典型华北农村地区冬季HONO的浓度水平及来源分析

气态亚硝酸(HONO)容易光解,是对流层大气羟基自由基(·OH)的重要来源之一,对区域二次污染的形成具有重要作用.我国在大气HONO观测研究方面主要集中在一些城市区域,而在我国北方农村区域的研究还鲜见报道.为此,本文利用亚硝酸在线分析仪(long path absorption photo meter,LOPAP)于2017年11月在中国科学院农村环境研究站(河北省望都县东白陀村)开展了为期一个月的HONO外场观测,并分析了HONO的浓度水平、变化特征及收支情况.大气HONO的浓度在观测期间呈现夜间高、白天低的日变化特征,夜间最高浓度(体积分数,下同)可达约3. 70×10-9,中午最低浓度也维持在0. 10×10-9以上,表明农村区域存在比较强的HONO来源.采暖前后CO浓度显著提高,而HONO浓度无显著变化,说明供暖燃烧对HONO的贡献较小;夜间机动车直接排放在污染天气和清洁天气条件下对HONO的贡献分别为23. 20%和31. 20%,说明在污染天气条件下存在着某些较强的HONO源;夜间·OH与NO的均相反应HONO平均生成速率可高达0. 40×10-9h-1,比NO2的非均相反应HONO生成速率(0. 24×10-9h-1)高0. 67倍,是HONO的主要来源; HONO在白天存在着很强的未知源,其强度可达1. 37×10-9h-1,对于HONO的贡献达到50%左右.     

厦门市森林生态系统固碳服务评估

生态系统固碳服务是生态系统服务评估的重要指标之一,也是区域碳循环研究的重要组成部分,可以为减缓气候变化的区域碳管理提供决策依据.以厦门市森林生态系统为研究对象,选取VPM（Vegetation Photosynthesis Model）和ReRSM（Remote Sensing Model for Ecosystem Respiration）评估其2015年的固碳服务,并阐明其固碳服务的时空变异.结果表明:2015年厦门市森林生态系统固碳量（以C计）为31.36×104 t/a,平均固碳量为644.86 g/（m2·a）,其时间动态总体呈单峰曲线分布,但受台风影响该曲线波动较大.厦门市森林生态系统固碳量空间格局总体表现为西北边缘地区较高、其他地区相对较低,与DEM的空间分布较为相似,且绝大部分区域为碳汇区.厦门市分区统计显示,同安区森林生态系统面积和固碳量均最大,分别占厦门市总量的52.58%和57.10%,其与翔安区、集美区的固碳量之和占厦门市总量的88.27%,是厦门市森林生态系统固碳的主体;湖里区固碳量最少,平均固碳量仅为14.25 g/（m2·a）,几乎为碳中性.研究显示,厦门市森林生态系统具有较好的固碳能力.      

Carbon Budget for Basic Needs:Implications of International Equity and Sustainability

The fundamental way of satisfying the basic needs of human development is to secure the basic needs,limit luxurious and wasteful emissions,and ensure the fulfillment of climate targets,so as to achieve intra-and intergenerational equity.In this paper,the author discusses and analyzes a series of challenges that the development has to face,such as poverty elimination,urbanization,and industrialization,and the problems of increased consumption that is brought about by the improvement of living standards;the author distinguishes the stock emission,which does not need annual updating,and the flow emission of regular consumption;the author also defines the standards of energy consumption and carbon emissions that can meet the basic needs.On this basis,the author proposes the concept and method of carbon budget,compares this method with other means,and in particular,studies and analyzes the implications of international equity and sustainability of carbon budget as part of the international climate regime design.     

华北平原冬小麦季化肥氮去向及土壤氮库盈亏定量化探索

为提高华北平原冬小麦种植体系的氮肥利用率、减少氮肥对环境的污染,本研究对前人的试验数据进行整理核算,分析肥料氮、作物氮和土壤氮三者之间的关系,探索冬小麦季化肥氮的去向及土壤氮库的盈亏情况.结果表明:华北平原冬小麦当季化肥氮的吸收量随施氮量的增加而升高,对土壤氮素的吸收随施氮量的增加而降低;在秸秆50%还田和100%还田两种情况下,土壤氮库盈亏量与施氮量之间均呈线性极显著正相关,且土壤氮库达到平衡时的施氮量分别是 N 192和166 kg·hm-2;冬小麦对氮肥的吸收利用率推荐施氮远高于传统施氮,过量施氮不仅不会提高作物产量,还会降低氮肥利用率,增加土壤残留和损失;3种秸秆处理方式下的冬小麦氮肥各去向绝对量与施氮量(N 75~375 kg·hm-2)之间均呈显著线性相关关系,秸秆不还田条件下的地上部吸收率、秸秆吸收率和秸秆50%还田下的地上部吸收率及秸秆100%还田下的0~100 cm土壤残留率均与施氮量(N 75~375 kg·hm-2)之间呈显著相关关系.     

Effects of tour boats on dolphin activity examined with sensitivity analysis of Markov chains

In Patagonia, Argentina, watching dolphins, especially dusky dolphins (Lagenorhynchus obscurus), is a new tourist activity. Feeding time decreases and time to return to feeding after feeding is abandoned and time it takes a group of dolphins to feed increase in the presence of boats. Such effects on feeding behavior may exert energetic costs on dolphins and thus reduce an individual's survival and reproductive capacity or maybe associated with shifts in distribution. We sought to predict which behavioral changes modify the activity pattern of dolphins the most. We modeled behavioral sequences of dusky dolphins with Markov chains. We calculated transition probabilities from one activity to another and arranged them in a stochastic matrix model. The proportion of time dolphins dedicated to a given activity (activity budget) and the time it took a dolphin to resume that activity after it had been abandoned (recurrence time) were calculated. We used a sensitivity analysis of Markov chains to calculate the sensitivity of the time budget and the activity-resumption time to changes in behavioral transition probabilities. Feeding-time budget was most sensitive to changes in the probability of dolphins switching from traveling to feeding behavior and of maintaining feeding behavior. Thus, an increase in these probabilities would be associated with the largest reduction in the time dedicated to feeding. A reduction in the probability of changing from traveling to feeding would also be associated with the largest increases in the time it takes dolphins to resume feeding. To approach dolphins when they are traveling would not affect behavior less because presence of the boat may keep dolphins from returning to feeding. Our results may help operators of dolphin-watching vessels minimize negative effects on dolphins.     

长白山自然保护区生态系统碳平衡研究

运用已建立的EPPML生物地球化学循环模型,对1995年长白山自然保护区生态系统的碳平衡状况进行了模拟.模拟结果表明,该保护区植被的年净初级生产力[NPP(碳量)]为1.332×10⁶t·a^-1,以阔叶红松林和云冷杉林最高,分别为0.540×10⁶t·a^-1和0.428×10⁶t·a^-1.这2种林型是长白山面积最大、生产力最高的林型,其生产力的模拟结果对整个保护区的碳循环和碳平衡影响最大,前者的准确性决定了后者的可靠性.总的来说,模拟值不仅在整个保护区不同植被带和气候带的相对比较中是符合常规的,而且在与相当分散的实测数据的绝对比较中也是比较准确的.该保护区的植被具有明显的碳汇功能,主要表现为植被碳量的增长,每年增长约1.058×10⁶t·a^-1.阔叶红松林的年碳量增长最大(0.452 × 10⁶t·a^-1),云冷杉林其次(0.339×10⁶t·a^-1)这2种林型对整个保护区的碳汇功能起着至关重要的决定性作用.其它依次为:长白落叶松林、阔叶林、草甸、灌丛、高山苔原、岳桦林和高山流砾滩草类.1995年该保护区土壤有机质的分解碳量比凋落物碳量高0.169×10⁶t·a^-1,除草灌土壤出现有机质的积累,高山苔原和高山流砾滩土壤有机质的分解与积累处于近似平衡状态外,乔木林下土壤有机质的分解量均为凋落物量的1.5～2.0倍.     

华北平原夏玉米季化肥氮去向及土壤氮库盈亏定量化探索

为提高华北平原夏玉米种植体系的氮肥利用率、减少氮肥对环境的污染,对前人的15N示踪试验数据进行整理核算,分析肥料氮、作物氮、土壤氮三者之间的关系,探明夏玉米季化肥氮的去向及土壤氮库的盈亏情况。结果表明：华北平原地区玉米产量最高时施氮量平均为190 kg·hm-2;秸杆吸氮量高于籽粒,且吸氮量随施氮量增加而升高,土壤残留量和损失量有随施氮量增加而增加的趋势;土壤氮库盈亏量与施氮量之间呈现线性极显著正相关,在秸秆50%和100%还田的两种条件下,施氮量为198 kg·hm-2和137 kg·hm-2时,土壤氮库达到平衡;推荐施氮条件下夏玉米对氮肥的吸收利用率远高于传统施氮,过量施氮会引起作物产量和氮肥利用率降低的负效应,增加土壤氮素残留和损失;施氮量在40~360 kg·hm-2范围内时,3种秸秆处理方式下,氮肥各去向绝对量与施氮量之间均呈显著线性相关关系;而氮肥各去向比率与施氮量之间只有地上部吸收率和籽粒吸收率与施氮量之间呈显著线性相关关系。由此,明确了华北平原夏玉米合理施氮量：秸秆50%还田时,为198 kg·hm-2;秸秆100%还田时,为137 kg·hm-2,揭示了华北平原夏玉米施氮量与土壤氮库盈亏量呈线性极显著正相关。这为确定华北平原夏玉米合理施氮量,提高氮肥利用率,避免肥料浪费及其对环境的危害提供了理论依据。     

Non-point source-driven carbon and nutrient loading to Ganga River (India)

This study was designed to test whether the atmospheric deposition (AD) significantly influences gross primary productivity (GPP) and dissolved organic carbon (DOC) build-up in the Ganga River. We collected data for three consecutive years (2012–2014) along with 37 km river stretch with respect to AD-input of carbon, nutrients, and surface runoff chemistry to relate changes in the river water. We found strong linkages among carbon and nutrients in AD, surface runoff and in the river. The concentration of DOC in the river was highest in the rainy season while those of dissolved inorganic nitrogen and dissolved reactive phosphorus were highest in winter. Spatio-temporal changes in DOC indicated dependence on point- and non-point sources and within-system DOC build-up. The GPP in the river increased consistently over time and significantly correlated with AD-N (R^2?=?0.96, p?<?.001) and AD-P (R^2?=?0.97, p?<?.001). Basin level extrapolation showed that the Ganga River Basin receives 1.81?Tg organic-C, 2.77 Tg reactive-N, and 130?Gg reactive-P annually through atmospheric deposition. Non-point source contributions of carbon and nutrients to the river were substantially higher than those of point sources. The study has relevance for regional scale carbon and nutrient budgeting and action plans for integrated river basin management.     

Carbon Stocks and Projections on Public Forestlands in the United States, 1952–2040

Approximately 37% of forestlands in the conterminous United States are publicly owned; they represent a substantial area of potential carbon sequestration in US forests and in forest products. However, large areas of public forestlands traditionally have been less intensively inventoried than privately owned forests. Thus, less information is available about their role as carbon sinks. We present estimates of carbon budgets on public forestlands of the 48 conterminous states, along with a discussion of the assumptions necessary to make such estimates. The forest carbon budget simulation model, FORCARB2, makes estimates for US forests primarily based on inventory data. We discuss methods to develop consistent carbon budget estimates from inventory data at varying levels of detail. Total carbon stored on public forestlands in the conterminous US increased from 16.3 Gt in 1953 to the present total of 19.5 Gt, while area increased from 87.1 million hactares to 92.1 million hactares. At the same time the proportion of carbon on public forestlands relative to all forests increased from 35% to 37%. Projections for the next 40 years depend on scenarios of management influences on growth and harvest.This article was written and prepared by US Government employees on official time, and it is therefore in the public domain and not subject to copyright.     

EFFECTS OF INTERBASIN TRANSFERS UPON WATER MANAGEMENT ALTERNATIVES IN CENTRAL UTAH1

ABSTRACT. Most of Utah's rapid population and industrial expansion is taking place along the western base of the Wasatch Mountains, with consequent increases in water demand. As a part of Utah's “Developing a State Water Plan,” a foundation investigation of the Utah Lake drainage area, which is at the Southern end of the Wasatch Front, was completed which delineated the quantity and quality of the water resources, present water uses, and opportunities for further water conservation. To prepare water budgets, land use data was collected to delineate all areas using water in excess of normal precipitation, which includes agricultural croplands, phreatophytes, open water surfaces, industrial areas, and urban areas. The water budgets were prepared for the time base 1931-1960, but adjusted to physical conditions existing in 1960. The Initial Phase of the Bonneville Unit of the Central Utah Project is presently under construction, with costs expected to exceed 300 million dollars. The principal feature of this project is the exportation of waters from the Colorado River Basin into the Utah Lake drainage area (Great Basin). This importation provides a large number of alternatives for allocation, reallocation of present supplies, and exportation. The possible effects of the Central Utah Project for realizing some of the above alternatives is delineated. Fortunately, the features of this project allow a wide latitude for water management in Utah, thereby facilitating its corporation into a “State Water Plan.”