共查询到20条相似文献,搜索用时 343 毫秒
1.
Frederic Paik Schoenberg Jamie Pompa Chien-Hsun Chang 《Environmental and Ecological Statistics》2009,16(2):251-269
This paper explores the use of, and problems that arise in, kernel smoothing and parametric estimation of the relationships
between wildfire incidence and various meteorological variables. Such relationships may be treated as components in separable
point process models for wildfire activity. The resulting models can be used for comparative purposes in order to assess the
predictive performance of the Burning Index.
相似文献
Frederic Paik SchoenbergEmail: |
2.
B. Gail Ivanoff 《Environmental and Ecological Statistics》2009,16(2):153-171
The concept of the renewal property is extended to processes indexed by a multidimensional time parameter. The definition
given includes not only partial sum processes, but also Poisson processes and many other point processes whose jump points
are not totally ordered. Various properties of renewal processes are discussed. Renewal processes are proposed as a basis
for modelling the spread of a forest fire under a prevailing wind.
相似文献
B. Gail IvanoffEmail: |
3.
The influence of multiple anchored fish aggregating devices (FADs) on the spatial behavior of yellowfin (Thunnus albacares) and bigeye tuna (T. obesus) was investigated by equipping all thirteen FADs surrounding the island of Oahu (HI, USA) with automated sonic receivers
(“listening stations”) and intra-peritoneally implanting individually coded acoustic transmitters in 45 yellowfin and 12 bigeye
tuna. Thus, the FAD network became a multi-element passive observatory of the residence and movement characteristics of tuna
within the array. Yellowfin tuna were detected within the FAD array for up to 150 days, while bigeye tuna were only observed
up to a maximum of 10 days after tagging. Only eight yellowfin tuna (out of 45) and one bigeye tuna (out of 12) visited FADs
other than their FAD of release. Those nine fish tended to visit nearest neighboring FADs and, in general, spent more time
at their FAD of release than at the others. Fish visiting the same FAD several times or visiting other FADs tended to stay
longer in the FAD network. A majority of tagged fish exhibited some synchronicity when departing the FADs but not all tagged
fish departed a FAD at the same time: small groups of tagged fish left together while others remained. We hypothesize that
tuna (at an individual or collective level) consider local conditions around any given FAD to be representative of the environment
on a larger scale (e.g., the entire island) and when those conditions become unfavorable the tuna move to a completely different
area. Thus, while the anchored FADs surrounding the island of Oahu might concentrate fish and make them more vulnerable to
fishing, at a meso-scale they might not entrain fish longer than if there were no (or very few) FADs in the area. At the existing
FAD density, the ‘island effect’ is more likely to be responsible for the general presence of fish around the island than
the FADs. We recommend further investigation of this hypothesis.
相似文献
Laurent Dagorn (Corresponding author)Email: |
Kim N. HollandEmail: |
David G. ItanoEmail: |
4.
John E. Hathaway G. Bruce Schaalje Richard O. Gilbert Brent A. Pulsipher Brett D. Matzke 《Environmental and Ecological Statistics》2008,15(3):313-327
Composite sampling can be more cost effective than simple random sampling. This paper considers how to determine the optimum
number of increments to use in composite sampling. Composite sampling terminology and theory are outlined and a method is
developed which accounts for different sources of variation in compositing and data analysis. This method is used to define
and understand the process of determining the optimum number of increments that should be used in forming a composite. The
blending variance is shown to have a smaller range of possible values than previously reported when estimating the number
of increments in a composite sample. Accounting for differing levels of the blending variance significantly affects the estimated
number of increments.
相似文献
John E. HathawayEmail: |
5.
Den Boychuk W. John Braun Reg J. Kulperger Zinovi L. Krougly David A. Stanford 《Environmental and Ecological Statistics》2009,16(2):133-151
We consider a stochastic fire growth model, with the aim of predicting the behaviour of large forest fires. Such a model can
describe not only average growth, but also the variability of the growth. Implementing such a model in a computing environment
allows one to obtain probability contour plots, burn size distributions, and distributions of time to specified events. Such
a model also allows the incorporation of a stochastic spotting mechanism.
相似文献
Reg J. KulpergerEmail: |
6.
Direct observations of the plankton vertical distribution performed from a manned submersible were made in the Charlie-Gibbs Fracture Zone (Atlantic Ocean). Plankton was counted using a standard 3-m2 frame in the depth layer from 170 to 4361 m and plotted for every 50 m. The most abundant components of the macroplankton were pelagic shrimps, chaetognaths and gelatinous animals, with peak of densities corresponding to the main pycnocline. Mucous houses of appendicularians were abundant at 150 m above the seabed—up to 0.07–0.09 m–3, compared to 0–0.006 m–3 in the upper layers. The new observations confirm that the near-bottom peak of appendicularian abundance is characteristic of at least the entire Central Atlantic, and it is not associated with certain biotopes on the bottom.Communicated by O. Kinne, Oldendorf/Luhe
相似文献
G. M. VinogradovEmail: |
7.
Rudolf Izsák 《Environmental and Ecological Statistics》2008,15(2):143-156
In this paper some properties and analytic expressions regarding the Poisson lognormal distribution such as moments, maximum
likelihood function and related derivatives are discussed. The author provides a sharp approximation of the integrals related
to the Poisson lognormal probabilities and analyzes the choice of the initial values in the fitting procedure. Based on these
he describes a new procedure for carrying out the maximum likelihood fitting of the truncated Poisson lognormal distribution.
The method and results are illustrated on real data. The computer program for calculations is freely available.
相似文献
Rudolf IzsákEmail: |
8.
9.
In this paper we examine the use of data augmentation techniques for simplifying iterative simulation in the context of both
Bayesian and classical statistical inference for survival rate estimation. We examine two distinct model families common in
population ecology to illustrate our ideas, ring-recovery models and capture–recapture models, and we present the computational
advantage of this approach. We discuss also the fact that problems associated with identifiability in the classical framework
can be overcome using data augmentation, but highlight the dangers in doing so under both inferential paradigms.
相似文献
I. C. OlsenEmail: |
10.
Fiat boundaries: some implications for interpretation,decision-support,and multi-temporal analysis 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Kim Lowell 《Environmental and Ecological Statistics》2008,15(4):369-383
Polygon-based thematic maps can be composed of boundaries that exist by definition—i.e., bona fide boundaries—or those that
exist relative to a specific interpretation of a spatial phenomenon—i.e., fiat boundaries. The construction of maps composed
of fiat boundaries is usually based on a subjective interpretive methodology that is affected by the data used to construct
the map and the minimum mapping unit employed. That fiat boundaries are not the same as bona fide boundaries affects their
use in computer-based spatial decision support tools. This is discussed both in terms of an analysis conducted at one specific
moment, and in respect to increasingly common multi-temporal analysis.
相似文献
Kim LowellEmail: |
11.
Brooke E. Buckley Walter W. Piegorsch R. Webster West 《Environmental and Ecological Statistics》2009,16(1):53-62
In modern environmental risk analysis, inferences are often desired on those low dose levels at which a fixed benchmark risk
is achieved. In this paper, we study the use of confidence limits on parameters from a simple one-stage model of risk historically
popular in benchmark analysis with quantal data. Based on these confidence bounds, we present methods for deriving upper confidence
limits on extra risk and lower bounds on the benchmark dose. The methods are seen to extend automatically to the case where
simultaneous inferences are desired at multiple doses. Monte Carlo evaluations explore characteristics of the parameter estimates
and the confidence limits under this setting.
相似文献
R. Webster WestEmail: |
12.
Hierarchical spatial point process analysis for a plant community with high biodiversity 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Janine B. Illian Jesper Møller Rasmus P. Waagepetersen 《Environmental and Ecological Statistics》2009,16(3):389-405
A complex multivariate spatial point pattern of a plant community with high biodiversity is modelled using a hierarchical
multivariate point process model. In the model, interactions between plants with different post-fire regeneration strategies
are of key interest. We consider initially a maximum likelihood approach to inference where problems arise due to unknown
interaction radii for the plants. We next demonstrate that a Bayesian approach provides a flexible framework for incorporating
prior information concerning the interaction radii. From an ecological perspective, we are able both to confirm existing knowledge
on species’ interactions and to generate new biological questions and hypotheses on species’ interactions.
相似文献
Rasmus P. WaagepetersenEmail: |
13.
Coverage, i.e., the area covered by the target attribute in the study region, is a key parameter in many surveys. Coverage
estimation is usually performed by adopting a replicated protocol based on line-intercept sampling coupled with a suitable
linear homogeneous estimator. Since coverage is a parameter which may be interestingly represented as the integral of a suitable
function, improved Monte Carlo strategies for implementing the replicated protocol are introduced in order to achieve estimators
with small variance rates. In addition, new specific theoretical results on Monte Carlo integration methods are given to deal
with the integrand functions arising in the special coverage estimation setting.
相似文献
Lucio BarabesiEmail: |
14.
We present a method for detecting the zones where an irregularly sampled variable changes abruptly in the plane. Such zones
are called Zones of Abrupt Change (ZACs). This method not only allows estimation of ZACs, but also testing of their statistical
significance against the null hypothesis of a stationary correlated random field. The sampling pattern, in particular its
local density, is crucial in the detection of potential ZACs. In this paper, we address the problem of evaluating the sampling
pattern by assessing the power of the local test used for detecting ZACs. It is shown that mapping the power allows us to
identify zones where ZACs may or may not be detected. The methodology is applied to a soil data set sampled at eight different
dates in an agricultural field. Detecting ZACs for the soil water content allowed us to identify permanent structures in the
agricultural field related to the boundaries between different soil types. Mapping the power for various sampling densities
proved to be useful to determine the minimal sampling density necessary for detecting ZACs.
相似文献
Edith GabrielEmail: |
15.
When animals die in traps in a mark-recapture study, straightforward likelihood inferences are possible in a class of models.
The class includes M0, Mt, and Mb as reported by White et al. (Los Alamos National Laboratory, LA-8787-NERP, pp 235, 1982), those that do not involve heterogeneity.
We include three Markov chain “persistence” models and show that they provide good fits in a trapping study of deer mice in
the Cascade-Siskiyou National Monument of Southern Oregon where trapping mortality was high.
相似文献
Fred L. RamseyEmail: |
16.
Dimitris Karlis Vassilis G. S. Vasdekis Maria Banti 《Environmental and Ecological Statistics》2009,16(3):355-367
Heteroscedastic additive and multiplicative models are proposed to disaggregate household data on water consumption from Athens
and provide individual consumption estimates. The models adjust for heteroscedasticity assuming that variances relate to covariates.
Household characteristics that can influence consumption are also included into models in order to allow for a clearer measurement
of individual characteristics effects. Estimation is accomplished through a penalized least squares approach. The method is
applied to a sample of real data related to domestic water consumption in Athens. The results show a greater consumption of
water for males while the single-female households are these that use the lowest quantities of water. The consumption curves
by age and gender are constructed presenting differences between the two sexes.
相似文献
Vassilis G. S. VasdekisEmail: |
17.
M. M. Manzano-Sarabia E. A. Aragón-Noriega C. A. Salinas-Zavala D. B. Lluch-Cota 《Marine Biology》2007,152(5):1021-1029
Life histories of penaeid shrimp have been classified according to the preferred habitats of postlarval, juvenile, and adult
stages, ranging from exclusively estuarine to exclusively offshore waters. Brown shrimp Farfantepenaeus californiensis migrate to an offshore habitat at the juvenile stage or even a smaller body size. This paper presents results of monthly
samplings from 24 stations over 1 year in the Agiabampo Lagoon complex, a hypersaline lagoon in northwestern Mexico. Five
species of penaeid shrimp were identified, with brown shrimp the most abundant during the year of sampling. Results suggest
that residency of brown shrimp inside this lagoon is longer than reported in previous studies. An interaction between length
and environmental variables (near-surface temperature, salinity, and rainfall) appear to be cues concerning migration.
相似文献
C. A. Salinas-ZavalaEmail: |
18.
Matthew R. Schofield Richard J. Barker Darryl I. MacKenzie 《Environmental and Ecological Statistics》2009,16(3):369-387
Hierarchical mark-recapture models offer three advantages over classical mark-recapture models: (i) they allow expression
of complicated models in terms of simple components; (ii) they provide a convenient way of modeling missing data and latent
variables in a way that allows expression of relationships involving latent variables in the model; (iii) they provide a convenient
way of introducing parsimony into models involving many nuisance parameters. Expressing models using the complete data likelihood
we show how many of the standard mark-recapture models for open populations can be readily fitted using the software WinBUGS.
We include examples that illustrate fitting the Cormack–Jolly–Seber model, multi-state and multi-event models, models including
auxiliary data, and models including density dependence.
相似文献
Darryl I. MacKenzieEmail: |
19.
Geochemical mapping is a technique rooted in mineral exploration but has now found worldwide application in studies of the
urban environment. Such studies, involving multidisciplinary teams including geochemists, have to present their results in
a way that nongeochemists can comprehend. A legislatively driven demand for urban geochemical data in connection with the
need to identify contaminated land and subsequent health risk assessments has given rise to a greater worldwide interest in
the urban geochemical environment. Herein, the aims and objectives of some urban studies are reviewed and commonly used terms
such as baseline and background are defined. Geochemists need to better consider what is meant by the term urban. Whilst the
unique make up of every city precludes a single recommended approach to a geochemical mapping strategy, more should be done
to standardise the sampling and analytical methods. How (from a strategic and presentational point of view) and why we do
geochemical mapping studies is discussed.
相似文献
Christopher C. JohnsonEmail: |
20.
Vertical movement and habitat of opah (Lampris guttatus) in the central North Pacific recorded with pop-up archival tags 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Data from 11 pop-up archival transmitting tags attached to opah (Lampris guttatus, F. Lampridae) in the central North Pacific between November 2003 and March 2005 were used to describe their vertical movement
and habitat. In the subtropical gyre northwest of the Hawaiian Islands, opah generally inhabited a 50–400 m depth range and
8–22°C temperatures. They were frequently found in depths of 50–150 m at night and in greater depths (100–400 m) during the
day, but were constantly moving vertically within this broad range. At night, excursions below 200 m were not uncommon and
during the day they were very likely to spend some time at depths <175 m. Their vertical speeds were generally <25 cm s−1 but on one occasion an opah descended at a burst speed of 4 m s−1. Vertical habitat use by individual opah apparently varied with local oceanographic conditions, but over a 24-h period the
average temperature experienced was always in the narrow range of 14.7 to 16.5°C.
相似文献
Jeffrey J. PolovinaEmail: |