千岛湖流域旅游开发项目的气候评价

根据千岛湖流域的气候特点,对夏季避曙度假旅游、休闲观光农业和季节性旅游项目的开发进行了气候评估,将有利于促进千岛湖流域旅游业的发展。     

东江流域1959-2009年气候变化及其对径流的影响

依据东江流域21个气象站1959-2009年逐年平均降雨、蒸发、日照、湿度及气温等气象要素序列,选择常用的线性倾向估计及非参数M．K等趋势分析方法,分析了东江流域近50年来气温、降水、蒸发、日照及湿度等气象要素的变化趋势。选择降雨和蒸发两个气候要素两两组合,构成未来气候变动的36种假想情景,运用改进的SCS月模型模拟计算了顺天流域年径流量的变化幅度。结果表明：在过去的50年间,流域降雨量呈不显著增长,而气温则为显著上升,其他气候要素如蒸发、日照及湿度等均呈不同程度减少趋势;关联度分析表明降雨在所有气象要素中与径流的关联度为最大,说明了在东江流域降雨是径流量变化的主要驱动因子;未来流域降雨增加,蒸发减少的气候情景模式下,径流量会有所增加,反之亦然;由降雨变化引起的流域月径流量的增幅较由蒸发变化引起的相应流量的增幅变化大。     

南京市旅游气候舒适度的初步评价

气候舒适度是影响旅游地旅游季节的长短和客流量的年内变化的重要因素。本文根据南京市1971～2006年的台站气象资料,采用特吉旺生理气候的评估方法,对南京市的气候舒适度进行分析。结果表明:南京最适宜开展旅游活动的时间是每年4～6月和9～10月;夏季在水域、林木较多的景区比较适宜开展旅游活动;冬季适宜进行室内旅游活动。本文结合旅游资源来研究南京市的旅游气候舒适度,既可以为南京市旅游区的规划奠定基础,也可以为南京市旅游资源的开发建设提供数据支持。     

LUCC及气候变化对龙川江流域径流的影响

土地利用与土地覆被变化(Land Use and Land Cover Change,LUCC)及气候变化对流域的径流变化影响巨大。为揭示龙川江流域LUCC和气候变化对径流变化的影响,基于SWAT模型,通过设置不同情景,定量分析了不同土地利用类型和气候要素对流域内径流的影响,并结合RCP4.5、RCP8.5两种气候情景对流域未来径流的变化进行了预估。结果显示,(1)SWAT模型在龙川江流域径流模拟中具有较好的适用性,可用SWAT模型进行流域的径流模拟,率定期的模型参数R~2、Ens分别达到0.73、0.71,验证期的模型参数R~2、Ens分别达到0.75、0.74。(2)从土地利用方面考虑,将农业用地转化为林地或草地,均会导致流域径流量的减少,而将林地转化为草地则会引起流域径流量的增加,农业用地、林地、草地三者对径流增加的贡献大小顺序为农业用地?草地?林地。从气候变化方面考虑,流域径流量与降雨量呈正比,与蒸发量呈反比。(3)2006-2015年间龙川江流域LUCC引起的月均径流增加幅度小于气候变化引起的月均径流减少幅度,龙川江径流的变化由气候变化主导,月均径流量总体上减少1.59 m~3·s~(-1)。(4)预估结果显示,RCP4.5和RCP8.5气候情景下,2021-2050年间龙川江流域径流减少趋势明显,分别为1971-2015年减速的2.65倍、3.43倍。     

基于生态承载力的楠溪江流域生态旅游开发分析

对开发地区生态承载力的科学测评是进行旅游开发与管理的重要环节。利用生态足迹模型,对2010年楠溪江中上游流域的生态承载力供给与需求进行分析和评价。结果表明,楠溪江中上游地区生态承载力供给高于需求,总生态承载力供需比为1.3∶1,草地和水域用地生态承载力出现赤字,旅游人均生态足迹是本底人均生态足迹的1.22倍。流域生态承载力总体可以支持生态旅游的良性发展,但在开发中既需要加大对生态资源的持续性保护和输入,又需要重视对流量式旅游的监管和限制。     

塔里木内陆河流域生态环境脆弱性分析

塔里木内陆河流域的气候条件，尤其是水热条件和地貌特征是植被生态，土壤环境及水环境形成与分异最主要的控制性因素。几大环境要素之间相互联系，相互制约形成塔河流域生态环境时空分布的差异性，并表现出不同程度的脆弱性特征。     

粤东花岗岩流域覆盖型风化壳风化特征比较

为了对比在同种基岩与气候背景下,相邻花岗岩流域风化壳的风化程度,借助粒度组成、pH值和磁化率等实验方法,测定了粤东榕江和漯河流域阶地上发育的冲积物覆盖型风化壳.数据结果说明,螺河流域发育的该类型风化壳的风化程度强于榕江流域阶地上发育的该类型风化壳.粒度组成还表明,两流域该类型风化壳具有在<2μm粒级含量上冲积层大于基座风化壳的特征.两个流域风化壳粒度组成差别的原因是两个流域不同的剥蚀速率,榕江流域剥蚀速率较快.pH值在冲积物覆盖型风化壳剖面上呈现三低两高间隔出现的规律.螺河流域风化壳磁化率低于榕江流域是由局部的地貌条件决定,磁化率在粤东地区该类型风化壳的指示意义不准确.     

青海湖流域草地退化时空分布特征

青海湖地区是我国青藏高原的生态脆弱区,草地退化状况是反映该流域生态环境状况的有效指标。在对青海湖流域退化草地进行分类的基础上,利用遥感手段获得流域退化草地的空间分布和空间动态。在草地退化重点区域选取8个样地来反映流域不同区域、不同类型草地的退化情况。结果表明,1977—2000年青海湖流域草地退化情况十分严重,流域内草地共减少206.68 km~2,其中,大部分草地转变为耕地和沙地。草地退化主要集中在湖区南岸、共和县的黑马河乡及布哈河口的鸟岛3个区域。2000年以后,流域内草地退化情况得到明显改善,草地总面积开始有所增加,主要原因是2000年之后温度升高和降水增加为草地的生长和改善提供了有利的自然条件,以及政府和相关部门在流域内实行了一系列草地保护政策。2004年是青海湖流域气候转折年,流域气温明显升高,降水明显增加,青海湖水位下降趋势有所缓解,流域草地退化现象明显好转。青海湖流域草地是该流域生态系统的重要指示植被,利用归一化植被指数(NDVI)可准确监测流域植被变化情况。     

密云水库流域植被覆盖度变化对输沙量的影响

封闭流域中,泥沙的产生是多种因素相互作用,相互制约的结果,而在这些众多的环境影响因素中,植被是土壤侵蚀中最重要的环境控制因子,目前,植被覆盖度变化对输沙量的影响一直是区域生态环境研究中比较热门的话题。文章使用遥感（Remote Sensing（RS））、地理信息系统（Geographic In formmionSystem（GIS））与统计分析相结合的方法评价了密云水库流域内2个子流域出口处2002年至2005年植被覆盖度变化对输沙量的影响。密云水库流域多为山地,其降雨具有明显的季节性。本文的主要目的在于分析2002年至2005年植被覆盖度变化对流域输沙量的影响,并分析了植被覆盖度变化对气候改变及人类活动的综合影响,结果表明：在密云水库流域内,输沙量是降雨情况和人为因素引起的地表植被覆盖度变化情况的综合反映,人口增长、经济发展和城市化是密云水库流域内引起土地利用变化和地表植被覆盖度变化的主要驱动力。并且,输沙量可以被看作是一个很好的指标来定量分离出生物生理和人为的影响,并从中能够找出在流域生态系统中获得显著结果关键的临界点。研究结果对制定流域的合理开发和管理计划将有所帮助。     

密云水库流域植被覆盖度变化对输沙量的影响

封闭流域中,泥沙的产生是多种因素相互作用,相互制约的结果,而在这些众多的环境影响因素中,植被是土壤侵蚀中最重要的环境控制因子,目前,植被覆盖度变化对输沙量的影响一直是区域生态环境研究中比较热门的话题。文章使用遥感(Remote Sensing(RS))、地理信息系统(Geographic Information System(GIS))与统计分析相结合的方法评价了密云水库流域内2个子流域出口处2002年至2005年植被覆盖度变化对输沙量的影响。密云水库流域多为山地,其降雨具有明显的季节性。本文的主要目的在于分析2002年至2005年植被覆盖度变化对流域输沙量的影响,并分析了植被覆盖度变化对气候改变及人类活动的综合影响,结果表明:在密云水库流域内,输沙量是降雨情况和人为因素引起的地表植被覆盖度变化情况的综合反映,人口增长、经济发展和城市化是密云水库流域内引起土地利用变化和地表植被覆盖度变化的主要驱动力。并且,输沙量可以被看作是一个很好的指标来定量分离出生物生理和人为的影响,并从中能够找出在流域生态系统中获得显著结果关键的临界点。研究结果对制定流域的合理开发和管理计划将有所帮助。     

南岳衡山国内旅游客源市场调查分析

对南岳衡山旅游客源市场进行调查分析，可为其旅游产业定位、旅游开发建设的阶段定位、旅游基础设施资源定位、旅游产品开发定位、旅游从业人员定位提供依据，从而推动整个衡山旅游业的发展，并促进其经济发展．本文通过对南岳衡山客源市场的调查分析，提出了对其市场开发定位及开拓策略的建议．     

南岳衡山风景名胜区景观资源的调查与评价

景观资源是旅游资源的重要组成因素,本文以自然综合体的南岳衡山为考察对象,对其景观资源进行较详尽的调查,并进行定性和定量的评价,为确定南岳衡山风景名胜区性质、规划提供基础资料.     

济宁生态市规划与建设途径

生态市是实现城市社会—经济—自然可持续发展的一种模式和过程。以山东省济宁市为例,提出了济宁生态市建设的战略措施。从资源型城市的产业生态转型、水体和矿山的自然生态修复和孔孟文化的人文生态振兴3方面提出了建设目标;建设框架包括自生型生态环境、竞争型循环经济和共生型和谐社会。主导产业和循环经济建设要促进传统农业和矿山开采型产业向静脉产业、阳光产业、物流产业、文化产业和旅游产业的生态转型;从水资源、水环境、水生态、水景观、水安全和水文化建设几方面提出了水资源保护与水环境治理的综合措施;最后提出了济宁市煤矿塌陷区的生态修复对策和生态文化建设策略。     

Choosing and Using Climate‐Change Scenarios for Ecological‐Impact Assessments and Conservation Decisions

Increased concern over climate change is demonstrated by the many efforts to assess climate effects and develop adaptation strategies. Scientists, resource managers, and decision makers are increasingly expected to use climate information, but they struggle with its uncertainty. With the current proliferation of climate simulations and downscaling methods, scientifically credible strategies for selecting a subset for analysis and decision making are needed. Drawing on a rich literature in climate science and impact assessment and on experience working with natural resource scientists and decision makers, we devised guidelines for choosing climate‐change scenarios for ecological impact assessment that recognize irreducible uncertainty in climate projections and address common misconceptions about this uncertainty. This approach involves identifying primary local climate drivers by climate sensitivity of the biological system of interest; determining appropriate sources of information for future changes in those drivers; considering how well processes controlling local climate are spatially resolved; and selecting scenarios based on considering observed emission trends, relative importance of natural climate variability, and risk tolerance and time horizon of the associated decision. The most appropriate scenarios for a particular analysis will not necessarily be the most appropriate for another due to differences in local climate drivers, biophysical linkages to climate, decision characteristics, and how well a model simulates the climate parameters and processes of interest. Given these complexities, we recommend interaction among climate scientists, natural and physical scientists, and decision makers throughout the process of choosing and using climate‐change scenarios for ecological impact assessment. Selección y Uso de Escenarios de Cambio Climático para Estudios de Impacto Ecológico y Decisiones de Conservación     

Evaluating eco-sustainability and its spatial variability in tourism areas: a case study in Lijiang County,China

Studying eco-sustainability of tourism areas is part of sustainable development research. In tourism areas, the ecosystem comprises both the environment and the human system. The environmental system is basically physical, whereas the human system, consisting of both tourists and residents, is the dominant factor driving ecosystem change. If the combined influence of tourists and residents exceeds the carrying capacity of the environment, which is the ecological threshold of eco-sustainability in the tourism area, then the structure, function and stability of the environment will degenerate. Hence, eco-sustainability assessment of tourism areas should be based on analyses of the relationship between the influence of tourists and residents on the environment and the environmental carrying capacity. Using ecological footprint and tourism ecological footprint models, we developed and applied a synthetic assessment index system for eco-sustainability of tourism areas in Lijiang County, Yunnan Province, China, to conduct a quantitative spatial assessment for 2001. The eco-sustainability of Lijiang was high, with a harmonious relationship between regional socioeconomic development and the ecological environment. There were significant spatial differences in eco-sustainability among 24 towns in the region because of spatial heterogeneity in socioeconomic status, tourism development and environmental elements.     

Community perceptions of scuba dive tourism development in Bien Unido,Bohol Island,Philippines

The Coastal Conservation and Education Foundation (CCEF), a Philippine environmental organization, in collaboration with Region 7 municipality leaders from Cebu, Leyte, and Bohol, as well as various financial donors, is striving to improve the marine resource management of the Outer Danajon Bank in the Philippines. One of the goals is to develop scuba dive tourism along the Outer Bank, beginning with the municipality of Bien Unido on Bohol Island. Despite previous efforts to attract investors and tourists by the Bien Unido mayor, dive tourism is currently absent from the municipality. During the summer of 2011, the mayor, the CCEF, and a private real estate developer, agreed to invest in infrastructure and livelihood training in Bien Unido for the purpose of developing a scuba dive tourism industry. This study analyzes current community viewpoints on the development of dive tourism in Bien Unido and four selected dive tourist cites. The study consists of thirty-four qualitative interviews conducted in Bien Unido and four other dive tourist sites as well as 1117 quantitative surveys conducted with community members throughout the central portion of the Philippines (Region 7). This study complements the Danajon Bank Marine Park Project of the CCEF and makes recommendations to improve the management of the Danajon Bank Double Barrier coral reef with protected areas and alternative livelihood projects linked to tourism development. The interviews served to define tourism and to document the specific needs of each barangay, or community, for tourism development. The qualitative survey revealed generally positive attitudes regarding scuba dive tourism development. Nintey-one percent of respondents believe tourism will help the barangay and most would participate in selling food/drink or being a recreational tour guide for tourists. Interview and survey respondents expectations that economic benefits will outweigh any social or environmental challenges, primarily alternative livelihoods and increased revenue for the municipality. Overall, Bien Unido and Region 7 community members will likely welcome visitors to their communities due to the expected benefits regardless of other negative environmental and social externalities such as increases in resource pressures and losses of tradition. Four additional municipalities were selected as “tourism developed sites” to further explore the negative and positive impacts of dive tourism, as perceived by the barangay captains or council, over a range of five to thirty years. These findings revealed challenges that were not mentioned in Bien Unido interviews or in the Region 7 qualitative surveys including changes in the price of living, increases in drug trafficking and sex trade, and private investors controlling community decisions.

“As long as tourists like to come, then we want them all. If they will come, we will welcome them all.” Bien Unido interviewee, July 19, 2011

     

南岳旅游客源市场开拓存在的问题及营销策略

客源是旅游业发展的原动力,客源市场分析准确与否,直接决定着旅游投资资金的可行性和安全性．而要把握好旅游客源市场,必须进行深入细致的市场调查与分析．南岳作为全国五大名山之一,近年来虽然旅游环境不断优化,产业素质明显增强,产业规模迅速扩大．但与国内各大知名旅游景区相比,南岳还有很大的差距,许多方面还存在着严重的不足,特别是在旅游市场开拓方面还有巨大的潜力需要发掘,为此,从客源市场特征反映的角度对南岳旅游做出一番有益的探讨,旨在为南岳的旅游发展提出建设性的措施．表4,参3．     

天津市环境空气中氮氧化物污染及防治策略

对天津市2004-2008年环境空气中的NO2污染状况及变化趋势进行了系统分析,中心城区污染呈总体下降趋势,但仍是污染较重区域,滨海新区污染呈明显加重趋势。对主要污染源的排放分析表明,工业污染和汽车尾气污染为影响空气质量的主要因素,排放量分别占53.1%-67.6%和28.7%-44.0%。认为加大工业污染源NOX减排力度、实施严格的机动车排放标准和改善能源结构是控制NOX污染的重要措施。     

天目湖水环境现状及生态旅游可持续发展对策

天目湖是江苏省开发建设的重点旅游风景区之一，然而旅游业的蓬勃发展也造成了天目湖的水环境的巨大破坏。文章根据对天目湖的全湖周年水质观测以及相关的历史资料的分析，在阐述天目湖水环境现状、旅游资源的优势的基础上，提出天目湖生态旅游可持续发展的对策与建议：良好的水质是天目湖持续发展生态旅游的首要条件；明确划定天目湖水源保护区的范围；因地制宜发展具有地方特色的旅游产业；增强污水处理能力，实施截污工程；恢复植被，控制氮磷的入湖量；养殖业适度发展；加强生态旅游资源开发利用中的保护与管理。