地基不均匀沉降条件下基础隔震结构支座可能出现的转动及其对整体结构地震响应特征影响规律,首先以隔震支座为对象,研究了支座转动变形与叠层橡胶隔震支座水平刚度变化关系,建立了叠层橡胶隔震支座转角与水平刚度变化关系函数;在此基础上系统研究了地基不均匀沉降条件下整体基础隔震结构响应特征,以及基础结构的减震系数变化规律,以期揭示地基不均匀沉降对基础隔震结构地震响应影响机理。结果表明：隔震支座转角变形会引起隔震结构体系地震响应发生显著变化,随着隔震支座转角增大,隔震层水平刚度增大的同时隔震结构体系变形能力减弱,进而造成上部结构加速度响应增大,位移响应减小,导致基础隔震结构水平减震系数增大,减震效果低于预期;当转角接近π/2 时,隔震支座将丧失降低上部结构地震响应的作用,原隔震结构将退化为抗震结构;对于存在地基不均匀沉降的基础隔震结构,应及时采取必要措施控制地震响应,以防范上部结构发生倾覆。     

分级加荷条件下公路软基路堤沉降的预测方法

软土地基上修筑路堤多采用分级施工的方法。在传统双曲线沉降预测法的基础上，提出了软土地基上路堤分级施工情况下沉降预测的一个新模型，该模型考虑了土的非线性特性和固结性质随荷载的变化，可实现尽早预报沉降的要求。通过工程实例验证了所提模型的适用性。     

灰色系统理论在建筑物沉降和倾斜预测中的应用

建筑物的地基不均匀沉降导致建筑物倾斜是严重的建筑工程灾害,对其进行定量的观测研究和预报是防止灾害扩大的必要前提。本文利用灰色预测模型对建筑物倾斜和基础沉降进行模拟和预测,结果表明:模型精度高,预测结果令人满意。     

高铁隧道施工对文物建筑影响的评估方法研究

高铁隧道施工普遍采用暗挖盾构法,高铁隧道遇到下穿文物建筑情况时,施工过程势必造成地表沉降,进而可能使文物建筑发生不均匀沉降,若文物建筑倾斜过大,就有破坏的危险。目前,针对高铁隧道施工对文物建筑影响的评估尚无明确统一的方法,本文结合实际工程,研究了高铁隧道施工对文物建筑影响的因素,将地表沉降值和文物建筑倾斜率作为评估指标,提出了一套适用于高铁隧道施工对文物建筑影响的有效评估方法,其中沉降值可以采用工程类比法分析确定,文物建筑倾斜率可以采用国家规范进行限定,为高铁隧道施工对文物建筑影响的评估提供了实用方法。     

强夯地基处理工艺在换流站场平施工中的应用

针对西北部分地区地表层粉砂分布不均、砂岩不易破碎、块石回填方量大、回填厚度深等问题,考虑特高压换流站工程地基处理的适用性及其成效、工期、造价等多方面因素,提出强夯地基处理方案。应用结果表明:该方法具有快速提高填土密实程度,加速填土前期固结,提高填土的物理力学性能,减少填土的后期沉降和建(构)筑物及地面设备基础的沉降等优点,可广泛应用于西北地区特高压换流站及其他大面积土石方开挖、回填及地基处理施工工程。     

不均匀沉降对开元商厦的危害及其监测

开元商厦建设过程中由于基础不均匀沉降导致大面积裂缝。采用Ⅰ等水准测量及改进后的方法对其进行了一年半的跟踪监测。结果表明,基础不均匀沉降明显,荷载较大的主楼部分为主沉降因素。观测期间沉降速率在６～８ｍｍ／ａ。     

路面结构对填砂路基不均匀沉降变形的力学响应

针对填砂路基产生不均匀沉降对路面结构产生破环的情况,建立起能反映填砂路堤不均匀沉降对沥青路面结构影响的有限元分析模型,通过计算分析不均匀沉降量对沥青路面结构的影响,研究不同路面结构层次组合对填砂路堤不均匀沉降的适应性。根据研究成果提出,实际工程应采取有效措施控制填砂路堤的不均匀沉降,从而延长路面使用寿命;在保证路表弯沉、道路承载能力的前提下,可适当选用模量较低的基层材料;随着底基层厚度的增加,基层底面水平向附加拉应力减小,故在实际施工中可适当增大级配碎石底基层的厚度。     

大直径泥水盾构下穿民房建筑群沉降分析及控制北大核心CSCD

大直径泥水盾构下穿民房建筑群时沉降控制严格,风险较大。以南京纬三路过江通道工程S线大直径泥水盾构下穿保健村民房建筑群为背景,通过三维数值计算,对盾构施工主要影响区的范围和沉降量进行理论预测,在施工过程中根据理论预测结果对该范围内民房进行分类监测,并结合现场实测数据研究盾构施工对民房建筑群的影响,提出相应的沉降控制措施。研究结果表明:三维数值分析能够较好地预测盾构施工的影响范围及沉降量,可用于指导房屋沉降监测;盾构施工控制不当使得地表产生不均匀沉降、民房发生倾斜和裂缝等问题,通过控制支护压力、调整施工速度和壁后注浆等施工参数,并及时对地层进行注浆加固,有效地控制了地面沉降,保证了施工的顺利进行。     

大直径泥水盾构下穿民房建筑群沉降分析及控制

大直径泥水盾构下穿民房建筑群时沉降控制严格,风险较大。以南京纬三路过江通道工程S线大直径泥水盾构下穿保健村民房建筑群为背景,通过三维数值计算,对盾构施工主要影响区的范围和沉降量进行理论预测,在施工过程中根据理论预测结果对该范围内民房进行分类监测,并结合现场实测数据研究盾构施工对民房建筑群的影响,提出相应的沉降控制措施。研究结果表明:三维数值分析能够较好地预测盾构施工的影响范围及沉降量,可用于指导房屋沉降监测;盾构施工控制不当使得地表产生不均匀沉降、民房发生倾斜和裂缝等问题,通过控制支护压力、调整施工速度和壁后注浆等施工参数,并及时对地层进行注浆加固,有效地控制了地面沉降,保证了施工的顺利进行。     

Cholera in Sudan: An account of an epidemic in a refugee camp in eastern Sudan, May-June 1985

In 1985 cholera has been a serious problem in the horn of Africa, particularly affecting the many famine victims and refugees in that region. In this paper the history of cholera in Africa is briefly summarized, as is the background to the current refugee situation in eastern Sudan. A cholera epidemic involving 1,175 cases in two adjacent refugee camps in eastern Sudan is described. In this epidemic there were thirteen inpatient deaths and thirty-eight known home deaths from cholera. The management of the epidemic is described in detail. Overall an average of 8 1. of intravenous fluid was used per case, a higher figure than was anticipated, probably because of the unexpected degree of vomiting and the shortage of trained nursing staff.
The relationship between cholera and malnutrition is explored and hypochlorhydria is suggested as the main reason for the increased susceptibility to cholera among malnourished populations. It was observed that severely malnourished adults and children appeared to nave less severe diarrhoea with their cholera, presumably because of reduced mucosal surface area and poor enterocyte function. Finally possible means of aborting cholera epidemics are discussed.     

A retrospective statistical review of deaths owing to migration through the southeasternmost land borders of the European Union,Greece 2000–14

The land borders of Evros, Greece, have been a common entry point for undocumented migrants on their way to Europe through Turkey. Adverse conditions, however, have resulted in many human casualties over the years. On the Greek side, 334 cadavers were retrieved between 2000 and 2014. This study provides a detailed forensic account of the humanitarian disaster in Evros to create an official scientific record of the situation. It showcases the gravity of the global issue of migration relating to health and mortality, and encourages communication and continual improvement of the approach and patterns of practices surrounding the subject. A retrospective statistical research review was conducted of border‐related fatalities between 2000 and 2014, assessing the age and gender of victims, the cause of death, the location of bodies, identification rates, and country of origin. Age ranged generally from 24 to 29 years, but infants and children were among the deceased.     

Complexity,continuity and change: livelihood resilience in the Darfur region of Sudan

Darfur farming and pastoralist livelihoods are both adaptations to the environmental variability that characterises the region. This article describes this adaptation and the longer‐term transformation of these specialised livelihoods from the perspective of local communities. Over several decades farmers and herders have experienced a continuous stream of climate, conflict and other shocks, which, combined with wider processes of change, have transformed livelihoods and undermined livelihood institutions. Their well‐rehearsed specialist strategies are now combined with new strategies to cope. These responses help people get by in the short term but risk antagonising not only their specialist strategies but also those of others. A combination of factors has undermined the former integration between farming and pastoralism and their livelihood institutions. Efforts to build resilience in similar contexts must take a long‐term view of livelihood adaptation as a specialisation, and consider the implications of new strategies for the continuity and integration of livelihood specialisations.     

Reflections on 40 years of Disasters, 1977–2017

This reflection, based on a keynote address to celebrate the fortieth anniversary of Disasters on 14 September 2017, begins by considering some of the prevailing assumptions that existed at the time of the journal's creation. Next is a summary of significant milestones during the past 40 years, covering major global trends, changing disaster impacts, and key developments in disaster risk management. Contrasting approaches in the first and fourth decade of the journal's history are then followed by examples of changes in terminology in the disaster field as an indication of shifting values. The paper goes on to explore the context of 2017, with observations of problem areas such as the loss of knowledge, failures to tackle the root causes of disasters, shortfalls in international assistance, and some negative attitudes. It closes by evaluating some current positive occurrences, including a reduction in casualties, sharing of experience, technological advances, and dramatic improvements in disaster warning.     

Fiji, land of tropical cyclones and hurricanes: A case study of agricultural rehabilitation

Tropical cyclones and hurricanes have a severe impact on the social and economic activities of affected communities. For small island nations in the Pacific region, the effects can be devastating because of their smallness. FQi and several other countries in the region are vulnerable to such disasters as they are situated in the zone where cyclones occur frequently.
During the last decade, the frequency of natural disasters and their adverse impact on die economic and social development of small nations like Fiji, has aroused awareness mat relief efforts must go beyond immediate "mopping up" operations to those which contribute to attaining longer term benefits through reconstruction and rehabilitation.
The paper outlines the 1985 agricultural rehabilitation program and discusses related issues and problems.     

Risk communication in emergency response to a simulated extreme flood

Risk communication in flood incident management can be improved through developing hydrometeorological and engineering models used as tools for communicating risk between scientists and emergency management professionals. A range of such models and tools was evaluated by participating flood emergency managers during a 4-day, real-time simulation of an extreme event in the Thamesmead area in the Thames estuary close to London, England. Emergency managers have different communication needs and value new tools differently, but the indications are that a range of new tools could be beneficial in flood incident management. Provided they are communicated large model uncertainties are not necessarily unwelcome among flood emergency managers. Even so they are cautious about sharing the ownership of weather and flood modelling uncertainties.     

Tsunami survivors' perspectives on vulnerability and vulnerability reduction: evidence from Koh Phi Phi Don and Khao Lak, Thailand

This paper presents the results of primary research with 40 survivors of the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami in two communities: Khao Lak (n=20) and Koh Phi Phi Don (n=20), Thailand. It traces tsunami survivors' perceptions of vulnerability, determines whether residents felt that the tsunami affected different communities differently, identifies the populations and sub-community groups that survivors distinguished as being more vulnerable than others, highlights community-generated ideas about vulnerability reduction, and pinpoints a range of additional vulnerability reduction actions. Tsunami survivors most consistently identified the 'most vulnerable' community sub-populations as women, children, the elderly, foreigners, and the poor. In Khao Lak, however, respondents added 'Burmese migrants' to this list, whereas in Koh Phi Phi Don, they added 'Thai Muslims'. Results suggest that the two case study communities, both small, coastal, tourism-dominated communities no more than 100 kilometres apart, have differing vulnerable sub-groups and environmental vulnerabilities, requiring different post-disaster vulnerability reduction efforts.     

Epidemiology of tornado destruction in rural northern Bangladesh: risk factors for death and injury

The epidemiology of tornado-related disasters in the developing world is poorly understood. An August 2005 post-tornado cohort study in rural Bangladesh identified elevated levels of death and injury among the elderly (≥ 60 years of age) (adjusted odds ratio (AOR) = 8.9 (95 per cent confidence interval (CI): 3.9-20.2) and AOR = 1.6 (95 per cent CI: 1.4-1.8), respectively), as compared to 15-24 year-olds, and among those outdoors versus indoors during the tornado (AOR = 10.4 (95 per cent CI: 5.5-19.9) and AOR = 6.6 (95 per cent CI: 5.8-7.5), respectively). Females were 1.24 times (95 per cent CI: 1.15-1.33) more likely to be injured than males. Elevated risk of injury was significantly associated with structural damage to the house and tin construction materials. Seeking treatment was protective against death among the injured, odds ratio = 0.08 (95 per cent CI: 0.03-0.21). Further research is needed to develop injury prevention strategies and to address disparities in risk between age groups and between men and women.     

火灾场景中玻璃破裂行为研究综述

建筑物在火场中的结构响应问题中,门窗玻璃在火场中的热响应特性及破裂脱落是影响火灾发展的重要因素之一。通过事故案例分析了火灾场景中玻璃破裂脱落的危害性,指出了研究火灾场景中玻璃受热破裂脱落的意义,并对目前火灾场景中玻璃受热破裂过程和主要形态、玻璃的破裂机理和判据等的研究现状进行了详细的分析,总结了目前实验和计算机模拟的最新研究进展和不足,为今后进一步开展玻璃受热破裂脱落研究提出了若干建议。