煤尘润湿接触角的BP神经网络估算方法研究

通过采集和测定35个矿区煤样品的化学组成、结构参数和润湿接触角,构建了以13个影响因子为输入参数和以接触角为输出目标的3层BP人工神经网络,并利用该模型估算煤尘润湿接触角。结果表明,隐含层节点数为19时,接触角估算值与实测值的决定系数R2=0.957,平均相对误差为4.59%,表明基于BP神经网络建立的煤尘润湿接触角估算模型具有很高的精度。     

大型磷肥生产企业环境风险研究

对大型磷肥企业生产过程中存在的风险进行识别,进行风险事故源项分析,讨论了风险事故后果的计算方法,并提出相应的风险管理措施。     

A Multilevel Modeling Approach to Assessing Regional and Local Landscape Features for Lake Classification and Assessment of Fish Growth Rates

The ecoregion and watershed frameworks are landscape-based classifications that have been used to group waterbodies with respect to measures of community structure; however, they have yet to be evaluated for grouping lakes for demographic characteristics of fish populations. We used a multilevel modeling approach to determine if variability in mean fish length at age could be partitioned by ecoregions and watersheds. For the ecoregions analysis, we then examined if within-ecoregion variability could be explained by local water quality and lake morphometry characteristics. We used data from agency surveys conducted during 1974-1984 for age 2 and 3 fish of seven common warm and coolwater fish species. Variance in mean length at age between ecoregions for all species was not significant, and between-watershed variance estimates were only significant in 3 out of 14 analyses; however, the total amount of variation between watersheds was very small (ranging from 1.8% to 3.7% of the total variance), indicating that ecoregions and watersheds were ineffective in partitioning variability in mean length at age. Within ecoregions, water quality and lake morphometric characteristics accounted for 2%-23% of the variation in mean length at age. Measures of lake productivity were the most common significant covariates, with mean length at age increasing with increasing lake productivity. Much of the variability in mean length at age was not accounted for, suggesting that other local factors such as biotic interactions, fish density, and exploitation are important. The results indicate that the development of an effective regional framework for managing inland lakes will require a substantial effort to understand sources of demographic variability and that managers should not rely solely on ecoregions or watersheds for grouping lakes with similar growth rates.     

宁夏冰雹的分布特征

应用1961～2004年宁夏各气象站地面观测资料，统计分析了宁夏冰雹的时空分布特征，探讨了宁夏冰雹产生的主要源地和移动路径。分析表明：20世纪80年代为宁夏冰雹频发期，90年代有减少的趋势；近10年来冰雹大为减少，年际变化比较大，有一定的周期性。冰雹多发生于春末至盛夏，6月为频发期；87％出现在中午至傍晚前后；71．84％的降雹持续时间在1～10min之间。初雹最早发生在3月中旬，终雹最晚结束在10E下旬。有2个频发中心，即宁夏南部的六盘山区和北部的贺兰山区，有“山地多、平川少、南北多、中部少”的地域分布特征。降雹线大部分呈NW—SE走向，移动路径多从西北向东南方向移动；主要发源于六盘山系和贺兰山沿山。     

国家地震紧急救援训练基地可控地震废墟设计(Ⅰ)--结构地震破坏模式

我国是一个地震多发的国家，地震灾害给我国造成了巨大的经济损失和严重的生命伤亡。专业化的震后紧急搜索救援能够最大限度地减少人民生命财产的损失，是防震减灾体系不可或缺的组成部分。通过大量的地震灾害实例，并借鉴地震灾害评估方法和建筑物抗震设计，对危害人类生命财产的建筑物震害的特征按照结构类型进行了详细说明，通过对这些地震中常见震害的了解和认识，为国家地震紧急救援训练基地的规划设计和相应搜索救援训练科目的设置提供依据。     

活性炭管吸附气相色谱法测定工作场所中环氧丙烷、环氧氯丙烷

建立了一种利用活性炭管采样,二硫化碳洗脱,DB-624UI气相色谱柱(30 m×0.25 mm×1.4μm)进行分离,FID检测器检测的测定环氧丙烷和环氧氯丙烷的气相色谱方法。结果显示,环氧丙烷和环氧氯丙烷在0.5~50 mg/L范围内线性关系良好,方法检出限达到了0.026 mg/m3和0.048 mg/m3(以采集4.5 L空气样品计);环氧丙烷平均解析效率84.84%(RSD=1.770),环氧氯丙烷平均解析效率92.07%(RSD=2.270),适用于工作场所中环氧丙烷和环氧氯丙烷的同时测定。     

黑龙江省夏季干旱气候特征及成因分析

利用1954-2009年气候实测资料,分析了黑龙江省干旱发生的气候特征。结果表明,20世纪70年代与21世纪初的近10年为干旱盛行时期,尤其是2000年后至今,平均每2年发生一次干旱。大部分年份的干旱发生在拉尼娜事件或赤道东太平洋为冷水位相,副高较弱及偏东和北界偏北。从500hPa环流特点表明,东亚区盛行-、+、-距平场型式;冷空气偏向乌拉尔北部泰米尔至新地岛,黑龙江处在西风带高脊或高脊与副高结合体控制之下,维持高温少雨造成干旱。选取副高强、厄尔尼诺发生的年份的干旱典型年2004年。恰与过去年份发生的低温多雨形势相反,盛行-、+、-距平场型式,造成干旱。从旱年的水汽输送环境来看,来自欧亚大陆40°～50°N与孟加拉弯和南海的水汽输送通道,明显减弱或消失。     

浅析规划环境影响评价指标体系的构建

对规划环境影响评价的内容作出了概述性的介绍,并根据规划环境影响评价的特点,得出规划环境影响评价的指标体系应包括自然环境指标、生态环境指标、资源利用指标、能源利用指标和社会经济指标5大体系.提出规划环境影响评价指标体系的构成及建立流程.     

Reforming the CDM for sustainable development: lessons learned and policy futures

The Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) has successfully demonstrated that market-based mechanisms can achieve some cost effective emissions reductions in developing countries. However the distribution of CDM projects has been extremely uneven across countries and regions, and a few technologies and sectors have dominated the early stages of CDM experience. This has caused some to question whether the CDM has fallen short of its potential in contributing to sustainable development. We review the broad patterns of CDM project approvals and evaluate 10 CDM projects according to their sustainability benefits. The difficulty of defining “sustainable development” and the process of defining criteria by individual non-Annex 1 governments has meant that sustainable development concerns have been marginalized in some countries. Given these observed limitations, we present possible CDM policy futures, focusing on the main proposals for a post-2012 climate regime. Five options for enhancing the sustainable development benefits in the CDM are discussed, including proactive approaches to favour eligibility of emission reduction projects which ensure such co-benefits.     

a-六六六标准溶液测量不确定度评定

数据是环境检测实验室的成果,而数据质量是进行实验室成果检验的唯一要求。标准溶液是分析检测实验室最基本的量值溯源载体。标准溶液配置质量的判定工作是检测实验室最重要的质控工作之一。本文以a-六六六标准溶液配制为例,对标准溶液测量不确定度进行合理评定,充分估计分析a-六六六标准储备液(母液)及标准工作溶液在配制、稀释过程不确定度的来源,评定了不同浓度标准溶液的不确定度及其扩展不确定度。分别对储备液100 mg/L、工作液10 mg/L、使用液1 mg/L的配置不确定度进行评定,考虑了影响配置质量的几个重要因素:天平称量准确度、标准物质纯度、容量瓶及移液管体积。通过评定结果可以看出,天平称量的准确性是决定标准溶液配置的最关键因素,其次是移液管体积的影响。