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排序方式: 共有213条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
61.
Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons in urban soils of Beijing: status, sources, distribution and potential risk 总被引:7,自引:0,他引:7
Peng C Chen W Liao X Wang M Ouyang Z Jiao W Bai Y 《Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)》2011,159(3):802-808
We studied the source, concentration, spatial distribution and health risk of 16 polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in urban soils of Beijing. The total mass concentration of 16 PAHs ranged from 93 to 13 141 μg kg−1 with a mean of 1228 μg kg−1. The contour map of soil PAH concentrations showed that the industrial zone, the historical Hutong district and the university district of Beijing have significantly higher concentrations than those in remainder of the city. The results of sources identification suggested that the primary sources of PAHs were vehicle exhaust and coal combustion and the secondary source was the atmospheric deposition of long-range transported PAHs. The incremental lifetime cancer risks (ILCRs) of exposing to PAHs in the urban soils of Beijing for adult were 1.77 × 10−6 and 2.48 × 10−5, respectively under normal and extreme conditions. For child, they were 8.87 × 10−7 and 6.72 × 10−6, respectively under normal and extreme conditions. 相似文献
62.
63.
基于EOF的浙江省降水变化时空分析研究 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
根据浙江省17个气象站点1959年-2010年逐日降水观测数据,采用z指数方法,并运用Morlet小波分析和Kriong空间插值法对浙江省近52年降水时空分布特征进行经验正交函数(EOF)方法对比分析.研究结果表明:从时间变化方面来看,1958年-2008年间的降水变化呈波动式下降趋势,减小趋势为0.643mm/a,年代际变化不大,年际变化幅度较大,且呈周期性变化,主周期约为12年,次周期为32年和3-4年;从空间变化方面来看,根据EOF分析,浙江省降水分布呈总体一致性,东南、西北近似对称.主体变化是由东南,东北沿海两个方向和西北向内陆递减,降水中心分布浙东南、浙东北和浙西南地区. 相似文献
64.
生活垃圾焚烧厂周边土壤汞污染特征及评价 总被引:7,自引:4,他引:3
生活垃圾焚烧汞污染排放问题一直受到广泛的关注,特别是汞在其周边环境土壤中沉积,可能影响环境和人体健康.以华北某生活垃圾焚烧厂为研究对象,对其周边土壤中汞的含量及分布特征进行了分析,并对土壤中汞的污染状况及对周边人群的健康风险进行了评价.土壤中汞的浓度范围为0.015~0.25 mg·kg-1,平均值为(0.088±0.064)mg·kg-1.土壤中汞的浓度明显受到了风向影响,在焚烧厂西北方向(下风向)上汞的浓度高于东南方向(上风向)上汞的浓度.通过克里格插值绘制的汞等浓度值线图进一步给出了汞在周边土壤中的空间分布特征,图中显示在焚烧厂的周边存在3个浓度相对较高的区域,分别位于焚烧厂的西北偏北、东北偏北、西南偏西方向.单项污染指数及地累积指数评价结果表明焚烧厂部分周边土壤样品受到了一定影响,但健康风险评价表明土壤汞未对当地人群造成健康危害. 相似文献
65.
Groundwater and water resources management play a key role in conserving the sustainable conditions in arid and semi-arid
regions. Applying some techniques that can reveal the critical and hot conditions of water resources seem necessary. In this
study, kriging and cokriging methods were evaluated for mapping the groundwater depth across a plain in which has experienced
different climatic conditions (dry, wet, and normal) and consequently high variations in groundwater depth in a 12 year led
in maximum, minimum, and mean depths. During this period groundwater depth has considerable fluctuations. Results obtained
from geostatistical analysis showed that groundwater depth varies spatially in different climatic conditions. Furthermore,
the calculated RMSE showed that cokriging approach was more accurate than kriging in mapping the groundwater depth though there was not a distinct
difference. As a whole, kriging underestimated the real groundwater depth for dry, wet, and normal conditions by 5.5, 2.2,
and 5.3%, while cokriging underestimations were 3.3, 2, and 2.2%, respectively; which showed the unbiasedness in estimations.
Results implied that in the study area farming and cultivation in dry conditions needs more attention due to higher variability
in groundwater depth in short distances compared to the other climate conditions. It is believed that geostatistical approaches
are reliable tools for water resources managers and water authorities to allocate groundwater resources in different environmental
conditions. 相似文献
66.
ROB WILLIAMS SHARON L. HEDLEY TREVOR A. BRANCH MARK V. BRAVINGTON ALEXANDRE N. ZERBINI KEN P. FINDLAY 《Conservation biology》2011,25(3):526-535
Abstract: Often abundance of rare species cannot be estimated with conventional design‐based methods, so we illustrate with a population of blue whales (Balaenoptera musculus) a spatial model‐based method to estimate abundance. We analyzed data from line‐transect surveys of blue whales off the coast of Chile, where the population was hunted to low levels. Field protocols allowed deviation from planned track lines to collect identification photographs and tissue samples for genetic analyses, which resulted in an ad hoc sampling design with increased effort in areas of higher densities. Thus, we used spatial modeling methods to estimate abundance. Spatial models are increasingly being used to analyze data from surveys of marine, aquatic, and terrestrial species, but estimation of uncertainty from such models is often problematic. We developed a new, broadly applicable variance estimator that showed there were likely 303 whales (95% CI 176–625) in the study area. The survey did not span the whales' entire range, so this is a minimum estimate. We estimated current minimum abundance relative to pre‐exploitation abundance (i.e., status) with a population dynamics model that incorporated our minimum abundance estimate, likely population growth rates from a meta‐analysis of rates of increase in large baleen whales, and two alternative assumptions about historic catches. From this model, we estimated that the population was at a minimum of 9.5% (95% CI 4.9–18.0%) of pre‐exploitation levels in 1998 under one catch assumption and 7.2% (CI 3.7–13.7%) of pre‐exploitation levels under the other. Thus, although Chilean blue whales are probably still at a small fraction of pre‐exploitation abundance, even these minimum abundance estimates demonstrate that their status is better than that of Antarctic blue whales, which are still <1% of pre‐exploitation population size. We anticipate our methods will be broadly applicable in aquatic and terrestrial surveys for rarely encountered species, especially when the surveys are intended to maximize encounter rates and estimate abundance. 相似文献
67.
Michael C. Newman Philip M. Dixon Brian B. Looney John E. Pinder 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》1989,25(4):905-916
ABSTRACT: Left-censoring of data sets complicates subsequent statistical analyses. Generally, substitution or deletion methods provide poor estimates of the mean and variance of censored samples. These substitution and deletion methods include the use of values above the detection limit (DL) only, or substitution of 0, DL/2 or the DL for the below DL values during the calculation of mean and variance. A variety of statistical methods provides better estimators for different types of distributions and censoring. Maximum likelihood and order statistics methods compare favorably to the substitution or deletion methods. Selected statistical methods applicable to left-censoring of environmental data sets are reviewed with the purpose of demonstrating the use of these statistical methods for coping with Type I (and Type II) left-censoring of normally and log-normally distributed environmental data sets. A PC program (UNCENSOR) is presented that implements these statistical methods. Problems associated with data sets with multiple DLs are discussed relative to censoring methods for life and fatigue tests as recently applied to water quality data sets. 相似文献
68.
Balázs Rosivall 《Behavioral ecology and sociobiology》2008,62(6):1037-1042
In avian sex ratio studies, results often differ between species and between populations within species. Some researchers
argued that positive results were simply statistical artefacts and that sex ratio adjustment did not exist. However, many
of the proposed mechanisms of sex ratio adjustment result in costly laying gaps. In these cases, females laying large clutches
may restrict the sex manipulation to the first egg of the clutch. Consequently, detectability of sex ratio adjustment on the
level of the clutch can be low. Though obvious, this fact is often neglected in the literature. Using simulations, I show
that the proportion of undetected sex manipulation can be surprisingly high when the manipulation is restricted to the first
egg. If the sample size is 50 broods, there is 47% and 71% chance in 6- and 12-egg clutches, respectively, that sex manipulation
is undetected. Even with large samples (n = 100), the figures are 15% and 46%. These data suggest that nonsignificant results for clutch sex ratios do not necessarily
mean that sex is not manipulated in a portion of the brood, e.g. in first-laid eggs. Hence, whenever possible, data on laying
order-specific sex manipulation should also be collected. Without such data, contradictory results on brood sex ratios should
be interpreted cautiously. 相似文献
69.
陈雄新 《湖南环境生物职业技术学院学报》2008,14(3):17-19
对数据做统计描述和方差分析的方法很多,通过电子表格Excel软件进行统计描述和方差分析,为研究者提供了方便快捷的分析手段.Excel软件对于非统计专业人员的确是一个易学、易用、高效的好帮手.图7,表1,参5. 相似文献
70.
通过对乌鲁木齐市2011-2013年采暖期SO2、NO2、PM10的年均浓度、月均浓度、日均浓度的变化比较,分析了乌鲁木齐市煤改气工程实施前后大气环境发生的变化趋势,论证了乌鲁木齐市煤改气工程对城市大气环境的改善作用,为该工程今后的推广与发展得到了可靠的实践依据。 相似文献