Response of balanced network models to large-scale perturbation: Implications for evaluating the role of small pelagics in the Gulf of Maine

Exploring the response of an ecosystem, and subsequent tradeoffs among its biological community, to human perturbations remains a key challenge for the implementation of an ecosystem approaches to fisheries (EAF). To address this and related issues, we developed two network (or energy budget) models, Ecopath and Econetwrk, for the Gulf of Maine ecosystem. These models included 31 network “nodes” or biomass state variables across a broad range of trophic levels, with the present emphasis to particularly elucidate the role of small pelagics. After initial network balancing, various perturbation scenarios were evaluated to explore how potential changes to different fish, fisheries and lower trophic levels can affect model outputs. Categorically across all scenarios and interpretations thereof, there was minimal change at the second trophic levels and most of the “rebalancing” after a perturbation occurred via alteration of the diet matrix. Yet the model results from perturbations to a balanced energy budget fall into one of three categories. First, some model results were intuitive and in obvious agreement with established ecological and fishing theory. Second, some model results were counter-intuitive upon initial observation, seemingly contradictory to known ecological and fishing theory; but upon further examination the results were explainable given the constraints of an equilibrium energy budget. Finally, some results were counter-intuitive and difficult to reconcile with theory or further examination of equilibrium constraints. A detailed accounting of biomass flows for example scenarios explores some of the non-intuitive results more rigorously. Collectively these results imply a need to carefully track biomass flows and results of any given perturbation and to critically evaluate the conditions under which a new equilibrium is obtained for these types of models, which has implications for dynamic simulations based off of them. Given these caveats, the role of small pelagics as a prominent component of this ecosystem remains a robust conclusion. We discuss how one might use this approach in the context of further developing an EAF, recognizing that a more holistic, integrated perspective will be required as we continue to evaluate tradeoffs among marine biological communities.     

Predator identity and additive effects in a treehole community

Multiple predator species can interact as well as strongly affect lower trophic levels, resulting in complex, nonadditive effects on prey populations and community structure. Studies of aquatic systems have shown that interactive effects of predators on prey are not necessarily predictable from the direct effects of each species alone. To test for complex interactions, the individual and combined effects of a top and intermediate predator on larvae of native and invasive mosquito prey were examined in artificial analogues of water-filled treeholes. The combined effects of the two predators were accurately predicted from single predator treatments by a multiplicative risk model, indicating additivity. Overall survivorship of both prey species decreased greatly in the presence of the top predator Toxorhynchites rutilus. By itself, the intermediate predator Corethrella appendiculata increased survivorship of the native prey species Ochlerotatus triseriatus and decreased survivorship of the invasive prey species Aedes albopictus relative to treatments without predators. Intraguild predation did not occur until alternative prey numbers had been reduced by approximately one-half. Owing to changes in size structure accompanying its growth, T. rutilus consumed more prey as time progressed, whereas C. appendiculata consumed less. The intermediate predator, C. appendiculata, changed species composition by preferentially consuming A. albopictus, while the top predator, T. rutilus, reduced prey density, regardless of species. Although species interactions were in most cases predicted from pairwise interactions, risk reduction from predator interference occurred when C. appendiculata densities were increased and when the predators were similarly sized.     

Resuspension and growth ofOstrea edulis: A field experiment

Field experiments withOstrea edulis L. were conducted to examine the effects of resuspension on subtidal oyster growth in a small cove in malifax County, Nova Scotia. Removable racks with strips of fixed juvenile oysters were placed at 4 and 30 cm above a coarse sandy bottom (2 m depth). Summer growth was assessed weekly for 7 wk (July to August 1985) using silhouette images to follow individual change in shell area, a correlate of change in wet weight. Daily measurements of temperature, erosion/deposition (buried plate depth) and sediment chlorophyll suggested that sediment transport partially controlled the standing stock of benthic microalgae. Relative oyster growth per week was positively correlated with temperature. In addition, relative growth initially increased as the transport regime went from erosional to depositional (maximum growth near zero net transport) but growth rate declined with continued deposition. The relationship of oyster growth to gross changes in sediment chlorophyll showed a similar parabolic trend. The shape of these curves is similar to those obtained in published laboratory feeding experiments, which suggest beneficial effects of resuspension as a bivalve food supplement, but inhibition at higher levels due to decreased ingestion or dilution of food with inorganics. It is postulated that sand bottoms may provide more suitable resuspension environments than mud due to lower suspended loads over coarse sediments. Resuspension may be a valuable supplement to water column production as food for cultured bivalves, a factor of value in grow-out site selection.     

Severe bilateral renal disease: Correlation of antenatal and autopsy findings

We report 20 infants with severe bilateral renal disease examined by prenatal ultrasound and by autopsy. In 17, the prenatal and pathologic diagnoses correlated well. Although the prenatal and autopsy findings differed in the three remaining cases, the autopsy confirmed the presence of severe bilateral renal abnormalities. All 20 pregnancies were complicated by oligohydramnios, which was severe in 60 per cent. Most of these fetuses had malformation of other organ systems. This series supports the utility of prenatal ultrasound examinations, but emphasizes the need for postnatal evaluation of congenital renal disease including pathologic examination of tissue when possible for correct classification and genetic counselling.     

Detecting Insect Pollinator Declines on Regional and Global Scales

Recently there has been considerable concern about declines in bee communities in agricultural and natural habitats. The value of pollination to agriculture, provided primarily by bees, is >$200 billion/year worldwide, and in natural ecosystems it is thought to be even greater. However, no monitoring program exists to accurately detect declines in abundance of insect pollinators; thus, it is difficult to quantify the status of bee communities or estimate the extent of declines. We used data from 11 multiyear studies of bee communities to devise a program to monitor pollinators at regional, national, or international scales. In these studies, 7 different methods for sampling bees were used and bees were sampled on 3 different continents. We estimated that a monitoring program with 200–250 sampling locations each sampled twice over 5 years would provide sufficient power to detect small (2–5%) annual declines in the number of species and in total abundance and would cost U.S.$2,000,000. To detect declines as small as 1% annually over the same period would require >300 sampling locations. Given the role of pollinators in food security and ecosystem function, we recommend establishment of integrated regional and international monitoring programs to detect changes in pollinator communities. Detección de Declinaciones de Insectos Polinizadores a Escalas Regional y Global     

Federal Air Pollution Prevention and Abatement Responsibilities and Operations

The direct federal role in air pollution control was expanded and intensified by the 89th Congress to include authority for: (1) abatement of international pollution; (2) promulgation and enforcement of regulations regarding emissions from new motor vehicles and engines; and (8) the conduct cf conferences and formulation of advisory recommendations concerning potential air pollution of substantial significance. Experiences under interstate abatement authorities of the Clean Air Act and plans for future activities under the new authorities are discussed.