Estimation of abundance from presence–absence maps using cluster models

A presence–absence map consists of indicators of the occurrence or nonoccurrence of a given species in each cell over a grid, without counting the number of individuals in a cell once it is known it is occupied. They are commonly used to estimate the distribution of a species, but our interest is in using these data to estimate the abundance of the species. In practice, certain types of species (in particular flora types) may be spatially clustered. For example, some plant communities will naturally group together according to similar environmental characteristics within a given area. To estimate abundance, we develop an approach based on clustered negative binomial models with unknown cluster sizes. Our approach uses working clusters of cells to construct an estimator which we show is consistent. We also introduce a new concept called super-clustering used to estimate components of the standard errors and interval estimators. A simulation study is conducted to examine the performance of the estimators and they are applied to real data.     

Sensitivity analysis on the ecological bias for Seoul tuberculosis data

In ecological studies, researchers often try to convey the analysis results to individual level based on aggregate data. In order to do this correctly, the possibility of ecological bias should be studied and addressed. One of the key ideas used to address the ecological bias issue is to derive the ecological model from the individual model and to check whether the parameter of interest in the individual model is identifiable in the ecological model. However, the procedure depends on unverifiable assumptions, and we recommend checking how sensitive the results are to these unverifiable assumptions. We analyzed the tuberculosis data that was collected in Seoul in 2005 using a spatial ecological regression model for the aggregate count data with spatial correlation, and found that the deprivation index is likely to have a small positive effect on the occurrence risk of tuberculosis in individual level in Seoul. We considered this finding in various aspects by performing in depth sensitivity analyses. In particular, our findings are shown to be robust to the distribution assumptions for the individual exposure and missing binary covariate across various scenarios.     

Effects of SO<Subscript>2</Subscript> contamination on rising CO<Subscript>2</Subscript> drops under high pressure

Although the flow dynamics of pure liquid drops in other liquids has been well researched, little attention has been paid to the impacts of impurities. Hence, most of research is not directly applicable to the real world. To address this gap, we conducted numerical experiments simulating the rise of pure and contaminated drops. It was selected to study liquid CO₂ drops contaminated with SO₂ under high pressure because such mixtures mimic potential scenarios in which drops may leak from carbon capture and storage (CCS) facilities or pipelines. First, numerical simulation experiments were performed to validate our method by comparing our results with previous research on pure drops. Second, the validated numerical approach was applied to simulations of contaminated drops to investigate how contaminants affect rising drops. The results show that the SO₂ contamination caused changes in deformation, breakup phenomena, rising velocities, surrounding flow fields and drag coefficients. Most importantly, the contamination resulted in the formation of smaller “child drops”; such breakup is not observed in pure CO₂ drops. The formation of child drops in turn affects the streamlines, patterns and areas of wakes behind the contaminated drops. The addition of contaminants also enhances the dissolution rate, which is affected by the contaminant concentration and by the flow dynamics of the rising drop. Our results would improve understanding the rise of impure CO₂ drops, such as drops potentially leaked by future CCS operations.     

Characterization of products obtained from pyrolysis and steam gasification of wood waste,RDF, and RPF

Pyrolysis and steam gasification of woody biomass chip (WBC) obtained from construction and demolition wastes, refuse-derived fuel (RDF), and refuse paper and plastic fuel (RPF) were performed at various temperatures using a lab-scale instrument. The gas, liquid, and solid products were examined to determine their generation amounts, properties, and the carbon balance between raw material and products.The amount of product gas and its hydrogen concentration showed a considerable difference depending on pyrolysis and steam gasification at higher temperature. The reaction of steam and solid product, char, contributed to an increase in gas amount and hydrogen concentration. The amount of liquid products generated greatly depended on temperature rather than pyrolysis or steam gasification. The compositions of liquid product varied relying on raw materials used at 500 °C but the polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons became the major compounds at 900 °C irrespective of the raw materials used. Almost fixed carbon (FC) of raw materials remained as solid products under pyrolysis condition whereas FC started to decompose at 700 °C under steam gasification condition.For WBC, both char utilization by pyrolysis at low temperature (500 °C) and syngas recovery by steam gasification at higher temperature (900 °C) might be practical options. From the results of carbon balance of RDF and RPF, it was confirmed that the carbon conversion to liquid products conspicuously increased as the amount of plastic increased in the raw material. To recover feedstock from RPF, pyrolysis for oil recovery at low temperature (500 °C) might be one of viable options. Steam gasification at 900 °C could be an option but the method of tar reforming (e.g. catalyst utilization) should be considered.     

Decomposition of organochlorine compounds in flue gas from municipal solid waste incinerators using natural and activated acid clays

High-temperature particle control (HTPC) using a ceramic filter is a dust collection method without inefficient cooling and reheating of flue gas treatment; thus, its use is expected to improve the energy recovery efficiency of municipal solid waste incinerators (MSWIs). However, there are concerns regarding de novo synthesis and a decrease in the adsorptive removal efficiency of dioxins (DXNs) at approximately 300°C. In this study, the effect of natural and activated acid clays on the decomposition of monochlorobenzene (MCB), one of the organochlorine compounds in MSW flue gas, was investigated. From the results of MCB removal tests at 30–300°C, the clays were classified as adsorption, decomposition, and low removal types. More than half of the clays (four kinds of natural acid clays and two kinds of activated acid clays) were of the decomposition type. In addition, the presence of Cl atoms detached from MCB was confirmed by washing the clay used in the MCB removal test at 300°C. Activated acid clay was expected to have high dechlorination performance because of its proton-rich-composition, but only two clays were classed as decomposition type. Conversely, all the natural acid clays used in this work were of the decomposition type, which contained relatively higher di- and trivalent metal oxides such as Al₂O₃, Fe₂O₃, MgO, and CaO. These metal oxides might contribute to the catalytic dechlorination of MCB at 300°C. Therefore, natural and activated acid clays can be used as alternatives for activated carbon at 300°C to remove organochloride compounds such as DXNs. Their utilization is expected to mitigate the latent risks related to the adoption of HTPC, and also to contribute to the improvement of energy recovery efficiency of MSWI.

ImplicationsThe effect of natural and activated acid clays on MCB decomposition was investigated to evaluate their suitability as materials for the removal of organochlorine compounds, such as DXNs, from MSWI flue gas at approximately 300°C. More than half of the clays used in this study showed the decomposition characteristics of MCB. The presence of Cl atoms in the clay used in the MCB removal test at 300°C proved the occurrence of MCB decomposition. The results of this study suggest a novel flue gas treatment method to establish high-energy efficient MSWI systems.     

Freight shipment modal split and its environmental impacts: An exploratory study

Freight transportation activities are responsible for a large share of air pollution and greenhouse gas emissions in the United States. Various freight transportation modes have significantly different impacts on air quality and environmental sustainability, and this highlights the need for a better understanding of interregional freight shipment mode choices. This paper develops a binomial logit market share model to predict interregional freight modal share between truck and rail as a function of freight and shipment characteristics. This model can be used to estimate the impacts of various factors, such as oil price, on shippers’ mode choice decisions. A set of multiyear freight and geographical information databases was integrated to construct regression models for typical freight commodities. The atmospheric impact levels incurred by different freight modal choice decisions are analyzed to provide insights on the relationship among freight modal split, oil price change, and air quality.

Implications:

Freight transportation has become a major source of energy consumption and air pollution, and emissions rates vary significantly across different modes. Understanding freight shipment mode choice under various economic and engineering factors will help assess the environmental impacts of freight shipment systems at the national level. This paper develops a binomial logit model for two dominating modes (truck and rail) and shows how this model is incorporated into an environmental impact analysis. The framework will be useful to policy makers to assess the impacts of freight movements on air quality and public health and to mitigate those adverse impacts.     

Vibrio alginolyticus,a tetrodotoxin-producing bacterium,in the intestines of the fish Fugu vermicularis vermicularis

The influence of nutrient deprivation on cell-cycle progression was examined in two phytoplankton species, the diatom Thalassiosira weissflogii (actin) and the coccolithophorid Hymenomonas carterae (cocco II). The diatom was starved for nitrogen, silicon or both, whereas only nitrogen limitation was examined in H. carterae. In both species, nitrogen-starved cells were arrested in the early part of the cell cycle (G₁ phase). In the diatom, silicon-starvation arrested cells in late G₁ phase and also in the last part of the cell cycle (G₂+M). In all cases, cell-cycle arrest could be reversed by addition of fresh medium, but cell-cycling times during the first generation were increased in comparison to those in nutrient replete, steady-state growth conditions. These results supply evidence for simultaneous dual-nutrient limitation of population growth and provide a mechanistic interpretation for the division patterns observed in cultures where nutrients are supplied periodically.     

Effects of arsenic on osmoregulation in the tilapia Oreochromis mossambicus reared in seawater

The effects of arsenic (As₂O₃) on plasma osmolarity, Na and K concentrations, the activity of gill Na–K-ATPase, and on the ultrastructure of gill chloride cells were compared between seawater tilapia (Oreochromis mossambicus) and freshwater tilapia in the Institute of Zoology, Academia Sinica, between 1989 and 1991. Arsenic was found to be more lethal in seawater tilapia [96 h LC₅₀ (median lethal concentration): 26.5 ppm] than in freshwater ones (71.7 ppm). No significant effect was found on plasma ion concentrations and osmolarity, enzyme activity or the ultrastructure of chloride cells in freshwater tilapia after 96 h exposure to 70 ppm arsenic. In contrast, 96 h exposure to 15 ppm arsenic caused evident effects in seawater tilapia: an increase in plasma osmolarity and activity of gill Na–K-ATPase, as well as better development of the chloride cell tubular system. These data suggest that the lethal effect of arsenic may be partially attributed to a hydromineral disturbance in seawater tilapia, but in freshwater tilapia arsenic perhaps causes destruction in some physiological mechanisms other than osmoregulation. The activation of gill Na–K-ATPase and chloride cells in seawater tilapia appears to indicate an adaptation in the osmoregulatory mechanism to arsenic exposure, i.e., to enhance secreting ions or arsenic in the gills.     

Incense burning at home and the blood lead level of preschoolers in Taiwan

The growth and intellectual development of children less than 6 years old may be affected by exposure to low levels of lead. To further reduce environmental lead exposure, this study examined possible household-related factors that affect the blood lead levels of Taiwanese children. In total, based on a stratified random sampling strategy, 934 kindergarten students were recruited throughout Taiwan from April to October 2011 after their parents signed a statement of consent. A venous blood sample was drawn from each participant and analyzed for lead content using inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry. Information on the demographics and household environment of the study subjects was collected by administering a questionnaire (Table 1). The geometric mean lead level in the blood samples of the study subjects was 1.84 μg/dL with a geometric standard deviation of 1.55. The blood lead level was negatively correlated with household income and parental educational levels (p?p?p?p?=?0.0022). Because the health effects of low levels of lead exposure have been reported in recent years and because no consensus has been reached regarding a safety threshold for blood lead level in children, any trivial factor is worth investigating to further prevent lead exposure in children. Incense burning at home is a common traditional religious activity in Taiwan; therefore, more study is warranted to further eliminate the lead content in incense and reduce lead exposure for the families who practice this activity.