Mainstreaming of climate extreme risk into fiscal and budgetary planning: application of stochastic debt and disaster fund analysis in Austria

While ageing-related costs are perceived as the major drivers of fiscal pressure in the EU, concerns over climate-related public expenditures have received comparatively little attention in securing the EU’s long-term fiscal sustainability. Using the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) scenarios as bridging concept for linking the assessment of public cost of demography- and climate-related expenditures, this study proposes a climate risk mainstreaming methodology. We apply a stochastic debt model and assess the potential flood risk in Austria to the public debt and the national disaster fund. Our results indicate that public debt under no fiscal consolidation is estimated to increase from the current level of 84.5% relative to GDP in 2015 to 92.1% in 2030, with macroeconomic variability adding further risk to the country’s baseline public debt trajectory. The study finds that the estimated public contingent liability due to expected flood risk is small relative to the size of economy. The existing earmarked disaster risk reduction (DRR) funding will likely reduce the risk of frequent-and-low impact floods, yet the current budgetary arrangement may be insufficient to deal with rising risk of extreme floods in the future. This prompts the need for further discussions regarding potential reforms of the disaster fund. As many EU member states are in the early stages of designing climate change policy strategies, the proposed method can support the mainstreaming of climate-related concerns into longer-term fiscal and budgetary planning.

     

The cost-effectiveness of life-saving interventions in Japan. Do chemical regulations cost too much?

This paper compares the cost-effectiveness of life-saving interventions in Japan, based on information collected from the health, safety and environmental literature. More than 50 life-saving interventions are analyzed. Cost-effectiveness is defined as the cost per life-year saved or as the cost per quality-adjusted life-year saved. Finding a large cost-effectiveness disparity between chemical controls and health care intervention, we raise the question of whether chemical regulations cost society too much. We point out the limitations of this study and propose a way to improve the incorporation of morbidity effects in cost-effectiveness analysis.     

Inhibition of seawater on bisphenol A (BPA) degradation by Fenton reagents

To investigate bisphenol-A (BPA) degradation in seawater using Fenton reagents, changes in the BPA recovery and in the concentration of BPA metabolite, BPA-o-quinone in the three water samples; BPA free deionizad water (control water), 3% aq. NaCl and seawater as a function of time after BPA fortification in the presence of radical oxygen species (ROS) at 20 degrees C were investigated. The BPA recoveries were lower in both 3% aq. NaCl and seawater than in the control water. The BPA recovery in aq. NaOCl decreased as a function of NaOCl concentration, indicating that BPA could be degraded by the potent radical ion (OCl-) at the concentration of above 2 microM. A BPA metabolite, BPA-o-quinone was formed in all the water samples after addition of ROS which was produced by Fenton reaction (reaction of 0.11 M H2O2 and 0.44 mM FeCl3.6H2O). These results indicated that BPA degradation could occur by an addition of ROS and further accelerated by the formation of OCl- in salt containing water samples. BPA recovery was the highest in seawater immediately after addition of Fenton reagents and the amount of BPA-o-quinone was very low, which suggests that seawater possesses an inhibitory system on BPA degradation. There was a positive correlation (p<0.01) between the fortified iron concentration and turbidity in seawater. Turbidity might be originated from iron-binding substances. Degradation threshold of BPA was observed when Fenton reaction was employed in seawater fortified with high amount of BPA. The present study suggested that iron trapping caused an inhibition on BPA degradation by Fenton reagents.     

Urinary 8-hydroxy-2'-deoxyguanosine in inhabitants chronically exposed to arsenic in groundwater in Cambodia

Arsenic concentrations in hair and urine, and urinary levels of 8-hydroxy-2'-deoxyguanosine (8-OHdG), a marker of oxidative DNA damage, were examined for inhabitants of the Mekong Basin in Kratie Province, Cambodia. Also, the arsenic levels of tube-well water were determined. Total arsenic concentrations in tube-well water ranged from <1 to 886 microg L(-1), and 44.8% of these exceeded the WHO drinking water guideline of 10 microg L(-1). Elevated levels of arsenic were observed in the human hair and urine, and also a significant positive correlation was observed between the concentrations in hair and urine. These results suggest that the inhabitants are chronically exposed to arsenic through drinking the tube-well water. Levels of urinary 8-OHdG were higher for the subjects with higher arsenic levels in hair and urine, suggesting that induction of oxidative DNA damage was caused by chronic exposure to arsenic in tube-well water for the inhabitants in Kratie Province. To our knowledge, this is the first report on the oxidative DNA damage caused by chronic exposure to arsenic in groundwater for the inhabitants in Cambodia.     

Evaluation of the physiology of miniature pig fed Shochu distillery waste using mRNA expression profiling

Journal of Material Cycles and Waste Management - Shochu distillery waste is the discarded material generated during Shochu production, and it has been used as feed for livestock. In this study, we...     

Contamination by arsenic and other trace elements in tube-well water and its risk assessment to humans in Hanoi, Vietnam

Concentrations of As and other trace elements and their association were examined in groundwater (n = 25) and human hair (n = 59) collected at Gia Lam District and Thanh Tri District, suburban areas of Hanoi, Vietnam, in September 2001. Concentrations of As in the groundwater ranged from <0.10 to 330 microg/l, with about 40% of these exceeding WHO drinking water guideline of 10 microg/l. Also, 76% and 12% of groundwater samples had higher concentrations of Mn and Ba than WHO drinking water guidelines, respectively. Arsenic concentrations in hair of residents in Gia Lam and Thanh Tri Districts (range 0.088-2.77 microg/g dry wt.) were lower than those in other As-contaminated areas of the world, but were higher than those of people in non-contaminated areas. Concentrations of As and Mn in hair of some individuals from the Gia Lam and Thanh Tri Districts exceeded the level associated with their toxicity and, therefore, a potential health risk of As and Mn is a concern for the people consuming the contaminated water in this area. Cumulative As exposure was estimated to be lower than the threshold levels at the present, which might explain the absence of manifestations of chronic As poisoning and arsenicosis in the residents of Gia Lam and Thanh Tri Districts. To our knowledge, this study revealed for the first time that the residents are exposed not only to As but also Mn and Ba from groundwater in the Red River Delta, Vietnam.     

Specific biomagnification of polychlorinated dibenzo-p-dioxins and dibenzofurans in tufted ducks (Aythya fuligula), common cormorants (Phalacrocorax carbo) and their prey from Lake Shinji, Japan

Polychlorinated dibenzo-p-dioxins and dibenzofurans (PCDDs/DFs) were detected in waterfowl such as common cormorants, tufted ducks, and their prey, namely fish and bivalves from Lake Shinji, Japan. The concentration of total PCDDs/DFs-TEQ was found to be higher in the muscle tissues of common cormorants than in those of tufted ducks. The results of hierarchical cluster analysis implied that the residue distribution pattern of PCDD/DF homologues was considerably different between these two species. Furthermore, biomagnification factors (BMFs) were estimated from bivalves as prey to tufted duck muscles as target organs. Despite the highest concentrations of 1,3,6,8- and 1,3,7,9-TeCDD in tufted ducks and their prey, however, the BMFs of these isomers were calculated to be lower than those of the toxic 2,3,7,8-substituted PCDDs/DFs. On the other hand, log BMF of toxic 2,3,7,8-substituted PCDDs/DFs were significantly higher for lower chlorinated isomers than those of the higher chlorinated isomers. The biota-sediment accumulation factors (BSAFs) of PCDDs/DFs were also estimated using shijimi clam and fish samples against sediment from Lake Shinji. The average BSAFs were estimated and ranged from 4.0×10⁻³ to 2.2×10⁻¹ and 2.0×10⁻⁴ to 2.0×10⁻¹ for bivalve and fish samples, respectively. Based on calculated BMFs and BSAFs, the total PCDD/DF-TEQ levels in the tufted duck were estimated to have been lowest (2.0 pg TEQ/g dry weight basis) in 1947 and highest (9.8 pg TEQ/g) in 1971.     

Pharyngeal aspiration of single-wall carbon nanotubes aggravates allergic reaction to inhaled ovalbumin in mice

Single-wall carbon nanotubes are a major type of nano-objects that have industrial applications such as fuel cells. In this study, four types of single-wall carbon nanotubes and their abilities to aggravate allergic reactions were examined: those containing Fe, those containing Ni, and the corresponding purified metal-free ones. These were administered to mice via pharyngeal aspiration. Subsequently, the mice inhaled ovalbumin a total of eight times over three weeks. After inhalation of ovalbumin, the concentrations of total immunoglobulin E and ovalbumin-specific immunoglobulin E in serum increased in mice treated with purified metal-free and Fe containing single-wall carbon nanotubes while those containing Ni did not affect total and ovalbumin-specific immunoglobulin E levels. Additionally, the purified metal-free and Fe containing nanotubes caused the gene expression of heme oxygenase-1, chemokine (C-X-C motif) ligand 2, and tumor necrosis factor-α, suggesting that some kinds of single-wall carbon nanotubes have the potential to aggravate allergic reactions via oxidative stress and inflammation. Incorporated metals do not seem to be involved in the aggravation of allergic reactions. Other physical properties, such as fiber length and aggregation state, may be involved in enhancing allergic reactions.     

Validation of modeling approach to evaluate congener-specific concentrations of polychlorinated dibenzo-p-dioxins and dibenzofurans in air and soil near a solid waste incinerator

A concise modeling approach using long-term averaged meteorological data was developed to estimate site-specific concentrations of congeners of polychlorinated dibenzo-p-dioxins and dibenzofurans (PCDD/Fs) near a solid waste incinerator. This approach consists of calculation of atmospheric dispersion, dry and wet deposition of gaseous and particle-bound congeners, and non-steady-state concentrations in soil. The predictability of this approach was evaluated by comparison of calculated concentrations of congeners in soil with those measured at eight locations near a municipal solid waste incinerator (MSWI). The variation of these concentrations due to variability of meteorological parameters is small. A considerable number of mean values show good agreement with measured concentrations within a factor of three. The reasonable agreement between calculated and measured concentrations indicates that algorithms for the calculation of vapor-phase deposition and non-steady-state concentrations in soil must be included in the modeling approach for an accurate estimation of the concentrations of congeners of PCDD/Fs emitted from MSWIs to the atmosphere. For a detailed estimation of site-specific concentrations, it is important to specify the bulk density of soil in the evaluated area, together with meteorological parameters.     

Vegetation monitoring using diferent scale of remote sensing data

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