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11.
Rob H.G.Jongman 《环境科学学报(英文版)》2003,15(2):173-181
The paper gives an overview of approaches towards ecological networks throughout Europe.It does not intend to present a complete picture,but to highlight comon developments within countries and regions and show common principles and differences between countries and regions that have to be taken into account when developing a joint European intiative,Countries or regions that have not been included can be active in the same way ,but information was not accessible to be authors for different reasons.This overview shows the comparable trends in decline of landscapes and the diversity in approaches to biodiversity conservation and nature conservation planning.Understanding the differences and common issues are of utmost imprtance to generalise common principles and to understand the way neighbours and other European partners approach problems. 相似文献
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有效生态网络构建可保障区域生态安全,是实现区域可持续发展的重要路径。基于生态节点的内涵解析,建立了“资源型战略点-结构型战略点-结构型薄弱点”的多层级生态节点识别体系,利用金坛区2015年的遥感影像、土地利用数据、POI数据等,通过多目标遗传算法、最小阻力模型等方法,构建了金坛区层级生态网络,并采用表征网络拓扑结构和节点效用性等指标,定量评价生态节点优化前后的生态网络性能,取得以下主要研究结论:(1)多层级生态网络在节点效用、网络整体性能上显著优于一般网络,且在复杂生态水网区域具有较强适用性;(2)金坛区现状生态网络分布不均匀,生态节点布局亟待优化,经优化节点覆盖率提升了17.70%,节点分布均匀度降低45.45%,平均聚类系数提升了87.36%;(3)多层级生态节点体系具有实践应用性,应针对不同类型生态节点采取差别化管理策略。 相似文献
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Introduction The eutrophication of fresh w ater has becom e a m ain w ater environm ental problem in the w orld. The m ain negative im pacts of fresh w ater eutrophication are w ater quality deterioration and the decrease of hydrophytes and aquatic specie… 相似文献
16.
多氯酚QSAR数值模型比较研究 总被引:6,自引:0,他引:6
应用多元线性回归分析和新近发展起来的人工神经网络方法进行了一类重要环境污染物多氯酚的定量构效关系研究,并用所建立的模型进行毒性预报,计算值与实验值的比较表明,前的相关系数约为0.92,后的相关系数约为0.99.后的百分误差地明显小于前,后的预报能力略好于前,中还讨论了后优于前的的原因。 相似文献
17.
提高洪水智能预报中洪峰预报精度方法的研究 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
针对防洪减灾的实际需要,对如何提高智能网络对洪峰的预报精度问题进行了深入系统的研究,提出了峰值放大修正系数和遗传算法优化网络初始权重相结合的改进算法,历史资料的检验结果表明了这些改进策略的有效性和可靠性. 相似文献
18.
Ashu Jain Lindell E. Ormsbee 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》2004,40(6):1617-1630
ABSTRACT: This paper presents the findings of a study aimed at evaluating the available techniques for estimating missing fecal coliform (FC) data on a temporal basis. The techniques investigated include: linear and nonlinear regression analysis and interpolation functions, and the use of artificial neural networks (ANNs). In all, seven interpolation, two regression, and one ANN model structures were investigated. This paper also investigates the validity of a hypothesis that estimating missing FC data by developing different models using different data corresponding to different dynamics associated with different trends in the FC data may result in a better model performance. The FC data (counts/100 ml) derived from the North Fork of the Kentucky River in Kentucky were employed to calibrate and validate various models. The performance of various models was evaluated using a wide variety of standard statistical measures. The results obtained in this study are able to demonstrate that the ANNs can be preferred over the conventional techniques in estimating missing FC data in a watershed. The regression technique was not found suitable in estimating missing FC data on a temporal basis. Further, it has been found that it is possible to achieve a better model performance by first decomposing the whole data set into different categories corresponding to different dynamics and then developing separate models for separate categories rather than developing a single model for the composite data set. 相似文献
19.
We examined the principal effects of different information network topologies for local adaptive management of natural resources.
We used computerized agents with adaptive decision algorithms with the following three fundamental constraints: (1) Complete
understanding of the processes maintaining the natural resource can never be achieved, (2) agents can only learn by experimentation
and information sharing, and (3) memory is limited. The agents were given the task to manage a system that had two states:
one that provided high utility returns (desired) and one that provided low returns (undesired). In addition, the threshold
between the states was close to the optimal return of the desired state. We found that networks of low to moderate link densities
significantly increased the resilience of the utility returns. Networks of high link densities contributed to highly synchronized
behavior among the agents, which caused occasional large-scale ecological crises between periods of stable and high utility
returns. A constructed network involving a small set of experimenting agents was capable of combining high utility returns
with high resilience, conforming to theories underlying the concept of adaptive comanagement. We conclude that (1) the ability
to manage for resilience (i.e., to stay clear of the threshold leading to the undesired state as well as the ability to re-enter
the desired state following a collapse) resides in the network structure and (2) in a coupled social–ecological system, the
systemwide state transition occurs not because the ecological system flips into the undesired state, but because managers
lose their capacity to reorganize back to the desired state.
An erratum to this article can be found at . 相似文献
20.
Abedalrazq F. Khalil Mac McKee Mariush Kemblowski Tirusew Asefa 《Journal of the American Water Resources Association》2005,41(1):195-208
ABSTRACT: Water scarcity in the Sevier River Basin in south‐central Utah has led water managers to seek advanced techniques for identifying optimal forecasting and management measures. To more efficiently use the limited quantity of water in the basin, better methods for control and forecasting are imperative. Basin scale management requires advanced forecasts of the availability of water. Information about long term water availability is important for decision making in terms of how much land to plant and what crops to grow; advanced daily predictions of streamflows and hydraulic characteristics of irrigation canals are of importance for managing water delivery and reservoir releases; and hourly forecasts of flows in tributary streams to account for diurnal fluctuations are vital to more precisely meet the day‐to‐day expectations of downstream farmers. A priori streamflow information and exogenous climate data have been used to predict future streamflows and required reservoir releases at different timescales. Data on snow water equivalent, sea surface temperatures, temperature, total solar radiation, and precipitation are fused by applying artificial neural networks to enhance long term and real time basin scale water management information. This approach has not previously been used in water resources management at the basin‐scale and could be valuable to water users in semi‐arid areas to more efficiently utilize and manage scarce water resources. 相似文献