大型商场建筑性能化防火设计实例分析

论述了商场建筑的结构和火灾危险性特点，结合我国商场建筑的发展现状提出了性能化防火设计方法。为了推进我国性能化防火设计发展，本文借助消防工程协会(SFPE)提出的一个性能化防火设计例子，介绍了性能化防火设计的步骤，并将其与传统的设计方法做了对比。     

森林防火性能化设计方法

根据消防工程、森林防火的原理和方法，参照建筑防火性能化设计方法，结合我国的森林防火现状，提出了森林防火性能化设计方法。将性能化设计理念融人到森林防火设计中有利于提高我国的林火管理水平。     

物流配送中心防火设计初探

系统分析了物流配送中心防火设计所面临的问题,讨论了如何利用性能化的方法来研究配送中心的防火设计,提出了配送中心防火设计的相关对策.     

火灾模型对钢交错桁架结构性能化抗火设计的适用性分析

对目前性能化防火设计中常用的4种火灾作用模型进行了分析和总结,并运用这4种模型对钢结构交错桁架在火灾时的热环境进行了模拟,分析不同火灾作用模型下该体系的结构响应,研究不同火灾作用模型对交错桁架结构性能化抗火设计的适用性。研究表明:火源功率、火灾载及火灾持续时间等因素对钢结构交错桁架的抗火分析具有重要影响。国际标准升温曲线和参数化室内升温曲线不考虑火源功率、建筑通风口等因素,缺乏针对性,分析结果偏于保守;区域模型所得温度偏低,不宜用于交错桁架结构的性能化抗火设计;场模型考虑了火源功率及环境温度分布的不均匀性,和实际火灾较接近,计算结果相对较为准确,可用于结构的性能化防火设计。     

隧道火灾性能化安全疏散设计方法研究

阐述了隧道防火设计的重要性,保证人员的安全疏散是隧道性能化安全设计的首要目标。确定了火灾时人员安全疏散的判定条件,分析了人员逃生时所需疏散时间的组成,通过火灾时人员所需安全疏散时间与可用安全疏散时间的比较分析,介绍了隧道火灾疏散设计的一般思路。结合某隧道的实例对这种性能化设计思路进行了说明,确定了某隧道疏散口间距和逃生滑梯通行能力的初步设计方案。     

向性能化防火规范转变应注意的几个问题

介绍了性能化建筑防火规范产生的背景以及国内外的发展概况。在对国外一些性能化经验进行总结的基础上,重点从建筑物防火安全水平的量化、性能化设计的不确定性、性能化设计方案的验证以及性能化文件的编制和性能化建筑设计、施工到使用各个环节的连续性等方面,讨论了从处方式防火规范向性能化防火规范转变时应该注意的几个问题。结合中国的具体情况,指出其在发展性能化规范中应着力解决的几个问题:正确处理处方式规范和性能化规范两者的关系;积极推动消防相关产品的发展;解决资金来源,加大经费投入;制定工程惯例或设计导则等。     

某综合楼钢结构抗火安全设计与评估(Ⅰ)——人员疏散及建筑火灾温度场分析

随着建筑设计理念及建筑技术的发展,很多新型建筑超出了当前防火规范所涉及的范围,这类建筑就要根据性能化思想来进行防火设计。某综合楼为一高层钢结构建筑,采用先进的建筑理念,在建筑内部设置了很多的大空间。基于这一新颖的结构,采用性能化方法对其进行了人员疏散时间、空气升温及结构构件升温等方面的研究。其中人员疏散通过计算机疏散模型进行了研究,大空间火灾升温采用FDS软件进行了模拟,构件升温采用AN SY S软件进行了分析。结合《规范》要求,确定了火灾时合理的人员疏散时间、空气升温及构件升温。     

隧道火灾安全的“FAD”综合评价模型及其工程应用

正确的隧道火灾的安全评估是有效地进行隧道火灾的预测、控制和防火设计的基础。隧道火灾发生的原因十分的复杂。由此,基于对影响隧道火灾的各个因素及因素之间的关系全面分析的基础上,建立了隧道火灾危险性的评价指标体系,为隧道使用过程中的安全管理以及隧道火灾危险评价提供了切实可行的参考依据。将模糊数学、层次比较分析法、德尔菲专家法相结合,建立了隧道火灾安全的“FAD”综合评价模型。结合上海市外环隧道实例,将该模型在隧道火灾的安全评估中加以应用,验证了该模型的准确性,为隧道的“性能化”防火设计提供可靠的依据,可使隧道火灾的防治对策、安全管理更加科学、合理和有效。     

建筑防火性能化评估目标研究

依据已建立的建筑防火性能化评估方法总体框架。着重对建筑防火性能化评估目标的确定开展了研究，并从社会评估目标，功能评估目标和性能评估目标三个层次建立了建筑防火性能化评估目标的递阶层次结构。     

建筑火灾危险性评估性能方法基本框架研究

以性能化建筑设计防火规范为背景,以现阶段消防安全工程学的实际发展水平和我国现行指令性建筑设计防火规范为基本出发点。初步建立了建筑火灾危险性评估性能化方法的基本框架,确定了这一框架所应具有的基本假定。主要特性、主要功能和三角形模块结构,并系统阐述了相应评估方法的基本内容。     

Risk communication in emergency response to a simulated extreme flood

Risk communication in flood incident management can be improved through developing hydrometeorological and engineering models used as tools for communicating risk between scientists and emergency management professionals. A range of such models and tools was evaluated by participating flood emergency managers during a 4-day, real-time simulation of an extreme event in the Thamesmead area in the Thames estuary close to London, England. Emergency managers have different communication needs and value new tools differently, but the indications are that a range of new tools could be beneficial in flood incident management. Provided they are communicated large model uncertainties are not necessarily unwelcome among flood emergency managers. Even so they are cautious about sharing the ownership of weather and flood modelling uncertainties.     

Risk and the neoliberal state: why post-Mitch lessons didn't reduce El Salvador's earthquake losses

Although El Salvador suffered light losses from Hurricane Mitch in 1998, it benefited from the increased international aid and encouragement for advance planning, especially mitigation and prevention interventions. Thus, one would have supposed, El Salvador would have been in a very advantageous position, able more easily than its economically crippled neighbours, Honduras and Nicaragua, to implement the 'lessons of Mitch'. A review of the recovery plan tabled by the El Salvador government following the earthquakes of early 2001 shows that despite the rhetoric in favour of 'learning the lessons of Mitch', very little mitigation and prevention had actually been put in place between the hurricane (1998) and the earthquakes (2001). The recovery plan is analysed in terms of the degree to which it deals with root causes of disaster vulnerability, namely, the economic and political marginality of much of the population and environmental degradation. An explanation for the failure to implement mitigation and preventive actions is traced to the adherence by the government of El Salvador to an extreme form of neoliberal, free market ideology, and the deep fissures and mistrust in a country that follow a long and bloody civil war.     

Where the exception confirms the rule: The cyclones of 1982-1983 in French Polynesia

The island groups of French Polynesia, which had not experienced any really devastating cyclones since the beginning of the century, were hard hit several times between December 1982 and April 1983. This paper reviews the cost of damage from these cyclones and shows how lowered public awareness of the hazard in a low-frequency area combined with the special economic conditions prevailing in the Territory to make the total cost much higher than it need have been. Ways and means of rehabilitation are analyzed. The development of the thermal imbalance in the Pacific, which appears to have triggered this series of natural disasters, only seemingly exceptional, is briefly discussed.     

Vested Interest theory and disaster preparedness

Three studies were designed to extend a combination of vested interest theory (VI) and the extended parallel process model of fear appeals (EPPM) to provide formative research for creating more effective disaster preparedness social action campaigns. The aim was to develop an effective VI scale for assessing individual awareness and ‘vestedness’ relevant to disaster preparedness. Typical preparedness behaviours are discussed with emphasis on earthquakes and tornados in particular. Brief overviews of VI and the EPPM are offered, and findings are presented from three studies (one dealing with earthquakes, and two with tornados) conducted to determine the factor structure of the key VI components involved, and to develop and test subscales derived from the two theories. The paper finishes with a discussion of future research needs and suggestions on how the new subscales may be applied in the design and execution of more effective disaster preparedness campaigns.     

The Lost Creek Fire: managing social relations under disaster conditions

This paper examines some of the social processes associated with disaster conditions. Utilising an asset‐based perspective of community capacity, it focuses on four types of normative systems to interpret the ability of communities to manage disasters through market‐, bureaucratic‐, associative‐, and communal‐based norms. Drawing on experience of a wildfire in the Crowsnest Pass region of southwest Alberta, Canada, in 2003, the tensions and compatibilities among these normative systems are evaluated through interviews with 30 community leaders. The results confirm the contributions of all types of social capital to resiliency, the necessity for rapid use of place‐based knowledge, and the importance of communication among all types and levels of agents. In addition, they point to the value of identifying and managing potential conflicts among the normative systems as a means to maximising their contributions. The integration of local networks and groups into the more general disaster response minimised the impacts on health and property.     

Mental health and media links based on five essential elements to promote psychosocial support for victims: the case of the earthquake in Chile in 2010

This paper reviews the role of news with respect to the mental health of a population exposed to a disaster. It is based on the five essential elements of psychosocial care presented by Stevan E. Hobfoll et al. (2007) that can be introduced after a potentially traumatic event: promoting a sense of safety, calming, self and collective efficacy, connectedness, and hope. This study developed a method to relate these elements to television coverage and applied it to the stories (n=1,169) aired by the main networks in Chile in the 72 hours after an 8.8 magnitude earthquake struck on 27 February 2010. Of the five elements, promoting a sense of safety occurred most often (82.72 per cent), whereas the others were barely present (less than 10 per cent). The study argues that these elements can increase the possibility of framing the news, given that the audience watching can also be affected by a disaster.     

Estimating the economic,social and environmental impacts of wildfires in Australia

It is often said that bushfires are a fact of life in Australia. While Australian communities will always be affected by the impacts of bushfires, there is an element of human involvement that makes at least some bushfires avoidable. In Australia more bushfires are started by deliberate lighting than are caused by lightning or other natural sources. This creates an element of criminality in relation to bushfires which includes the establishment of bushfire arson as a serious criminal offence. The author presents a motive-based typology of deliberately lit bushfires and argues that a greater understanding of the reasons why people light bushfires can help prevention, investigation and treatment of offenders.     

Epidemiology of tornado destruction in rural northern Bangladesh: risk factors for death and injury

The epidemiology of tornado-related disasters in the developing world is poorly understood. An August 2005 post-tornado cohort study in rural Bangladesh identified elevated levels of death and injury among the elderly (≥ 60 years of age) (adjusted odds ratio (AOR) = 8.9 (95 per cent confidence interval (CI): 3.9-20.2) and AOR = 1.6 (95 per cent CI: 1.4-1.8), respectively), as compared to 15-24 year-olds, and among those outdoors versus indoors during the tornado (AOR = 10.4 (95 per cent CI: 5.5-19.9) and AOR = 6.6 (95 per cent CI: 5.8-7.5), respectively). Females were 1.24 times (95 per cent CI: 1.15-1.33) more likely to be injured than males. Elevated risk of injury was significantly associated with structural damage to the house and tin construction materials. Seeking treatment was protective against death among the injured, odds ratio = 0.08 (95 per cent CI: 0.03-0.21). Further research is needed to develop injury prevention strategies and to address disparities in risk between age groups and between men and women.     

Long-term gendered consequences of permanent disabilities caused by the 2005 Pakistan earthquake

This study documents the long-term gendered impact of the 2005 Pakistan earthquake on women and men who were rendered paraplegic as a result of spinal cord injuries sustained during the disaster. Coping mechanisms are also mapped. The findings show that three years after the disaster, paraplegic women are socially, emotionally, and financially isolated. The small stipend they receive is a significant source of income, but it has also led to marital distrust, violence, and abuse. In contrast, men receive full social and emotional support. Their key concern is that the government is not providing them with opportunities to be economically productive. Contemporary discourse and post-disaster policies, while acknowledging the importance of incorporating a gender perspective in the immediate post-disaster period, have failed to acknowledge and address the longer-term gendered impact of disasters, in terms of the different types of impact and strategies adopted by women and men.