现代统计信息分析技术在安全工程方面的应用——因子分析

因子分析是一种多元统计分析方法。因子分析的主要功能是寻求隐藏在观测数据背后,支配变量的公因子,以最简单的形式表达事物的本质概念。文中介绍了因子分析的计算方法。     

Threshold estimation from the linear dose-response model: Method and radiation data

The linear dose-response model is considered a conservative, nonthreshold relationship. This is based on a confusion between the sufficient condition (that is, zero slope at zero dose) and the necessary condition (that is, response distinguishable from zero). Once the threshold is properly defined, it is shown that the linear model predicts thresholds for radiation data in good agreement with experimental results.     

试论安全生产中的几个关系

近年来 ,我国国民经济快速发展 ,但安全生产状况不容乐观 ,安全事故频繁发生 ,事故死亡人数居高不下。笔者在对 1993～ 2 0 0 0年我国安全生产数据进行分析的基础上 ,应用最小二乘法拟合技术研究安全生产与安全事故的内在联系 ;建立人均GDP、人均安全投入、人均安措投入、人均劳保投入与 10万人死亡率和亿元GDP死亡率的函数关系 ;探讨造成安全生产事故的原因 ;进一步完善了安全理论。上述对安全生产中若干问题研究的思路和方法 ,为安全生产的宏观决策和预防事故的发生提供了重要理论和科学依据。     

The use of computer models in planning upland land use

The British Ecological Society has suggested that computer‐based techniques could be used in the coordination of policies across different land uses in upland planning. This paper looks briefly at one such technique — a linear programming model — and describes its use at a regional scale for the Sedburgh area in north‐west England. The paper concludes with consideration of why such models are not in more common use.     

许昌市浅层地下水中离子总量与电导率间关系的研究

通过实验,用回归分析法,研究了许昌市浅层地下水中离子总量与电导率间的定量关系,可用电导法快速了解水质中的离子总量和衡量水质全分析中主要被测离子总和的质量.     

灰色消解模型的改进——z变换后的线性回归解法

针对文献中提出的灰色消解模型的建模方法进行了ｚ变换，然后改用线性回归的办法求解，实例验证后表明，模拟拟合状况一致，但计算工作量大为减轻。     

Water quality assessment at Ömerli Dam using remote sensing techniques

Water quality at Omerli Dam, which is a vital potable water resource of Istanbul City, Turkey was assessed using the first four bands of Landsat 7-ETM satellite data, acquired in May 2001 and water quality parameters, such as chlorophyll-a, suspended solid matter, secchi disk and total phosphate measured at several measurement stations at Omerli Dam during satellite image acquisition time and archived at the Marine Pollution and Ecotoxicology laboratory of the Marmara Research Center, where this study was carried out. Establishing a relationship between this data, and the pixel reflectance values in the satellite image, chlorophyll-a, suspended solid matter, secchi disk and total phosphate maps were produced for the Omerli Dam.     

Spatial variations and temporal trends between 1994 and 2005 in polychlorinated biphenyls, organochlorine pesticides and heavy metals in European eel (Anguilla anguilla L.) in Flanders, Belgium

In Flanders, the northern region of Belgium, European yellow eel muscle tissue was used as an indicator of environmental and potential human dietary exposure by hazardous chemicals of surface waters and sediments. Between 1994 and 2005, over 2800 eel captured at 365 stations were analysed for PCBs, pesticides and heavy metals. Contamination of eel in Flanders fell within the range of reported concentrations in other watersheds of Western Europe. A spatial analysis of the data demonstrated that the variation in pollutant concentration tended towards higher values. This was especially evident for PCBs, lindane, endrin, dieldrin and DDE. The concentration of almost all banned substances decreased significantly during the study period.     

直线电机轮轨交通系统安全性分析

直线电机轮轨系统采用直线感应电机牵引 ,轮轨系统支承导向 ,是一种在技术、经济、环保方面均具有良好性能的新型城市轨道交通系统。该系统有两种主要技术模式 ,均有良好的安全运营记录。笔者介绍了系统的性能和设计特点 ;从牵引制动系统、控制系统、管理系统、养护维修系统以及防灾系统 5个方面对系统的安全性设计方法进行了总结 ;认为该系统具有良好的安全性能 ,先进的安全管理理念以及健全的安全防护系统 ;特别强调对该系统进行的安全设计研究 ,将为提高我国城市轨道交通系统的安全性提供新的思路     

基于有序Logistic回归的水库移民住房感知实证研究

针对水利工程移民的住房感知问题和住房感知等级为定序变量的特点,基于有序logistic回归分析理论,构建移民住房感知的有序logistic回归模型,并针对浯溪口水利枢纽工程移民进行实证研究。主要结论如下:1施肥种类、最高教育水平和家庭年收入对移民住房感知存在显著正向作用,水源种类对移民住房感知存在显著负向作用。2施肥种类要素分析表明,当地移民生活对农业生产依赖性较高,且移民对区域交通状态改变预期是导致其住房感知差异化的主要因素。3最高教育水平要素分析表明,教育程度越高,移民住房感知越高。4水源要素分析表明,移民对水源的获取难度和成本的预期越差,其住房感知越差。5家庭年收入要素分析表明,家庭年收入越高,移民对未来的预期越好,其住房感知越高,经济发展是解决移民问题的基础。