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National implications of a 50% global reduction of greenhouse gases, and its feasibility in Japan
Authors:Yuzuru Matsuoka  Junichi Fujino  Mikiko Kainuma
Institution:(1) Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan;(2) National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, Japan
Abstract:This paper considers three questions concerning a low-carbon society. The first is the implication of a 50% reduction in greenhouse gases (GHGs) by 2050. In the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report, released in 2007 (IPCC 2007b; http://www.gtp89.dial.pipex.com/chpt.htm), the suggested limit of increase in average worldwide temperatures is 2–3°C above the current level, but is this consistent with a 50% reduction by 2050? Second, when a 50% reduction in global emissions is envisioned, what is the level of reduction needed in Japan? Should the 50% reduction be uniform for advanced industrial countries and developing countries, or differentiated based on a country’s emissions? Third, how feasible are emission reduction targets in Japan? Even if the emission reduction target set for each country takes into account climate change impact and equity, whether the target is technically, or socially and economically, acceptable is another matter.
Keywords:Climate change  Long-term target  Burden sharing  Low-carbon society  Innovation
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