深化改革 促进地震事业新发展——“地震科技的基础研究与应用研究”研讨班概述

本文概述了在当前面临地震队伍结构调整和人员分流的新形势下,如何进一步深化改革,追踪地震研究的世界先进水平,筛选和确定地震科研的前沿课题,为制定地震工作的深化改革政策提供科学依据。通过对30年地震预报实践的反思,提出今后发展方向。     

河南省自然灾害的地域分界规律

河南省自然灾害的地域空间分异，主要遵循水平地带性规律、非地带性规律与垂直地带性规律。水平地带性主要影响以致控制灾害的不同类型，非地带性与垂直地带性则主要影响各种灾害的成灾强度。它们相互联系与制约，从而形成该省域灾害的三维分异。     

云南省自然灾害成因探讨及减灾对策

本文在分析云南40年自然灾害灾情及其形成和发生环境背景的基础上,预测了未来10年云南灾害发展趋势,提出了在云南实现防灾减灾的战略措施。     

河北平原的地面沉降

本文通过分析河北省的水准测量资料，揭示了河北平原的地面沉降情况。整个河北平原都存在着下降的趋势。在大范围的下降背景上，又分布着许多大大小小的沉降中心。这些沉降区多数都是以城市为中心，互相连成一片，下沉速度有逐渐加快的趋势。河北平原地面沉降的原因，除少数有构造运动的因素以外，绝大多数都是集中过量开采地下水造成的。     

青海沟后水库垮坝的防疫措施

运用预防医学手段减少疾病，维护灾民身体健康，是抗洪救灾的重要内容。本文结合沟后水库垮坝后采取的对策来概述洪涝灾害的卫生防疫措施，供有关部门参考。     

OPTIMAL IDENTIFICATION OF MUSKINGUM ROUTING COEFFICIENTS1

Traditionally, identification of the Muskingum routing coefficients has been based on observations of the linearity of a loop formed by graphically plotting a forward and a reverse path. This graphical procedure is time-consuming and may not minimize the error of estimation. A procedure was developed to improve the drawbacks of the graphical method. This procedure calls for (a) the use of least square regression on the forward and reverse paths to determine their respective slopes, and (b) the use of statistical t-test to evaluate the hypothesis that these two slopes are equal. The computational procedure is repeated, using incremental values of the flow weighting coefficient, x. A graph of the computed t-value versus x can be constructed. The optimal value of x, as read from the graph, occurs at the minimum computed t-value. The procedure has been demonstrated superior to the graphical method for three illustrative examples, resulting in a reduction of the error squares by factors ranging from 5 to 6.     

IDENTIFICATION OF AQUIFER DISPERSIVITIES: METHODS OF ANALYSIS AND PARAMETER UNCERTAINTY1

ABSTRACT: This paper presents a method for estimating aquifer dispersivities in solute transport models. Sensitivity equations are derived for the calculation of sensitivity coefficients. A modified Gauss-Newton algorithm is used to perform the least-squares minimization. A statistical procedure is outlined to assess reliability of the estimated parameters. The solute transport model is solved by the upstream weighted, multiple cell balance method which combines the concepts of local mass balance and finite element approximations. A one-dimensional solute transport problem in a vertical column system is first used to illustrate the inverse technique. A second example considers the parameter identification problem for three-dimensional solute transport with a unidirectional steady and uniform flow field. The third example solves the parameter identification problem in a three-dimensional, stream-aquifer, solute transport system with steady state flow. Numerical experiments are conducted to study data requirements for parameter identification.     

我国粉尘爆炸事故原因及预防对策

论述了我国粉尘爆炸事故的分类和宏观发展趋势，分析了造成粉尘爆炸事故多发的原因，提出了预防粉尘爆炸事故的对策。     

环境中有机汞的监测

介绍了大气、水、沉积物、生物体等环境介中有机汞的监测方法，并对不同的监测方法进行了比较和评述。     

甲胺磷农药废水生化处理高效菌选育的研究

从用甲胺磷农药废水长期驯化的活污泥中，筛选得到两株降解甲胺磷农药废水中有机磷的高效菌，经鉴定一株为蜡样芽孢杆菌（Ｂａｃｉｌｌｕｓｃｅｒｅｕｓ）。另一株为嗜中温假单胞菌（Ｐｓｅｕｄｏｍｏｎａｓｍｅｓｏｐｈｉｌｉｃａ）。确定了上述高效菌的最适生长条件和降解有机磷的能力，混合高效菌的有机磷去除率达９９．７％。