暴雨泥石流预报程式

论述了暴雨泥石流预报的４个基本原理，即现象可预报性原理、成困分类组合原理、判别因素简化原理和预报决策依据原理。对泥石流时间预报模型作了分类，提出了通过泥石流活动周期与降水量周期叠加，建立泥石流活动性的长期趋势预测模型；通过泥石流活动年数频次与降水量丰欠等级频次组合，建立泥石流活动年份频次的态势预测模型；根据月或旬雨量确定泥石流发生的阈值关系，建立年内月或旬泥石流发生频次的中期预报模型；由短期天气预     

对生态补偿政策的几点思考

建立生态补偿政策是实现“三个转变”和制度创新的需要。环境资源价值理论、经济外部性理论和公共产品理论是生态补偿政策的理论基础;“破坏者付费,保护者受益原则”、“受益者补偿原则”、“公平性原则”、“政府主导、市场推进原则”和“分步推进”是生态补偿的基本原则。目前,我国事实的生态补偿政策主要包括财政补偿、流域内部补偿、征收生态环境补偿税费、市场方式补偿、异地开发补偿和国家间补偿。中国的生态补偿政策存在观念障碍、法律障碍、技术障碍,需要采取有效措施,尽快完善我国的生态补偿政策。     

离心式机械振动台基本参数设计计算方法的探讨

该文叙述了离心式机械振动台的工作原理,提出了计算思路和方法;推导了其计算公式;并根据工程的实际情况,把复杂的计算公式,简化成代数运算式。     

环境监测报告(记录)的审核原则和方法

从实际工作出发，提出了审核原始记录、数字型监测报告（报表）和文字型监测报告的审核原则和方法。     

新建住宅小区噪声验收监测方法初探

住宅小区噪声监测是近年来房地产验收过程中的重要环节,围绕新建住宅小区噪声验收监测方法、评价标准、布点原则等方面进行初步探讨,并根据某住宅小区噪声验收监测实例,提出了相应的建议。     

医疗废物焚烧厂周边环境空气中二英浓度分布及其健康风险评估

于2015-2018年冬季（12月-2月）对广东省某医疗废物焚烧厂排放烟气及焚烧设施周边2.5 km范围内6个采样点分别进行了4次烟气和环境空气样品采集,应用高分辨气相色谱/高分辨质谱（HRGC-HRMS）联用技术对二（口恶）英（PCDD/Fs）浓度水平进行监测并对其组成特征进行了分析,运用主成分分析法（PCA）对周边环境空气中二（口恶）英来源进行了初步解析,同时采用VLIER-HUMAAN模型评估其对人体的健康风险.结果表明该医疗废物焚烧厂烟气二（口恶）英毒性当量浓度为0.542~21.300 ng·Nm^-3（以I-TEQ计）,排放水平较高;周边环境空气中PCDD/Fs质量浓度和毒性当量浓度变化范围分别为0.682~196.000 pg·m^-3和0.036~17.700 pg·m^-3（以I-TEQ计）,周边环境空气中PCDD/Fs浓度明显受到排放源烟气落地点的影响.空气样品中二（口恶）英同族体及异构体分布指纹谱图与该焚烧设施排放烟气类似,空气质量浓度主要贡献单体以OCDD、1,2,3,4,6,7,8-HpCDF、OCDF以及1,2,3,4,6,7,8-HpCDD为主,主要毒性贡献单体为2,3,4,7,8-PeCDF.PCA源解析结论与指纹谱图特征分析结论基本一致,该研究区域中环境空气二（口恶）英主要来源于医疗废物焚烧烟气排放.健康风险评估结果表明,该区域人群呼吸暴露风险总体处于较为安全的水平（0.0032~0.141 pg TEQ·kg^-1·d^-1）,部分个体的呼吸暴露贡献率超过了评价限值,应引起重视.     

鄂尔多斯周缘地震带中长期地震趋势估计

本文基于一定的地震资料,分别应用最大熵原理、贝努里概型以及计算地震复发周期的经验关系式,对鄂尔多斯周缘地震带进行了中强地震的中长期地震趋势估计。     

The Precautionary Principle and the Prevention of Marine Pollution

This paper argues that the environmental changes witnessed in the past decade call for a new approach to environmental management; an approach based not on the principle of the assimilative capacity of the environment but on the precautionary principle, and the emerging preventive environmental paradigm. Uncertainties in scientific knowledge and complexities in ecological systems have presented specific failures of the assimilative capacity methodology. It is argued that these failures are not circumstantial in nature, nor are they the result of misapplication of science by scientists. Rather, they represent inherent problems in the use of the assimilative capacity concept in environmental management. The emergence of the precautionary principle is discussed and a formulation of the principle is presented. In conjunction with the operational approach of clean production, we believe that this principle offers a sounder basis for the prevention of marine pollution in the next decade.     

Cosmological implications of the Machian principle

The famous idea of Ernst Mach concerning the non-absolute but relational character of particle inertia is taken up in this paper and is reinvestigated with respect to its cosmological implications. From Thirring’s general relativistic study of the old Newtonian problem of the relativity of rotations in different reference systems, it appears that the equivalence principle with respect to rotating reference systems, if at all, can only be extended to the system of the whole universe, if the mass of the universe scales with the effective radius or extent of the universe. A reanalysis of Thirring’s derivations still reveals this astonishing result, and thus the general question must be posed: how serious this result has to be taken with respect to cosmological implications. As we will show, the equivalence principle is, in fact, fulfilled by a universe with vanishing curvature, i.e. with a curvature parameter, which just has the critical density , where is the Hubble constant. It turns out, however, that this principle can only permanently be fulfilled in an evolving cosmos, if the cosmic mass density, different from its conventional behaviour, varies with the reciprocal of the squared cosmic scale. This, in fact, would automatically be realized, if the mass of each cosmic particle scales with the scale of the universe. The latter fact, on one hand, is a field-theoretical request from a general relativistic field theory which fulfills H. Weyl’s requirement of a conformal scale invariance. On the other hand, it can perhaps also be concluded on purely physical grounds, when taking into account that as source of the cosmic metrics only an effective mass density can be taken. This mass density represents the bare mass density reduced by its mass equivalent of gravitational self-binding energy. Some interesting cosmological conclusions connected with this fact are pointed out in this paper.     

The Precautionary Principle and Chemicals Regulation: Past Achievements and Future Possibilities (8 pages)

Background, Aim and Scope

The paper investigates the development of the institutional basis of the present modes of chemicals regulation and management, with special attention to interrelations with the precautionary principle. Main Features: The paper elucidates on how the precautionary principle has been shaped in relation to chemicals regulation and management since Carson's Silent Spring (years before the principle was confirmed as a policy-principle in German and European legislation. Furthermore, it is examined how the precautionary principle interacted with the development of the present chemicals regulatory regime, in a complex interplay within the OECD and Member Countries. The present modes of precaution in the new EU chemical legislation – REACH – are investigated with respect to the precautionary principle, and tested against two contemporary problems; brominated flame retardants and endocrine disrupting substances. Results: The analysis demonstrates the changing character of the integration of the precautionary principle. The main tendencies are from implicit to more explicit precaution and from a closed expert-orientation towards a more deliberative approach to scientific knowledge and uncertainty. The results demonstrate that the precautionary principle is manifest in both the design of the testing strategy and in policy provisions. In particular, the substitution of hazardous substances with less hazardous is important. Discussion: Despite explicit attention to the precautionary principle, is the present reformulation of the European Chemicals policy in danger of falling into loop-holes that equal problems related to the present regulation of existing chemicals? 'Precaution' has been reduced virtually to an abstract concept that is more or less devoid of practical meaning in the regulatory process. Conclusions: It is concluded that the role of the precautionary principle in chemicals regulation will require continued scrutiny in the future shaping of the REACH strategy. Perspectives: Continued development of robust and precaution-based chemicals regulation will have to involve both new data-generation strategies and new forms of political decision-making, with special attention given to transparency and deliberative policymaking.