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江苏省电力发展与环境变化的灰色关联分析研究
引用本文:冯冰,林敏,杜斌.江苏省电力发展与环境变化的灰色关联分析研究[J].环境科学与管理,2014,39(12):1-6.
作者姓名:冯冰  林敏  杜斌
作者单位:南京工程学院经济与管理学院,江苏南京,211167
基金项目:江苏省环保厅2012科研课题项目
摘    要:文章以灰色关联分析的理论与方法为基础,分别将江苏全省SO2排放量、工业烟(粉)尘排放量、工业废气排放量和工业固体物产生量作为因变量参考数列,江苏省地区生产总值、发电总量、火力发电量、火力发电量占发电总量比重作为比较数列,对电力发展与环境变化进行综合分析,结果表明火力发电对环境变化影响较大.因此,积极发展新能源发电项目,扩大新能源发电比重,降低火力发电比重,构建合理的能源结构成为江苏省环境保护的重中之重.

关 键 词:灰色关联分析  电力  环境污染

Grey Correlation Analysis of Electric Power Development and Environmental Changein Jiangsu Province
Feng Bing,Lin Min,Du Bin.Grey Correlation Analysis of Electric Power Development and Environmental Changein Jiangsu Province[J].Environmental Science and Management,2014,39(12):1-6.
Authors:Feng Bing  Lin Min  Du Bin
Institution:( School of Economics and Management, Nanjing Institute of Technology, Nanjing 211167, China)
Abstract:Based on the theory and method of grey correlation analysis, this study takes SOs ,industrial powder, waste gas and solid waste emissions as the dependent variable reference. The GDP, electricity, proportion of thermal power in total power gener- ation, power enterprises S02 emissions were takenas comparison sequence. It conducted a comprehensive analysis on the electric power development and environmental changes. The results that thermal power generation has a great impact on theenvironment. Therefore, it is of great importance to establish a reasonable energy structure in Jiangsu Province bydeveloping new energy power generation projects, expanding the proportion of new energy and reducing the proportion of thermal power.
Keywords:grey relational analysis of electric  power  environmental pollution
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