A classification and regression tree model of controls on dissolved inorganic nitrogen leaching from European forests

Often, there is a non-linear relationship between atmospheric dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN) input and DIN leaching that is poorly captured by existing models. We present the first application of the non-parametric classification and regression tree approach to evaluate the key environmental drivers controlling DIN leaching from European forests. DIN leaching was classified as low (<3), medium (3-15) or high (>15 kg N ha⁻¹ year⁻¹) at 215 sites across Europe. The analysis identified throughfall NO₃⁻ deposition, acid deposition, hydrology, soil type, the carbon content of the soil, and the legacy of historic N deposition as the dominant drivers of DIN leaching for these forests. Ninety four percent of sites were successfully classified into the appropriate leaching category. This approach shows promise for understanding complex ecosystem responses to a wide range of anthropogenic stressors as well as an improved method for identifying risk and targeting pollution mitigation strategies in forest ecosystems.     

Sulfur Dioxide and Nitrogen Oxides Emissions from U.S. Pulp and Paper Mills, 1980–2005

Abstract

Comprehensive surveys conducted at 5-yr intervals were used to estimate sulfur dioxide (SO₂) and nitrogen oxides (NO_x) emissions from U.S. pulp and paper mills for 1980, 1985, 1990, 1995, 2000, and 2005. Over the 25-yr period, paper production increased by 50%, whereas total SO₂ emissions declined by 60% to 340,000 short tons (t) and total NO_x emissions decreased approximately 15% to 230,000 t. The downward emission trends resulted from a combination of factors, including reductions in oil and coal use, steadily declining fuel sulfur content, lower pulp and paper production in recent years, increased use of flue gas desulfurization systems on boilers, growing use of combustion modifications and add-on control systems to reduce boiler and gas turbine NO_x emissions, and improvements in kraft recovery furnace operations.     

Effects of reduced nitrogen and sulphur deposition on the water chemistry of moorland pools

To assess changes as a result of reduced acidifying deposition, water chemistry data from 68 Dutch moorland pools were collected during the periods 1983-1984 and 2000-2006. Partial recovery was observed: nitrate- and ammonium-N, sulphur and aluminium concentrations decreased, while pH and alkalinity increased. Calcium and magnesium concentrations decreased. These trends were supported by long term monitoring data (1978-2006) of four pools. Increased pH correlated with increases in ortho-phosphate and turbidity, the latter due to stronger coloration by organic acids. Increased ortho-phosphate and turbidity are probably the result of stronger decomposition of organic sediments due to decreased acidification and may hamper full recovery of moorland pool communities. In addition to meeting emission targets for NO_x, NH_x and SO_x, restoration measures are still required to facilitate and accelerate recovery of acidified moorland pools.     

Scenarios of global anthropogenic emissions of air pollutants and methane until 2030

We have used a global version of the Regional Air Pollution Information and Simulation (RAINS) model to estimate anthropogenic emissions of the air pollution precursors sulphur dioxide (SO₂), nitrogen oxides (NO_x), carbon monoxide (CO), primary carbonaceous particles of black carbon (BC), organic carbon (OC) and methane (CH₄). We developed two scenarios to constrain the possible range of future emissions. As a baseline, we investigated the future emission levels that would result from the implementation of the already adopted emission control legislation in each country, based on the current national expectations of economic development. Alternatively, we explored the lowest emission levels that could be achieved with the most advanced emission control technologies that are on the market today. This paper describes data sources and our assumptions on activity data, emission factors and the penetration of pollution control measures. We estimate that, with current expectations on future economic development and with the present air quality legislation, global anthropogenic emissions of SO₂ and NO_x would slightly decrease between 2000 and 2030. For carbonaceous particles and CO, reductions between 20% and 35% are computed, while for CH₄ an increase of about 50% is calculated. Full application of currently available emission control technologies, however, could achieve substantially lower emissions levels, with decreases up to 30% for CH₄, 40% for CO and BC, and nearly 80% for SO₂.     

Role of ammonia chemistry and coarse mode aerosols in global climatological inorganic aerosol distributions

We use an inorganic aerosol thermodynamic equilibrium model in a three-dimensional chemical transport model to understand the roles of ammonia chemistry and natural aerosols on the global distribution of aerosols. The thermodynamic equilibrium model partitions gas-phase precursors among modeled aerosol species self-consistently with ambient relative humidity and natural and anthropogenic aerosol emissions during the 1990s.Model simulations show that accounting for aerosol inorganic thermodynamic equilibrium, ammonia chemistry and dust and sea-salt aerosols improve agreement with observed SO₄, NO₃, and NH₄ aerosols especially at North American sites. This study shows that the presence of sea salt, dust aerosol and ammonia chemistry significantly increases sulfate over polluted continental regions. In all regions and seasons, representation of ammonia chemistry is required to obtain reasonable agreement between modeled and observed sulfate and nitrate concentrations. Observed and modeled correlations of sulfate and nitrate with ammonium confirm that the sulfate and nitrate are strongly coupled with ammonium. SO₄ concentrations over East China peak in winter, while North American SO₄ peaks in summer. Seasonal variations of NO₃ and SO₄ are the same in East China. In North America, the seasonal variation is much stronger for NO₃ than SO₄ and peaks in winter.Natural sea salt and dust aerosol significantly alter the regional distributions of other aerosols in three main ways. First, they increase sulfate formation by 10–70% in polluted areas. Second, they increase modeled nitrate over oceans and reduce nitrate over Northern hemisphere continents. Third, they reduce ammonium formation over oceans and increase ammonium over Northern Hemisphere continents. Comparisons of SO₄, NO₃ and NH₄ deposition between pre-industrial, present, and year 2100 scenarios show that the present NO₃ and NH₄ deposition are twice pre-industrial deposition and present SO₄ deposition is almost five times pre-industrial deposition.     

Measurements and modeling of reactive nitrogen deposition in southeast Brazil

Increased reactive nitrogen (N_r) deposition due to expansion of agro-industry was investigated considering emission sources, atmospheric transport and chemical reactions. Measurements of the main inorganic nitrogen species (NO₂, NH₃, HNO₃, and aerosol nitrate and ammonium) were made over a period of one year at six sites distributed across an area of ∼130,000 km² in southeast Brazil. Oxidized species were estimated to account for ∼90% of dry deposited N_r, due to the region’s large emissions of nitrogen oxides from biomass burning and road transport. NO₂-N was important closer to urban areas, however overall HNO₃-N represented the largest component of dry deposited N_r. A simple mathematical modeling procedure was developed to enable estimates of total N_r dry deposition to be made from knowledge of NO₂ concentrations. The technique, whose accuracy here ranged from <1% to 29%, provides a useful new tool for the mapping of reactive nitrogen deposition.     

NH4+, NO3−, and SO42− in roadside and rural size-resolved particles and transformation of NO2/SO2 to nanoparticle-bound NO3−/SO42−

This study investigates ammonium, nitrate, and sulfate (NH₄⁺, NO₃^?, and SO₄^2?) in size-resolved particles (particularly nano (PM_0.01–0.056)/ultrafine (PM_0.01–0.1)) and NO_x/SO₂ collected near a busy road and at a rural site. The average (mass) cumulative fraction of secondary inorganic aerosols (SO₄^2?+NO₃^?+NH₄⁺) in nano or ultrafine particles at the roadside was found to be three to four times that at the rural site. The above three secondary inorganic aerosol species were present in similar cumulative fractions in particles of size 1–18 μm at both sites; however, dissimilar fractions were observed for Cl^?, Na⁺, and K⁺. The nitrogen ratios (NRs: NR = NO₃^??N/(NO₃^??N + NO₂–N)), sulfur ratios (SRs: SR = SO₄^2??S/(SO₄^2??S + SO₂–S)), dNR/D_P (derivative of NR with respect to D_P (particle diameter)), and dSR/D_P (derivative of SR with respect to D_P) at the roadside were higher than those at the rural site for nano/ultrafine particles. At both sites (particularly the roadside), the nanoparticles had significantly higher dNR/D_P and dSR/D_P values than differently sized particles, implying that NO₃^?/SO₄^2? (from NO₂/SO₂ transformation or NO₃^?/SO₄^2? deposition) were present on these particles.     

Deposition of sulphur,nitrogen and acidity in precipitation over Ireland: chemistry,spatial distribution and long-term trends

The chemical composition of pollutant species in precipitation sampled daily or weekly at 10 sites in Ireland for the five-year period, 1994–1998, is presented. Sea salts accounted for 81% of the total ionic concentration. Approximately 50% of the SO₄²⁻ in precipitation was from sea-salt sources. The proportion of sea salts in precipitation decreased sharply eastwards. In contrast, the concentration of NO₃⁻ and the proportion of non-sea-salt SO₄²⁻ increased eastwards reflecting the closer proximity to major emission sources. The mean (mol_c) ratio of SO₄²⁻:NO₃⁻ was 1.6 for all sites, indicating that SO₄²⁻ was the major acid anion.The spatial correlation between SO₄²⁻, NO₃⁻ and NH₄⁺ concentrations in precipitation was statistically significant. The regional trend in NO₃⁻ concentration was best described by linear regression against easting. SO₄²⁻ concentration followed a similar pattern. However, the regression was improved by inclusion of elevation. Inclusion of northing in the regression did not significantly improve any of the relationships except for NH₄⁺, indicating a significant increase in concentrations from northwest to southeast.The spatial distribution of deposition fluxes showed similar gradients increasing from west and southwest to east and northeast. However, the pattern of deposition shows the influence of precipitation volume in determining the overall input. Mean depositions of sulphur and nitrogen in precipitation were ≈30 ktonnes S yr⁻¹ and 48 ktonnes N yr⁻¹ over the five-year period, 1994–1998, for Ireland.Least-squares linear regression analysis indicated a slight decreasing trend in precipitation concentrations for SO₄²⁻ (20%), NO₃⁻ (13%) and H⁺ (24%) and a slight increasing trend for NH₄⁺ (15%), over the period 1991–1998.     

Spatial distribution of wet deposition of nitrogen in South Korea

A method is developed to estimate wet deposition of nitrogen in a 11×14 km (0.125°Lon.×0.125°Lat.) grid scale using the precipitation chemistry monitored data at 10 sites scattered over South Korea supplemented by the routinely available precipitation rate data at 65 sites and the estimated emissions of NO₂ and NH₃ at each precipitation monitoring site. This approach takes into account the contributions of local NO₂ and NH₃ emissions and precipitation rates on wet deposition of nitrogen. Wet deposition of nitrogen estimated by optimum regression equations for NO₃⁻ and NH₄⁺ derived from annual total monitored wet deposition and that of emissions of NO₂ and NH₃ is incorporated to normalize wet deposition of nitrogen at each precipitation rate class, which is divided into 6 classes. The optimum regression equations for the estimation of wet deposition of nitrogen at precipitation monitoring sites are developed using the normalized wet deposition of nitrogen and the precipitation rate at 10 precipitation chemistry monitoring sites. The estimated average annual total wet depositions of NO₃⁻ and NH₄⁺ are found to be 260 and 500 eq ha⁻¹ yr⁻¹ with the maximum values of 400 and 930 eq ha⁻¹ yr⁻¹, respectively. The annual mean total wet deposition of nitrogen is found to be about 760 eq ha⁻¹ yr⁻¹, of which more than 65% is contributed by wet deposition of ammonium while, the emission of NH₃ is about half of that of NO₂, suggesting the importance of NH₃ emission for wet deposition of nitrogen in South Korea.     

Comparison of forest edge effects on throughfall deposition in different forest types

This study examined the influence of distance to the forest edge, forest type, and time on Cl⁻, SO₄²⁻, NO₃⁻, and NH₄⁺ throughfall deposition in forest edges. The forests were dominated by pedunculate oak, silver birch, or Corsican/Austrian pine, and were situated in two regions of Flanders (Belgium). Along transects, throughfall deposition was monitored at distances of 0-128 m from the forest edge. A repeated-measures analysis demonstrated that time, forest type, and distance to the forest edge significantly influenced throughfall deposition of the ions studied. The effect of distance to the forest edge depended significantly on forest type in the deposition of Cl⁻, SO₄²⁻, and NO₃⁻: the edge effect was significantly greater in pine stands than in deciduous birch and oak stands. This finding supports the possibility of converting pine plantations into oak or birch forests in order to mitigate the input of nitrogen and potentially acidifying deposition.     

Nitrogen leaching and acidification during 19 years of NH₄NO₃ additions to a coniferous-forested catchment at Gårdsjön, Sweden (NITREX)

The role of nitrogen (N) in acidification of soil and water has become relatively more important as the deposition of sulphur has decreased. Starting in 1991, we have conducted a whole-catchment experiment with N addition at Gårdsjön, Sweden, to investigate the risk of N saturation. We have added 41 kg N ha⁻¹ yr⁻¹ as NH₄NO₃ to the ambient 9 kg N ha⁻¹ yr⁻¹ in fortnightly doses by means of sprinkling system. The fraction of input N lost to runoff has increased from 0% to 10%. Increased concentrations of NO₃ in runoff partially offset the decreasing concentrations of SO₄ and slowed ecosystem recovery from acid deposition. From 1990-2002, about 5% of the total N input went to runoff, 44% to biomass, and the remaining 51% to soil. The soil N pool increased by 5%. N deposition enhanced carbon (C) sequestration at a mean C/N ratio of 42-59 g g⁻¹.     

Modeling recovery of Swedish ecosystems from acidification

Dynamic models complement existing time series of observations and static critical load calculations by simulating past and future development of chemistry in forest and lake ecosystems. They are used for dynamic assessment of the acidification and to produce target load functions, that describe what combinations of nitrogen and sulfur emission reductions are needed to achieve a chemical or biological criterion in a given target year. The Swedish approach has been to apply the dynamic acidification models MAGIC, to 133 lakes unaffected by agriculture and SAFE, to 645 productive forest sites. While the long-term goal is to protect 95% of the area, implementation of the Gothenburg protocol will protect approximately 75% of forest soils in the long term. After 2030, recovery will be very slow and involve only a limited geographical area. If there had been no emission reductions after 1980, 87% of the forest area would have unwanted soil status in the long term. In 1990, approximately 17% of all Swedish lakes unaffected by agriculture received an acidifying deposition above critical load. This fraction will decrease to 10% in 2010 after implementation of the Gothenburg protocol. The acidified lakes of Sweden will recover faster than the soils. According to the MAGIC model the median pre-industrial ANC of 107 microeq L(-1) in acid sensitive lakes decreased to about 60 microeq L(-1) at the peak of the acidification (1975-1990) and increases to 80 microeq L(-1) by 2010. Further increases were small, only 2 microeq L(-1) between 2010 and 2040. Protecting 95% of the lakes will require further emission reductions below the Gothenburg protocol levels. More than 7000 lakes are limed regularly in Sweden and it is unlikely that this practice can be discontinued in the near future without adverse effects on lake chemistry and biology.     

Wet and dry deposition of sulfur and nitrogen compounds in Ontario

Measurements have been made of sulfur and nitrogen compounds in precipitation since 1980 and in air since 1981 in Ontario. This paper presents results of the atmospheric deposition measurement program to the end of 1985. As is to be expected from the distribution of emission sources, annual concentrations of SO₄²⁻ andNO₃⁻ in precipitation, and of SO₂,SO₄²⁻ andNO₃⁻ in air are higher in southern Ontario than in northern Ontario. The corresponding distribution pattern for deposition is similar to that of concentration. A wet SO₄²⁻ deposition rate of 20 kg ha¹⁻ y¹⁻, a value considered critical for the acidification of sensitive water bodies, is exceeded in all of central and southern Ontario. On a province-wide basis, sulfur wet deposition is about four times higher than sulfur dry deposition. For nitrogen, wet and dry deposition are more comparable, though the former is still higher. The S- and N-species display different seasonal trends in concentration and deposition reflecting a dependence on meteorological factors, and on the associated chemical transformation rates. On the other hand, year to year variations are small.     

Seasonal variations in atmospheric SOx and NOy species in the adirondacks

This paper reports the results of over 2 years of measurements of several of the species comprising atmospheric SO_x (=SO₂+SO₄²⁻) and NO_y (=NO+NO₂ + PAN + HNO₃+NO₃⁻+ organicnitrates + HONO + 2N₂O₅ …) at Whiteface Mountain, New York. Continuous real-time measurements of SO₂ and total gaseous NO_y provided data for about 50% and 65% of the period, respectively, and 122 filter pack samples were obtained for HNO₃, SO₂ and aerosol SO₄²⁻, NO₃⁻, H⁺ and NH₄⁺. Concentrations of SO₂ and NO_y were greatest in winter, whereas concentrations of the reaction products SO₄²⁻ and HNO₃were greatest in summer. The seasonal variation in SO₄²⁻ was considerably more pronounced than that of HNO₃and the high concentrations of SO₄²⁻ aerosol present in summer were also relatively more acidic than SO₄²⁻ aerosol in other seasons. As a result, SO₄²⁻ aerosol was the predominant acidic species present in summer, HNO₃was predominant in other seasons. Aerosol NO₃⁻ concentrations were low in all seasons and appeared unrelated to simultaneous NO_y and HNO₃concentrations. These data are consistent with seasonal variations in photochemical oxidation rates and with existing data on seasonal variations in precipitation composition. The results of this study suggest that emission reductions targeted at the summer season might be a cost-effective way to reduce deposition of S species, but would not be similarly cost-effective in reducing deposition of N species. kwAcid deposition, seasonal variation, sulfate, nitrate, nitric acid, sulfur dioxide, oxides of nitrogen, hydrogen peroxide, ozone, air pollution, Adirondack Mountains     

Sensitivity analyses of factors influencing CMAQ performance for fine particulate nitrate

Improvement of air quality models is required so that they can be utilized to design effective control strategies for fine particulate matter (PM_2.5). The Community Multiscale Air Quality modeling system was applied to the Greater Tokyo Area of Japan in winter 2010 and summer 2011. The model results were compared with observed concentrations of PM_2.5 sulfate (SO₄^2-), nitrate (NO₃^?) and ammonium, and gaseous nitric acid (HNO₃) and ammonia (NH₃). The model approximately reproduced PM_2.5 SO₄^2? concentration, but clearly overestimated PM_2.5 NO₃^? concentration, which was attributed to overestimation of production of ammonium nitrate (NH₄NO₃). This study conducted sensitivity analyses of factors associated with the model performance for PM_2.5 NO₃^? concentration, including temperature and relative humidity, emission of nitrogen oxides, seasonal variation of NH₃ emission, HNO₃ and NH₃ dry deposition velocities, and heterogeneous reaction probability of dinitrogen pentoxide. Change in NH₃ emission directly affected NH₃ concentration, and substantially affected NH₄NO₃ concentration. Higher dry deposition velocities of HNO₃ and NH₃ led to substantial reductions of concentrations of the gaseous species and NH₄NO₃. Because uncertainties in NH₃ emission and dry deposition processes are probably large, these processes may be key factors for improvement of the model performance for PM_2.5 NO₃^?.

Implications: The Community Multiscale Air Quality modeling system clearly overestimated the concentration of fine particulate nitrate in the Greater Tokyo Area of Japan, which was attributed to overestimation of production of ammonium nitrate. Sensitivity analyses were conducted for factors associated with the model performance for nitrate. Ammonia emission and dry deposition of nitric acid and ammonia may be key factors for improvement of the model performance.     

The characterization of water-soluble inorganic ions in PM2.5 during a winter period in Xi'an,China

The characteristics of water-soluble inorganic ions (WSIIs) during a winter period in a suburb of Xi'an, China, were investigated. Our results show that the total mass concentration of the dominant WSIIs (8) was 91.27 µg m^–3, accounting for 50.1% of the total mass concentration of PM_2.5 (particulates with a size of 2.5 µm or less). Secondary inorganic aerosols (SO₄^2?, NO₃^? and NH₄⁺) were the most abundant ions, accounting for up to 95.12% of the total ions. By using the anion and cation equivalence ratio method, PM_2.5 was shown to have weak alkalinity, and the chemical forms of WSIIs were mainly (NH₄)₂SO₄ and NH₄NO₃. The sulfur oxidation ratio (SOR) and nitrogen oxidation ratio (NOR) suggested that larger proportions of SO₄^2? and NO₃^? were formed by gas-phase SO₂ and NO₂ in the sampling site. Ratio analysis also indicated that anthropogenic sources significantly contributed to WSII pollution. Among the anthropogenic sources, fixed pollution sources were found to be dominant over mobile sources.     

Assessment of contribution of SO2 and NO2 from different sources in Jamshedpur region, India

Contribution of pollution from different types of sources in Jamshedpur, the steel city of India, has been estimated in winter 1993 using two approaches in order to delineate and prioritize air quality management strategies for the development of region in an environmental friendly manner. The first approach mainly aims at preparation of a comprehensive emission inventory and estimation of spatial distribution of pollution loads in terms of SO₂ and NO₂ from different types of industrial, domestic and vehicular sources in the region. The results indicate that industrial sources account for 77% and 68% of the total emissions of SO₂ and NO₂, respectively, in the region, whereas vehicular emissions contributed to about 28% of the total NO₂ emissions. In the second approach, contribution of these sources to ambient air quality levels to which the people are exposed to, was assessed through air pollution dispersion modelling. Ambient concentration levels of SO₂ and NO₂ have been predicted in winter season using the ISCST3 model. The analysis indicates that emissions from industrial sources are responsible for more than 50% of the total SO₂ and NO₂ concentration levels. Vehicular activities contributed to about 40% of NO₂ pollution and domestic fuel combustion contributed to about 38% of SO₂ pollution. Predicted 24-h concentrations were compared with measured concentrations at 11 ambient air monitoring stations and good agreement was noted between the two values. In-depth zone-wise analysis of the above indicates that for effective air quality management, industrial source emissions should be given highest priority, followed by vehicular and domestic sources in Jamshedpur region.     

Simulating Dissolved Organic Carbon Dynamics at the Swedish Integrated Monitoring Sites with the Integrated Catchments Model for Carbon,INCA-C

Surface water concentrations of dissolved organic carbon ([DOC]) are changing throughout the northern hemisphere due to changes in climate, land use and acid deposition. However, the relative importance of these drivers is unclear. Here, we use the Integrated Catchments model for Carbon (INCA-C) to simulate long-term (1996–2008) streamwater [DOC] at the four Swedish integrated monitoring (IM) sites. These are unmanaged headwater catchments with old-growth forests and no major changes in land use. Daily, seasonal and long-term variations in streamwater [DOC] driven by runoff, seasonal temperature and atmospheric sulfate (SO₄ ²⁻) deposition were observed at all sites. Using INCA-C, it was possible to reproduce observed patterns of variability in streamwater [DOC] at the four IM sites. Runoff was found to be the main short-term control on [DOC]. Seasonal patterns in [DOC] were controlled primarily by soil temperature. Measured SO₄ ²⁻ deposition explained some of the long-term [DOC] variability at all sites.     

China’s air pollution reduction efforts may result in an increase in surface ozone levels in highly polluted areas

China, as a fast growing fossil-fuel-based economy, experiences increasing levels of air pollution. To tackle air pollution, China has taken the first steps by setting emission–reduction targets for nitrogen oxides (NO_x) and sulphur dioxide (SO₂) in the 11th and 12th Five Year Plans. This paper uses two models—the Energy–Environment–Economy Model at the Global level (E3MG) and the global Chemistry Transport Model pTOMCAT—to test the effects of these policies. If the policy targets are met, then the maximum values of 32 % and 45 % reductions below ‘business as usual’ in the monthly mean NO_x and SO₂ concentrations, respectively, will be achieved in 2015. However, a decrease in NO_x concentrations in some highly polluted areas of East, North-East and South-East China can lead to up to a 10% increase in the monthly mean concentrations in surface ozone in 2015. Our study demonstrates an urgent need for the more detailed analysis of the impacts and designs of air pollution reduction guidelines for China.     

Assessing the impact of the acid deposition control program

A goal of the acidic deposition control program in the United States has been to link emissions control policies, such as those mandated under Title IV of the US Clean Air Act Amendments (CAAA) of 1990, to improvements in air and water quality. Recently, several researchers have reported trends in the time series of pollutant data in an effort to evaluate the effectiveness of the CAAA in reducing the acidic deposition problem. It is well known that pollutant concentrations are highly influenced by meteorological and climatic variations. Also, spatial and temporal inhomogeneities in time series of pollutant concentrations, induced by differences in the data collection, reduction, and reporting practices, can significantly affect the trend estimates. We present a method to discern breaks or discontinuities in the time series of pollutants stemming from emission reductions in the presence of meteorological and climatological variability. Using data from a few sites, this paper illustrates that linear trend estimates of concentrations of SO₂, aerosol SO₄²⁻, and precipitation-weighted SO₄²⁻ and NO₃⁻ can be biased because of such complex features embedded in pollutant time series.