Validation of a hybrid life-cycle inventory analysis method

The life-cycle inventory analysis step of a life-cycle assessment (LCA) may currently suffer from several limitations, mainly concerned with the use of incomplete and unreliable data sources and methods of assessment. Many past LCA studies have used traditional inventory analysis methods, namely process analysis and input-output analysis. More recently, hybrid inventory analysis methods have been developed, combining these two traditional methods in an attempt to minimise their limitations. In light of recent improvements, these hybrid methods need to be compared and validated, as these too have been considered to have several limitations. This paper evaluates a recently developed hybrid inventory analysis method which aims to improve the limitations of previous methods. It was found that the truncation associated with process analysis can be up to 87%, reflecting the considerable shortcomings in the quantity of process data currently available. Capital inputs were found to account for up to 22% of the total inputs to a particular product. These findings suggest that current best-practice methods are sufficiently accurate for most typical applications, but this is heavily dependent upon data quality and availability. The use of input-output data assists in improving the system boundary completeness of life-cycle inventories. However, the use of input-output analysis alone does not always provide an accurate model for replacing process data. Further improvements in the quantity of process data currently available are needed to increase the reliability of life-cycle inventories.     

Third world debt must grow

Summary Approximately 60 percent of the debt owed by the World's Developing Countries is to the international banks. The author gives an economic analysis of the situation and concludes that real growth for the less developed countries (LDCs) will justify further increased borrowing.Malcolm Crawford is Senior Economist (Finance) with Business International UK Limited. This paper is based on an article which first appeared inLloyds Bank Review, January, 1985. The updating preceded the Baker Initiative in October 1985, in which the US Treasury Secretary announced proposals for increased lending by banks and international organisations to 15 selected debtor countries.     

Accumulation and egestion of dietary copper and cadmium by the grasshopper Locusta migratoria R & F (Orthoptera: Acrididae)

Copper and cadmium budgets were studied for a model insect herbivore/host plant system comprising the oligophagous leaf-chewing grasshopper (Locusta migratoria) feeding on Zea mays (Gramineae). Fifth instar larvae were fed, for between 5 and 20 days, on maize foliage contaminated with either copper, cadmium or on control foliage containing no excess metal. Male and female locusts fed on copper-treated maize retained 45 and 42% of ingested copper respectively, figures not significantly different from the 41 and 33% retained on untreated maize. Remaining copper was egested with the faeces. Locusts fed on copper-treated maize showed an increase of 27% in body copper burden compared with those on the control diet: the increase was independent of time on the diet. Female locusts retained 33% and males 21% of ingested cadmium. Faecal cadmium levels were elevated, and accumulation in both sexes was proportional to time on the Cd-enriched diet. For both copper and cadmium, some ingested metal probably passed directly through the locust gut, bound to undigested food material. Results suggest that grasshoppers may effectively regulate excess dietary copper, but are unable efficiently to regulate cadmium.     

Toxicity of municipal wastewater effluents contaminated by pentachlorophenol in Southwest Missouri

Toxicity of effluents from two sewage treatment plants in Joplin, Missouri, was tested using Ceriodaphnia dubia and Pimephales promelas. No test organisms survived in effluents from either plant, in effluents diluted with water from Turkey Creek (the receiving stream), or in water from Turkey Creek. Mortality was complete in all but the most dilute treatments of effluents, in which reconstituted water was used as the diluent. High concentrations of pentachlorophenol (130-970 microg liter(-1)) in effluents and the receiving stream likely caused mortality during the 7-day tests. Detectable concentrations of other phenolic compounds indicated the presence in Turkey Creek of other toxic by-products of pentachlorophenol manufacture. This study demonstrated the utility of biological tests of whole effluents to determine toxicity of wastewater effluents.     

An approach for treating the uncertainties in the impact of climate change

Past accumulated data supported by the predictions of climate models suggest that our world is getting warmer. Scientists are trying to construct mathematical models of both climate and crop systems to identify what types of climate changes could constitute a significant risk or benefit for agriculture. However, due to the many uncertainties regarding these models, it is impossible to make unequivocal predictions. At present, almost all the research in this area is carried out without considering the uncertain nature of the problem. The approach outlined here attempts to find a way to deal with the above uncertainty problem. Artificial intelligence techniques are being developed with the aim of performing inferences based on uncertain information. In our method, causal graphs are used for explicit representation of the relationships between climatic factors and yield. Probabilities are used to express the uncertainties associated with these links, and Bayes' theorem is applied to deal with uncertainty reasonings. This approach has the additional advantage of allowing the prediction to be readily updated as results from improved climate and crop models become available. These opportunities are being evaluated initially by using the model for potato growth developed at the Scottish Crop Research Institute.     

Allocation of reproductive effort in Mus domesticus: responses of offspring sex ratio and quality to social density and food availability

Summary Female mammals in good condition can maximize their inclusive fitness by investing more in male offspring than in female offspring during periods of poor environmental quality. To test this hypothesis, we measured the effects of undernutrition and crowding before and during gestation on the sex ratio and weight of offspring at parturition and at weaning in Mus domesticus. Sex ratio was not significantly affected by density. Dams altered the sex ratio of their offspring in response to food availability, but only if variance in competitive success within the experimental subpopulation was evident. Thus ad lib fed females produced litters with an unbiased sex ratio, competitively successful females under moderate food availability produced a male-biased sex ratio, and severely food deprived females produced litters with a female-biased sex ratio. In groups that experienced competition for food, successful dams favoured male offspring during lactation. These results are consistent with the predictions of Trivers and Willard (1973). Analysis of within-cell variance and covariance suggests that the interaction of social structure and food availability provides specific cues for the dams' tactical reproductive choices.     

Impacts of residential development on vegetation cover for a remote coastal barrier in the Outer Banks of North Carolina, USA

Coastal barrier environments are heavily influenced by human activities yet there are few examples of landscape ecological work investigating human dimensions of settlement disturbance patterns and processes. We investigated the impacts of residential development on vegetation cover for a remote roadless coastal barrier in Carova, North Carolina that is subject to policies from the federal to local levels and addressed three research questions: How has the region’s the policy history influenced patterns of residential parcel development? What are the spatial and temporal patterns of parcel development? How has development impacted patterns of barrier vegetation cover? We traced the influences of the federal 1982 Coastal Barrier Resources Act (CBRA) designed to discourage development in risky coastal areas as well as state/local coastal policies and employed remote sensing change detection, NDVI analysis and spatial analysis and regression techniques. Results showed an acceleration of new housing structures since 1990, contrary to the intended effects of CBRA. An estimated vegetation cover loss of 437 m² was associated with each newly developed parcel. NDVI varied along spatial and temporal gradients with more recent development having lower NDVI than older development. Recently developed parcels were larger in area, closer to the beach, and contained houses with larger footprints compared to older developed parcels. Our approach represents a place-based analytical framework for coastal barrier landscapes. Beyond the Carova case study, adopting such an approach coupling natural and human systems for the entire eastern US barrier system requires defining a comprehensive set of coastal barrier spatial units to enable typological classification and subsequent systematic investigation to inform debates regarding coastal ecosystem services and sustainability.     

Development of drinking water standards for perchlorate in the United States

Perchlorate, an anion that originates as a contaminant in ground and surface waters, is both naturally occurring and manmade. Because of its toxicity, there has been increased interest in setting drinking water safety standards and in health effects when perchlorate is present at low (parts per billion (ppb)) levels. In January 2009, the EPA issued a heath advisory to assist state and local officials in addressing local contamination of perchlorate in drinking water. The interim health advisory level of 15 micrograms per liter (μg/L), or ppb, is based on the reference dose recommended by the National Research Council (NRC) of the National Academy of Sciences (NAS). This paper describes scope and extent of contaminant issues and a legal process of setting standards for perchlorate concentration in drinking water in the United States of America.     

On Air Pollution,Environmental Tobacco Smoke,Radon, and Lung Cancer

The health of populations in industrialised societies has been affected for many years by ambient air pollutants presenting a threat of chronic bronchitis and lung cancer. In the 1980s Indoor pollutants received much needed investigation to assess their hazards to health. Exposure to environmental tobacco smoke and radon is now the subject of much research and concern. This review attempts to put some perspective on lung cancer that is attributable to lifetime exposure to airborne pollutants. The view is expressed that air pollution control authorities have played and are playing a major role in health improvement.     

Reduction of Pain in Reflex Sympathetic Dystrophy (RSD) Associated with Objective Biochemical Changes in Circulating Lymphocytes

Summary In an effort to explain the benefit of therapeutic use of electromagnetic fields (EMF) a systemic effect has been proposed by us. To assess the efficacy of this approach, an objective biochemical approach was developed. Ten patients with Reflex Sympathetic Dystrophy (RSD) were clinically evaluated, and lymphocytes were isolated from their blood samples obtained before and after exposure of the uninvolved limb to an EMF. Utilizing a SpectraCell method that includes radio labeled molecules and protein-free media for culturing the lymphocytes, an elevation of the content of fructose, serine, glycine, and calcium cellular metabolic uptake were found following in the culture to EMF in comparison with non-exposed lymphocytes (p < 0.01). In addition, the pain level was determined by a conventional visual analogue scale (VAS) before and after EMF exposure, evidencing a significant pain relief. Specifically, after exposure to 120 pps semi sinewave, 1500Gauss EMF, generated by a THERAMAG^∘ledR device, an improvement in the flexibility of the limb and a reduction in swelling of the affected extremity were detected clinically. These findings are in concert with the new hypothesis that, with relief of pain, lymphocytes are predominately altered in their cell cycle from M phase to S phases associated with increased structuring of intracellular water. A consideration of the basic understanding of the role lymphocytes may be inferred from this preliminary study. An extensive review of the literature on the basic science and therapeutic use of magnetic fields in humans is provided in an attempt to understand the relevance of magnetic therapy of specific pain syndromes.