Graduated driver licensing: review of evaluation results since 2002

Unintentional injury from motor-vehicle crashes is the number one cause of death among teenagers in the United States. Increasingly, jurisdictions have adopted three-stage graduated driver licensing (GDL) systems for young novice drivers. Since a previous review of U.S. GDL evaluation results, many more U.S. states and Canadian provinces have implemented GDL and/or had enough time pass that additional evaluation results are now available. Twenty-one studies of GDL within 14 individual jurisdictions, and six studies of GDL in the U.S. nationwide, were collected, reviewed, and summarized. Positive results (usually crash reductions) of varying degrees were reported from nearly all the studies. Given differences in approaches, study goals, methods, and analyses, the results are surprisingly consistent. Overall, GDL programs have reduced the youngest drivers' crash risk by roughly 20 to 40%. Research on teen driving and comprehensive GDL enhancements could further reduce teen drivers' motor-vehicle crashes, injuries, and fatalities. IMPACT ON INDUSTRY: Policy-makers, as well as the motor vehicle, insurance, and other industries have been involved in teen driving safety and could enhance and coordinate their roles.     

滇缅大震与长江巨洪的遥相关

长江、珠江巨大洪水的预测对国计民生关系甚大。本文提出了滇缅地区７级以上大震发生后一年内长江和珠江有可能发生巨洪的预测指标。这一点和后来某些气象学家得到的青藏高原南部（９５°Ｅ以西）超前异常增温与江淮巨洪有关的结果是一致的,可以说这是相互验证。但这些气象学家未讨论增温的原因,我们的研究则包含这个问题的回答。另外在预测北方旱涝时也要考虑滇缅地区的大震发生与否。     

Fatal motorcycle crashes in wide urban area of Zagreb,Croatia—A 10-year review

Objective: The objective of our study was to determine the prevalence of alcohol and drug intoxication among fatally injured motorcyclists in a wide urban area of Zagreb, Croatia.

Methods: We conducted a single-center observational retrospective study over a 10-year period (2007–2016) in 3 counties covering an area including 1.2 million residents. We reviewed the records on fatally injured motorcyclists, collecting information relating to sex, age, cause of death, time of death in relation to the time of the crash, and the circumstances of the crash (time of day, day of the week, season). Blood alcohol concentration (BAC) and toxicology analysis results were collected and analyzed.

Results: We identified 163 deaths (95.7% males, 4.3% females). Overall, 64.2% of the victims were 20 to 39 years old. The majority (50.9%) of those fatally injured were responsible for causing the traffic crash; the rest were determined not to be responsible or the responsibility could not be determined. The most frequent causes of death were multiple injuries (55.8%) and isolated head trauma (23.3%). The rider’s BAC was above the legal limit for driving (>0.50?g/kg) in 53.8% of cases, with a mean BAC of 1.91?g/kg. There was no difference in riding a motorcycle with a BAC above the legal limit between groups defined as younger (≤39 years of age) and older (≥40 years of age). The number of people with an illegal BAC was significantly higher during weekends than during the work week. The BAC of riders who were responsible for the crash was significantly higher than that of those who were not responsible or whose responsibility could not be determined. Use of illegal drugs or nontherapeutic use of legal drugs was not common and was detected in 10.4% of fatally injured riders.

Conclusions: Alcohol intoxication has a major role in motorcycle crash–related mortality. A significant difference in BAC between fatally injured riders responsible for the accident and those who were not responsible implies that measures directed toward prevention of drinking and driving behavior could lower the number of fatal motorcycle crashes. Weekend measures, especially during spring and summer, could have particularly significant effects.     

大吨位起重机载荷试验的解决方案

本文介绍了国内外试重水袋的发展现状和水袋的结构组成,从试重水袋的安全、经济、节能、环保、高精度等优势进行了论述。提出了大型起重机载荷试验的解决方案,即水袋载荷试验法。     

大型环境监测实验室分析仪器绩效评估指标体系探索

大型环境监测实验室分析仪器是环境监测单位综合实力的集中体现,在环境监测工作中发挥着巨大作用。简述了仪器设备绩效评估研究现状,尝试构建大型环境监测实验室分析仪器绩效评估指标体系,并通过德尔菲法确定各项评价指标的权重值,最终计算绩效评估综合指数。在此基础上,对某省级环境监测机构的部分大型实验室分析仪器进行分析,提出,需合理配置仪器、加强日常维护管理以及开放共享等建议,为提高大型环境监测实验室分析仪器的精细化管理提供了科学依据。     

大空间建筑室内火蔓延全尺寸实验设计

大空间建筑室内火蔓延的全尺寸实验能较好反应和说明大空间建筑室内火灾过程的主要规律,也是当前研究建筑室内火灾机理较理想的一种实验方法。文中介绍了大空间建筑室内火蔓延全尺寸实验室的设计思想和实现方法,简要介绍了其在建筑火灾研究中的主要应用前景。     

大型化肥装置酸气处理的探讨

在分析了大型化肥装置酸气处理的现状和发展趋势后，总结了大型化肥装置酸气的特点，并对两种可供选择的酸气处理方法进行了比较。     

采用大变形弹塑性有限元法对带材异步冷轧过程的数值模拟

此文采用纠正的拉格朗日列式和基于弹塑性乘法分解的超弹性塑性本构关系,对铝带在不同轧制条件下的异步冷轧过程进行了大变形弹塑性有限元模拟.结果表明,在异步轧制时,轧制力对工作辊辊径的变化表现出非敏感性,而且由于搓轧区的存在,使得变形区内静水压力的绝对值比同步轧制时要小得多.     

Using latent class clustering and binary logistic regression to model Australian cyclist injury severity in motor vehicle–bicycle crashes

Introduction: In recent years, Australia is seeing an increase in the total number of cyclists. However, the rise of serious injuries and fatalities to cyclists has been a major concern. Understanding the factors affecting the fatalities and injuries of bicyclists in crashes with motor vehicles is important to develop effective policy measures aimed at improving the safety of bicyclists. This study aims to identify the factors affecting motor vehicle-bicycle (MVB) crashes in Victoria, Australia and introducing effective countermeasures for the identified risk factors. Method: A data set of 14,759 MVB crash records from Victoria, Australia between 2006 and 2019 was analyzed using the binary logit model and latent class clustering. Results: It was observed that the factors that increase the risk of fatalities and serious injuries of bicyclists (FSI) in all clusters are: elderly bicyclist, not using a helmet, and darkness condition. Likewise, in areas with no traffic control, clear weather, and dry surface condition (cluster 1), high speed limits increase the risk of FSI, but the occurrence of MVB crashes in cross intersection and T-intersection has been significantly associated with a reduction in the risk of FSI. In areas with traffic control and unfavorable weather conditions (cluster 2), wet road surface increases the risk of FSI, but the areas with give way sign and pedestrian crossing signs reduce the risk of FSI. Practical Applications: Recommendations to reduce the risk of fatalities or serious injury to bicyclists are: improvement of road lighting and more exposure of bicyclists using reflective clothing and reflectors, separation of the bicycle and vehicle path in mid blocks especially in high-speed areas, using a more stable bicycle for the older people, monitoring helmet use, improving autonomous emergency braking, and using bicyclist detection technology for vehicles.     

Structural anatomy and temporal trends of road accident research: Full-scope analyses of the field

Introduction: Scholarly research on road accidents over the past 50 years has generated substantial literature. We propose a robust search strategy to retrieve and analyze this literature. Method: Analyses was focused on estimating the size of this literature and examining its intellectual anatomy and temporal trends using bibliometric indicators of its articles. Results: The size of the literature is estimated to have exceeded N = 25,000 items as of 2020. At the highest level of aggregation, patterns of term co-occurrence in road accident articles point to the presence of six major divisions: (i) law, legislation & road trauma statistics; (ii) vehicular safety technology; (iii) statistical modelling; (iv) driving simulator experiments of driving behavior; (v) driver style and personality (social psychology); and (vi) vehicle crashworthiness and occupant protection division. Analyses identify the emergence of various research clusters and their progress over time along with their respective influential entities. For example, driver injury severity ” and crash frequency show distinct characteristics of trending topics, with research activities in those areas notably intensified since 2015 Also, two developing clusters labelled autonomous vehicle and automated vehicle show distinct signs of becoming emerging streams of road accident literature. Conclusions: By objectively documenting temporal patterns in the development of the field, these analyses could offer new levels of insight into the intellectual composition of this field, its future directions, and knowledge gaps. Practical Applications: The proposed search strategy can be modified to generate specific subsets of this literature and assist future conventional reviews. The findings of temporal analyses could also be instrumental in informing and enriching literature review sections of original research articles. Analyses of authorships can facilitate collaborations, particularly across various divisions of accident research field.