Spatial and Temporal Patterns of Low Streamflow and Precipitation Changes in the Chesapeake Bay Watershed

Spatial and temporal patterns in low streamflows were investigated for 183 streamgages located in the Chesapeake Bay Watershed for the period 1939–2013. Metrics that represent different aspects of the frequency and magnitude of low streamflows were examined for trends: (1) the annual time series of seven‐day average minimum streamflow, (2) the scaled average deficit at or below the 2% mean daily streamflow value relative to a base period between 1939 and 1970, and (3) the annual number of days below the 2% threshold. Trends in these statistics showed spatial cohesion, with increasing low streamflow volume at streamgages located in the northern uplands of the Chesapeake Bay Watershed and decreasing low streamflow volume at streamgages in the southern part of the watershed. For a small subset of streamgages (12%), conflicting trend patterns were observed between the seven‐day average minimum streamflow and the below‐threshold time series and these appear to be related to upstream diversions or the influence of reservoir‐influenced streamflows in their contributing watersheds. Using multivariate classification techniques, mean annual precipitation and fraction of precipitation falling as snow appear to be broad controls of increasing and decreasing low‐flow trends. Further investigation of seasonal precipitation patterns shows summer rainfall patterns, driven by the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, as the main driver of low streamflows in the Chesapeake Bay Watershed.     

1953-2009年林西站气象要素变化分析

对林西气象站1953-2009年气温、风速、降水量月、季、年观测资料进行了统计,分析了近57年三个要素的年际变化和突变特征,为气象站的迁站资料评估提供参考依据。结果显示,该站近57年平均气温显著升高,平均风速明显减小,两个要素都有明显的突变特征。分析认为,这种变化特征除与区域气候变化的响应有关外,主要与该地城镇的发展及测站周边逐步出现较高建筑物的影响有关。     

Effects of anthropogenic landscapes on population maintenance of waterbirds

Anthropogenic impacts have reduced natural areas but increased the area of anthropogenic landscapes. There is debate about whether anthropogenic landscapes (e.g., farmlands, orchards, and fish ponds) provide alternatives to natural habitat and under what circumstances. We considered whether anthropogenic landscapes can mitigate population declines for waterbirds. We collected data on population trends and biological traits of 1203 populations of 579 species across the planet. Using Bayesian generalized linear mixed models, we tested whether the ability of a species to use an anthropogenic landscape can predict population trends of waterbird globally and of species of conservation concern. Anthropogenic landscapes benefited population maintenance of common but not less-common species. Conversely, the use of anthropogenic landscapes was associated with population declines for threatened species. Our findings delineate some limitations to the ability of anthropogenic landscapes to mitigate population declines, suggesting that the maintenance of global waterbird populations depends on protecting remaining natural areas and improving the habitat quality in anthropogenic landscapes. Article impact statement: Protecting natural areas and improving the quality of anthropogenic landscapes as habitat are both needed to achieve effective conservation.     

北京大气中CFC-11的浓度观测与变化趋势

近几年大气中CFC的浓度在人类活动的影响下发生了迅速变化,考虑到CFC浓度变化对平流层臭氧和全球变暖的影响,采用两步深冷冻浓缩自动进样系统,配以气相色谱/质谱联机对北京大气中的CFC-11进行了连续观测.结果表明,1999～2003年CFC-11的浓度季节变化均呈单峰形态,峰值出现在7～8月,月平均浓度最高值为1149.5±531.9×10^-12(体积分数);谷值出现在春季的3～5月份,月平均浓度最低值为487.5±131.5×10^-12(体积分数);北京大气中CF-11年平均浓度在观测时间段内呈先上升后下降的趋势,其中1995～1998年增长较快,平均增长率为17.9%,1999年后呈缓慢下降趋势,平均下降率为10.7%,平均浓度是Mauna Loa全球基准观测站观测到大气本底CFC-11浓度的3～5倍.     

红枫湖特征污染物变化趋势分析

时红枫湖2004年至2007年的特征污染物总磷、总氮以及氨氮的变化趋势以及库容变化进行分析.结果表明,红枫湖总磷严重超标,所有监测垂线超标率为100%;总磷浓度年均值南湖高于北湖,五条监莉垂线由南向北总磷浓度呈递减趋势;从总磷的总量来看,四年间总磷总量增幅较大,2007年比2004年增加895.3吨.总氮、氨氮亦严重超标,年均浓度值超标率为100%,并且氨氮与总氮变化趋势一致.2004年～2007年红枫湖年平均库容量呈逐年上升趋势,但污染物总磷和总氮的浓度并没有降低,其总量也随着上升.     

Socioeconomic development and ecological traits as predictors of human–bird conflicts

Because of the significant impacts on both human interests and bird conservation, it is imperative to identify patterns and anticipate drivers of human–bird conflicts (HBCs) worldwide. Through a global systematic review, following the PRISMA 2020 guidelines, we analyzed the socioeconomic factors and bird ecological traits driving the degree of knowledge and extent of HBCs. We included 166 articles published from 1971 to 2020 in our analyses through which we built a profile of the socioeconomic conditions of 52 countries with reported conflicts and the ecological traits of the 161 bird species involved in HBCs. Although HBC expanded worldwide, it had the greatest impact in less-developed countries (estimate 0. 66 [SE 0.13], p< 0.05), where agriculture is critical for rural livelihoods. Species with a relatively greater conflict extent had a relatively broader diet (estimate 0.80 [SE 0.22], p<0.05) and an increasing population trend (estimate 0.58 [SE 0.15], p<0.05) and affected human interests, such as agriculture and livestock raising. In countries with greater biodiversity, HBCs caused greater socioeconomic impacts than in more developed countries. Our results highlight the importance of understanding and addressing HBCs from multiple perspectives (ecological, sociocultural, and political) to effectively protect both biodiversity and local livelihoods.