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1.
Urban-wildland issues have become among the most contentious and problematic issues for forest managers. Using data drawn
from surveys conducted by the authors and others, this article discusses how public knowledge and perceptions of fire policies
and fire hazards change over time, the kinds of policy responses homeowners prefer as a way of preventing fire hazards at
the urban-wildland interface, and how citizens view their own obligations as participants in interface issues. These data
show that public attitudes toward fire have changed significantly over the past two decades and that educating the public
about fire and the managers' use of fire can have positive effects on behavior. Yet, modifying the individual's behavior in
regard to interface fire risks must also deal with important issues of individual incentives, the distribution of costs, and
unanticipated policy impacts. 相似文献
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Landscape--wildfire interactions in southern Europe: implications for landscape management 总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5
Moreira F Viedma O Arianoutsou M Curt T Koutsias N Rigolot E Barbati A Corona P Vaz P Xanthopoulos G Mouillot F Bilgili E 《Journal of environmental management》2011,92(10):2389-2402
Every year approximately half a million hectares of land are burned by wildfires in southern Europe, causing large ecological and socio-economic impacts. Climate and land use changes in the last decades have increased fire risk and danger. In this paper we review the available scientific knowledge on the relationships between landscape and wildfires in the Mediterranean region, with a focus on its application for defining landscape management guidelines and policies that could be adopted in order to promote landscapes with lower fire hazard. The main findings are that (1) socio-economic drivers have favoured land cover changes contributing to increasing fire hazard in the last decades, (2) large wildfires are becoming more frequent, (3) increased fire frequency is promoting homogeneous landscapes covered by fire-prone shrublands; (4) landscape planning to reduce fuel loads may be successful only if fire weather conditions are not extreme. The challenges to address these problems and the policy and landscape management responses that should be adopted are discussed, along with major knowledge gaps. 相似文献
4.
This paper identifies human factors associated with high forest fire risk in Spain and analyses the spatial distribution of fire occurrence in the country. The spatial units were 6,066 municipalities of the Spanish peninsular territory and Balearic Islands. The study covered a 13-year series of fire occurrence data. One hundred and eight variables were generated and input to a dedicated Geographic Information System (GIS) to model different factors related to fire ignition. After exploratory analysis, 29 were selected to build a predictive model of human fire ignition using logistic regression analysis. The binary model estimated the probability of high or low occurrence of forest fires, as defined by an ignition danger index that is currently used by the Spanish forest service (number of fires divided by forest area in each municipality). Thirteen explanatory variables were identified by the model. They were related to agricultural landscape fragmentation, agricultural abandonment and development processes. The prediction agreement found between the model binary outputs and the historical fire data was 85.3% for the model building dataset (60% of municipalities). A slightly lower predictive power (76.2%) was found for the validation data (the remaining 40%). The probabilistic output of the logistic was significantly related to the raw ignition index (Spearman correlation of 0.710) used by the Spanish Forest Service. Therefore, the model can be considered a good predictor of human-caused fire risk, aiding spatial decisions related to prevention planning in Spanish municipalities. 相似文献
5.
David J. Parsons David M. Graber James K. Agee Jan W. Van Wagtendonk 《Environmental management》1986,10(1):21-24
An evolving understanding of ecological processes, together with ambiguities in National Park Service policy, have led to multiple interpretations of the role of management in our large natural area National Parks. National Park Service management policies must be dynamic and responsive to changes in scientific knowledge and societal values. We propose that the principal aim of NPS resource management in natural areas is the unimpeded interaction of native ecosystem processes and structural elements. The case of the changing role of natural fire management is used as an example in developing this rationale. 相似文献
6.
Forests and forestlands are common inheritance for all Greeks and a piece of the national wealth that must be handed over to the next generations in the best possible condition. After 1974, Greece faces a severe forest fire problem and forest fire forecasting is the process that will enable the Greek ministry of Agriculture to reduce the destruction. This paper describes the basic design principles of an Expert System that performs forest fire forecasting (for the following fire season) and classification of the prefectures of Greece into forest fire risk zones. The Expert system handles uncertainty and uses heuristics in order to produce scenarios based on the presence or absence of various qualitative factors. The initial research focused on the construction of a mathematical model which attempted to describe the annual number of forest fires and burnt area in Greece based on historical data. However this has proven to be impossible using regression analysis and time series. A closer analysis of the fire data revealed that two qualitative factors dramatically affect the number of forest fires and the hectares of burnt areas annually. The first is political stability and national elections and the other is drought cycles. Heuristics were constructed that use political stability and drought cycles, to provide forest fire guidance. Fuzzy logic was applied to produce a fuzzy expected interval for each prefecture of Greece. A fuzzy expected interval is a narrow interval of values that best describes the situation in the country or a part of the country for a certain time period. A successful classification of the prefectures of Greece in forest fire risk zones was done by the system, by comparing the fuzzy expected intervals to each other. The system was tested for the years 1994 and 1995. The testing has clearly shown that the system can predict accurately, the number of forest fires for each prefecture for the following year. The average accuracy was as high as 85.25% for 1995 and 80.89% for 1994. This makes the Expert System a very important tool for forest fire prevention planning. 相似文献
7.
Stephen R. Kessell Meredith W. Potter Collin D. Bevins Larry Bradshaw Bruhe W. Jeske 《Environmental management》1978,2(4):347-363
Recent advances in fire modeling permit quantitative estimations of fire behavior from quantitative inputs that describe the fuel array and conditions, such as weather and site data, under which it will burn. This paper describes the collection, analysis, and stratification of flammable forest fuels data for coniferous forest ecosystems in Montana and then illustrates the resource management application of these data in three areas: the development of the fire behavior model, a determination of the model's sensitivity to input errors as reflected by fire behavior prediction errors, and the development of a fire hazard simulator (TAROT). A new integrated stand simulator, GANDALF, is highlighted.Conclusions center on the need to integrate fire management into the land management planning decision-making process.This work was supported by a USDI National Park Service contract to Gradient Modeling, Inc., a nonprofit research foundation devoted to ecologic research and resource management applications, and by cooperative aid agreements between Gradient Modeling, Inc. and the USDA Forest Service, Intermountain Forest and Range Experiment Station, Northern Forest Fire Laboratory (Fire in Multiple Use Management, R, D, and A Program). 相似文献
8.
Richard J. Vogl 《Environmental management》1979,3(1):51-57
Fire management of grasslands is best executed based on an understanding of the fundamental properties of grassland components, structures, and environments, and the nature of fire behavior in grassland fuels. The art of controlled burning combines experience, practicality, empirical knowledge, and sensitivity, with the effects of fire, the role of fire (particularly under natural conditions), inherent climatic conditions, and sound ecological management objectives. Some of the properties, effects, roles, conditions, experiences, and objectives of grassland burning are presented. 相似文献
9.
A wildland fire is a serious threat for forest ecosystems in Southern Europe affecting severely and irreversibly regions of significant ecological value as well as human communities. To support decision makers during large-scale forest fire incidents, a multidisciplinary system has been developed that provides rational and quantitative information based on the site-specific circumstances and the possible consequences. The systems architecture consists of several distinct supplementary modules of near real-time satellite monitoring and fire forecast using an integrated framework of satellite Remote Sensing, GIS, and RDBMS technologies equipped with interactive communication capabilities. The system may handle multiple fire ignitions and support decisions regarding dispatching of utilities, equipment, and personnel that would appropriately attack the fire front. The operational system was developed for the region of Penteli Mountain in Attika, Greece, one of the mountain areas in the country most hit by fires. Starting from a real fire incident in August 2000, a scenario is presented to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach. 相似文献
10.
ABSTRACTThe impacts of extreme weather events, causing severe storms and wildfires, cascade across administrative borders within a country, challenging the steering capacity of governance networks at different political scales. This paper examines how accountability and risk were constructed and negotiated in the aftermath of Sweden’s largest wildfire. It draws on results from an interview study with executives of organizations and landowners involved, and an analysis of government reports about the wildfire’s cause and consequences. Although the fire was human-caused, public administrative bodies paid considerable attention to the local emergency services and their poor handling of the wildfire, caused by lack of knowledge of forest fire behavior. The study confirms many of the challenges associated with governance networks. It finds that issues about who to hold accountable, in what forum and for what issue are not fully addressed, being overwhelmed by demands for better knowledge of forest fire prevention and improved coordination and collaboration. To conclude, the paper calls for a better-informed public administration, forest sector and interrelated networks that take responsibility for their actions or lack thereof. 相似文献
11.
Garten CT 《Journal of environmental management》2006,81(4):323-332
A model-based analysis of the effect of prescribed burning and forest thinning or clear-cutting on stand recovery and sustainability was conducted at Fort Benning, GA, in the southeastern USA. Two experiments were performed with the model. In the first experiment, forest recovery from degraded soils was predicted for 100 years with or without prescribed burning. In the second experiment simulations began with 100 years of predicted stand growth, then forest sustainability was predicted for an additional 100 years under different combinations of prescribed burning and forest harvesting. Three levels of fire intensity (low, medium, and high), that corresponded to 17%, 33%, and 50% consumption of the forest floor C stock by fire, were evaluated at 1-, 2-, and 3-year fire return intervals. Relative to the control (no fire), prescribed burning with a 2- or 3-year return interval caused only a small reduction in predicted steady state soil C stocks (< or =25%) and had no effect on steady state tree wood biomass, regardless of fire intensity. Annual high intensity burns did adversely impact forest recovery and sustainability (after harvesting) on less sandy soils, but not on more sandy soils that had greater N availability. Higher intensity and frequency of ground fires increased the chance that tree biomass would not return to pre-harvest levels. Soil N limitation was indicated as the cause of unsustainable forests when prescribed burns were too frequent or too intense to permit stand recovery. 相似文献
12.
Semi-structured focus group interviews were employed to examine factors that affect the likelihood that resource managers in southern Africa will use information on vegetation fires provided by two satellite-derived products: an active fire product and a burned area product. The two products are updated regularly and aim to deliver the state-of-the-art in the global monitoring of fires from satellite remote-sensing. Both products are derived from data transmitted by the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) sensors carried onboard NASA's Aqua and Terra satellites. The active fire product can be accessed for free via the internet and on media by users working anywhere in the world; the burned area product will be accessible in a similar manner in 2006. The MODIS fire products provide systematic, near-global coverage and are freely available; as such, they give resource managers new opportunities to obtain or supplement information they need to manage vegetation fires effectively. However, the availability of these products does not mean that resource managers will use them, and many other factors are involved. To understand factors that affect whether southern African resource managers will use the two products, two focus groups were held with members of the Southern African Fire Network (SAFNet) in Malawi, Africa, August 2004. Analysis of the group discussions reveals a number of factors that influence whether they will use the products. The qualitative, in depth nature of the group discussions revealed 12 main factors that influence product use; not least the low international internet bandwidths for African countries outside of South Africa. Analysis of the group discussions also suggests how the uptake of MODIS fire products by resource managers in southern Africa might be enhanced by affecting specific changes to how MODIS products are packaged and delivered. 相似文献
13.
Fire Management of California Shrubland Landscapes 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
Keeley JE 《Environmental management》2002,29(3):395-408
14.
James E. Lotan 《Environmental management》1979,3(1):7-14
The traditional view of fire as a destructive agent requiring immediate suppression is giving way to the view that fire can and should be used to meet land management goals. Thus,fire control is being replaced by the more general concept offire management, which is based on the need to integrate fire policy with land management objectives. The social, economic, and ecologic effects of fire must be evaluated in the selection of land management alternatives.The activities of fire management organizations—fire prevention, control, and use of fire—must respond to needs of land management. Many agencies have developed fire organizations as separate entities that set their own objectives. The many land and resource managers who have recognized the need to incorporate fire considerations into land-use planning have so far lacked the techniques to do so.As a natural process, fire has an important function in forest and range ecosystems. Fire can greatly influence the quantity and quality of resource outputs; it is a two-edged sword that can either harm or benefit our goals, depending upon the complex effects of fire and the nature of our wants.The Fire in Multiple-Use Management Research, Development, and Applications (RD&A) Program was initiated by the U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, at the Northern Forest Fire Lab in Missoula to assist land managers. This profile explains what an RD&A program is; discusses its mission, goals, and approach to the problem; and tells why the approach involves federal laboratories, universities, and private research foundations. 相似文献
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We compared measures of ecosystem state across six adjacent land-tenure groups in the intact tropical savanna landscapes of
northern Australia. Tenure groups include two managed by Aboriginal owners, two national parks, a cluster of pastoral leases,
and a military training area. This information is of relevance to the debate about the role of indigenous lands in the Australian
conservation estate. The timing and frequency of fire was determined by satellite imagery; the biomass and composition of
the herb-layer and the abundance of large feral herbivores by field surveys; and weediness by analysis of a Herbarium database.
European tenures varied greatly in fire frequencies but were consistently burnt earlier in the dry season than the two Aboriginal
tenures, the latter having intermediate fire frequencies. Weeds were more frequent in the European tenures, whilst feral animals
were most abundant in the Aboriginal tenures. This variation strongly implies a signature of current management and/or recent
environmental history. We identify indices suitable for monitoring of management outcomes in an extensive and sparsely populated
landscape. Aboriginal land offers a unique opportunity for the conservation of biodiversity through the maintenance of traditional
fire regimes. However, without financial support, traditional practices may prove unsustainable both economically and because
exotic weeds and feral animals will alter fire regimes. An additional return on investment in Aboriginal land management is
likely to be improved livelihoods and health outcomes for these disadvantaged communities. 相似文献
17.
With 207 million ha of forest covering 22% of its land area, China ranks fifth in the world in forest area. Rapid economic
growth, climate change, and forest disturbances pose new, complex challenges for forest research and management. Progress
in meeting these challenges is relevant beyond China, because China’s forests represent 34% of Asia’s forests and 5% of the
worlds’ forests. To provide a broader understanding of these management challenges and of research and policies that address
them, we organized this special issue on contemporary forest research and management issues in China. At the national level,
papers review major forest types and the evolution of sustainable forestry, the development of China’s forest-certification
efforts, the establishment of a forest inventory system, and achievements and challenges in insect pest control in China.
Papers focused on Northern China address historical, social, and political factors that have shaped the region’s forests;
the use of forest landscape models to assess how forest management can achieve multiple objectives; and analysis and modeling
of fuels and fire behavior. Papers addressing Central and South China describe the “Grain for Green” program, which converts
low productivity cropland to grassland and woodland to address erosion and soil carbon sequestration; the potential effects
of climate change on CO2 efflux and soil respiration; and relationships between climate and net primary productivity. China shares many forest management
and research issues with other countries, but in other cases China’s capacity to respond to forest management challenges is
unique and bears watching by the rest of the world. 相似文献
18.
The fire simulation processes of the National Fire Management System's (NFMAS) Initial Attack Analysis (IAA) processor were
evaluated by conducting two types of sensitivity analysis: one based on a hypothetical set of data to assess IAA's outputs
under a wide range of fire input values, and the other using an actual Stanislaus National Forest database to test IAA's validity
with a real set of data. The results revealed that IAA's outputs (projected annual number of fires and area burned) were most
sensitive, in descending order, to the input values of the fire spread rate, the productivity rates of the suppression forces,
and the initial attack time, for all fuel models tested. In contrast, IAA's outputs were extremely insensitive to variations
in the fire size at discovery. Changes are necessary in the ways IAA incorporates the fire size at discovery to facilitate
the comparison among various fire detection options. The program's “escaped fire situation” analysis was found inadequate,
because the projected annual frequencies and final sizes of the simulated escaped fire events produced unacceptable results
with the Stanislaus National Forest database. Assigning final sizes to simulated escaped fires according to the fire intensity
level in which they are historically expected to occur provides a consistent way of calculation of the projected annual area
burned and the consequent cost plus net value change (C + NVC). 相似文献
19.
Info-Gap Decision Theory for Assessing the Management of Catchments for Timber Production and Urban Water Supply 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
While previous studies have examined how forest management is influenced by the risk of fire, they rely on probabilistic estimates
of the occurrence and impacts of fire. However, nonprobabilistic approaches are required for assessing the importance of fire
risk when data are poor but risks are appreciable. We explore impacts of fire risk on forest management using as a case study
a water catchment in the Australian Capital Territory (ACT) (southeastern Australia). In this forested area, urban water supply
and timber yields from exotic plantations are potential joint but also competing land uses. Our analyses were stimulated by
extensive wildfires in early 2003 that burned much of the existing exotic pine plantation estate in the water catchment and
the resulting need to explore the relative economic benefits of revegetating the catchment with exotic plantations or native
vegetation. The current mean fire interval in the ACT is approximately 40 years, making the establishment of a pine plantation
economically marginal at a 4% discount rate. However, the relative impact on water yield of revegetation with native species
and pines is very uncertain, as is the risk of fire under climate change. We use info-gap decision theory to account for these
nonprobabilistic sources of uncertainty, demonstrating that the decision that is most robust to uncertainty is highly sensitive
to the cost of native revegetation. If costs of native revegetation are sufficiently small, this option is more robust to
uncertainty than revegetation with a commercial pine plantation. 相似文献
20.
Fire occurrences and their sources were monitored in Emas National Park, Brazil (17°49′–18°28′S; 52°39′–53°10′W) from June
1995 to May 1999. The extent of burned area and weather conditions were registered. Forty-five fires were recorded and mapped
on a GIS during this study. Four fires occurred in the dry winter season (June–August; 7,942 ha burned), all caused by humans;
10 fires occurred in the seasonally transitional months (May and September) (33,386 ha burned); 31 fires occurred in the wet
season, of which 30 were caused by lightning inside the park (29,326 ha burned), and one started outside the park (866 ha
burned). Wet season lightning fires started in the open vegetation (wet field or grassy savanna) at a flat plateau, an area
that showed significantly higher fire incidence. On average, winter fires burned larger areas and spread more quickly, compared
to lightning fires, and fire suppression was necessary to extinguish them. Most lightning fires were patchy and extinguished
primarily by rain. Lightning fires in the wet season, previously considered unimportant episodes, were shown to be very frequent
and probably represent the natural fire pattern in the region. Lightning fires should be regarded as ecologically beneficial,
as they create natural barriers to the spread of winter fires. The present fire management in the park is based on the burning
of preventive firebreaks in the dry season and exclusion of any other fire. This policy does not take advantage of the beneficial
effects of the natural fire regime and may in fact reduce biodiversity. The results presented here stress the need for reevaluating
present policies and management procedures concerning fire in cerrado conservation areas. 相似文献