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Study of a winter PM episode in Istanbul using the high resolution WRF/CMAQ modeling system
Authors:Ulas Im  Kostandinos Markakis  Alper Unal  Tayfun Kindap  Anastasia Poupkou  Selahattin Incecik  Orhan Yenigun  Dimitros Melas  Christina Theodosi  Nikos Mihalopoulos
Institution:1. Department of Environment, College of Architecture and Environment, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, China;2. Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Environment Monitoring and Pollution Control, Jiangsu Engineering Technology Research Center of Environmental Cleaning Materials, Collaborative Innovation Center of Atmospheric Environment and Equipment Technology, School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, 219 Ningliu Road, Nanjing 210044, China;3. Zachry Department of Civil Engineering, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77845, USA;4. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA 70803, USA
Abstract:High winter-time PM10, sulfate, nitrate and ammonium levels in Istanbul were investigated using a high resolution WRF/CMAQ mesoscale model system. A model-ready anthropogenic emission inventory on 2 km spatial resolution was developed for the area and the present study is the first attempt to test these emissions. The results suggested that the system was capable of producing the magnitudes. PM10 levels calculated by the model underestimated the observations with an average of 10 per cent at Bogazici University sampling station, whereas an overestimation of 12 per cent is calculated for all stations. High uncertainties, particularly in traffic and coal combustion, led to over estimations around emission hot spots. Base case results together with the sensitivity studies pointed significant contribution of local sources, pointing to the need of control strategies focusing on primary particulate emissions.
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