基于随机森林的飞机长着陆预警方法

为降低飞机冲出跑道事故造成的人员伤亡和财产损失,以长着陆事件为研究对象,探讨1种有效的长着陆事件预警方法。提出应用随机森林模型对长着陆事件进行预警,给出模型的特征筛选、构建及评价方法,并使用实际飞行数据验证模型有效性。结果表明:基于随机森林的飞机长着陆预警模型精确率为88.41%,召回率为87.14%,模型可以有效对长着陆事件进行预警。     

基于热线法的不同水分含量松散煤体热物性实验与模拟研究*

为解决松散煤体热物性参数的测试周期长与实验误差大等问题,构建测试装置实验平台,结合交叉热线法和平行热线法,对松散煤体热物性参数进行准确测量与计算,对1～2 mm,0.5～0.6 mm和0.2～0.3 mm 3种不同粒径煤样在不同水分含量下的热物性参数的变化规律进行研究,利用Fluent数值模拟软件对松散煤体温度场进行模拟研究,并对比模拟结果与实验结果的差异性。结果表明:在所测粒径范围里,同等水分含量下的松散煤体粒径越大,导热系数越小,热扩散率与比热容越大;松散煤体的导热系数随水分含量的增加而增加,但增加趋势渐缓;松散煤体的热扩散率随着水分含量的增加而增大,当水分含量达到11.73～13.88%后热扩散率开始逐渐下降,而比热容随着水分含量的增加逐渐增大。     

生产安全领域科研项目成果评价指标与评价方法研究*

为了更全面、更准确地开展生产安全领域科研项目成果的评价工作,以国家对科技成果评价的相关法规与标准为指引,结合生产安全领域科研项目成果的自身特点,基于德尔菲法从“学术与技术水平”、“成果效益”和“成果影响”3个方面构建相应的多层次评价指标体系;结合生产安全领域科研项目成果特点,提出综合采用同行评议法、多维指数评价法、层次分析法、模糊综合评价法和科学计量法的评价方法选择思路,并以Yaahp作为评价方法的配套工具进行实际应用。研究结果可为生产安全领域相关科研项目成果的评价工作提供一套从指标体系到评价方法,从评价方法到评价工具的整体解决方案。     

Efficient Delineation of Nested Depression Hierarchy in Digital Elevation Models for Hydrological Analysis Using Level‐Set Method

In terrain analysis and hydrological modeling, surface depressions (or sinks) in a digital elevation model (DEM) are commonly treated as artifacts and thus filled and removed to create a depressionless DEM. Various algorithms have been developed to identify and fill depressions in DEMs during the past decades. However, few studies have attempted to delineate and quantify the nested hierarchy of actual depressions, which can provide crucial information for characterizing surface hydrologic connectivity and simulating the fill‐merge‐spill hydrological process. In this paper, we present an innovative and efficient algorithm for delineating and quantifying nested depressions in DEMs using the level‐set method based on graph theory. The proposed level‐set method emulates water level decreasing from the spill point along the depression boundary to the lowest point at the bottom of a depression. By tracing the dynamic topological changes (i.e., depression splitting/merging) within a compound depression, the level‐set method can construct topological graphs and derive geometric properties of the nested depressions. The experimental results of two fine‐resolution Light Detection and Ranging‐derived DEMs show that the raster‐based level‐set algorithm is much more efficient (~150 times faster) than the vector‐based contour tree method. The proposed level‐set algorithm has great potential for being applied to large‐scale ecohydrological analysis and watershed modeling.     

碳排放交易制度下城市减排的机会成本研究——基于中国碳排放试点城市的实证检验

作为全球气候治理的重要手段,碳排放交易制度受到了广泛的关注与讨论。基于此,本文采用我国2010-2016年城市面板数据,运用非参数方法构建方向性环境距离函数测算了2009-2015年城市减排的机会成本,计算结果显示,试点地区与非试点地区的碳排放的机会成本整体表现为上升的趋势,且试点地区的碳排放的机会成本总体低于非试点地区。在测算城市减排机会成本的基础上,运用双重差分法来检验碳排放交易制度的有效性。经检验发现：碳排放交易制度有利于降低城市减排的机会成本,然而由于碳排放交易制度还存在碳排放权初始分配制度缺失、碳排放交易制度的定价机制扭曲等问题,因此其对降低城市减排的机会成本作用较小,并且进一步通过对政策时间趋势的分析得出政策效应随时间推移而逐渐减弱。     

小波熵去噪在微差爆破延时精确识别中的应用

在小波熵去噪理论的基础上,对实际隧道爆破工程采集到的爆破振动信号进行了小波熵方法去噪。利用db8小波对去噪后的信号在尺度a=16进行了连续小波变换得到其模极大值,准确识别了隧道多段别微差爆破实际延期时间间隔,并验证了小波熵方法去噪的可靠性。结果表明,小波熵去噪方法能够有效滤除和抑制爆破振动非线性信号所夹杂的高频噪声分量,并且很好地保留了爆破振动信号的突变细节。对滤波后的信号进行模极大值变换,信号局部奇异点的辨识更准确,可以精确识别隧道微差爆破延时间隔。     

磁絮凝预处理景观湖泊的补水试验研究

为了快速净化景观湖泊的补水,采用磁絮凝法对Ⅴ类甚至劣Ⅴ类河道水体进行预处理,设计正交试验,分析了絮凝剂(PAC)、助凝剂(PAM)以及磁铁粉的投加量对预处理效果的影响,并利用正交试验法和多指标综合评分法进一步优化磁絮凝预处理工艺参数,结果表明最佳工艺参数为:磁铁粉加入量100 mg/L,PAC投加量150 mg/L,PAM投加量2 mg/L。在此最佳工艺参数下,进行验证试验,COD去除率达到50.39%,TP去除率为96.65%,浊度去除率为91.59%,氨氮去除率为6.31%,除氨氮外,其他各指标基本均能达到地表水环境Ⅲ类水体标准,达到了预处理目的,为后续深度净化减轻负荷压力。     

水合氧化铁的制备及其吸附性能研究

采用恒pH沉淀法,以NaOH溶液为沉淀剂,在溶液pH为3~9的范围内制得4种水合氧化铁(即水铁矿,Fh)。通过XRD、表面零电荷时pH(pHPZC)的测定、N2吸附-脱附对其进行了表征。研究了溶液pH对Fh的甲基橙去除率的影响。表征结果显示:4种Fh均为2-线Fh;它们的pHPZC为6.7~7.9;溶液pH为5,7,9时制备的Fh(Fh5,Fh7,Fh9)的N2吸附-脱附曲线均为IUPAC定义的第Ⅲ种类型。实验结果表明:4种Fh均在溶液pH为4时对甲基橙去除率最高;当甲基橙初始质量浓度为30 mg/L时,Fh5对甲基橙的去除率最高,为92.8%。Langmuir方程更适合描述Fh5对甲基橙的吸附行为,甲基橙在Fh5上产生单分子层吸附,该吸附是自发、放热的物理吸附过程。     

基于最小能量原理的平衡图调节法在矿井通风系统优化中的应用

根据最小能量原理,采用平衡图调节法解决矿井通风网络中风压不平衡的问题,建立矿井通风网络优化模型。根据矿山基本情况和平衡图原理绘制出通风网络"平衡图",采用不同的变换方法使得"平衡图"真正达到平衡,进而得出不同的优化调节方案,并进行风压平衡的验证。应用最小能量原理选出能耗最低的调节方案。并且,运用基于最小能量原理的平衡图调节法解决了矿山的实际问题,结果表明,运用该方法能形象直观地反映出风量、风压及功率之间的关系,在解决通风网络中风压不平衡问题的同时,既形象直观,又使得经济费用最低,保证矿山安全高效生产。     

Postural assessment in pen-and-paper-based observational methods and their associated health effects: a review

Introduction. This review describes standardized ergonomics assessment based on pen-and-paper observational methods for assessing ergonomics risk factors. Objective. The three main objectives are to analyze published pen-and-paper observational methods, to extract and understand the risk levels of each method and to identify their associated health effects. Methodology. The authors searched scientific databases and the Internet for materials from 1970 to 2013 using the following keywords: ergo, posture, method, observational, postural angle, health effects, pain and diseases. Postural assessments of upper arms, lower arms, wrists, neck, back and legs in six pen-and-paper-based observational methods are highlighted, extracted in groups and linked with associated adverse health effects. Results. The literature reviewed showed strengths and limitations of published pen-and-paper-based observational methods in determining the work activities, risk levels and related postural angles to adverse health effects. This provided a better understanding of unsafe work postures and how to improve these postures. Conclusion. Many pen-and-paper-based observational methods have been developed. However, there are still many limitations of these methods. There is, therefore, a need to develop a new pen-and-paper-based observational method for assessing postural problems.