综合治理太湖刻不容缓

太湖水资源状况与和长江三角洲的经济发展关系极大。多年来，人为对太湖资源的破坏使本来就很脆弱的生态环境不堪重负。应尽快建立有权威的管理机构，制定高起点，高标准，高科技，高效益的综合开发治理总体规则，使太湖明珠重放光彩。     

生长调节物质对益母草总生物碱积累的调控

本文对益母草进行了没生长调节物质的田间喷施处理,追踪生长调节物质对益母草总生物碱积累的影响效应。     

基于胡焕庸线波动的长江经济带水资源环境承载力动态演变特征

基于水资源生态足迹模型,对长江经济带2010—2018年131个地区水资源生态足迹与生态承载力进行研究,并用GIS可视化揭示和探讨长江经济带水资源时空特征。研究发现： （1）胡焕庸线假说在长江经济带区域成立;（2）长江经济带人均水资源生态盈余状况在胡焕庸线以西区域最好,胡焕庸线与胡焕庸亚线之间次之,胡焕庸亚线以东最差;（3）长江经济带胡焕庸线以西区域人均水资源承载力均值、水资源承载力均值在三个区域中最大;（4）长江经济带各地区历年万元GDP生态足迹呈减小趋势,水资源利用率逐年提高;（5）长江经济带历年平均水资源负载指数呈上升趋势,水资源压力逐年上升。研究结果有助于长江经济带水资源综合管理,为水资源的调控及使用提供量化依据。     

"零点行动"前后太湖水质比较分析

通过“零点行动”前后的1998年、1999年太湖湖体总氮,总磷,叶绿素浓度分布与比较,说明太湖仍然处于富营养状态,“零点行动”并没有从根据上改善太湖水质。     

Change of Flood Patterns in China under the Influences of Climate Change and Human Activities

Based on the flood affected area （FA） data of the provinces in China from 1950 to 2005, the article discusses the change of the flood patterns in China, and investigates its relationship with climate change and human activities. The flood center shifted from North China and the Yangtze-Huaihe basin in the 1950s towards the south, north and west of China, and located in the south of the Yangtze River and South China after the 1990s. The FA in the western provinces was continuously on the rise since the 1950s. There are two characteristics for the future flood pattem in China. The pattern of ＂flood in the south and drought in the north＂ depends on the north-south shift of the maximum rainfall region in eastern China. The flood intensification to the west of Hu Huanyong＇s line mainly results from the increase of rainfall, extreme precipitation and the melting of glaciers under the background of human activity magnification.     

平稳地震地面运动改进金井清谱的相关函数模型

胡聿贤平稳地震地面运动谱模型是对Kanai-Tajimi模型的一种改进。通过数学推导证明胡聿贤谱是将基岩地震动模拟为过滤白谱过程,经具有某种特性的线性单自由度土层滤波后而形成的,从而在物理上解释了胡聿贤模型的合理性;研究了低频截止频率的作用,推导出胡聿贤模型的相关函数的表达式。本文所得结果可为结构随机地震反应时域分析提供基础。     

基于天地协同的巢湖水华分布特征分析

基于MODIS影像监测2016年巢湖蓝藻水华分布,结果表明：水华的频次,持续时间从西北部水域向东南部水域逐渐减弱;西半湖湖心水华开始日期最早（5月19日）,持续时间最长为131d,塘西水华发生频次较多（10次）.进一步将水华遥感监测结果与同步水面实测水质参数数据（藻密度,叶绿素a,总氮,总磷）进行相关性分析,利用Q型聚类分析将水面实测采样点分为东区和西区两部分.西区藻密度,叶绿素a,总氮,总磷和水华面积相关性较强（R²均大于0.6）.     

沪宁杭城市密集区市场化差异研究

提出了市场化为商品和生产要素的市场化以及经济化体制与机制的统一。分析了沪宁杭城市密集区生产要素市场化的总体特征。选取了市场化指标体系 ,用主成分分析法确定了影响沪宁杭城市密集区市场化进程的基本因素 ,利用层次分析法定量分析了沪宁杭城市密集区市场化进程的差异。在此基础上 ,提出了推进沪宁杭城市密集区市场化整体协调发展的对策建议 :大力发展要素市场 ,实现商品与要素市场的互促共进 ,继续深化企业改革 ,推进企业市场化。加快对外贸易市场化步伐 ,促进经济外向化。大力发展第三产业 ,地推动工业化和市场化进程的统一。全方位稳定发展农村外向型经济 ,促进农村市场化。因势利导 ,促进沪宁杭城市密集区各城市市场化的协调发展     

Change of Flood Patterns in China under the Influences of Climate Change and Human Activities

Abstract

Based on the flood affected area (FA) data of the provinces in China from 1950 to 2005, the article discusses the change of the flood patterns in China, and investigates its relationship with climate change and human activities. The flood center shifted from North China and the Yangtze–Huaihe basin in the 1950s towards the south, north and west of China, and located in the south of the Yangtze River and South China after the 1990s. The FA in the western provinces was continuously on the rise since the 1950s. There are two characteristics for the future flood pattern in China. The pattern of “flood in the south and drought in the north” depends on the north–south shift of the maximum rainfall region in eastern China. The flood intensification to the west of Hu Huanyong’s line mainly results from the increase of rainfall, extreme precipitation and the melting of glaciers under the background of human activity magnification.     

胡焕庸亚线构想与长江经济带人口承载格局

从"胡焕庸线"的理论内涵出发,构想了"胡焕庸亚线"的基本构想、及其空间特征;以"胡焕庸亚线"为基础,结合长江经济带自然社会基础条件空间格局,测算了未来时期的资源环境人口承载力状况,并从胡焕庸亚线的视角细划了长江经济带的人口承载力空间格局,形成以长三角为首的阶梯式空间结构。并对长江经济带战略空间格局的优化提出若干建议。