Assessment of Wet Sulfate Concentration Changes at CAPMoN Sites, Canada

This paper describes a statistical analysis of wet sulfate deposition data sampled by the Canadian Air and Precipitation Monitoring Network (CAPMoN) since 1988 till 1997. The goal of the investigation is to detect presence of prevailing significant changes in the probability distribution of annual samples collected by the network at each site. The considerations are based on a first order autoregression model with second order polynomial trend and methods used for analysis of variance and multiple comparison. Unlike studies suggesting existence of long term trends in the data, methods applied here indicate absence of any systematic changes in the observed annual concentration patterns at most of the sites.     

LINKING AIR ISSUES WITH DOSE-RESPONSE AND BIOGEOCHEMICAL-CYCLE MODELS

This paper describes the roles that dose-response andbiogeochemical-cycle models play in the comparative and integratedassessment of several atmospheric issues. The two approaches aredescribed briefly, as they are commonly used, and as they might beapplied when multiple stressors and receptors, and when interactingcycles, respectively, are involved. Examples are drawn from thecarbon and sulfur cycles to demonstrate how knowledge of a cycleprovides a useful link among various current pollution issues. Possibleinteractions and some shortcomings of the two approaches are given,leading to suggestions for the appropriate use of the two tools forscientific analysis and policy development for the various air issues.     

Basic Lagrangian and Eulerian modelling of atmospheric diffusion

This note initially considers the Lagrangian approach and compares the case of the instantaneous source with the continuous one. Then, the Eulerian approach is discussed and it is shown that the main models appearing in the literature, from the telegraph, to the pseudo-spectral and the K-model are all different expressions of a more general integral differential equation proposed by Roberts.     

The vertical distribution of NO3 in the atmospheric boundary layer

Recent urban measurements suggest that NO₃ concentrations vary significantly with altitude in the lowest few hundred metres of the atmosphere. Calculations using a one-dimensional boundary layer model show that NO₃ concentrations are small near the ground and increase with altitude to a maximum near the top of the nocturnal boundary layer (NBL). These results show that the NBL is not well mixed, and that where there are surface sources and sinks two-box models of the NBL are inadequate, and surface measurements are not representative and may lead to an underestimate of the oxidising capacity of the atmosphere.     

Nomograms for calculating pollution within street canyons

The Environment Act 1995 has introduced the notion of local air quality management which requires that air quality in towns be reviewed and assessed. There is a need to identify those streets that are worst affected by vehicular pollutants. Such worst cases are likely to be narrow congested streets with tall buildings on each side. A nomogram presented here allows rapid screening of pollution in congested street canyons. The strong dependence on wind direction is reduced to the two extremes, namely wind along and wind across the canyon. Then canyon concentrations are estimated according to street geometry and traffic flow. The nomogram is designed for use by local authorities, is quick and easy to use, and paper or computer versions are available. It is suggested that detailed monitoring or modelling may only be required when simple screening methods predict high air pollution.     

Results of the “carbon conference” international aerosol carbon round robin test stage I

An international round robin test on the analysis of carbonaceous aerosols on quartz fiber filters sampled at an urban site was organized by the Vienna University of Technology. Seventeen laboratories participated using nine different thermal and optical methods. For the analysis of total carbon (TC), a good agreement of the values obtained by all laboratories was found (7 and 9% r.s.d.) with only two outliers in the complete data set. In contrast the results of the determination of elemental carbon (EC) in two not pre-extracted samples were highly variable ranging over more than one order of magnitude and the relative standard deviations (r.s.d.) of the means were 36.6 and 45.5%. The laboratories that obtained similar results by using methods which reduce the charring artifact were put together to a new data set in order to approach a “real EC” value. The new data set consisting of the results of 10 laboratories using seven different methods showed 16 and 24% lower averages and r.s.d. of 14 and 24% for the two not pre-extracted samples. Taking the current filters as “equivalents” for urban aerosol samples we conclude that the following methods can be used for the analysis of EC in carbonaceous aerosols: thermal methods with an optical feature to correct for charring during pyrolysis, two-step thermal procedures reducing charring during pyrolysis, the VDI 2465/1 method (removal of OC by solvent extraction and thermodesorption in nitrogen) and the VDI 2465/2 method (combustion of OC and EC at different temperatures) with an additional pre-extraction with a dimethyl formamide (DMF)/toluene mixture. Only thermal methods without any correction for charring during pyrolysis and the VDI 2465/2 method were outside the range of twice the standard deviation of the new data set. For a filter sample pre-extracted with the DMF/toluene mixture the average and r.s.d. from all laboratories (20.7 μgC; 24.4% r.s.d.) was very similar as for the laboratory set reduced to 10 laboratories (20.6 μgC; 19% r.s.d.). Thus DMF pre-extraction appears to improve the performance of the thermal methods without charring during pyrolysis control, e.g. the VDI 2465/2 methods.     

Modelling atmospheric mercury transport and deposition across Europe and the UK

There are inadequate measurements of surface ambient concentrations of mercury species and their deposition rates for the UK deposition budget to be characterized. In order to estimate the overall mercury flux budget for the UK, a simple long-term 1D Lagrangian trajectory model was constructed that treats emissions (1998), atmospheric transformation and deposition across Europe. The model was used to simulate surface concentrations of mercury and deposition across Europe at a resolution of 50 km×50 km and across the UK at 20 km×20 km. The model appeared to perform adequately when compared with the few available measurements, reproducing mean concentrations of elemental gaseous mercury at particular locations and the magnitude of regional gradients. The model showed that 68% of the UK's mercury emissions are exported and 32% deposited within the UK. Of deposition to the UK, 25% originates from the Northern Hemisphere/global background, 41% from UK sources and 33% from other European countries. The total mercury deposition to the UK is in good agreement with other modelling, 9.9 tonne yr⁻¹ cf. 9.0 tonne yr⁻¹, for 1998. However, the attribution differs greatly from the results of other coarser-scale modelling, which allocates 55% of the deposition to the UK from UK sources, 4% from other European countries and 60% from the global background atmosphere. The model was found to be sensitive to the speciation of emissions and the dry deposition velocity of elemental gaseous mercury. The uncertainties and deficiencies are discussed in terms of model parameterization and input data, and measurement data with which models can be validated. There is an urgent requirement for measurements of removal terms, concentrations, and deposition with which models can be parameterized and validated.     

Long-term trend and spatial pattern of PM2.5 induced premature mortality in China

With rapid economic growth, China has witnessed increasingly frequent and severe haze and smog episodes over the past decade, posing serious health impacts to the Chinese population, especially those in densely populated city clusters. Quantification of the spatial and temporal variation of health impacts attributable to ambient fine particulate matter (PM_2.5) has important implications for China's policies on air pollution control. In this study, we evaluated the spatial distribution of premature deaths in China between 2000 and 2010 attributable to ambient PM_2.5 in accord with the Global Burden of Disease based on a high resolution population density map of China, satellite retrieved PM_2.5 concentrations, and provincial health data. Our results suggest that China's anthropogenic ambient PM_2.5 led to 1,255,400 premature deaths in 2010, 42% higher than the level in 2000. Besides increased PM_2.5 concentration, rapid urbanization has attracted large population migration into the more developed eastern coastal urban areas, intensifying the overall health impact. In addition, our analysis implies that health burdens were exacerbated in some developing inner provinces with high population density (e.g. Henan, Anhui, Sichuan) because of the relocation of more polluting and resource-intensive industries into these regions. In order to avoid such national level environmental inequities, China's regulations on PM_2.5 should not be loosened in inner provinces. Furthermore policies should create incentive mechanisms that can promote transfer of advanced production and emissions control technologies from the coastal regions to the interior regions.