不同模式对珠三角地区细颗粒物污染模拟效果对比评估

运用CAMxv5.4、CMAQv4.7.1、CMAQv5.0.2(AEOR5)和CMAQv5.02(AEOR6)模拟2013年12月珠三角地区空气质量,并对比评估不同模式、不同模式版本、不同气溶胶机制在PM_(2.5)模拟上的表现.各模式在PM_(2.5)的模拟上均表现良好,呈现出合理且相似的时空特征,在市区和非超标时段CAMx模式表现最优,而在郊区和超标时段则不存在表现最优的模式.CMAQ系列模式在市区和郊区、超标时段和非超标时段均表现相似,CMAQ4模式表现均优于CMAQ5系列模式,而CMAQ5AE6模式在反映PM_(2.5)的浓度水平的能力上强于CMAQ5AE5模式,但在重现PM_(2.5)小时浓度变化趋势的能力上却劣于CMAQ5AE5模式.边界条件是不同模式PM_(2.5)模拟差异的主要来源之一,且在超标时段边界条件对PM_(2.5)模拟效果的影响大于非超标时段.此外,CAMx模式与CMAQ5AE5模式之间硫酸盐、硝酸盐和有机颗粒的差异导致了其PM_(2.5)模拟表现上差异,CMAQ4模式与CMAQ5AE5模式之间硫酸盐、硝酸盐和铵盐等无机盐组分的差异是导致其PM_(2.5)模拟差异的主要原因,硝酸盐和铵盐的差异是CMAQ5AE5模式与CMAQ5AE6模式之间PM_(2.5)模拟差异的主要因素.     

污水厂强化生物硝化和除磷的研究及运行策略

针对城镇污水厂运行过程中出现的问题(进水水质复杂、pH超标,造成NH3-N去除效率极低及某A/O工艺污水厂出水TP波动),进行了强化生物硝化和除磷的试验研究,得出了污水厂的运行控制策略,同时分析了A2/O工艺的运行模式对生物除磷的影响。     

Miscible fluid displacement stability in unconfined porous media:: Two-dimensional flow experiments and simulations

In situ flushing groundwater remediation technologies, such as cosolvent flushing, rely on the stability of the interface between the resident and displacing fluids for efficient removal of contaminants. Contrasts in density and viscosity between the resident and displacing fluids can adversely affect the stability of the displacement front. Petroleum engineers have developed techniques to describe these types of processes; however, their findings do not necessarily translate directly to aquifer remediation. The purpose of this laboratory study was to investigate how density and viscosity contrasts affected cosolvent displacements in unconfined porous media characterized by the presence of a capillary fringe. Two-dimensional flow laboratory experiments, which were partially scaled to a cosolvent flushing field experiment, were conducted to determine potential implications of flow instabilities in homogeneous sand packs. Numerical simulations were also conducted to investigate the differential impact of fluid property contrasts in unconfined and confined systems. The results from these experiments and simulations indicated that the presence of a capillary fringe was an important factor in the displacement efficiency. Buoyant forces can act to carry a lighter-than-water cosolvent preferentially into the capillary fringe during displacement of the resident groundwater. During subsequent water flooding, buoyancy forces can act to effectively trap the cosolvent in the capillary fringe, contributing to the inefficient removal of cosolvent from the aquifer.     

污水回用中的循环浓缩水质模型与污水回用率

污水回用中因循环浓缩,存在着水质变差问题．探索其变化规律,定量确定运行参数,做到既节水又保证回用水质合格、稳定,具有重要理论和实用意义．通过数学归纳法推导出一个循环浓缩水质数学模型和计算杂用水质和污水回用率的公式．应用该模型,以厕所污水回用为例,就污水水质、污染物去除率、处理水质和杂用水质标准对杂用水质、污水回用率的影响进行讨论．结果表明,在符合城市杂用水水质标准的前提条件下,分别按生化需氧量、浊度、氨氮及色度等水质指标计算得出的污水回用率是65．3％,82．9％,57．5％和37％．在厕所污水回用中,色度为水回用率的限制指标．由于色度指标的限制,经计算水循环厕所的污水回用率一般不宜超过40％。     

沉井加桩复合基础水平动力响应特性

沉井加桩复合基础是一种结合沉井及群桩各自优点形成的新型跨江海桥梁深水基础型式。在复杂的江海环境下,基础将承受强风、波浪及地震等引起的水平动荷载作用,其水平动力特性研究是复合基础合理设计施工和推广应用的重要保证。基于动力Winkler模型分别提出了沉井加桩基础的频域非线性及时域非线性计算方法,并同有限元对比验证了简化方法的正确性。通过算例进一步分析了冲刷对沉井加桩基础动力特性的影响规律,结果表明,土体应力历史及土体非线性对复合基础动力阻抗、共振幅值及频率均有显著影响。     

城市空气质量达标规划编制中的关键技术及其案例应用

本文结合重庆市空气质量限期达标规划编制案例,介绍了城市空气质量达标规划编制中的几个关键技术及其具体应用,包括本地化污染源排放清单编制、污染物来源解析、污染物排放形势预测与减排潜力分析以及大气环境容量核算等。本地化污染源排放清单是城市空气质量达标规划编制的基础,针对现有污染源制定科学合理的减排方案是达标规划的核心内容。分析不同区域的污染物组分浓度特征、污染源贡献以及未来污染排放形势预测,有助于识别出制约未来空气质量达标的关键因素及污染源。基于污染源减排潜力和污染传输矩阵制定的污染源减排方案更具合理性和可行性,应用空气质量模型估算大气环境容量可为规划目标可达性提供依据。     

国家《大气污染防治行动计划》健康效益评估

为了提高空气质量改善进程,2013 年国家发布了《大气污染防治行动计划》。本文基于空气污染与健康效益评估模型(BenMAP),对人口分布资料、大气污染与人体健康影响的暴露反应关系等进行了本土化修正,采用“支付意愿法”与“疾病成本法”相结合的方法,系统评估了《大气污染防治行动计划》实施后,PM_2.5 污染变化引起的环境健康效益。研究结果表明,《大气污染防治行动计划》的实施将在一定程度上降低PM_2.5 环境浓度,改善环境空气质量。如果《大气污染防治行动计划》空气质量目标全面实现,可以避免城镇8.9 万居民的过早死亡,减少12 万人次住院治疗以及941 万人次的门诊和急诊病例,实现的全国健康效益约为867 亿元/ 年,说明了《大气污染防治行动计划》实施的健康有益性。本文对政府部门开展污染损失评估及制定环境健康政策具有重要的参考价值。     

Bootstrap confidence intervals for adaptive cluster sampling design based on Horvitz–Thompson type estimators

Perez and Pontius (J Stat Comput Simul 76:755–764, 2006) introduced several bootstrap methods under adaptive cluster sampling using a Horvitz–Thompson type estimator. Using a simulation study, they showed that their proposed methods provide confidence intervals with highly understated coverage rates. In this article, we first show that their bootstrap methods provide biased bootstrap estimates. We then define two bootstrap methods, based on the method of Gross (Proceeding of the survey research methods section. American Statistical Association, Alexandria, VA, pp 181–184, 1980) and Bootstrap With Replacement, that provide unbiased bootstrap estimates of the population mean with bootstrap variances matching the corresponding unbiased variance estimator. Using a simulation study, we show that the bootstrap confidence intervals based on our proposed methods have better performance than those based on available bootstrap methods, in the sense of having coverage proportion closer to the nominal coverage level. We also compare the proposed intervals to empirical likelihood based intervals in small samples.     

雷管自动装配线上袋式除尘器的设计和研究

以军民两用雷管主要填充物黑索金为研究对象,详细论述了小型低压脉冲袋式除尘器在雷管自动装配线上的应用,及该结构中几个关键点的设计。     

CeMn氧化物催化剂的制备及其对甲苯的催化降解性能

采用草酸沉淀法合成了铈锰 氧化物（CeMn氧化物）催化剂,在固定床反应器中考察了不同Ce-Mn摩尔比、空速对CeMn 氧化物催化剂催化降解甲苯效果的影响,通过XRD、SEM、XPS等技术表征了催化剂的理化性质。实验结果表明：当n（Ce）∶n（Mn）=1∶3时得到的Ce₁Mn₃催化剂降解甲苯的活性最佳,T₅₀=198 ℃,T₉₀=249 ℃,且Ce₁Mn₃催化剂具有较好的活性稳定性;随着空速的增加,Ce₁Mn₃催化降解甲苯的性能变差。表征结果表明：CeMn氧化物形成的Ce-Mn固溶体使CeMn氧化物表面氧空位浓度增加,加快了氧物种在催化剂内部及表面的流动传输;Ce氧化物与Mn氧化物之间的协同作用使催化剂的还原峰向低温方向偏移,CeMn氧化物展现出更优异的低温活性。