多级模糊决策在地震预报中的应用

本文把多级模糊决策方法应用于地震预报当中。文中详细论证和推导了多级模糊决策方法与模型。该方法使决策部门可以根据输入前兆的变化随时作出合理的对策。文中还给出了地震预报多级模糊决策数字解实例,并用回顾法讨论了1976年松潘7.2级地震的模糊预报决策。     

Mobility and sulfidization of heavy metals in sediments of a shallow eutrophic lake, Lake Taihu, China

The technique of DGT (diffusive gradients in thin films) using three diffusive gel thicknesses was applied to estimate the mobility and bioavailability of heavy metals in sediments and porewater of Lake Taihu, China. The DGT results showed significantly positive correlations between Co, Pb, Cd and Mn, and Ni and Fe concentrations in porewater. Cu and Zn showed a significantly negative correlation with Mn, due to Cu combination with carbonates and Zn derived from agricultural pollution, respectively. The rank order of average concentrations of Co, Ni and Cd at each station was DGT_1.92 > DGT_0.78 > DGT_0.39, suggesting stronger resupply from sediments to porewater when using thicker diffusive gels. Comparing centrifugation and DGT measurements, Co, Ni and Cd are highly labile; Mn and Fe are moderately labile; and Cu, Zn and Pb are slightly labile. The variations of AVS concentrations in sediment cores indicate that metal sulfides in deeper layers are easily diffused into surface sediments.     

RETRACTED ARTICLE: Environmental Impact Assessment of Industrial Structure Change in a Rural Region of China

As the embodiment of human activities, the change of regional industrial structure is an essential driving factor of global environmental change. Consequently, the research on the change of regional industrial structure and associated effects on the environment is one of the key issues of researches on sustainable development, human–environment relationship, and regional response to global environment change. However, compared to the flourish of researches on environmental impact assessment of industrial departments, few studies have been conducted to assess the environmental impact of regional industrial structure. In this study, based on a synthetic analysis of environmental disturbances of different industrial departments, the environmental impact coefficient of industrial department associated with the index of environmental impact of industrial structure was constructed, so as to make a quantitative assessment of environmental impact of the change of regional industrial structure. And the results of the case study in Lijiang City, a rural region of China, have showed that there are two obvious changes of industrial structure in the study area from 1992 to 2003, associated with a continuous decreasing of the index of environmental impact of industrial structure, which indicated a positive environmental effects of the change of regional industrial structure.     

Modeling in-situ uranium(VI) bioreduction by sulfate-reducing bacteria

We present a travel-time based reactive transport model to simulate an in-situ bioremediation experiment for demonstrating enhanced bioreduction of uranium(VI). The model considers aquatic equilibrium chemistry of uranium and other groundwater constituents, uranium sorption and precipitation, and the microbial reduction of nitrate, sulfate and U(VI). Kinetic sorption/desorption of U(VI) is characterized by mass transfer between stagnant micro-pores and mobile flow zones. The model describes the succession of terminal electron accepting processes and the growth and decay of sulfate-reducing bacteria, concurrent with the enzymatic reduction of aqueous U(VI) species. The effective U(VI) reduction rate and sorption site distributions are determined by fitting the model simulation to an in-situ experiment at Oak Ridge, TN. Results show that (1) the presence of nitrate inhibits U(VI) reduction at the site; (2) the fitted effective rate of in-situ U(VI) reduction is much smaller than the values reported for laboratory experiments; (3) U(VI) sorption/desorption, which affects U(VI) bioavailability at the site, is strongly controlled by kinetics; (4) both pH and bicarbonate concentration significantly influence the sorption/desorption of U(VI), which therefore cannot be characterized by empirical isotherms; and (5) calcium-uranyl-carbonate complexes significantly influence the model performance of U(VI) reduction.     

UASB反应器厌氧氨氧化菌的脱氮特性研究

研究UASB厌氧氨氧化（ANAMMOX）反应器运行情况，采用普通城市污水厂活性污泥接种，人工合成废水，pH值在7.4～7.8之间，温度控制在(32±1)℃。在反应器稳定运行270～450 d之间的180 d中，对NH⁺₄-N和NO^-₂-N去除率均达到99.9％以上，总氮去除率保持在90％以上，NO^-₃-N产生量在20～30 mg/L之间波动。研究表明,UASB厌氧氨氧化反应器处理废水效果明显，对NH⁺₄-N、NO^-₂-N和TN去除率高，NO^-₂-N和NH⁺₄-N比值可以指示厌氧氨氧化反应器性能的演变。UASB反应器稳定运行阶段容积负荷的影响较小，ANAMMOX菌对合成废水适应性强，反应器抗冲击能力较强，受冲击后恢复迅速。出水pH值稳定在8.5附近，pH值变化情况可作为反应器运行状况的指示。关键词硝化厌氧氨氧化上流式厌氧污泥床生物脱氮     

污泥果肥利用中重金属迁移特征研究

为了厦门城市污泥的安全利用，将石渭头污水处理厂污泥经过好氧堆肥后施用于柚子树，对重金属元素在土壤、树叶及果肉中的迁移特征进行了研究。结果表明：Cd在土壤中的富集能力强；重金属元素从土壤向树叶迁移累积能力比向果肉的大得多，污泥肥料不能用于叶类食用植物的施用；Cr向树叶、Ni向果肉的迁移累积能力强；泥肥的施用加重了土壤中Cd的污染，提高了Cr向树叶、Ni向果肉的迁移能力；污泥果肥利用需降低Ni的浓度，对污泥中含量较高的Cu、Zn、Ni、Cr和Cd需进行跟踪检测。     

论减灾社团的地位和作用——纪念陕西省减灾协会成立20周年

在分析国内减灾社团成立背景和工作现状的基础上，讨论了减灾社团的定性、定向和定位问题，指出减灾社团是一个综合性科技社团。其活动重点是综合研究本地区多种相关自然灾害，重在通过多学科、跨部门的合作共同探索灾害活动规律和防灾减灾对策；减灾社团应该成为独立的社团法人；介绍了陕西省减灾协会在组织科技减灾中的3步走策略和4个立项管理原则，以及部分重点项目的实施结果和减灾成效。最后提出减灾社团要善于在党和政府联系科技人员中发挥桥梁纽带作用。     

含锌多核聚铝絮凝剂的制备及形态特征

以AlCl3·6H2O和ZnCl2为原料,采用一次加碱法制备了一种新型的改性增效聚合铝类多核无机高分子絮凝剂聚合氯化铝锌(PAZC).通过Al-Ferron逐时络合比色法研究了碱化度(B),Al/Zn摩尔比及陈化时间对铝离子形态的影响.采用混凝实验比较PAZC、PAC的混凝效果.结果表明:在相同B值条件下,PAZC的Ala和Alc少于PAC的Ala和Alc,Alb形态多于PAC中Alb形态,并且PAC中Alb形态最高只有60%,而PAZC中Alb最高达到83%.PAZC具有pH适用范围宽,投药量少以及良好的储存性能.     

umu试验菌种保存条件优化研究

研究了umu试验菌株(Salmonella typhimurimu TA1535/pSK1002)的菌种在普通冰箱中保存时其生长曲线和活性的变化,菌种经活化后可以得到稳定的活化生长曲线以及比较稳定的4-NQO活性曲线.通过菌种活化,使得umu试验菌种在普通冰箱中保存就能具有很好的活性和稳定性,极大地降低了保存难度,简化了菌种保存操作步骤,增加了试验的可重复性,有利于umu试验在实际环境样品检测中的应用.     

基于模糊四元联系数的防洪工程体系安全综合评价模型

防洪工程体系是由随机、模糊、未确知等众多不确定性因子组成的复杂系统,它至今仍是洪水灾害管理的主体,对该体系综合安全进行定量评价可为洪水灾害管理提供重要依据.模糊四元联系数是集对分析中同异反联系数的推广,它可更深入地分析系统中的各种不确定性.利用模糊四元联系数建立了防洪工程体系安全综合评价模型,用联系度可描述评价对象与评价标准之间的关系,其结果简便直观,能清晰地反应评价对象和评价标准间的动态联系.用该模型综合评价了实际防洪工程体系的安全程度,其结果与物元分析等方法所得结果一致.