The value of information for integrated assessment models of climate change

We estimate the value of information (VOI) for three key parameters of climate integrated assessment models (IAMs): marginal damages at low temperature anomalies, marginal damages at high temperature anomalies, and equilibrium climate sensitivity. Most empirical studies of climate damages have examined temperature anomalies up to 3 °C, while some recent theoretical studies emphasize the risks of “climate catastrophes,” which depend on climate sensitivity and on marginal damages at higher temperature anomalies. We use a new IAM to estimate the VOI for each parameter over a range of assumed levels of study precision based on prior probability distributions calibrated using results from previous studies. We measure the VOI as the maximum fixed fraction of consumption that a social planner would be willing to pay to conduct a new study before setting a carbon tax. Our central results suggest that the VOI is greatest for marginal damages at high temperature anomalies.     

Catching the Boomerang: EM,The World Bank,and Excess Accountability: A Case Study of the Bujagali Falls Hydropower Project Uganda

The World Bank has shifted its accountability over the past two decades away from borrowing countries towards external groups, such as advocacy non-governmental organizations (NGOs). One conduit for this external accountability is the environmental impact assessment (EM) process. EIA has both theoretical and practical challenges when applied in developing countries, but is bound by Bank guidelines designed in developed countries. Using the Bujagali Falls Hydropower Project, Uganda as a case study, this paper will demonstrate that the increase in external accountability at the World Bank via EIA has a negative effect on governments and civil society in the South and on global governance.     

Bacterial Degradation of Vegetable Oils

Following initial experiments presented elsewhere (2IOPS), the bacterial degradation of two vegetable oils was investigated in some detail. the number of aerobic and anaerobic heterotrophic bacteria, oil degrading and sulphate reducing bacteria were quantified during simulated spills on a salt marsh. the sediment fatty acid composition was also studied using GC-MS analysis. Degradation of linseed and sunflower oils was concomitant with an increase in the numbers of aerobic and anaerobic bacteria. Fatty acids analysis revealed preferential degradation of the principal components of the oils (18:3ω3 for linseed oil and 18:2ω6 for sunflower oil). the presence of several isomers of the usual polyunsaturated fatty acids was also detected. the identification of some of these new fatty acids has been carried out. Possible pathways of degradation of these vegetable oils are suggested.     

金属基工程纳米颗粒与水生高等植物的相互作用：研究现状综述

如今释放到水体环境中的工程纳米颗粒(ENP)数量与日俱增。为确保生态健康,需要进行相关的风险评估。本文综述了金属基ENP与水生高等植物之间的相互作用,找到了信息缺口并提出对未来研究的构想,为在该领域内的进一步探索提供了基础。本文讨论集中在以下3点：1. ENP的生物利用性;2. 生物对ENP的摄取、消化、转移以及生物累积;3. ENP对水生高等植物的毒性效果。由于ENP自身特性所带来的影响不明确以及水质状况记载情况不佳,ENP的摄取及相关动力学方面存在着很大的信息差距。分解似乎是驱动ENP生物累积的一种关键机制,然而纳米颗粒却常常被一些有着极少内化作用的植物的表面所吸收。然而,关于ENP在植物内的内化作用鲜有记载,因此纳米颗粒的内化作用对于生物累积及毒性的影响尚不明确。即使金属基ENP的纳米毒性已被报道,分解依然被认为是其毒性的主要机制。为推动该领域内的研究发展,未来的研究需结合ENP自身特性的影响、水体的理化参数以及它们之间的相互作用。相互作用对于ENP的生物利用性和对水生高等植物健康的风险都有重要影响。为了快速追踪类似数据的产生,我们建议测试方案趋向一致化。
精选自Melusi Thwala, Stephen J. Klaine, Ndeke Musee. Interactions of metal-based engineered nanoparticles with aquatic higher plants: a review of the state of current knowledge. Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry: Volume 35, Issue 7, pages 1677–1694, July 2016. DOI: 10.1002/etc.3364
详情请见http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/etc.3364/full
     

Explaining the fragmentation in the Brazilian Amazonian forest

Although vast literature exists on the drivers of tropical deforestation and its ecological consequences, less is known about how patterns of forest fragmentation emerge in the first place. The purpose of this paper is to address this issue for the Brazilian portion of the Amazon basin by analyzing the social processes generative of five specific patterns, including rectangular, fishbone, radial, dendritic, and what we refer to as ‘the stem of the rose.’ We argue that forest fragmentation patterns in the Brazilian Amazon are largely determined by the types and arrival times of the agents who engage in land clearing. We also argue that the patterns manifest in the landscape by virtue of road construction and agricultural property formation, which often occur in tandem. We conclude by placing our discussion within legal and institutional contexts, and observe that fragmentation stemming from formal colonization projects is more consistent with biodiversity conservation than that associated with a laissez-faire occupation. However, erosive impacts may be greater in topographically sensitive areas.     

Functional traits and the growth-mortality trade-off in tropical trees

A trade-off between growth and mortality rates characterizes tree species in closed canopy forests. This trade-off is maintained by inherent differences among species and spatial variation in light availability caused by canopy-opening disturbances. We evaluated conditions under which the trade-off is expressed and relationships with four key functional traits for 103 tree species from Barro Colorado Island, Panama. The trade-off is strongest for saplings for growth rates of the fastest growing individuals and mortality rates of the slowest growing individuals (r2 = 0.69), intermediate for saplings for average growth rates and overall mortality rates (r2 = 0.46), and much weaker for large trees (r2 < or = 0.10). This parallels likely levels of spatial variation in light availability, which is greatest for fast- vs. slow-growing saplings and least for large trees with foliage in the forest canopy. Inherent attributes of species contributing to the trade-off include abilities to disperse, acquire resources, grow rapidly, and tolerate shade and other stresses. There is growing interest in the possibility that functional traits might provide insight into such ecological differences and a growing consensus that seed mass (SM), leaf mass per area (LMA), wood density (WD), and maximum height (H(max)) are key traits among forest trees. Seed mass, LMA, WD, and H(max) are predicted to be small for light-demanding species with rapid growth and mortality and large for shade-tolerant species with slow growth and mortality. Six of these trait-demographic rate predictions were realized for saplings; however, with the exception of WD, the relationships were weak (r2 < 0.1 for three and r2 < 0.2 for five of the six remaining relationships). The four traits together explained 43-44% of interspecific variation in species positions on the growth-mortality trade-off; however, WD alone accounted for > 80% of the explained variation and, after WD was included, LMA and H(max) made insignificant contributions. Virtually the full range of values of SM, LMA, and H(max) occurred at all positions on the growth-mortality trade-off. Although WD provides a promising start, a successful trait-based ecology of tropical forest trees will require consideration of additional traits.     

Spatial distribution of lead concentrations in urban surface soils of New Orleans, Louisiana USA

Immediately following hurricane Katrina concern was raised over the environmental impact of floodwaters on the city of New Orleans, especially in regard to human health. Several studies were conducted to determine the actual contaminant distribution throughout the city and surrounding wetlands by analyzing soil, sediment, and water for a variety of contaminants including organics, inorganics, and biologics. Preliminary investigations by The Institute of Environmental and Human Health at Texas Tech University concluded that soils and sediments contained pesticides, semi-volatiles, and metals, specifically arsenic, iron, and lead, at concentrations that could pose a significant risk to human health. Additional studies on New Orleans floodwaters revealed similar constituents as well as compounds commonly found in gasoline. More recently, it has been revealed that lead (Pb), arsenic, and vanadium are found intermittently throughout the city at concentrations greater than the human health soil screening levels (HHSSLs) of 400, 22 (non-cancer endpoint) and 390 μg/g, respectively. Of these, Pb appears to present the greatest exposure hazard to humans as a result of its extensive distribution in city soils. In this study, we spatially evaluated Pb concentrations across greater New Orleans surface soils. We established 128 sampling sites throughout New Orleans at approximately half-mile intervals. A soil sample was collected at each site and analyzed for Pb by ICP-AES. Soils from 19 (15%) of the sites had Pb concentrations exceeding the HHSSL threshold of 400 μg/g. It was determined that the highest concentrations of Pb were found in the south and west portions of the city. Pb concentrations found throughout New Orleans in this study were then incorporated into a geographic information system to create a spatial distribution model that can be further used to predict Pb exposure to humans in the city.     

Why Economics Matters for Endangered Species Protection

Abstract: We offer three reasons why economics matters more to species protection than many people think and what this implies for the ongoing debate over the reauthorization of the Endangered Species Act of 1973. Economics matters because (1) human behavior generally, and economic parameters in particular, help determine the degree of risk to a species; (2) in a world of scarce resources, the opportunity cost of species protection—the costs of reduced resources for other worthwhile causes—must be taken into account in decision making; and (3) economic incentives are critical in shaping human behavior, and consequently the recovery of species. Endangered species protection that explicitly addresses these basic principles can avoid wasting valuable resources that yield no gain in species protection.     

Book reviews

Toward Sustainable Communities: resources for citizens and their governments. Mark Roseland with Maureen Cureton & Heather Wornell, 1998, Gabriola Island, New Society Publishers, ISBN 0 86571 374 X, $18.95

First Mover Advantage by Eco-efficiency: local incentives for environment and employment.. C. Erdmunger & S. Schreckenberger, 1998, Freiburg, ICLEI, DM30

Agendas for Sustainability: environment and development into the twenty-first century. Mary Macdonald, 1998, London, Routledge, ISBN 0 415 15491X, £55.00 (hbk)

Women, Population and Global Crisis: a political-economic analysis. Asoka Bandarage, 1997, London, Zed Books, ISBN 1 85649 428 4, £15.95 (pbk)

Spirit of the Environment: religion, value, and environmental concern. David Cooper & Joy Palmer (Eds), 1998, London, Routledge, ISBN 0 4151 4202 4, £12.99 (pbk)

Environmental Transition in Nordic and Baltic Countries. Hans Aage (Ed.), 1998, (New Horizons in Environmental Economics). Cheltenham, UK and Northampton, MA, USA, Edward Elgar, ISBN 1 85898 629 X

Sustainability Indicators: measuring the immeasurable. Simon Bell & Stephen Morse, 1999, London, Earthscan Publications, 175 pp. ISBN 1 85383 498 X, LE14.95 (pbk)

The Economics of Road Transport Regulation. Erik Verhoef, Cheltenham, Edward Elgar 1996, 265 pp. ISBN 1 85898 364 9, £55.00

The Water Crisis. Julie Stauffer, London, Earthscan, 1998, ISBN 185383 436X, £12.95 (pbk)