Long-term trends and short-term variability of water quality in Skive Fjord, Denmark – nutrient load and mussels are the primary pressures and drivers that influence water quality

Nineteen years of monitoring data from the eutrophic Skive Fjord, Denmark were examined for linkages to external pressures and drivers, including nutrient inputs, meteorology and stocks of blue mussels. Linkages were examined by: 1) time-series analysis to document effects of nutrient reduction programs, 2) Pearson Rank correlations, 3) multivariate statistical analysis (PLS) to identify water quality variables with high predictability and their linkages to pressures, and 4) regression analysis to quantify relationships between pressures and water quality. Freshwater input, nitrogen load and phosphorus load showed decreasing trends through the period 1984–2002. The load reductions were only partially translated into trends in water quality: phosphorus decreased in most seasons, while total nitrogen decreased during winter and spring only. Phosphorus concentration had the highest predictability (explained by seasonal temperature variation) followed by transparency, silicate, tot-N, chlorophyll-a, primary productivity, phytoplankton diversity and phytoplankton turnover. The variation in pressures other than nutrient input confounded the relations between loads and water quality. High biomass of mussels led to reduced chlorophyll-a and increased transparency, while short-term variability in water column mixing led to changes in chlorophyll-a due to nutrient entrainment and coupling to benthic mussels.     

A review of research on China’s carbon emission peak and its forcing mechanism

In order to make further steps in dealing with climate change, China proposed to peak carbon dioxide emissions by about 2030 and to make best efforts for the peaking early. The carbon emission peak target (CEPT) must result in a forcing mechanism on China’s economic transition. This paper, by following the logical order from “research on carbon emission history” to “carbon emission trend prediction,” from “research on paths of realizing peak” to “peak restraint research,” provides a general review of current status and development trend of researches on China’s carbon emission and its peak value. Furthermore, this paper also reviews the basic theories and specific cases of the forcing mechanism. Based on the existing achievements and development trends in this field, the following research directions that can be further expanded are put forward. First, from the perspective of long-term strategy of sustainable development, we should analyze and construct the forcing mechanism of CEPT in a reverse thinking way. Second, economic transition paths under the forcing mechanism should be systematically studied. Third, by constructing a large-scale policy evaluation model, the emission reduction performance and economic impact of a series of policy measures adopted during the transition process should be quantitatively evaluated.     

急性毒性藻红外测试中联合作用的评价方法（Evaluation Method for Combined Toxicity Effects in the Measure of Alage Infrared Radiation for Acute Toxicity）

藻红外测试中联合作用的评价方法是急性毒性藻红外测试法的重要组成,为建立其评价方法,用敏感藻和重金属、有机药品、农药开展了探索性实验.首先确定联合作用系数θ的计算式和总均偏差系数f,用其构建联合偏差系数法;再用实验得到的f=0.06调整相加作用的θ理论值(θ=1),联合偏差系数θi分别在大于、等于、小于1+0.06或1-0.06时,评价联合作用类型;最后进行二元药品对敏感藻联合作用的验证实验,验证联合偏差系数法的可行性.结果发现,4种重金属6种混合对短线脆杆藻(Fragilaria brevistriata)的联合作用为:3次拮抗作用,2次独立作用,1次相加作用;4种有机药品6种混合对羊角月牙藻(Selenastrum capricornutum)的联合作用为:2次协同作用,3次独立作用,1次拮抗作用;8种农药12种混合对水华鱼腥藻、纤细裸藻的联合作用为:9次拮抗作用,3次独立作用;一组验证实验包括藻液加药、测试、计算和评价,共需要60min,而用光密度、细胞数、叶绿素含量、细胞干重作为测试指标进行藻类急性毒性实验,需要24h～96h.对验证结果分析可知,用所构建的联合偏差系数法评价二元药品对敏感藻的联合作用,具有可行、快速、简便的优势.     

Challenge of global climate change: Prospects for a new energy paradigm

Perspectives on the challenge posed by potential future climate change are presented including a discussion of prospects for carbon capture followed either by sequestration or reuse including opportunities for alternatives to the use of oil in the transportation sector. The potential for wind energy as an alternative to fossil fuel energy as a source of electricity is outlined including the related opportunities for cost effective curtailment of future growth in emissions of CO₂.     

长江三角洲地区大气顶气溶胶直接辐射强迫遥感估算

利用MODIS和OMI卫星遥感数据估算长江三角洲地区大气顶气溶胶直接辐射强迫并分析其时空变化特征.结果表明了大气顶辐射强迫和气溶胶光学厚度(AOT)存在明显的线性相关关系,R和RMSE分别为0.89和5.50.大气顶辐射强迫的区域月平均变化范围大约在-10~-70W/m2之间,一年中最大值(-53.97±6.14W/m2)和AOT一样出现在6月,最小值(-16.41±2.10W/m2)出现在12月.4个季节的大小依次是:夏季(-44.30±9.09W/m2)>春季(-42.00±7.83W/m2)>秋季(-28.02±6.32W/m2)>冬季(-20.40±5.00W/m2).在6 月,大气顶气溶胶辐射强迫空间差异最明显,在太湖沿岸的城市地区,如上海、杭州,辐射强迫可达-70W/m2,而在千岛湖地区大约为-10W/m2.在12月,空间差异最小,北部城市地区大约为-20 W/m2;南部地区大约为-10 W/m2.     

A modified steam distillation method for volatile acids determination in anaerobic digestors

A modified steam distillation method for the accurate determination of low levels of volatile acids found primarily in low rate anaerobic digestors has been developed. The interference of bicarbonate alkalinity is minimal with complete removal of carbon dioxide from the sample prior to distillation. This removal can be achieved by boiling the acidified sample for 30 min in an erlenmeyer flask with ground‐glass neck attached to a reflux condenser.     

新形势下的核安全与辐射安全对策

随着核资源广泛利用,核安全也越来越受到人们的关注。笔者在新的安全形势下,从实际情况出发,分析了我国核和辐射安全现状,特别是近年来,世界范围内核恐怖事件的潜在危险在不断增加,核设施和辐射设施在运行过程中,由于失误等原因引起事故的可能性是客观存在的,在现代战争条件下,核设施极有可能成为敌人精确打击的战略目标,因此,核安全和辐射安全面临着新的挑战。针对核安全和辐射安全存在的隐患,应从应急组织体系建设、监测系统开发、人员培训、基本信息数据库的建立、应急决策支持系统开发、完善法规、加强国际合作等方面,提出了改善我国核安全与辐射安全现状的相关对策,以不断提高我国核安全和辐射安全的水平。     

地铁站火灾烟气三维动态场模拟

由于城市地铁的建设在我国迅速发展,地铁站的火灾防范和安全疏散成为一个重要的研究课题。为了探讨地铁站火灾烟气的发展流动规律,笔者根据我国大多数现有地铁站的建筑结构模式建立了双层地铁车站的物理模型,并采用CFD的方法完成了火灾烟流三维动态的场模拟。在模拟中采用Rosseland辐射模型,将火源设定为放热量随时间变化的热源。计算结果表明在没有机械通风的情况下,烟气6分钟就将充满整个地铁站,人员难以在规范要求的时间内安全疏散。该研究成果可以为地铁站火灾发生时人员的安全疏散及烟气的控制提供一定的理论基础。     

辐射防护标准的历史回顾和ICRP1990年新建议书

国际放射防护委员会(ICRP)是非官方国际学术权威团体。目前世界各国制订自己的辐射防护标准都参考ICRP的建议。ICRP自1928年组建以来,关于辐射防护标准的总建议发布了四次。即第1、2号出版物(1958年,1959年),第6、9号出版物(1962年,1965年),第26号出版物(1977年),第60号出版物(1990年)。本文概述了ICRP历次制订辐射防护标准的原则和依据。ICRP的辐射防护指导思想变化代表了不同历史时期放射生物学、辐射剂量学及与辐射防护有关的其他学科的国际水平。ICRP研究辐射防护标准的历史经验可供其他行业劳动保护参考。     

Radiative Forcing Due to Anthropogenic Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Finland: Methods for Estimating Forcing of a Country or an Activity

The objective of this study was to assess the radiative forcing due to Finnish anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions in three scenarios. All the Kyoto Protocol gases, i.e., CO₂, CH₄, N₂O, and fluorinated gases, were included. The calculations showed that forcing due to Finnish emissions will increase in the case of all gases except methane by the year 2100. In 1990, radiative forcing due to Finland's emission history of all Kyoto Protocol gases was 3.2 mW/m², of which 71% was due to carbon dioxide, 17% to methane, and the rest to nitrous oxide. In 1990 the share of fluorinated gases was negligible. The share of methane in radiative forcing is decreasing, whereas the shares of carbon dioxide and of fluorinated gases are increasing and that of nitrous oxide remains nearly constant. The nonlinear features concerning additional concentrations in the atmosphere and radiative forcing due to emissions caused by a single country or activity are also considered. Radiative forcing due to Finnish emissions was assessed with two different approaches, the marginal forcing approach and the averaged forcing approach. The impact of the so-called background scenario, i.e., the scenario for concentration caused by global emissions, was also estimated. The difference between different forcing models at its highest was 40%, and the averaged forcing approach appeared to be the more recommendable. The effect of background concentrations in the studied cases was up to 11%. Hence, the choice of forcing model and background scenario should be given particular attention.