Highway toll and air pollution: Evidence from Chinese cities

Most highways in urban China are tolled to finance their construction. During the eight-day National Day holiday in 2012, highway tolls were waived nationwide for passenger vehicles. We use this to identify the effects of highway tolls on air pollution. Using daily pollution and weather data for 98 Chinese cities in 2011 and 2012 and employing both a regression discontinuity design and differences-in-differences method with the 2011 National Day holiday as a control, we find that eliminating tolls increases pollution by 20% and decreases visibility by one kilometer. We also estimate that the toll elasticity of air pollution is −0.15. These findings complement the scant literature on the environmental impact of road pricing.     

城市水源地水质指标年内分配的不均匀变化

以昆明市主要供水水源（松华坝水库）的总氮、总磷、氮氨、高锰酸盐指数为研究对象,借鉴水文界经验,应用集中度、不均匀系数和调节系数概念,计算并分析比较了集中度、不均匀系数和调节系数在水质指标年内分配规律中的适用性。研究表明：集中度、不均匀系数和调节系数可从不同侧面反映了水质变化的年内分布特征,且3个指标在不同时间尺度间具有明显的一致性,因此,在水质监测中只需要应用每个季度的监测数据就能反映出水质变化的年内分配不均匀性。     

基于Monte-Carlo法的瑶寨隧道岩体结构性质评价

本文以瑶寨隧道为研究对象,结合现场地质分析与结构面统计,以Monte-Carlo法为基础,对该隧道各测线不同等级围岩分别进行结构面网络模拟,评价遂道岩体的结构性质,并进行工程岩体分类,估算其力学参数,以为采取合适的围岩支护方式提供依据。     

For what it's worth: evaluating revealed preferences for green certification

In a case study that examines the outcomes of a flexible information-based policy, we observe how organizations obtain Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design certification. We use a regression discontinuity analysis to identify practices used to upgrade certification tiers. This analysis reveals preferences for green certification strategies and, we argue, intimates the perceived motivations for green certification. We distinguish practices that potentially confer private gains through returns to efficiency and productivity investments, from practices that only provide public benefits. Data show that organizations strategically certify to avoid high-cost resource use, appeal to key stakeholders, and communicate building and organization quality. Builders upgrading to the highest tiers are more likely to deploy practices with private gains. Results suggest a willingness to extend short time horizons associated with energy-efficiency investments in exchange for marketing benefits. Our discussion notes the capacity for certifications to mitigate market barriers associated with the energy-efficiency gap.     

重污染天气应对“绩效分级、差异化管控”措施首次实践效果后评估

为提高重污染天气应对的科学性和精准度,2019年7月生态环境部制定重污染天气应对“绩效分级、差异化管控”措施.为应对9月底至10月初的重污染过程,京津冀及周边共68个城市启动重污染预警,该措施得以首次实践.通过时间序列断点回归方法对该措施效果进行评估发现,空气质量改善存在滞后的现象,SO₂、 NO₂和CO这3个气态污染物改善速度较快,对涉及二次生成的O₃和PM_2.5两个污染物见效速度相对较慢. 10月1日恰逢在北京举办庆祝中华人民共和国成立70周年阅兵式,对10月1日当天进行评估,发现与假如不采取措施的情形相比,重污染应急措施使北京市PM_2.5、 NO₂和CO日均浓度显著下降,下降幅度分别为54.1%、 62.4%和25.8%.如果不采取重污染应急措施,北京10月1日上午可能出现中重度污染,但实际上空气质量保持在良的水平.区域启动预警的68城市PM_2.5、 PM₁₀、 NO₂、 SO     

结构面长期强度确定方法对比研究∗

结构面长期强度的确定对工程岩体长期安全稳定性评价具有重要意义。在对水泥砂浆结构面试件分别进行了不同法向应力条件的剪切应力分级剪切蠕变试验和循环剪切应力松弛试验的基础上,分别利用过渡蠕变法、应力-应变等时曲线法和应力松弛法对结构面的长期强度进行了求解。结果表明:过渡蠕变法确定的长期强度精度依赖于蠕变试验中加载应力级的划分;等时曲线法将长期强度值视为考虑时效作用的屈服强度值,结果偏保守;应力松弛法考虑了循环加载条件应力松弛的终止条件和长期强度之间的关系求得,结果合理明确。该研究对考虑时效作用的工程岩体安全稳定性支护提供设计依据。     

系统故障演化过程不连续现象的原因及消除方法研究*

为研究系统故障演化过程中,通过原因事件得到的结果事件发生可能性与直接试验得到的结果事件发生可能性不同的问题,定义系统故障演化过程的不连续现象,研究不连续现象出现的原因和消除方法。根据不连续现象的程度将原因分为3层,第1层是基本的原因事件、结果事件或传递的概率错误造成的不连续;第2层是因素对应错误造成的概率错误;第3层是演化结构不清造成的错误。针对这些错误提出消除方法,基本方法包括试验法、结构分析法和逻辑推理法;第2层次使用空间故障树和因素空间等方法;第3层使用三值逻辑等方法。研究结果表明:导致不连续的原因是演化过程的结构性问题,消除的方法应根据实际情况进行选择和变化。     

火灾引发超高层建筑非连续倒塌模拟研究

为了解超高层建筑发生火灾后变形特征及失稳后的非连续坍塌过程,掌握引起变形和坍塌的原因,将三维颗粒流软件(PFC3D)作为模拟平台,设置核心筒-框架结构的超高层建筑火灾区域,并模拟坍塌过程。在考虑钢筋和混凝土共同作用结果的基础上,提出火灾区域中构件属性设置方法及模拟步骤。分析得到造成建筑结构摆动的3种原因,一是火区位置不同导致上部结构对火区的压力不同,二是火区位置不同导致结构受到的约束不同,三是受热膨胀性使构件产生不同程度变形。结果表明:燃烧温度为500℃,3 h后建筑发生摆动,表现出对火区位置和燃烧时间敏感的特征。1 000℃下1 h内,建筑物首先发生破坏的是梁构件,然后是承重柱。即建筑一旦进入结构破坏阶段,坍塌将是迅速且不可逆的。     

Are politicians office or policy motivated? The case of U.S. governors' environmental policies

Are elected politicians primarily motivated by holding office, thus choosing environmental policies accordingly? Or are they motivated by the chance to implement their preferred environmental policies? Do governors have character, in the sense that they promise and implement environmental policies consistent with their own preferences? To answer these questions, we study the differences in environmental spending across both re-electable and lame duck governors from the two main political parties. In our empirical analysis, we make use of parametric and non-parametric regression-discontinuity approaches. While re-electable governors do not set significantly different policies, lame duck governors do. We argue that in the area of environmental policy governors appear to be primarily office motivated and lack character.     

沿黄地区土地政策试点对区域发展的影响—— 基于断点回归的政策效益检验

土地试点政策是创新土地改革模式的重要方式,是乡村振兴背景下推动农村经济发展的重要动力.本文利用沿黄地区10个试点地2008?—?2018年面板数据,考察了土地试点政策实施对沿黄地区经济发展的影响.结果表明:(1)土地试点政策实施,对沿黄地区各流域经济发展影响效果存在空间差异,表现为中、下游区域对经济发展的带动作用弱于上...