Forest growth in the light of the thermodynamic theory of ecological systems

The observed growth of a particular forest stand can be described by many models and explained by some of them. The forest growth models are also successfully applied for extrapolating the growth curve. However, the known models of forest growth are not “one-point” models. They are not designed to predict the future growth of a forest stand from its current state: the model parameters either are not directly measurable or cannot be measured with relevant accuracy. This article is an attempt to use Jørgensen–Svirezhev theory as a new clue to the choice of variables that determines forest growth. The postulates of this theory combined with the pipe theory of tree growth lead to conclusion that biomass of a stand should be proportional to the four-fifths power of its age. Empirical validation, however, disclosed that calendar age is rather approximate measure of ecosystem ontogeny. Delayed development or intensive thinning of a forest stand at the early stages leads to rejuvenation bias. Thus derived 4/5-law model approximates well-known Chapman–Richards model in the neighborhood of the inflection point, and is applicable to middle-aged forest stands.     

可压密煤层瓦斯运移方程与数值模拟研究

建立了非均质可压密煤层瓦斯运移方程和数值模拟方程,通过计算机数值模拟解,并运用相似理论,得到了煤层瓦斯压力分布曲线和煤（孔）壁瓦斯涌出衰减曲线方程。采掘面围岩中的集中应力峰值点存在高瓦斯压力和压力梯度,克林伯格效应和煤体排放瓦斯后的应力释放对钻孔瓦斯流量有明显的增长作用     

自然灾害的自相似性质

本文分析了多种自然灾害的致灾因子和致灾损失的频次—大小关系，结果表明，普遍服从幂指数分布律，表明存在自相似性和可用分数维度量。地震和洪水等突发性灾害及其造成的损失自相似最明显，分数维可在２～３个量级区间成立。不同文种、致灾因子和致灾损失的分数维值似与成灾机理、影响因子的复杂程度有关．     

Variation in some chemical parameters and organic matter in soils regenerated by the addition of municipal solid waste

The organic fraction of a municipal solid waste was added in different doses to an eroded soil formed of loam and with no vegetal cover. After three years, the changes in macronutrient content and the chemical-structural composition of its organic matter were studied. The addition of the organic fraction from a municipal solid waste had a positive effect on soil regeneration, the treated soils being covered with spontaneous vegetation from 1 yr onwards. An increase in electrical conductivity and a fall in pH were noted in the treated soils as were increases in macronutrients, particularly N and available P and the different carbon fractions. Optical density measurements of the organic matter extracted with sodium pyrophosphate showed that the treated soils contained an organic matter with less condensed compounds and with a greater tendency to evolve than the control. A pyrolysis-gas chromatography study of the organic matter extracted with pyrophosphate showed large quantities of benzene both in the treated soils and control; pyrrole was also relatively abundant, although this fragment decreased as the dose rose. Xylenes and pyridine were present in greater quantities in the control and furfural in the treated soils. Three years after addition to the soil, the organic matter had a higher proportion of fragments derived from aromatic compounds and a smaller proportion derived from hydrocarbons. Similarity indices showed that, although the added and newly formed organic matter 3 yr after addition continued to differ from that of the original soil and to be more mineralizable, the transformations it has undergone made it more similar to the original organic matter of the soil than it was at the moment of being added.     

建设节水型社会评价指标体系及赋权方法研究

针对某市10个县区节水的实际情况,依据层次分析法原理建立了节水型社会评价指标体系,分别采用两种客观性赋权方法(相关系数法、相似系数法)来确定指标体系中各层指标的权重,这样即保留了层次分析法分类清楚、解释性强的特点,又发挥了客观赋权法人为因素少的优点。     

苯胺和硝基苯胺对大型蚤(Daphnia magna)的联合毒性

测得了苯胺与硝基苯胺对大型蚤(Daphnia magna)的单一毒性和二元混合物的联合毒性.用相加指数法(AI)和相似性参数(λ)进行评价,两种方法得出一致的结论,即3种二元混合物的联合作用均为协同作用;比较混合物在等剂量,毒性单位比分别为1∶1,1∶4,2∶3,3∶2,4∶1下的AI值和λ值,发现均在等毒配比时的协同作用最强.      

利用模糊集理论评价公路客运站安全管理工作

利用模糊集理论建立一种模糊综合评价方法来评价交通运输系统内部的公路客运站安全管理工作。分别通过评价语言变量和权重语言变量将评价指标体系的定性指标和定量指标及权重全部转化成三角形模糊数,克服定性与定量指标不具有可比性的缺点,使评价更客观、精确。基于最优度概念,将权重模糊评价矩阵转化成模糊单一评价矩阵,避免传统模糊数之间比较的复杂性和不精确性。考虑到评价者在模糊评价环境下对风险的态度,将乐观系数引入评价的过程。采用TOPSIS方法计算出评价方案的综合评价分数并进行排序。结合桂林市10个客运站安全管理工作评价实例,通过改变权重值对评价结果进行敏感性分析。方法概念清晰,计算过程直观与简单,评价结果公正与合理,不但可在交通系统内推广,同样也可适合于其他各领域模糊环境下的评价问题。     

元江流域干热河谷草地植物群落结构特征与相似性分析

选择元江干热河谷典型草地群落,采用标准样地调查法,对流域上、中、下游干热河谷草地植物群落的分布特征、群落结构、种群习性等特征开展研究,结果表明：（1）元江流域上游祥云和中下游红河干热河谷草地群落中出现的植物种类最多,元江流域干热河谷草地植物群落是以灌木为主、多年生草本为辅的结构类型。（2）元江流域干热河谷草地群落中,扭黄茅（Heteropogon contortus）为优势种群,次优种群随流域环境的改变而不同。（3）元江流域干热河谷草地植物群落之间的相似性系数均在0.00～0.25之间,处于极不相似水平,种群的扩散受流域河谷通道作用影响较小。（4）种群的扩散和定居受海拔高度的影响,随着海拔高度的变化,植物群落的组成也发生变化,形成不同的群落结构。     

综采工作面安全性评价的逼近理想解(TOPSIS)方法

基于熵权的TOPSIS(逼近理想解的排序方法)方法是一种新的安全性评价方法,该方法以灰熵理论确定评价指标的权重———熵权,从而避免低层次多因素权重确定的主观性。以评价对象与理想解和负理想解的距离确定的相对接近度作为评价准则,避免了评价方法的主观性。通过对平顶山煤业集团有限责任公司六矿综采工作面安全性进行的评价,指出综采工作面安全管理中存在的问题,并提出相应的改进措施。理论与实例表明,该方法较其他方法更加客观,更易于操作,结果也更符合生产实际。     

系统安全相似分析法及其应用

系统安全相似分析法是发掘共性事故致因,运用逻辑学和数学方法解决安全问题的方法。通过评价比较分析法、比较安全法、模糊相似分析法与系统相似分析法的优缺点,采用多隶属模糊集对系统相似分析法进行改进,克服其无法度量模糊因素相似性的缺陷,得到适用于模糊系统的系统安全相似分析法。基于此,建立系统安全相似度计算数学模型,并构建系统安全相似分析范式。将改进的分析方法应用于4起典型煤矿瓦斯爆炸事故,分析得出,越界开采、井下密闭作业、应急救援不力、密不上报、拒不撤出作业人员等是造成瓦斯爆炸事故严重程度升级的主要因素;物质流、能量流、信息流相似度接近于1,然而其对造成事故的潜在影响受到忽视,是煤矿避免瓦斯爆炸事故的极佳着手点。结果表明,这一改进有效实现了事故致因因素的相似性度量,为系统安全分析与事故预防提供了新思路与新方法。