用最小离差平方和法优化监测断面

本文提出了一个优化地面水监测断面的新方法－最小离差平方和法。该方法采用的基本原理是在保证水质监测的代表性和可靠性的前提下，使优化前后水质监测总均值的离差平方和最小。这样不仅使优化后的断面保证了代表性，而且使整个水体的监测数据具有一定的延续性。该方法在松花江吉林江段上应用是成功的。     

微生物絮凝剂产生菌的筛选及产絮凝剂的周期研究

用常规的分离、纯化方法 ,从活性污泥中共分离出 32株菌株。将单菌株分别培养于“JM- 1”、“DF-1”、“PT- 1”液体培养基中 ,摇床培养一定时间后 ,以高岭土悬浊液筛选具有絮凝活性的菌种 ,由此获得 8株微生物絮凝剂产生菌 ,其中有 1株絮凝活性较高 ,初步鉴定为酵母菌 ,代号为“Dfjm- 1”,产生的絮凝剂命名为“Dtjm-1”。本文研究了“Dfjm- 1”在不同培养时间的生长情况、培养液中 p H值变化情况及絮凝活性变化情况 ,得出絮凝活性与菌生长量呈正相关关系 ,絮凝剂“Dtjm - 1”在菌生长稳定后期达到稳定活性的最高值     

Influence of indoor transport and mixing time scales on the performance of sensor systems for characterizing contaminant releases

Optimizing real-time sensor systems to detect and identify relevant characteristics of an indoor contaminant event is a challenging task. The interpretation of incoming sensor data is confounded by uncertainties in building operation, in the forces driving contaminant transport, and in the physical parameters governing transport. In addition, simulation tools used by the sensor interpretation algorithm introduce modeling uncertainties. This paper explores how the time scales inherent in contaminant transport influence the information that can be extracted from real-time sensor data. In particular, we identify three time scales (within room mixing, room-to-room transport, and removal from the building) and study how they affect the ability of a Bayesian Monte Carlo (BMC) sensor interpretation algorithm to identify the release location and release mass from a set of experimental data, recorded in a multi-floor building. The research shows that some limitations in the BMC approach do not depend on details of the models or the algorithmic implementation, but rather on the physics of contaminant transport. These inherent constraints have implications for the design of sensor systems.     

Model selection in demographic time series using VC-bounds

The problem of distinguishing density-independent (DI) from density-dependent (DD) demographic time series is important for understanding the mechanisms that regulate populations of animals and plants. We address this problem in a novel way by means of Statistical Learning Theory (SLT); SLT is built around the idea of VC-dimension, a complexity index for classes of parameterized functions. Though VC-dimensions of nonlinear models are generally unknown, in the linear case VC-dimension actually corresponds to the number of free parameters; this allows one to straightforwardly apply the model selection framework developed within SLT, and called Structural Risk Minimization (SRM). We generate noisy artificial time series, both DI and DD, and use SRM to recognize the model underlying the data, choosing among a suite of both density-dependent and independent demographies. We show that SRM significantly outperforms traditional model selection approaches, such as the Schwartz Information Criterion and Final Prediction Error in recognizing both density-dependence and independence.     

<Emphasis Type="Bold">Chronodisruption and cancer</Emphasis>

Research into health effects of chronodisruption (CD), a relevant disturbance of the circadian organization of physiology, endocrinology, metabolism and behaviour, is evolving at a rapid pace. With regard to malignancies, our synthesis of key experiments indicates that CD can play a causal role for cancer growth and tumor progression in animals. Moreover, our meta-analyses of 30 epidemiological studies evince that flight personnel and shift workers exposed to chronodisruption may have increased breast and prostate cancer risks: summary relative risks (RRs) for investigations of flight personnel and of shift workers suggested a 70 and 40% increase in the risk of breast cancer, respectively, and excess relative risks of prostate cancer in nine studies in flight personnel (40%) and in two studies in male shift workers. There was a remarkable indication of homogeneity of results from the individual studies that contribute to the average statistics. However, in view of doubts about whether the differing assessments of CD can really be regarded as valid reflections of the same causative phenomenon and the lack of control of covariates in the majority of studies, it is premature to conclude that the risk observations reflect a real, rather than spurious, association with CD. The challenge for future epidemiological investigations of the biologically plausible links between chronodisruption and human cancers is to conduct studies which appreciate details of transmeridian travelling, of shift work and of covariates for the development of the diseases.     

Recent Changes of Sediment Yield in the Upper Yangtze, China

/ Reservoir sedimentation is one of the many environmental problems associated with the Three Gorges Project in China. The rate and characteristics of sedimentation that directly affect the operating life of the reservoir are closely related to soil erosion and sediment transport dynamics in the upstream catchment and to the ability to manage the throughput of sediment-laden waters. The recent changes in sediment yield were examined using gauging data from 187 stations of varying sizes from less than 100 km2 to larger than 1,000,000 km2 in the Upper Yangtze basin between 1956 and 1987. Whereas many previous studies have concentrated on the trends in the main channel of the Yangtze, the distributed pattern of changes across the whole catchment is complex. Results from time series analysis indicate ten stations, mainly located in the Dadu and Wu tributaries (with a total incremental catchment area of 78,963 km2) have shown increasing trajectories of sediment yield, and six stations, located in the upper Jialing and Tuo tributaries (with a total incremental area of 27,816 km2) have experienced decreasing trajectories. By dividing the time series into three components, it is possible to map significant decadal changes in sediment yields that can be related to phases of deforestation and the construction of water conservancy projects. Most of the observed decreases in sediment yield are associated with large reservoir schemes on tributary rivers. The lack of evidence for increasing sediment input to the Three Gorges area masks a considerable variation in sediment conveyance and storage within the Upper Yangtze catchment.KEY WORDS: Sediment yield; Reservoir sedimentation; Three Gorges Project; Time series analysis; China     

Planning waste cooking oil collection systems

This research has been motivated by a real-life problem of a waste cooking oil collection system characterized by the existence of multiple depots with an outsourced vehicle fleet, where the collection routes have to be plan. The routing problem addressed allows open routes between depots, i.e., all routes start at one depot but can end at the same or at a different one, depending on what minimizes the objective function considered. Such problem is referred as a Multi-Depot Vehicle Routing Problem with Mixed Closed and Open Inter-Depot Routes and is, in this paper, modeled through a mixed integer linear programming (MILP) formulation where capacity and duration constraints are taken into account. The model developed is applied to the real case study providing, as final results, the vehicle routes planning where a decrease of 13% on mileage and 11% on fleet hiring cost are achieved, when comparing with the current company solution.     

The Nature of Time: How the Covers of the World's Most Widely Read Weekly News Magazine Visualize Environmental Affairs

Scholars of environmental communication acknowledge the importance of visual representations in shaping perceptions and actions in relation to environmental affairs. Unlike with other media, including newspapers, television and film, research on the visualization of nature and environmental issues in magazines is rare. This study focuses on the covers of Time magazine, one of the world's most influential news weeklies. A dataset that includes all relevant covers from 1923 to 2011 is examined using a combination of quantitative and qualitative content analysis to analyze the visual representation of nature and environmental issues. The results show that the presence of environmental issues and nature on the covers has increased over the decades. Furthermore, Time takes an advocacy position on some environmental issues, but it is a shallow one that is weakly argued through less-than-engaging imagery and fails to offer much in the way of solutions or agency to the reader.     

污染物排放波动特征及对排污许可限值的影响

受生产活动变化的影响,企业的污染物排放具有一定的波动性,制定基于不同时间周期的污染物排污许可限值,是完善企业污染物排放监管的需要。以铁岭市企业在线监测数据为基础,采用短周期排放量与长周期排放量的比值β,研究了企业行业特征和规模对不同周期污染物排放量的影响。结果表明,行业对β值具有重要的影响,铁岭市屠宰行业、煤炭行业和污水处理厂COD日排放量与年排放量的比值β平均值分别为2.82、2.61和1.65,NH-N排放量Cr MDL 3的β平均值分别为2.9、3.49和2.59,表明污水处理厂相比屠宰行业和煤炭行业具有更强的稳定性。从企业规模来看,MDL企业规模较小时,由于生产稳定性差β值波动较大;企业规模较大时,β值趋于稳定。因此,制定不同周期的企业排污许可限值时,应基于不同的行业特征和企业规模给出不同的参考比值。     

西安市对渭河水质的影响分析

根据渭河西安段各代表断面的水质监测结果和该流域不同代表年径流量,通过平均浓度法计算各污染物负荷量,得出渭河干流以点源污染为主,支流非点源污染较干流严重.基于2009～2011年实测污染物浓度数据,由物料衡算法计算得到咸阳至临潼断面间西安地区对渭河干流的污染物输入量,分析西安段各项污染负荷占下游监测断面临潼的比例,量化西安对渭河水质所造成的影响程度.计算结果显示,渭河临潼断面污染负荷主要来自于咸阳断面上游,TN、COD及NH4+-N输出入量均占下游断面的40%以上.其次来源于西安地区,除TP占下游断面53%外,其余污染物占30%以上,且西安地区非点源污染比其上、下游断面严重,点源负荷约占总负荷63%.