Conceptual study on incorporating user information into forecasting systems

The purpose of improving weather forecast is to enhance the accuracy in weather prediction. An ideal forecasting system would incorporate user-end information. In recent years, the meteorological community has begun to realize that while general improvements to the physical characteristics of weather forecasting systems are becoming asymptotically limited, the improvement from the user end still has potential. The weather forecasting system should include user interaction because user needs may change with different weather. A study was conducted on the conceptual forecasting system that included a dynamic, user-oriented interactive component. This research took advantage of the recently implemented TIGGE (THORPEX interactive grand global ensemble) project in China, a case study that was conducted to test the new forecasting system with reservoir managers in Linyi City, Shandong Province, a region rich in rivers and reservoirs in eastern China. A self-improving forecast system was developed involving user feedback throughout a flood season, changing thresholds for flood-inducing rainfall that were responsive to previous weather and hydrological conditions, and dynamic user-oriented assessments of the skill and uncertainty inherent in weather prediction. This paper discusses ideas for developing interactive, user-oriented forecast systems.     

环境样品中钚与铀的联合分析测定

将同一份样品通过两根阴离子交换树脂柱在浓盐酸和浓硝酸介质中分离钚和铀,用过氧化氢和亚硫酸对钚进行氧化还原作用,用稀盐酸冼提铀和钚.最后,微量钚和铀分别与10μg钼载体电沉积在不锈钢盘上,用α-谱仪测其α放射性.铀回收率为100％,钚的回收率平均为63％,但由于不够稳定而采用加内标方法校正回收率.本方法因采用联合分析手段,比以往方法快且样品用量减少到普通方法的1/10左右.     

项目EIA与区域环境规划的协调途径探讨

通过对项目ＥＩＡ与区域环境规划的概念,性质,内容,方法及在环境管理中作用的论述,指出了二者在实施中存在的问题,阐明了它们的特点与相互关系,同时结合我国当前的环境状况与面临的形势及对环境管理新的要求,提出了在今后的实施中应注意协调的原则和方法。     

反硝化型甲烷厌氧氧化(DAMO)系统pH值耦合模型研究

对3个具有不同优势菌种反应器中厌氧氧化(DAMO)过程与pH值进行动力学耦合,结果表明,在25℃,Anammox-DAMO混培系统最大脱氮速率、硝酸盐初始抑制浓度和铵盐初始抑制浓度分别为3.95mg/(L·d),182.63,196.40mg/L;Nitrate-DAMO系统最大脱氮速率、硝酸盐初始抑制浓度分别为4.3...     

环境力对引信安全系统可靠性的影响分析

安全性与作用可靠性是引信的两项重要技术指标。引信的工作过程和工作环境比较特殊,不同于一般的机电产品。在一般机电产品的安全可靠性建模过程中,环境因素不被考虑,但对于引信而言,其可靠性与环境力却有着密切关系。笔者根据引信工作的特殊性,对环境力及其作用时间的安全可靠度及作用可靠度进行了计算。     

基于多种方法的长江上游小流域水质综合评价

选取大河和巴关河流域2018—2022年水质监测数据,运用单因子评价法、Spearman秩相关系数法、综合污染指数法和主成分分析法,对流域水质状况、变化趋势及主要污染物特征进行综合评价分析。结果表明:2018—2022年,大河流域水质未达到地表水Ⅲ类标准;流域整体综合污染指数超过了1,为重污染,下游污染程度较重;营养指标和有机污染物指标存在显著正相关。巴关河流域水质达到了地表水Ⅲ类标准;流域整体综合污染指数未超过1,为中污染,上游污染程度较重;营养指标、有机污染物指标和重金属指标等均呈现出不同程度的相关性。巴关河流域水质总体优于大河流域。TP、NH₃-N、COD_Mn、COD_Cr和BOD₅是影响大河流域和巴关河流域水质的主要因子,均属于有机型及富营养化污染指标,主要来自生活源和农业源。建议选择适宜的评价方法开展系统性小流域污染溯源,分河段有针对性地开展小流域水环境治理。     

基于ANSYS-PDS的含缺陷压力容器可靠性分析

为更准确地分析含缺陷压力容器的可靠性,提出采用ANSYS软件中的PDS模块建模求解,从本质上克服API 581压力容器可靠性分析的局限性,采用将压力容器的内径、原始壁厚、缺陷深度、压力容器内压设置为服从正态分布的随机变量的方法,基于响应面法结合蒙特卡洛法抽样分析,通过编写APDL代码,探讨含缺陷压力容器的可靠性.结果表...     

浅谈测井事故的认识与处理

在测井过程中,由于各种不可预见的复杂原因,测井事故不可避免。文章分析了形成测井事故的影响因素,如井径、钻井液性能、全角变化率、操作过程、套管鞋等。一旦测井事故发生,根据卡电缆、卡仪器、断电缆的事故特点来判断事故类型,再根据各种处理方法的优缺点来处理事故;提出一些注意事项,使测井事故防患于未然。     

Effects of green spaces on alleviating mortality attributable to PM2.5 in China

Environmental Science and Pollution Research - Increasing research suggested that green spaces are associated with many health benefits, but evidence for the quantitative relationship between green...     

A study on the short-term effect of particulate matter pollution on hospital visits for asthma in children in Shanghai,China

Environmental Geochemistry and Health - Recently, particulate matter pollution has been worsening, which has been affecting the asthma visits in children. In this study, we assessed the short-term...