Calibrating a Mountain Watershed in Wyoming1

ABSTRACT: A watershed in Wyoming was calibrated using both local climatic data and flow from another watershed. An immediate need for entry forced calibration with a limited number of years of data. Regression equations were tested using noncentral “t” and associated power graphs. The equations were presented with recommendation for great care in use.     

MODELING THE HYDROCHEMISTRY OF THE CANNONSVILLE WATERSHED WITH GENERALIZED WATERSHED LOADING FUNCTIONS (GWLF)1

ABSTRACT: A previous modeling study used the Generalized Watershed Loading Functions (GWLF) model to simulate stream‐flow, and nutrient and sediment loads to Cannonsville Reservoir from the West Branch Delaware River (WBDR). We made several model revisions, calibrated key parameters, and tested the original GWLF model and a revised GWLF model using more recent data. Model revisions included: addition of unsaturated leakage between unsaturated and saturated subsurface reservoirs; revised timing of sediment export; inclusion of urban sediments and dissolved nutrients; tracking of particulate nutrients from point sources; and revised timing of septic system loads. The revision of sediment yield timing resulted in significant improvements in monthly sediment and particulate phosphorus predictions as compared to the original model. Addition of unsaturated leakage improved hydrologic predictions during low flow months. The other model changes improve realism without adding significant model complexity or data requirements. Goodness of fit of revised model predictions versus stream measurements, as measured by the Nash‐Sutcliff coefficient of model efficiency, exceeded 0.8 for streamflow‐0.7 for sediment yield and dissolved nitrogen (N) and 0.6 for particulate and dissolved phosphorus (P). The revised GWLF model, with limited calibration, provides reasonable estimates of monthly streamflow, and nutrient and sediment loads in the Cannonsville watershed.     

SIMULATION OF THE EFFECTS OF URBANIZATION ON BASIN STREAMFLOW1

ABSTRACT: The hydrologic modeling of streamflow in the Waterford River Basin has been conducted as part of comprehensive investigations of the effects of urbanization on water resources in the basin. Using a detailed input data base, continuous simulation of streamflow in the study area has been done by means of the HSPF model, which has been calibrated for the existing conditions and then applied to several future land use scenarios. The basin climate and geology contribute to high conversion of precipitation into streamflow under the existing conditions. Consequently, future urban development in the study basin should not increase the annual streamflow, but would contribute to increases in peak flows and the incidence of flooding because of the increased speed of runoff. If the impervious area in the basin is doubled, the peak flows may increase by about 20 percent.     

APPLICATION OF THE DR3M WATERSHED MODEL ON A SMALL URBAN BASIN1

ABSTRACT: Data collected at a 79-acre urban watershed in Albuquerque, New Mexico, were used to calibrate and verify the Distributed Routing Rainfall-Runoff Model, a parametric watershed model. Standard errors of estimate for the 38 calibration storms were 33 percent and 38 percent, respectively, for volumes and peaks; and for the 46 verification storms were 29 percent and 37 percent, respectively, for volumes and peaks. Correlation coefficients for peaks were 0.8 and 0.95, respectively, for calibration and verification storms.     

加速度场中六维力传感器研制

针对加速度场中惯性效应对六维力测量的影响,提出一体化平面结构的六维力传感器设计思想,从传感器结构设计、标定方法等方面进行了详细介绍,为解决多维加速度场中六维力的测量问题和综合离心试验所需多维力传感器设计提供理论与方法指导。     

环境行业标准方法测定COD的PLS改进

文章采用偏最小二乘法改进校正模型,在测定COD值的高量程和低量程范围内分别建立PLS模型,预测结果与GB法测定COD值的相对误差为4.47%和4.09%,具有较好的一致性。研究解决了环境行业标准快速消解分光光度法测定水质化学需氧量中直线拟合回归不确定性的问题。     

气相色谱法对本底大气氧化亚氮浓度的标气定量方法研究

利用气相色谱-电子捕获检测器法(GC-ECD)测量大气中氧化亚氮(N_2O)浓度是目前广泛使用的方法,但ECD分析N_2O时存在线性范围较窄的缺点,因此,标气数量和定量方式是决定分析结果的关键因素.基于此,本文对比分析了单点线性校正法(S)、多点线性拟合法(D)、单瓶标气近似校正法(SA)、单瓶标气比值校正法(SC)对N_2O检测分析结果的差异.结果表明,SA定量相对误差最小,对测试使用的6瓶标气定值平均误差为0.09×10~(-9).根据本底大气N_2O观测精度要求,以及我国大气N_2O浓度变化范围较大的特征,推荐选用SA法对大气中N_2O浓度进行定值.依据所选方法对黑龙江龙凤山本底站大气N_2O浓度进行观测(2015年1—12月),结果显示,黑龙江龙凤山站大气N_2O浓度最高值出现在4—5月,平均值超过330×10~(-9).该站大气N_2O浓度主要受人为活动排放的影响.     

Variability in the identification and enumeration of marine benthic invertebrate samples and its effect on benthic assessment measures

Studies designed to measure anthropogenic impacts on marine benthic communities depend on the ability of taxonomists to consistently discriminate, identify, and count benthic organisms. To quantify errors and discrepancies in identification and enumeration, 20 samples were completely reprocessed by another one of four participating laboratories. Errors were detected in 13.0% of the data records, affecting total abundance by 2.1%, numbers of taxa by 3.4%, and identification accuracy by 4.7%. Paired t-tests were used to test for differences in the Benthic Response Index (BRI), total abundance, numbers of taxa, and the Shannon-Wiener index between the original and the reanalysis data. Differences in the BRI were statistically insignificant. Although statistically significant differences were observed for numbers of taxa, total abundance, and the Shannon-Wiener index, the differences were small in comparison to the magnitude of differences typically observed between anthropogenically affected and reference sites.     

A Bayesian hierarchical framework for calibrating aquatic biogeochemical models

Model practitioners increasingly place emphasis on rigorous quantitative error analysis in aquatic biogeochemical models and the existing initiatives range from the development of alternative metrics for goodness of fit, to data assimilation into operational models, to parameter estimation techniques. However, the treatment of error in many of these efforts is arguably selective and/or ad hoc. A Bayesian hierarchical framework enables the development of robust probabilistic analysis of error and uncertainty in model predictions by explicitly accommodating measurement error, parameter uncertainty, and model structure imperfection. This paper presents a Bayesian hierarchical formulation for simultaneously calibrating aquatic biogeochemical models at multiple systems (or sites of the same system) with differences in their trophic conditions, prior precisions of model parameters, available information, measurement error or inter-annual variability. Our statistical formulation also explicitly considers the uncertainty in model inputs (model parameters, initial conditions), the analytical/sampling error associated with the field data, and the discrepancy between model structure and the natural system dynamics (e.g., missing key ecological processes, erroneous formulations, misspecified forcing functions). The comparison between observations and posterior predictive monthly distributions indicates that the plankton models calibrated under the Bayesian hierarchical scheme provided accurate system representations for all the scenarios examined. Our results also suggest that the Bayesian hierarchical approach allows overcoming problems of insufficient local data by “borrowing strength” from well-studied sites and this feature will be highly relevant to conservation practices of regions with a high number of freshwater resources for which complete data could never be practically collected. Finally, we discuss the prospect of extending this framework to spatially explicit biogeochemical models (e.g., more effectively connect inshore with offshore areas) along with the benefits for environmental management, such as the optimization of the sampling design of monitoring programs and the alignment with the policy practice of adaptive management.     

大型污水输送系统的水力模拟模型

利用InfoWorks软件模拟了上海市污水治理二期工程的水力学特征。根据实际运行数据校正了阻力系数 ,并对模型进行了客观验证。结果表明 ,采用的水力模型可以很好地体现上海市污水治理二期工程污水输送系统的运行状况。采用自动水泵运行顺序可以获得比手动控制更稳定的水位。非满流存在于M2泵站前的某些管段中 ,为了提高大流量下整个系统的输送能力 ,SA和M2泵站之间的管线调储能力可充分利用。