Our future in the Anthropocene biosphere

The COVID-19 pandemic has exposed an interconnected and tightly coupled globalized world in rapid change. This article sets the scientific stage for understanding and responding to such change for global sustainability and resilient societies. We provide a systemic overview of the current situation where people and nature are dynamically intertwined and embedded in the biosphere, placing shocks and extreme events as part of this dynamic; humanity has become the major force in shaping the future of the Earth system as a whole; and the scale and pace of the human dimension have caused climate change, rapid loss of biodiversity, growing inequalities, and loss of resilience to deal with uncertainty and surprise. Taken together, human actions are challenging the biosphere foundation for a prosperous development of civilizations. The Anthropocene reality—of rising system-wide turbulence—calls for transformative change towards sustainable futures. Emerging technologies, social innovations, broader shifts in cultural repertoires, as well as a diverse portfolio of active stewardship of human actions in support of a resilient biosphere are highlighted as essential parts of such transformations.     

Strengthening incentives for efficient road safety policy priorities: The roles of cost–benefit analysis and road pricing

This paper discusses how incentives for setting efficient priorities in road safety policy can be strengthened. Efficient priorities are characterised by the use of cost-effective road safety measures. Cost-effective road safety measures can be identified by means of cost-benefit analyses. Studies of the actual priorities in road safety policy, in particular in the Scandinavian countries, suggest that these priorities are inefficient, i.e. characterised by the non-use or sub-optimal use of cost-effective road safety measures as well as an extensive use of ineffective road safety measures. This occurs despite the fact that road safety policy analyses have included extensive cost-benefit analyses of road safety measures. It would thus appear that cost-benefit analyses do not necessarily generate a sufficient incentive to implement cost-effective road safety measures. Possible reasons for this are discussed in the paper. It is argued that a large part of the monetary benefits of road safety measures, as estimated in cost-benefit analyses, are not subject to market transactions, and do therefore not manifest themselves in the form of increased income or higher profits. While cost-benefit analyses are indispensable as a means of identifying cost-effective road safety measures, their influence on actual road safety policy needs to be strengthened by providing additional incentives for the use of cost-effective road safety measures. It is suggested that a system of road pricing could generate such incentives. A brief sketch of a hypothetical system of road pricing is given and some problems associated with the implementation of this system are discussed.     

Species distribution modelling—Effect of design and sample size of pseudo-absence observations

We explored the effect of varying pseudo-absence data in species distribution modelling using empirical data for four real species and simulated data for two imaginary species. In all analyses we used a fixed study area, a fixed set of environmental predictors and a fixed set of presence observations. Next, we added pseudo-absence data generated by different sampling designs and in different numbers to assess their relative importance for the output from the species distribution model. The sampling design strongly influenced the predictive performance of the models while the number of pseudo-absences had minimal effect on the predictive performance. We attribute much of these results to the relationship between the environmental range of the pseudo-absences (i.e. the extent of the environmental space being considered) and the environmental range of the presence observations (i.e. under which environmental conditions the species occurs). The number of generated pseudo-absences had a direct effect on the predicted probability, which translated to different distribution areas. Pseudo-absence observations that fell within grid cells with presence observations were purposely included in our analyses. We discourage the practice of excluding certain pseudo-absence data because it involves arbitrary assumptions about what are (un)suitable environments for the species being modelled.     

Feasibility of Applying a Stable Isotopic Tracer for Direct Determination of Dry Particulate Deposition to Soybean Plants

ABSTRACT

A stable rare-earth isotopic tracer was used to measure the deposition of KNO₃ particles on soybean leaves by direct measurement of the tracer on the plant surfaces by thermal-ionization mass spectrometry. Submicrometer particles, made from a solution containing 3 |mg mL^-1 neodymium isotope (¹⁴⁸Nd, 87.9%) and 1,000 mg mL^-1 KNO₃, were dispersed with a two-fluid nozzle and released upwind of a soybean field. Total suspended- and size-fractionated-aerosol particles were collected on an open-face filter and in a micro-orifice impactor, respectively, at a distance of 40 m from the release point. Soybean leaves exposed to the plume were collected at distances ranging from 25 to 100 m. As little as 5.5 pg of the tracer (i.e., excess ¹⁴⁸Nd) was detected in soybean leaves at signal-to-noise ratios ranging from 7,500 to 240,000, in the presence of 200 to 2,700 pg of naturally occurring Nd. The dry-particle deposition velocity, determined from the ratio of the aerial concentration and directly deposited aerosol (geometric mass mean diameter, 0.20 mm) flux, and its corresponding analytical uncertainty were 0.30 cm sec^-1 and 2.5%, respectively.     

Remote SO2 Mass Flux Measurements Using COSPEC

During the intensive Nanticoke Environmental Field Study of May/June 1978, three Barringer Correlation Spectrometers (COSPEC) were employed to obtain remote sensing estimates of sulfur dioxide emissions from a coal fired hydroelectric generating station. The results from about one hundred half-hourly sampling periods shows that the COSPEC derived estimate is within 7% of those computed by the utility. The sources of the variance in the COSPEC flux estimate are examined and sampling recommendations regarding the use of COSPEC for this purpose are made.     

Handling intensity and the short- and long-term survival of elephant seals: addressing and quantifying research effects on wild animals

This study addresses the consequences of repeated human handling on the survival of an endangered phocid, the southern elephant seal and the implications for wildlife research. Southern elephant seal pups were repeatedly handled during the first six weeks of their lives. The possibility that such anthropogenic research may have altered the very parameters that were being investigated is a topical and relevant study area that we address here. Our results show that there were no measurable effects on pups that were repeatedly handled and subjected to invasive research methods with respect to survivorship in the short term (the 24-day nursing period) nor in the long term (the first year of life and beyond) and hence fitness one year after handling. In support of this conclusion we were unable to detect any significant differences in the survival rates of the most intensively handled seals and the least intensively handled seals.     

Quality assured measurements of animal building emissions: gas concentrations

Comprehensive field studies were initiated in 2002 to measure emissions of ammonia (NH3), hydrogen sulfide (H2S), carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), nonmethane hydrocarbons (NMHC), particulate matter <10 microm in diameter, and total suspended particulate from swine and poultry production buildings in the United States. This paper focuses on the quasicontinuous gas concentration measurement at multiple locations among paired barns in seven states. Documented principles, used in air pollution monitoring at industrial sources, were applied in developing quality assurance (QA) project plans for these studies. Air was sampled from multiple locations with each gas analyzed with one high quality commercial gas analyzer that was located in an environmentally controlled on-farm instrument shelter. A nominal 4 L/min gas sampling system was designed and constructed with Teflon wetted surfaces, bypass pumping, and sample line flow and pressure sensors. Three-way solenoids were used to automatically switch between multiple gas sampling lines with > or =10 min sampling intervals. Inside and outside gas sampling probes were between 10 and 115 m away from the analyzers. Analyzers used chemiluminescence, fluorescence, photoacoustic infrared, and photoionization detectors for NH3, H2S, CO2, CH4, and NMHC, respectively. Data were collected using personal computer-based data acquisition hardware and software. This paper discusses the methodology of gas concentration measurements and the unique challenges that livestock barns pose for achieving desired accuracy and precision, data representativeness, comparability and completeness, and instrument calibration and maintenance.     

Studies of toxaphene in technical standard and extracts of background air samples (Point Petre, Ontario) using multidimensional gas chromatography-electron capture detection (MDGC-ECD)

MDGC-ECD procedures have been used to provide insight into the compositional complexity of some of the specific peaks or clusters observed in the gas chromatographic analysis of a technical toxaphene standard, with reference to individual toxaphene congeners (Parlar # components) that are flow commercially available. These investigations have focussed initially upon those peaks and clusters recently identified (Shoeib. M., Brice, K.A., Hoff, R., 1999. Chemosphere 39, 849-871) as dominant constituents of background ambient air. Multiple electron-capturing components have been found to be present in all the species studied: the available individual toxaphene congeners have been matched against these components where possible. In similar fashion, the responses obtained in equivalent gas chromatographic elution windows from the analysis of typical processed air sample extracts have been investigated, with the results showing clear differences relative to the patterns found in the technical toxaphene standard. In most cases, the air sample shows reduced complexity with fewer components present in the cluster. Also, the presence of interfering responses (due to PCBs and other organochlorines) is quite apparent and significant, showing that major problems and errors could arise when using single-column GC-ECD procedures for quantitation of toxaphene in environmental samples. The presence of certain of the Parlar species in the air samples has been confirmed and in most cases these represent the dominant toxaphene component found in the targeted cluster. Furthermore, the persistence of certain congeners in the atmospheric samples appears to be strongly dependent upon chemical structure, since the congeners in question possess an alternating exo-endo chlorine substitution pattern around the six-membered ring in the bornane skeleton. Such persistence is probably the result of lower metabolization of toxaphene residues in soils, water and sediments leading to a similar pattern in the atmosphere following volatilization.     

Comparison of two methods for the determination of total organic halogen (TOX) in receiving waters

Two methods for the determination of total organic halogen (TOX), orginating from bleaching of pulp, in receiving waters have been compared. One of the methods (AC/MC) is based on adsorption of the halogenated matter onto an activated carbon sorbent. The halogen is determined by a microcoulometric technique after combustion of the carbon. The other method (XAD/PT) uses an XAD resin as sorbent and the determination of the halogen is carried out by potentiometric titration after a schöniger combustion of the resin eluate.Both methods showed good performance for samples consisting of spent bleach liquors diluted with distilled, fresh and brackish water. The repeatability was very good with a relative standard deviation less than a few per cent. The detection limit of the AC/MC method is about 0.1 μmol/1 and for the XAD/PT method about ten times higher. The AC/MC method gave in most cases 10–20% higher TOX concentrations compared to the XAD/PT method.