岷江上游生态环境建设与经济可持续发展

岷江上游生态环境问题严重,森林破坏、植被生态功能退化、水土流失、生物多样性减少。在上游地区应加强退耕还林还草,建立生态型持续农业系统和生态文明示范区,调整产业结构,提高群众的综合素质,走可持续发展道路。     

Mapping of temperature and line-of-sight errors in constituent retrievals for MIPAS/ENVISAT measurements

An optimized code for the near real-time retrieval of line of sight, temperature and volume-mixing ratio profiles of five key species (O₃, H₂O, HNO₃, CH₄ and N₂O) from infrared limb spectra recorded by the Michelson Interferometer for Passive Atmospheric Sounding (MIPAS) experiment on board the ENVISAT-1 satellite was developed as part of an ESA-supported study. In this code line of sight and temperature are retrieved simultaneously among themselves, but sequentially with respect to the volume-mixing ratio of the five key species. The sequential retrieval leaves unaccounted the mapping of line of sight and temperature errors in the retrieved volume-mixing ratio of the constituents. This paper illustrates an algorithm that provides the a-posteriori evaluation of temperature and line-of-sight-induced error on the retrieved volume-mixing ratio of the MIPAS key species. It is shown that in most cases temperature and line-of-sight-induced error provides a significant contribution to the total volume-mixing ratio error. The variability of this error as a function of latitude, season and atmospheric model is also analyzed.     

伊犁河水质的综合评价及分析

通过对伊犁河多年水质监测资料统计分析 ,对其进行了综合评价。分析比较了各断面、各水期的水质综合指数及年际变化 ,掌握了伊犁河水质分布规律、年际变化与污染物排序 ,以及伊犁河水质污染状况。     

浅谈事故查处遵循的原则及善后处理需把握的关键问题

通过安全工作实践 ,总结归纳了事故查处应遵循的若干原则和善后处理的主要内容 ,提出了事故善后处理过程中需要把握的几个关键问题 ,对于事故管理有一定的借鉴和指导意义。     

石羊河流域水资源问题的制度原因及对策

文章从制度角度分析了石羊河流域的水资源问题并提出了对策。在分析石羊河流域水资源及其开发利用和现行管理体制的基础上认为:水资源问题的制度原因是传统的发展模式导致部门间水资源供需矛盾紧张;区域管理体制导致上下游地区间水资源冲突频繁;忽视和挤占环境用水导致生态环境严重恶化;不透明的补贴方式扭曲价格信号和影响水资源需求;区域内分散的管理体制加剧了流域水资源问题。因此,从制度上解决石羊河流域的水资源问题,需要推行流域水、土地、森林资源统一管理,制定《石羊河流域管理条例》,改革现行资源管理体制,建立透明的补贴机制和合理的价格机制。     

珠江口现代沉积物柱芯样多环芳烃高分辨沉积记录研究

通过对采集于珠江三角洲澳门河口区的沉积物柱状样品中多环芳烃的GC MS定量分析测定,并结合210Pb同位素定年分析,重建了珠江口近代有机污染物的污染史(1959～1996年).研究结果表明,柱芯样品中多环芳烃的浓度为0.6～4.5μg·g-1(干重计),污染程度为中等.其中在20世纪60年代和80年代分别记录到两个高的污染峰,表明这两个时间段内有较大的污染物输入.以母体化合物比值对沉积物样品中的多环芳烃来源进行了分析,结果表明是受到了以油类和不完全燃烧产物为主的混合污染,且污染来源较为单一.对沉积物毒性潜在效应的计算表明,表层沉积物毒性效应较大,且从90年代初期开始后至1996年,毒性当量浓度呈线性趋势增加.     

改进的BP算法在黄河下游枯季径流预测中的应用

本在黄河下游地区应用多层前向人工神经网络理论,通过改进BP算法,建立下游枯季径流预测的BP神经网络模型,使用花园口-利津水站26年的完整序列测流资料训练和检验网络并用于预测,结果表明,通过本次研究建立的BP网络模型是合理的,可靠的,它较好地反映了黄河下游的枯季径流规律,可为今后黄河流域水资源的统一调度,管理,尤其是预防黄河下游再次出现断流提供科学依据。     

黄土地层构造差异成因及其对自然环境的影响

陕甘宁地块上广泛分布的黄土地层的破坏是黄河水患的主要原因,黄土地层有一定的抗侵蚀能力,但当被开垦时,其抗侵蚀能力会大幅降低,在陕甘宁黄土地层分布区减少,以至最终基本停止农耕而瞠步代之以林草,确系治黄的根本方略,陕北是黄土高原水土流失最严重的地区,是黄河泥沙最主要的来源地,但区内黄土地层受侵蚀的状况却具有分带性,北东和北西两组基底断裂构造对其有重要影响,并对毛乌素沙漠的位置以及无定河环形构造的活动状况有一定控制作用,这些都是在陕北开展山川秀美工程过程中必须考虑到的因素,由此得到启迪;在开发自然资源,环境保护和减灾工作中,必须首先认识环境的自然属性。     

Consequences of changed wetness on riverine nitrogen – human impact on retention vs. natural climatic variability

The HBV-N model was used for a scenario analysis of changes in nitrogen retention and transport caused by alterations of wetness due to land drainage, lowering of lakes, building of dams and climatic variability in a river basin in south-central Sweden (1885–1994). In general, dams were situated in locations more favourable for retention, compared to the lowered lakes. Rather modest conversions of water bodies only changed nitrogen transport by about 3%. The 180-times-larger increase of (mainly) tile-drained agricultural land had, according to simulations, increased the nitrogen transport by 17%, due to reduced retention. However, compared to human-induced alteration of the landscape N retention, the choice of 10-year periods of climatological data had the overriding effect on the calculated nitrogen transport. Weather-induced variations resulted in a 13% difference in nitrogen retention between various 10-year periods. When the model was driven by climatological data from the driest 10-year period (1905–1914), the estimated average annual load was only half of that obtained with climatological data from the wettest 10-year period (1975–1984). Electronic Publication     

长江经济带高技术产业投入产出效率分析

提高长江经济带高技术产业的投入产出效率,有利于协调该区域经济发展与生态环境保护之间的关系。运用三阶段DEA方法,从企业类型、环境因素等视角对长江经济带高技术产业投入产出效率进行实证分析。结果发现,政府RD支出的增长对企业技术效率的提高均有正向作用,但作用效应尚未达到显著状态;研发机构数量的增加能够显著提高内资及港澳台企业的技术效率,而外资企业与中国技术市场的互动效应尚不显著;行业内企业数量增加所引致的市场竞争有利于外资企业提高技术效率,却显著降低了内资及港澳台企业的技术效率;不同类型企业之间和地区之间的技术效率存在较大差距,外资企业的技术效率和纯技术效率最高,内资企业的规模效率最高。文章最后提出政策建议。