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1.
基于支持向量机的水环境质量综合评价   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
提出了基于支持向量机的水环境质量综合评价方法。给出了数据规范化处理及学习样本生成的具体方法,采用“一对一”(1-v-1)的多类别分类算法,使用k-fold交叉验证优化参数。对湖泊水环境富营养化程度的综合评价结果表明,该方法简便、客观,具有较强的实用性。  相似文献   

2.
为判断环境空气污染的程度,提出一种考虑道路扬尘特性的环境空气质量在线监测方法。通过前端数据监测模块采集大气环境数据,基于光全散射法监测道路扬尘的质量浓度和密度;通过监测通信模块将监测结果传送至云服务器;云服务器利用基于极限学习机神经网络的预测模型,采用自适应粒子群优化算法,获取最佳的环境空气质量在线监测结果。结果表明,该方法学习速率的取值为0.5时,能够完成颗粒物浓度和密度的准确检测,且解释方差<2%,同时能够监测扬尘颗粒的扩散时间,确定适合活动的区域。  相似文献   

3.
基于集合经验模态分解和支持向量机的溶解氧预测   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
应用集合经验模态分解(EEMD)和支持向量机(SVM)相结合的方法,建立一种天然水体溶解氧浓度预测模型。首先,利用EEMD方法将溶解氧时序分解成不同频段的分量,以降低序列的非平稳性;然后,根据各序列分量的自身特征建立合适的SVM预测模型,此过程通过相关分析确定各分量输入量;最后,将各子分量预测值合成得到最终的预测结果。使用该模型对嘉陵江北温泉段的溶解氧浓度进行预测,结果表明,与传统单一的SVM和BP神经网络模型相比,该模型能有效提高预测精密度,具有良好的应用前景。  相似文献   

4.
按照环境监测网络的信息处理结构,将网络划分为采集层、网络层和应用层,归纳了数据级融合、特征级融合、决策级融合3层融合级别,介绍了加权平均、卡尔曼滤波、人工神经网络、支持向量机、遗传算法、贝叶斯系统等在环境监测数据分析中的应用,指出当前面临的数据处理技术不成熟、评价体系不完善和数据质量监管能力不足等问题,提出优化网络结构、数据多元应用和强化决策支持等研究建议。  相似文献   

5.
利用6种数据挖掘算法对2012年台风和污染物浓度等数据建模,建立台风条件下的气象因素和环境空气中PM2.5的关系模型。通过对2013年数据的测试,表明6种数据挖掘方法模型的预测值与实测值具有很好的一致性。6种算法均能实现实时预测,其中Bagging算法预测结果的相关性整体最好,而对于测试样本,M5Rules算法最好,SMOreg算法次之。以2013年的超强台风"海燕"的预测为例,讨论台风条件下PM_(2.5)质量浓度的变化过程及对预测结果的解释。  相似文献   

6.
基于L-M神经网络的道路交通噪声预测研究   总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0  
神经网络具有很强的预测功能.根据石家庄公路交通噪声的实测数据,利用L-M优化算法的多层神经网络预测模型进行道路交通噪声的预测,经检验,计算值与实测值接近,预测精度令人满意.  相似文献   

7.
基于2013—2018年哈尔滨市气象数据、大气污染物数据和细颗粒物(PM2.5)中金属成分数据,采用机器学习方法探索大气PM2.5中金属浓度预测模型,并选择最优模型进行污染物浓度预测。结果表明,多元线性回归(MLR)、人工神经网络(BP-ANN)、支持向量机(SVM)和随机森林(RF)4种模型中,RF对大气PM2.5中5种金属[锑(Sb)、砷(As)、铅(Pb)、镉(Cd)、铊(Tl)]的浓度预测效果最佳,在训练集和测试集中表现均较稳定,其中相关系数(r)均>0.7, 平均绝对误差(MAE)和均方根误差(RMSE)数值较小。RF在大气PM2.5中金属浓度预测上具有较好的表现,可在缺乏监测和实验数据的情况下,实现对大气颗粒物中金属浓度的快速预测,为全面了解颗粒物中金属污染特征提供数据基础。  相似文献   

8.
为提高空气质量预报的准确率,建立了融合气象和环境观测资料、结合机器学习和数值天气预报,且预测时效较长、预测精度较高的机器学习模型库。以湖南6个城市(长沙、株洲、湘潭、益阳、常德、岳阳)的空气质量预报为例,将数据预处理、特征工程方法运用到模型之中,得出以下几点结论:①数据预处理工作包括样本收集、数据清洗、缺失值处理、异常值剔除等,对提高模型预测稳定性帮助很大。②点、线、面的特征组合有助于完整地描述污染物的生消过程。引入传输指数后,株洲市模型对传输型污染过程的预测性能得到明显提高,对轻度、中度、重度污染的分类准确度分别提升了23.6%、16.6%、30.0%。引入静稳指数后,长沙市模型PM2.5浓度测试的相关系数由0.938提升至0.959,均方根误差由10.33下降至8.46,且模型对中度以上污染天气的极值预报结果更接近实况;益阳市模型在高浓度样本预测中存在的系统性偏低现象得到改善,对轻度以上污染天气的预报结果得到较大矫正。③随机森林的特征重要性排序功能可以大幅度减少特征的数量,使得模型的可解释性和稳定性增强。  相似文献   

9.
基于OPAQ的城市空气质量预报系统研究   总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0  
空气质量预测在国内的关注度日益提高,传统的空气质量预测系统通常运用数值化学传输模型,利用物理方程来计算污染物的扩散、沉降和化学反应。而化学传输模型的预测准确性很大程度上需要依赖详细的污染源排放信息和气象模型的输出结果。基于统计模型的OPAQ空气质量预报业务系统,采用人工神经网络算法,可预测各污染物的日均值或日最大值。并对北京空气质量预报的结果进行了评价,OPAQ空气质量预报业务系统对空气质量预测的准确性较高,能够利用较低的计算资源得到较为准确的预测结果。与数值预报相比,OPAQ空气质量预报业务系统不需要大量的基础数据作为输入,可弥补数值预报的不足,并成为数值预报的有力补充。  相似文献   

10.
基于决策树技术及在线监测的水质预测   总被引:1,自引:2,他引:1       下载免费PDF全文
利用北方某城市水源的水质在线监测系统,建立了基于决策树技术,具有较强可视性和实际应用,以及能预测次日源水中叶绿素水平的决策树模型.该模型将某城市水源在线监测的溶解氧和太阳辐射照度数据转换计算为每日平均标准偏差及均值,并与每日定时取样测定的叶绿素含量一起作为预测因子,通过将115组数据的前100组数据作为训练集建立预测次日叶绿素水平决策树模型,并采用后15组数据进行模型的仿真预测检验,结果只有3 d的预测出错,预测准确率达80%.并讨论了模型建立对数据的要求及解读预测规则等问题.  相似文献   

11.
Material Disposal Area G is the primary low-levelradioactive waste disposal site at Los Alamos NationalLaboratory, New Mexico, and is adjacent to Pueblo of SanIldefonso lands. Pueblo residents and Los Alamos scientists areconcerned about radiological doses resulting from uptake of AreaG radionuclides by mule deer (Odocoileus hemionus) andRocky Mountain elk (Cervus elaphus), then consumption ofdeer and elk meat by humans. Tissue samples were collected fromdeer and elk accidentally killed near Area G and were analyzedfor 3H, 90Sr, total U, 238Pu, 239, 240Pu,241Am, and 137Cs. These data were used to estimatehuman doses based on meat consumption of 23 kg y-1. Humandoses were also modeled using RESRAD, and dose rates to deer andelk were estimated with a screening model. Dose estimates tohumans from tissue consumption were 2.9 × 10-3 mSv y-1and 1.6 × 10-3 mSv y-1 from deer and elk, respectively,and RESRAD dose estimates were of the same order of magnitude. Estimated dose rates to deer and elk were 2.1 × 10-4 mGyd-1 and 4.7 × 10-4 mGy d-1, respectively. Allestimated doses were significantly less than established exposurelimits or guidelines.  相似文献   

12.
微波消解-原子吸收光度法测定土壤中铜锌铅镉镍铬   总被引:24,自引:5,他引:24       下载免费PDF全文
用微波消解-原子吸收光度法测定土壤中铜,锌,铅,镉,镍和铬。通过硝酸-氢氟酸-过氧化氢体系消解液对土壤样品消解,选择出微波最佳消解条件。对硝酸-盐酸-过氧化氢体系消解液和硝酸-氢氟酸-过氧化氢体系消解液进行消解对比试验,发现前者不能将土壤样品完全消解,后者能将样品消解完全,但需将消解液中剩余的酸赶尽,否则测定结果将明显偏低。微波消解土壤与传统电热消解相比,操作简便快速,可提高工作效率。  相似文献   

13.
An important research area in life sciences is devoted to modeling, prediction, and dynamics of gene-expression patterns. As clearly understood in these days, this enterprise cannot become satisfactory without acknowledging the role of the environment. To a representation of past, present, and most likely future states, we also encounter measurement errors and uncertainties. This paper surveys and improves recent advances in understanding the foundations and interdisciplinary implications of the newly introduced gene–environment networks, and it integrates the important theme of carbon dioxide emission reduction into the networks and dynamics. We also introduce some operational and managerial issues of practical working and decision making, expressed in terms of sliding windows, quadrants (modules) of parametric effects, and navigating (controlling) between such effects and directing them. Given data from DNA microarray experiments and environmental records, we extract nonlinear ordinary differential equations that contain parameters that have to be determined. For this, we employ modern (Chebychevian) approximation and (generalized semi-infinite) optimization. After this is provided, time- discretized dynamical systems are studied. A combinatorial algorithm with polyhedra sequences allows to detect the region of parametric stability. Finally, we analyze the topological landscape of gene–environment networks with its structural (in)stability. By embedding as a module and investigating CO2 emission control and figuring out game theoretical aspects, we conclude. This pioneering work is theoretically elaborated, practically devoted to health care, medicine, education, living conditions, and environmental protection, and it invites the readers to future research.   相似文献   

14.
The aim of the study was to determine the extent of heavy metal pollution in the vicinity of a lead battery manufacturing plant in the Czech Republic, both in the general environment and within homes. Topsoils (0–5 cm) were sampled from 100 sites along 4 transects which crossed the battery factory, the town centre and outlying rural areas. Housedust samples were collected from 15 plant-workers' homes and 15 non plant-workers' homes located at various distances from the factory. Samples were analysed for levels of Pb, Zn, Cd, Cu, As and Sb, using ICP-AES. Soil concentrations of Pb, Cd, As and Sb peaked at the perimeter fence of the battery factory with Pb levels of up to 12 650 g g> -1. Concentrations of these metals decreased exponentially within 500 m of the plant. Whilst the battery factory does appear to be a source of all the metals with the exception of Zn, emissions do not appear to be transported to any great extent over distances of more than 0.5 km. Topsoil and housedust concentrations of Pb, Zn, Cd, Cu, As and Sb in the general Mlada Boleslav area do not appear to be significantly different from those recorded in a large scale survey of urban soils in the United Kingdom. A comparison of housedust Pb concentrations in homes of plant workers and non-plant workers suggests that there may be a small input of Pb into the home environment by battery plant employees.  相似文献   

15.
The San Francisco Estuary Regional Monitoring Program for Trace Substances (RMP) began in 1993 and is sponsored by 74 local, state, and federal agencies and companies through their discharge or Bay use permits. The RMP monitors water, sediment, toxicity, and bivalve bioaccumulation at 25 sites in the Bay that are considered to represent "background" conditions. Several major environmental issues have been identified by the RMP. Polychlorinated biphenyls and mercury were often above water quality guidelines, and often occurred in fish tissues above U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (U.S. EPA) screening values. Concentrations do not appear to be decreasing, suggesting continuing inputs. Episodes of aquatic toxicity often occurred following runoff events that transport contaminants into the Bay from urbanized and agricultural portions of the watershed. Sediment toxicity occurred throughout the Bay, and has been correlated with concentrations of specific contaminants (chlordanes, polynuclear aromatic hydrocarbons) at some locations; mixtures of contaminants were probably also important. Since the RMP does not monitor all ecosystem components, assessments of the overall condition of the Bay cannot be made. However, in terms of contamination, the RMP samples suggest that the South Bay, and North Bay sites are moderately contaminated.  相似文献   

16.
A migratory population of 78 pairs of Osprey (Pandion haliaetus) nesting along the Willamette River in westernOregon was studied in 1993. The study was designed to determinecontaminant concentrations in eggs, contaminant concentrationsin fish species predominant in the Ospreys diet, andBiomagnification Factors (BMFs) of contaminants from fish specieseaten to Osprey eggs. Ten Osprey eggs and 25 composite samplesof fish (3 species) were used to evaluate organochlorine (OC)pesticides, polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs), polychlorinateddibenzo-p-dioxins (PCDDs), and polychlorinated dibenzofurans(PCDFs). Mercury was also analyzed in fish. Geometric meanresidues in Osprey eggs were judged low, e.g., DDE 2.3 g g-1 wet weight (ww), PCBs 0.69 g g-1, 2,3,7,8-TCDD 2.3 ng kg-1, and generally well below known threshold values for adverse effects on productivity, and the population was increasing. Osprey egg residue data presentedby River Mile (RM) are discussed, e.g., higher PCDDs were generally found immediately downstream of paper mills and eggsfrom the Willamette River had significantly elevated PCBs and PCDDs compared to reference eggs collected nearby in the CascadeMountains. Prey remains at nest sites indicated that the Largescale Sucker (Catostomus macrocheilus) and NorthernPikeminnow (Ptychocheilus oregonensis) accounted for an estimated 90.1% of the biomass in the Osprey diet, and composite samples of these two species were collected from different sampling sites throughout the study area for contaminant analyses. With the large percentage of the fishbiomass in the Osprey diet sampled for contaminants (and fisheaten by Ospreys similar in size to those chemically analyzed),and fish contaminant concentrations weighted by biomass intake, a mean BMF was estimated from fish to Osprey eggs for the largeseries of contaminants. BMFs ranged from no biomagnification(0.42) for 2,3,7,8-TCDF to 174 for OCDD. Our findings for themigratory Osprey were compared to BMFs for the resident HerringGull (Larus argentatus), and differences are discussed. Webelieve a BMF approach provides some basic understanding ofrelationships between contaminant burdens in prey species offish-eating birds and contaminants incorporated into their eggs,and may prove useful in understanding sources of contaminants inmigratory species although additional studies are needed.  相似文献   

17.
This paper gives mathematical details and sample applications of SWAGMAN Farm (SWAGMAN, Salt Water and Groundwater Management), a farm-scale hydrologic economic model that integrates agronomic, climatic, irrigation, hydrogeological and economic aspects of irrigated agriculture. The model is capable of determining optimum mix of land use to keep watertable and soil salinity within acceptable limits while maximising the economic returns. Alternatively, the model can simulate water and salt balance and economics of a given cropping preference. Web-based and Geographic Information Systems versions of the model are available for integration with the environmental reporting systems of the irrigation areas.  相似文献   

18.
The draft of the German guideline to calculate automobile exhaust dispersion is explained. It contains a two-stage-system: For first quick estimates the guideline contains the simple models MLuS and STREET. In case these models are not applicable or their results shows concentration levels close to the air quality standards, the more complex models PROKAS_V and MISKAM are recommended. PROKAS_V is a Gaussian plume model, MISKAM is a 3-dimensional microscale non hydrostatic flow model for built-up areas with an Eulerian dispersion model. The guideline comprises cases in rural areas without or with few adjacent buildings as well as urban areas with buildings near the roads. The contribution gives information about the models, typical results and some of the problems showing up presently.  相似文献   

19.
The population counts of hydrocarbon-utilising yeasts weremonitored at six sampling stations in the Benin City municipalarea over a four-week period. Although the population countswere relatively constant in each locality, the highest countsoccurred in areas heavily polluted by domestic and industrialeffluents. A total of thirty-five hydrocarbon-degrading yeastswere isolated from soil at the sampling stations usingn-hexadecane as sole carbon source. The isolates were identifiedas belonging to the genera Candida (27 strains), Endomycopsis (4 strains). All the organisms grew on long-chainn-alkane, kerosene, diesel oil and crude oil but failed to growon short-chain n-alkane, aromatic and alicyclic hydrocarbons.Measurement of growth attributes of the isolates usingn-hexadecane, diesel oil and crude oil as substrates showed thatthe Candida species were better utilizers of hydrocarbonsubstrates relative to Endomycopsis and Schizosaccharomyces species.  相似文献   

20.
The stable nitrogen isotope ratios of some biota have been used as indicators of sources of anthropogenic nitrogen. In this study the relationships of the stable nitrogen isotope ratios of marsh plants, Iva frutescens (L.), Phragmites australis (Cav.) Trin ex Steud, Spartina patens (Ait.) Muhl, Spartina alterniflora Loisel, Ulva lactuca (L.), and Enteromorpha intestinalis (L.) with wastewater nitrogen and land development in New England are described. Five of the six plant species (all but U. lactuca) showed significant relationships of increasing δ 15N values with increasing wastewater nitrogen. There was a significant (P < 0.0001) downward shift in the δ 15N of S. patens (6.0 ± 0.48‰) which is mycorrhizal compared with S. alterniflora (8.5 ± 0.41‰). The downward shift in δ 15N may be caused by the assimilation of fixed nitrogen in the roots of S. patens. P. australis within sites had wide ranges of δ 15N values, evidently influenced by the type of shoreline development or buffer at the upland border. In residential areas, the presence of a vegetated buffer (n = 24 locations) significantly (P < 0.001) reduced the δ 15N (mean = 7.4 ± 0.43‰) of the P. australis compared to stands where there was no buffer (mean = 10.9 ± 1.0‰; n = 15). Among the plant species, I. frutescens located near the upland border showed the most significant (R 2 = 0.64; P = 0.006) inverse relationship with the percent agricultural land in the watershed. The δ 15N of P. australis and I. frustescens is apparently an indicator of local inputs near the upland border, while the δ 15N of Spartina relates with the integrated, watershed-sea nitrogen inputs.  相似文献   

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