地铁检票闸机通过能力研究

检票闸机是地铁车站的重要设施之一,其通过能力的大小对车站客流的疏运起着十分重要的作用。对晚高峰时刻客流进行视频录像,采用逐帧回放的方式,统计乘客属性、闸机属性、统计乘客连续检票刷卡的间隔时间和乘客通过闸机的时间,采用SPSS统计分析软件进行数据分析,计算乘客通过闸机速度和闸机通过能力。     

基于Voronoi图和时间效应的矿柱失稳预测

针对香炉山大规模地下采空区,借助Voronoi图确定分摊面积来模拟矿柱荷载分布、矿柱破坏、荷载转移以及荷载重新分布的过程,从而确定现阶段的不稳定矿柱,并在此基础上考虑时间效应。用该方法可得出,目前香炉山钨矿不稳定矿柱的失稳不会造成大规模的坍塌,考虑时间效应,则20年时间效应内二四坑口的南区有发生连续坍塌的可能。为防止矿柱发生大范围坍塌,结合香炉山钨矿的实际情况,最终确定胶结充填法为该矿山当前处理空区的最适宜方法。     

天津某老年社区夏冬季室内与个体暴露PM2.5对比

于2011年夏季(6月13日—7月2日)和冬季(11月30日—12月12日)在天津市某老年社区采集室内与老年人个体暴露PM_2.5样品,分析二者的质量浓度及化学组分特征. 结果表明:夏、冬季室内ρ(PM_2.5)分别为(138±103)和(173±136)μg/m3,二者差异显著(P<0.05);冬季室内ρ(PM_2.5)、ρ(SO₄2-)和ρ(OC)显著高于夏季(P<0.05),初步推断是由于冬季燃煤取暖排放的大量颗粒物渗透进入室内所致;冬季室内源(如清扫和吸烟)对某些室内PM_2.5组分(Al、Ca和Cd)的贡献较夏季显著. 对个体暴露与室内ρ(PM_2.5)的相关性分析发现,二者在夏、冬季均显著相关(P<0.05). 在受试老年人时间活动模式基础上,采用COD(分歧系数)评估室内和个体暴露PM_2.5化学组成的相似度,结果显示,室内与个体暴露PM_2.5的COD在夏、冬季分别为0.34±0.10和0.37±0.12;冬季受试老年人在交通微环境所处时间较长,致使COD大于0.5的样本数所占比例较夏季高. 室内和老年人个体暴露PM_2.5的ρ(OC)/ρ(EC)在夏、冬季均相近,说明二者的碳组分来源相似.      

Responses of the earthworm Eisenia andrei exposed to sublethal aluminium levels in an artificial soil substrate

Industrial discharges of Al are increasingly common. In this study, the activities of three antioxidases, malondialdehyde (MDA) content and changes in coelomocytes were investigated in earthworms (Eisenia andrei) exposed to different concentrations of aluminium chloride (range 0–200 mg Al kg^?1 dry soil) in artificial soils for 32 days. Within the first 16 days of Al exposure, catalase activity was elevated in most treatments, while the activities of superoxide dismutase (SOD) and glutathione peroxidase (GSH-Px) were inhibited in all treatments. After 16 days exposure, SOD and GSH-Px activities returned to normal at lower Al concentrations, but were still inhibited at higher concentrations, hence the inhibition of SOD and GSH-Px showed some exposure-level dependence during the late exposure phase. MDA content was significantly elevated from 16 days after initial exposure. Neutral Red retention time of coelomocytes decreased at the highest exposure concentrations after 32 days, and an increased proportion of cells showing membrane damage was also observed at this time using flow cytometry. We conclude that excessive Al in soils can cause oxidative stress and cell damage in earthworms. Hence, Al accumulation in the environment may present an ecological hazard through suppression of the important functions of earthworms in soil ecosystems.     

上海市大气降水中~(210)Pb、~7Be的变化特征

7Be、210Pb等放射性核素已被广泛应用于区域及全球物质传输途径示踪的研究中。2009年8月到2010年10月在上海市普陀区华东师范大学校园设采样点采集了51场大气降水样品,分析了单次降水事件中7Be和210Pb的含量以及湿沉降通量的变化特征,并对比不同季节的变化特征。结果表明:1)单次降水事件中7Be的浓度变化范围为0.21~5.99 Bq/L,210Pb浓度的变化范围为0.01~0.90 Bq/L。7Be和210Pb的月均浓度具有明显的季节变化特征:7Be的浓度高值出现在冬季,夏季浓度最低;210Pb浓度高值出现在秋、冬季节,夏季浓度最低;7Be/210Pb高值主要出现在春、秋季节。2)7Be、210Pb沉降通量与降水量有一定相关性,但单次降水事件7Be和210Pb浓度与降水量并没有很好的相关性。7Be和210Pb沉降通量存在着较好的相关性,指示7Be、210Pb沉降路径有着较好的一致性。     

Cu和Pb对赤潮异弯藻(Heterosigma akashiwo)生长的影响

以添加了不同浓度的CuSO_4和Pb(NO_3)_2混合液的f/2培养基培养赤潮异弯藻,通过分析藻的最大生长密度、生长周期及比生长率这3个参数与Cu和Pb之间的相关关系,讨论2种重金属对赤潮异弯藻生长的影响以及2种重金属之间的互作效应。结果表明,Cu为0～0.02 mg·L~(-1)或Pb为0～0.32 mg·L~(-1)时,对赤潮异弯藻生长有促进作用;当Pb浓度不同的条件下,Cu浓度达到0.5～2.5 mg·L~(-1)时,赤潮异弯藻生长受到明显抑制,甚至无法生长;在Cu浓度不同的条件下,Pb在1～9 mg·L~(-1)范围内,随着浓度的增加,对赤潮异弯藻生长抑制作用逐步增强。在Cu浓度为0～2.5 mg·L~(-1)或Pb浓度为1～9 mg·L~(-1)及两者互作条件下,赤潮异弯藻最大生长密度和生长周期都受到显著影响(P0.01)。另外,Cu和Pb对赤潮异弯藻比生长率无显著影响,两者相互作用不明显。结合湛江海域已报道的这2种重金属实际含量,进一步评估了海区中重金属的潜在生态效应。     

Priority areas for conservation of Old World vultures

The prosperity and well-being of human societies relies on healthy ecosystems and the services they provide. However, the biodiversity crisis is undermining ecosystems services and functions. Vultures are among the most imperiled taxonomic groups on Earth, yet they have a fundamental ecosystem function. These obligate scavengers rapidly consume large amounts of carrion and human waste, a service that may aid in both disease prevention and control of mammalian scavengers, including feral dogs, which in turn threaten humans. We combined information about the distribution of all 15 vulture species found in Europe, Asia, and Africa with their threats and used detailed expert knowledge on threat intensity to prioritize critical areas for conserving vultures in Africa and Eurasia. Threats we identified included poisoning, mortality due to collision with wind energy infrastructures, and other anthropogenic activities related to human land use and influence. Areas important for vulture conservation were concentrated in southern and eastern Africa, South Asia, and the Iberian Peninsula, and over 80% of these areas were unprotected. Some vulture species required larger areas for protection than others. Finally, countries that had the largest share of all identified important priority areas for vulture conservation were those with the largest expenditures related to rabies burden (e.g., India, China, and Myanmar). Vulture populations have declined markedly in most of these countries. Restoring healthy vulture populations through targeted actions in the priority areas we identified may help restore the ecosystem services vultures provide, including sanitation and potentially prevention of diseases, such as rabies, a heavy burden afflicting fragile societies. Our findings may guide stakeholders to prioritize actions where they are needed most in order to achieve international goals for biodiversity conservation and sustainable development.     

叶片大气颗粒物滞纳能力评估方法的定量对比

为探究基于相同实验材料和叶面积测定方法的前提下,5种评估叶片滞尘能力方法的差异,并在此基础上归纳总结各方法的优缺点,本研究以北京市常见、叶片特征区别较大的4个城市绿化树种油松（Pinus tabuliformis）、侧柏（Platycladus orientalis）、银杏（Ginkgo biloba）和一球悬铃木（Platanus occidentalis）为研究对象,采集叶样后,分别用质量差减法（MS）、滤膜法（MF）、气溶胶再发生器法（AR）、电镜扫描法（SEM）和基于超声清洗的洗脱称量粒度分析法（ultrasonic-EWPA）对4个树种叶片的PM滞纳能力及特征进行评估.评估的同时测定每种方法评估所需总时间,并计算其所需总成本.结果表明,虽然不同方法得到的叶面滞尘效率数值的差异巨大,但得到的叶面滞尘效率的树种排序存在重合部分,其中,评估原理相同或类似的方法得到的结果重合部分更多（最多的为AR和SEM）.各方法得到的针对同一指标的相同树种排序中,有89%的排序为侧柏 > 油松 > 一球悬铃木 > 银杏,其余排序为一球悬铃木 > 银杏 > 侧柏 > 油松.5种方法中,得到指标数量最多、成本最高的均为ultrasonic-EWPA,得到指标数量最少、成本最低的均为MS;耗时最长的为MF,最短的为AR.ultrasonic-EWPA和SEM是高投入高产出型方法,即虽然需要较多的实验耗时及成本,但能得到更丰富的评估信息;MS则属于低投入低产出型,得到的信息量较少,适用于只需粗略评估树木总滞尘能力的情况;MF所得信息量中等,成本较低,但耗时过长,使用前需进行权衡;AR对设备和参数的要求严格,需谨慎使用.本研究结果可为今后研究人员选择用于评估植物滞尘能力的具体方法提供全面详实的科学依据.     

Bridging gaps in demographic analysis with phylogenetic imputation

Phylogenetically informed imputation methods have rarely been applied to estimate missing values in demographic data but may be a powerful tool for reconstructing vital rates of survival, maturation, and fecundity for species of conservation concern. Imputed vital rates could be used to parameterize demographic models to explore how populations respond when vital rates are perturbed. We used standardized vital rate estimates for 50 bird species to assess the use of phylogenetic imputation to fill gaps in demographic data. We calculated imputation accuracy for vital rates of focal species excluded from the data set either singly or in combination and with and without phylogeny, body mass, and life-history trait data. We used imputed vital rates to calculate demographic metrics, including generation time, to validate the use of imputation in demographic analyses. Covariance among vital rates and other trait data provided a strong basis to guide imputation of missing vital rates in birds, even in the absence of phylogenetic information. Mean NRMSE for null and phylogenetic models differed by <0.01 except when no vital rates were available or for vital rates with high phylogenetic signal (Pagel's λ > 0.8). In these cases, including body mass and life-history trait data compensated for lack of phylogenetic information: mean normalized root mean square error (NRMSE) for null and phylogenetic models differed by <0.01 for adult survival and <0.04 for maturation rate. Estimates of demographic metrics were sensitive to the accuracy of imputed vital rates. For example, mean error in generation time doubled in response to inaccurate estimates of maturation time. Accurate demographic data and metrics, such as generation time, are needed to inform conservation planning processes, for example through International Union for Conservation of Nature Red List assessments and population viability analysis. Imputed vital rates could be useful in this context but, as for any estimated model parameters, awareness of the sensitivities of demographic model outputs to the imputed vital rates is essential.     

雅砻江流域生长季植被时空变化特征及对气象因子的响应分析

在全球气候变化背景下,开展植被变化对气象因子的响应研究对流域生态环境保护和水土资源合理利用具有重要的现实意义。以雅砻江流域为研究区,基于1982—2015年GIMMS NDVI数据,首先采用多种数理统计方法揭示生长季NDVI的时空变化特征,基于滞后相关系数法分析NDVI对气象因子的时滞效应,在此基础上建立各像元NDVI与气象因子的主成分回归方程,分析影响NDVI变化的主要气象因子及其贡献率,进而揭示NDVI对各气象因子的响应变化特征。结果表明:雅砻江流域NDVI在年内呈单峰型变化,峰值出现在8月,生长季NDVI年际变化呈不显著下降趋势。流域NDVI自下游向上游逐渐减小,植被退化面积占30%,改善面积占24.28%,中游植被改善和退化面积占比最大,就各植被类型变化而言,针叶林改善比重相对较大,灌丛和草甸退化较为严重。导致流域植被变化的主控气象因子为降水和气温,其对植被变化的贡献率分别为27.68%和26.31%,其中,流域上游及中游北部地区植被变化主要受气象因素影响,中游南部及下游地区植被受气象因子与其他因子(如人类活动)的共同影响。各像元NDVI变化的主控气象因子存在显著差异,降水、平均气温和相对湿度是中上游植被变化的主控气象因子,而降水和日照时数是下游植被变化的主控气象因子。流域植被对各气象因子的响应存在一定的时滞效应,植被对各气象因子滞后响应面积大小顺序为:平均风速>降水>日照时数>平均气温>相对湿度。中上游植被对主控气象因子降水、平均气温和相对湿度的响应主要为当月及滞后1个月;下游植被对主控气象因子降水的响应主要为滞后1个月和滞后3个月,而对主控气象因子日照时数的响应主要为当月。