Time Series Analysis to Monitor and Assess Water Resources: A Moving Average Approach

An understanding of the behavior of the groundwater body and its long-term trends are essential for making any management decision in a given watershed. Geostatistical methods can effectively be used to derive the long-term trends of the groundwater body. Here an attempt has been made to find out the long-term trends of the water table fluctuations of a river basin through a time series approach. The method was found to be useful for demarcating the zones of discharge and of recharge of an aquifer. The recharge of the aquifer is attributed to the return flow from applied irrigation. In the study area, farmers mainly depend on borewells for water and water is pumped from the deep aquifer indiscriminately. The recharge of the shallow aquifer implies excessive pumping of the deep aquifer. Necessary steps have to be taken immediately at appropriate levels to control the irrational pumping of deep aquifer groundwater, which is needed as a future water source. The study emphasizes the use of geostatistics for the better management of water resources and sustainable development of the area.     

BTEX在乙醇汽油和传统汽油污染地下水中的衰减行为对比

地下燃油储藏罐泄漏造成苯、甲苯、乙苯和二甲苯（BTEX）影响生态环境和公众健康的问题一直备受关注,随着乙醇汽油的推广使用,乙醇对BTEX修复策略的影响成为需要重视的新问题.为揭示乙醇汽油污染地下水中BTEX的衰减行为,本文通过室内两个独立砂槽投注实验和近3年的监测,对比了乙醇汽油和传统汽油中BTEX自然衰减和基于硫酸盐-硝酸盐补充的增强生物修复行为.结果表明,传统汽油BTEX自然衰减较快,乙醇汽油BTEX自然衰减较慢,一级衰减速率常数分别为0.0055~0.0329 d^-1和0.0045~0.0124 d^-1;苯衰减最快,其次为甲苯.补充硫酸盐和硝酸盐能促进生物修复,单独补充硫酸盐时其利用率为89.7%~92.9%,同时补充硝酸盐时硫酸盐利用被抑制,硝酸盐利用率为79.9%~87.2%.水位波动会促进BTEX溶解和迁移,增大质量通量.乙醇汽油不仅能消耗更多电子受体,使得BTEX衰减被抑制,而且可能会扩大水位波动引起的增溶效应.     

有机负荷和温度波动对厌氧菌群及酶活影响

基于太阳能辅热厌氧消化反应器进行餐厨垃圾半连续发酵试验,探究了温度波动和有机负荷调控（OLR=2.0、4.0、6.0、7.0 kg·m^-3·d^-1）对甲烷产量、酶活性变化和微生物群落结构的影响.结果表明,反应器可以在OLR为2.0 kg·m^-3·d^-1下稳定运行并在6.0 kg·m^-3·d^-1时实现最佳甲烷生产效率,虽然太阳能组比电能组减少了4倍能耗,但热辐射不稳定导致太阳能组发酵温度波动,甲烷平均产量比电能组减少21%.此外,蛋白酶在温度波动环境下表现出较高活性,但脂肪酶和淀粉酶活性却受到抑制.高通测序结果表明,低OLR阶段乙酸型产甲烷菌Methanosaeta活性较强,随着OLR递增氢营养型产甲烷菌Methanoregula和Methanospirillum相对丰度逐渐提高,而试验全过程中水解细菌Firmicutes相对丰度维持在62%~95%,占据主导地位.     

高超声速导弹随机振动响应分析

目的 研究某高超声速导弹飞行过程中的振动状态,获得导弹在给定压力载荷下的振动响应特性。方法结合有限元分析、随机振动理论,利用三维软件构建导弹有限元模型,并在Ansys Workbench平台对其进行模态分析及谐响应分析。基于模态分析结果,对导弹进行随机振动响应试验,探究导弹在频域及力学上的振动响应特征。结果 计算得出导弹前六阶固有频率和振型,获得导弹上一检测点在给定振动激励载荷下的加速度响应曲线,并得到导弹整体结构的应力分布云图。结论 导弹模型强度符合要求,导弹在振动激励载荷下的加速度响应峰值均出现在380～400Hz,应力极值出现在导弹尾部区域,在此区域内,导弹更易产生结构性损伤。在飞行器地面环境模拟试验中,应着重考虑此频域及位置的振动条件。     

基于EMD的我国粮食产量波动及其成因多尺度分析

论文利用经验模态分解(EMD)方法对1949年以来我国粮食产量波动及其成因进行了多时间尺度的分析。研究结果表明:我国粮食产量存在3年和9年左右的准周期波动,并以9年左右的波动为主。从粮食产量波动的趋势量分布来看,1949年以来我国粮食产量不断增长,但是20世纪90年代后粮食增长停滞;在对粮食作物播种面积单产和粮食播种面积两个影响因子进行EMD分解时发现,粮食作物播种面积单产是粮食产量3年左右波动的控制因子,而粮食播种面积却是粮食产量9年左右波动的主要控制因子。对两个尺度的周期性波动分析发现,我国粮食产量波动幅度近年来不断增加,这将给我国已经相当紧张的粮食供需关系带来巨大的隐患。由于3年和9年左右的两个准周期波动在2005～2006年期间都将处于波谷,论文预测2005或2006年的粮食将严重短缺,并且短期内我国粮食产量仍会下降,但是较长期内粮食产量将回升。     

光脉动混凝投药技术的控制模式及其优化

光脉动检测技术以透过流动悬浮液的光强度的脉动状态反应絮凝颗粒的尺寸与生长情况,其检测值R值可以作为控制参数来控制混凝剂的自动投加。目前,光脉动混凝投药控制系统已经具有单回路、串级、前馈反馈、前馈串级等多种控制模式,使该项技术具有     

电梯上行对加压前室的防烟效果影响

为了确定火灾中电梯运行时的活塞效应对加压前室的影响,利用数值模拟方法,以一座10层的高层建筑电梯井及前室为例,模拟火灾中低速电梯运行对前室不同加压送风量产生的压力波动。加压送风量采用常用工程计算公式得出。模拟研究结果表明,电梯井处压力受加压送风量影响较明显,且在电梯上行运动时,轿厢周围及尾端的漩涡会对电梯经过层的前室压力带来一定的波动影响;对于研究的低速电梯,其运行时对前室的压力波动较小,在一定程度上不会对前室的加压防烟效果造成明显的影响。     

三峡水域氮磷污染对水华暴发/消涨行为的协同影响

藻类生长/消退与藻类对氮、磷的吸收比率ω₁和ω₂相关,ω_i正/负增长分别对应藻类生长时从水体中吸收氮磷的加速阶段和藻类分解时向水体释放氮磷的消退阶段,在特定磷氮比(P/N)范围出现ω₁和ω₂同时突变有可能从理论上解释水华的暴发/消退.根据三峡流域实测数据和藻类吸收氮磷的关联函数,在三维空间表征了随氮磷浓度协同作用导致的ω₁和ω₂在特定P/N区域同时突变所揭示出的水华暴发/消退现象,从而直观、合理地解释了:①适当的P/N范围才可能暴发水华;②如果P/N区间同时满足ω₁和ω₂正向急剧增长的要求,藻类疯长,而ω₁和ω₂同时朝负值方向急剧降低,水华消退;③水华暴发/消退的速率为同一数量级,且水华暴发/消退在氮、磷浓度达到某一敏感范围时将表现出明显的周期性振荡.这些性态可能更真实地反映出水华暴发/消退时藻类对营养盐的吸收/释放机理.     

Superposition of borehole-to-surface voltage residuals for Vadose Zone plume delineation

An injected tracer field experiment was conducted at the University of Idaho Ground Water Field Laboratory to evaluate the application of borehole-to-surface voltage measurements for delineation of the tracer distribution in partially saturated, fractured basalt. A tap water tracer was injected into a fracture-dominated, salt-water plume formed during a previous salt-water injection experiment. The tap water tracer was injected into a central injection well under constant hydraulic head for 34 days. The injection well was surrounded by seven test boreholes. Each borehole contained several copper wire electrodes for borehole-to-surface potential measurements between a surface grid of 224 copper sulfate, porous pot electrodes. Eight pole-pole, borehole-to-surface voltage data sets were acquired during each measurement period by energization of a selected electrode in each of the eight boreholes. Predicted voltages for a uniform earth (homogeneous and isotropic) potential model (finite difference) were subtracted from each data set (for its respective current source location), and the voltage residuals superposed to create new data sets with greater measurement sensitivity and coverage, to aid in interpretation. These data sets were collected over four measurement periods during tap water injection and four measurement periods during the subsequent 64-day drainage phase. The data were interpreted with the use of three-dimensional models and by comparisons with other electrical and hydrological observations. Results indicate that superposition of multiple data sets of voltage residuals significantly improved the lateral resolution of subsurface bulk resistivity changes that occurred over time.     

Effect of PCM on temperature fluctuation during the door opening of a household refrigerator

Temperature fluctuation inside the cabinet of a household refrigerator significantly affects the quality of preserved food. Phase change material (PCM) is a latent heat storage system that can store and release the heat energy by changing its phase from liquid to solid and solid to liquid respectively. Therefore, use of PCM inside the refrigerator cabinet has the potential for minimizing the temperature fluctuation during the door opening and the power failure. However, very few studies in the literature were dedicated to investigating the role of PCM to reduce the temperature fluctuation. The aim of this work is to experimentally investigate the effects of PCM on temperature fluctuation inside the cabinet of a household refrigerator during the door opening and power failure. The results found that a significantly lower temperature fluctuation can be obtained using PCM. It was found that during the door opening condition the air temperature in the cabinet rose rapidly. However, when a PCM container was used, temperature variation was reduced to 3–5°C. During the power failure, the system with PCM maintained a lower temperature inside the storage chamber for a long period of time (about 2 hours). Moreover, the test results indicate that PCM maintains more stable temperature in the foodstuffs inside the refrigerator. This reduction of temperature fluctuation ultimately improves the quality of preserved food.