Age and lost working days as a result of an occupational accident: A study in a shiftwork rotation system

The present work analyzed the relationship of age and tenure with occupational accident severity of 156 male shiftworkers at an industrial plant. Based on past research, negative binomial regression analyses were performed to examine the association of age and tenure with the lost working days due to medically certified occupational accidents (LWDI). The main effects of age and tenure and the contribution of age by tenure interaction and age squared terms were examined. Regression results indicated a significant association of age by tenure interaction with LWDI. However, this relationship was non-significant when considering an age squared term in the regression equation, suggesting a non-linear association of age with LWDI. The findings are discussed in regard to the specific preventative measures of occupational accidents in shiftwork systems that could be addressed to different age groups.     

Global trend according to estimated number of occupational accidents and fatal work-related diseases at region and country level

Background

Although occupational accidents and work-related diseases have been of interest for a long time, due to lack of proper recording and notification systems the official numbers of occupational accidents and work-related diseases are missing for many countries. Presently, the demand for effectiveness and an interest in the economic aspects of accidents have increased prevention activities at company and country levels.

Methods

Occupational accident data of selected countries and of World Health Organization regional divisions together with the global burden of disease were used in estimating global occupational accidents and fatal work-related diseases. The trend of global occupational accidents and work-related diseases is presented at region and country levels. The years 1998, 2001, and 2003 are compared in the case of occupational accidents and the years 2000 and 2002 in the case of work-related diseases.

Results

The total number of occupational accidents and fatal work-related diseases has increased, but the fatality rates per 100,000 workers have decreased. There were almost 360,000 fatal occupational accidents in 2003 and almost 2 million fatal work-related diseases in 2002. Every day more than 960,000 workers get hurt because of accidents. Each day 5,330 people die because of work-related diseases.

Conclusions

Information on occupational accidents and work-related diseases is needed so that countries may understand better the importance of occupational health and safety at country and company level. Especially companies in developing countries are not familiar with occupational safety and health. Statistical data is essential for accident prevention; it is a starting point for the safety work.     

某公司食堂施工过程危险性分析及对策措施

我国大多建筑施工企业目前的安全管理只局限于对施工现场的检查和整改工作,而对施工现场的整体安全性缺乏分析和有效的监控,目前安全评价技术在建筑业的运用并不成熟.运用科学的安全评价方法,对建筑施工危险性进行系统分析和研究,可以补充、完善和指导施工现场的安全管理工作.     

事故状态下污染物排放对水环境影响的预测研究

对辽河油田欢喜岭采油厂在事故状态下污染物排放对大凌河水域环境的影响进行预测研究。计算了洪水淹没、油罐冒顶泄漏、油井井喷泄漏、联合站泄漏、管道泄漏、暴雨径流带走落地油等16种情景下对该河流水质的影响情况,并建立数学模型,进行情景模拟。研究结果表明,事故状态下对大凌河水质影响的次序由大到小依次为:洪水淹没、油罐冒顶泄漏、油井井喷泄漏、联合站泄漏、管道泄漏、暴雨径流。     

河北省火电企业吨煤烟气排放量测定及污染动态预测

火电企业大气污染动态预测是大气污染控制的基础。采用现场实测法,对河北省36家火电企业101台机组锅炉进行现场监测,经统计分析给出不同装机容量吨煤烟气排放量,并与其他方法进行了比较,发现实测结果更为合理。在此基础上,建立吨煤SO₂、NO_x,烟尘排放量和烟气浓度的关系,为火电企业大气污染动态预测提供新的公式,对定量测定火电企业污染物排放提供参考。     

中国安全生产大趋势已进入拐点——生产安全事故宏观预警与发展态势分析

为认清我国安全生产形势现状与发展趋势，作者应用比较研究和预测分析方法，回顾总结了我国生产安全事故历史演变特点，对事故死亡人数、十万死亡率和重大事故发生频率等安全生产指标作了近中期预测模拟分析；结合我国经济社会发展现状，提出了中国安全生产大趋势已进入拐点的判断，并建议在新的历史机遇面前，对安全生产监管模式做重大调整，推进安全生产形势根本性好转，实现安全发展。     

压力传感器位移分析及疲劳寿命预测

完成了依据有限元疲劳分析为基础的传感器寿命预测研究工作。阐述压力传感器工作原理,定义影响系统寿命的参数组,既包含力学环境参数,亦包括材料属性、几何形式等结构参数。针对不同参数属性,依据疲劳强度计算需求,构建有限元数值计算模型;根据影响传感器寿命的传感单元单晶硅S-N(应力-循环)分布,完成变载荷输入条件下模型疲劳分析,依据数值计算结果完成该压力传感器寿命预测工作。结果表明:压力传感器使用寿命在7.068E8次数以上。本课题研究提出的新方法,摆脱了传统依靠试验完成多种材料组成结构体的疲劳分析及寿命预测窘境,具有通用性。     

竹林关大柴沟大型泥石流的形成机理与发展趋势

通过对陕西省丹凤县竹林关镇大柴沟泥石流进行现场勘查分析,总结了泥石流的孕灾背景,揭示了泥石流的典型特征和基本物理力学参数,在此基础上,分别从泥石流的物质来源、形成环境、诱发条件等三大条件分析了泥石流的形成机理,归纳了大柴沟泥石流具有典型的滑坡激发性、周期暴发性、强烈致灾性等特点,对泥石流的危险性进行了现状分析和预测评价。结果表明:软硬相间的岩层和强烈的构造运动是造成岩体变形破碎的主要原因,为泥石流提供了丰富的物源,垂直高差较大、沟道狭窄为泥石流提供了良好的孕灾环境,百年一遇的暴雨是大柴沟泥石流形成的诱发条件,同时受暴雨影响,沟内产生多处浅表层滑坡堵塞沟道,为泥石流聚集了能量,以至形成规模更大、破坏性更强的泥石流。研究过程采用了实测计算与经验公式估算相结合的多种方法进行对比研究,也充分验证了经验公式的适用性。     

一种基于预测法的电磁兼容设计方法

文章以数模混合电路设计实践为基础,介绍了一种基于预测法的电磁兼容设计方法。先以电磁兼容测试理论为基础介绍数模混合电路设计中的电磁兼容方法,在以此方法建立电磁兼容设计模型,并通数模混合电路实践来检验和改进设计模型。     

Application of Rosgen’s BANCS Model for NE Kansas and the Development of Predictive Streambank Erosion Curves1

Sass, Christopher K. and Tim D. Keane, 2012. Application of Rosgen’s BANCS Model for NE Kansas and the Development of Predictive Streambank Erosion Curves. Journal of the American Water Resources Association (JAWRA) 48(4): 774‐787. DOI: 10.1111/j.1752‐1688.2012.00644.x Abstract: Sedimentation of waterways and reservoirs directly related to streambank erosion threatens freshwater supply. This study sought to provide a tool that accurately predicts annual streambank erosion rates in NE Kansas. Rosgen (2001, 2006) methods were employed and 18 study banks were measured and monitored from 2007 through 2010 (May‐June). Bank profiles were overlaid to calculate toe pin area change due to erosional processes. Streambanks experienced varied erosion rates from similar Bank Erosion Hazard Index (BEHI)‐Near Bank Stress (NBS) combinations producing R² values of 0.77 High‐Very High BEHI rating and 0.75 Moderate BEHI rating regarding predictive erosion curves for NE Kansas. Moderate ratings demonstrated higher erosion rates than High‐Very High ratings and BEHI trend lines intersected at lower NBS ratings, suggesting a discrepancy in the fit of the model to conditions in the NE Kansas region. BEHI model factors were evaluated and assessed for additional influences exerted in the region. Woody vegetation adjacent to the stream seemed to provide the most variation in erosion rates. This study’s findings allowed us to calibrate and modify the existing BEHI model according to woody vegetation occurrence levels along streambanks with high clay content. Modifications regarding vegetation occurrence of the BEHI model was completed and the results of these modifications generated new curves resulting in R² values of 0.84 High‐Very High BEHI and 0.88 Moderate BEHI ratings.