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1.
Climate and land-use/cover changes (LUCC) influence soil erosion vulnerability in the semi-arid region of Alqueva, threatening the reservoir storage capacity and sustainability of the landscape. Considering the effect of these changes in the future, the purpose of this study was to investigate soil erosion scenarios using the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) model. A multi-agent system combining Markov cellular automata with multi-criteria evaluation was used to investigate LUCC scenarios according to delineated regional strategies. Forecasting scenarios indicated that the intensive agricultural area as well as the sparse and xerophytic vegetation and rainfall-runoff erosivity would increase, consequently causing the soil erosion to rise from 1.78 Mg ha?1 to 3.65 Mg ha?1 by 2100. A backcasting scenario was investigated by considering the application of soil conservation practices that would decrease the soil erosion considerably to an average of 2.27 Mg ha?1. A decision support system can assist stakeholders in defining restrictive practices and developing conservation plans, contributing to control the reservoir's siltation.  相似文献   
2.
黄河北干流与渭河相遇洪水分析   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
张玉芳  邢大韦 《灾害学》1995,10(1):57-62
黄河北干流与渭河位于黄土高原,暴雨是洪水的重要成因.本文分析了近2000年的历史资料,提出该地区的洪水具有周期性,19世纪洪水达到高峰,20世纪洪水规模有所降低,并分析了黄河北干流与渭河及其支流径、洛河洪水相遇问题:四河相遇的概率很小,多形成特大洪水,两河相遇是较常发生的事件,多形成中等以下洪水。三门峡水库的淤积使该地区洪水灾害加剧.同时还分析了该地区洪水对黄河下游洪水的影响。  相似文献   
3.
In order to assess the effects of the execution of the Port of Bilbao Enlargement Project, epifauna living on hard substrata and environmental parameters were quantitatively investigated from 1994 to 1996. A programme of repeated non-destructive sampling at 8 stations was carried out during the construction period of a breakwater and the filling operations on the shoreline. A correlation analysis was used as a method to extract potential indicator species of particular environmental conditions measured in the field. We postulate that the remaining species (about 80% of the total species data set), insensitive to any of the investigated environmental factors, were unnecessary for the purposes of assessing the environmental impact caused by the port building works. Classification and ordination techniques were then conducted at two contrasting levels by using the full species data set and the selected faunal indicator data subset. All plots showed separation of sampling sites in 3 major groups, which were easily related to the perturbations caused by a siltation gradient from the estuary mouth. This suggests that the amount of effort required in the enumeration of all the organisms sampled may be dramatically reduced by identifying only faunal indicators of environmental discontinuities in the field. So far, the engineering works developed on the western side of the bay have not caused dramatic temporal changes in species composition, or at least they have not had an effect that was larger than the variations detected among the study sites due to siltation from the estuary mouth.  相似文献   
4.
基于RS的崇明东滩空间动态变化研究   总被引:6,自引:0,他引:6  
崇明岛东滩因其特殊的自然条件及频繁的人类活动影响,土地利用空间格局变化速度较快。通过对1988—2002年6幅不同时相TM遥感影像解译,对崇明东滩土地利用进行分类,得到东滩15年间的土地利用空间变化图;再利用GIS技术,从数量和空间分布上对其土地利用动态变化过程进行定量计算,结果显示东滩土地总面积不断增加,土地利用方式逐年变化。东部岸线明显向东扩展。同时结合考虑自然因素和人为因素影响,探讨了崇明东滩空间动态变化的原因。为更加合理的开发利用东滩提供了有力的参考,也表明了RS与GIS技术相结合对于研究东滩空间格局演变有一定的应用价值。  相似文献   
5.
不同滩涂促淤围垦方式对大型底栖动物群落的影响   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
滩涂促淤围垦会对大型底栖动物造成一定程度的影响,但关于不同促淤方式对大型底栖动物的影响未见有报道。以长江口浦东机场外侧滩涂促淤区为研究对象,分析吹沙促淤区域和抛坝促淤区域中大型底栖动物的分布特点。结果显示:大型底栖动物在抛坝促淤区和吹沙促淤区年均密度分别为(835.98±572.41)ind./m~2和(52.85±12.04)ind./m~2,年均生物量分别为(135.25±63.99)g/m~2和(40.82±6.84)g/m~2,单因素方差分析显示,两者存在显著性差异(P0.05),进而表明不同促淤方式对大型底栖动物的密度和生物量影响不同。CLUSTER聚类和MDS排序图说明吹沙促淤区和抛坝促淤区断面之间的大型底栖动物群落组成存在差异性。对各断面间群落相似性矩阵进行SIMPER分析表明河蚬、光滑狭口螺和谭氏泥蟹为两种区域共有优势种,其贡献度分别为56.10%、10.81%、9.62%,且三者在吹沙促淤区中的密度分布少于抛坝促淤区。研究表明泥沙淤积的快慢程度是影响促淤围垦区内大型底栖动物分布的重要因素。  相似文献   
6.
西吉县黄土丘陵沟壑区小流域土壤流失量预报方程   总被引:26,自引:1,他引:26  
木文在实地测量水库、塘坝淤积量和全面调查影响因子的基础上,利用计算机对获得的大量资料进行了统计分析,建立了黄土丘陵沟壑区小流域土壤侵蚀数学模型。研究结果表明:根据影响土壤侵蚀的主导因子建立的小流域年土壤流失量预报方程,具有较高的精度。预报方程比较客观地反映了各个影响因子对小流域土壤侵蚀的综合作用,它不仅能够根据给定的条件,估算流域内过去和现在的年土壤流失量,而且能够预报未来某一降雨水平的年土壤流失量,同时利用本方程对流域土壤流失量及其影响因子进行定量分析,这对于判定小流域治理总体规划、布设各项治理措施、进行流域管理以及有效地控制土壤侵蚀等提供了可靠依据。 本文研究的结果,已在西吉县防护林工程建设和全县水土流失综合治理中广泛应用,并被 WFP/FAO 中期评价组有关国外专家所采用。  相似文献   
7.
Abstract:  We used Tasmania as a case example to question the consensus that few marine species have recently become extinct or are approaching extinction. Threats to marine and estuarine species—primarily in the form of climate change, invasive species, fishing, and catchment discharges—are accelerating, fully encompass species ranges, and are of sufficient magnitude to cause extinction. Our ignorance of declining biodiversity in the marine environment largely results from an almost complete lack of systematic broad-scale sampling and an overreliance on physicochemical data to monitor environmental trends. Population declines for marine species approaching extinction will generally go unnoticed because of the hidden nature of their environment and lack of quantitative data.  相似文献   
8.
ABSTRACT. An investigation of the hydraulics of gorge-type reservoirs was conducted with scale models. Reservoir shapes were moulded within a large basin. Water was circulated using a centrifugal pump-motor unit and uniform sediment (specific gravity 2.65) with mean diameters of 0.20 mm and 0.60 mm were utilized. Observations were made to study sedimentation patterns from the commencement of sediment inflow until the final stage of a fully silted reservoir. In particular, the mode of deposition of the sediment beds, the mechanics of transportation and sediment bed slopes were investigated. These aspects of reservoir siltation were examined in relation to the factors which influence it, which included sediment characteristics and flow parameters. Bed slopes and flow depths were analyzed by various methods; the Kalinske equation in conjunction with the Manning and Einstein-Barbarossa relations as proposed by Doland-Chow produced the best results.  相似文献   
9.
老木孔航电枢纽工程是岷江乐山-宜宾段航电梯级开发方案中的第一级,是以航运为主,航电结合的水利工程。首先建立平面二维水流泥沙数学模型,并由实测资料验证其相似性;再根据入库水沙资料,计算分析水库建成后不同时期的泥沙淤积量及其淤积分布,并初步分析分布不均形成的原因;讨论在各级频率洪水作用下,库区泥沙淤积对乐山城区及乐山大佛的影响;并分析泥沙淤积对库区建港环境的影响。通过物模实测值和数模计算值的比较,再次验证了该数学模型的适用性。结果表明:该数学模型可较好的模拟河段水流的运动及库区泥沙的淤积过程;泥沙淤积主要发生在老江坝尾至坝址河段,且估算了该段淤积量占淤积总量的85%;库区淤积后,频率洪水不会对乐山城区及乐山大佛产生影响。  相似文献   
10.
根据黑河草滩庄引水枢纽闸上游泥沙冲淤情况 ,分析了局部冲刷、泥沙淤积和上下游输沙不平衡等对生态环境的影响 ,提出了改善生态环境的具体工程措施  相似文献   
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