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THE ARMA MODELS APPLIED TO THE FLOW OF KARSTIC SPRINGS1
Authors:Alberto Padilla  Antonio Pulido-Bosch  Maria L Calvache  Angela Vallejos
Abstract:ABSTRACT: Autoregressive moving average (ABMA) models have been applied to study the flow series of the karstic springs of La Villa, Fuente Mayor (Spain), and Aliou (France). The theoretical meaning of the parameters involved in the model upon applying it to a simplified scheme of the emptying of a karstic aquifer is first analyzed. The types of transformations necessary to apply these models to the flow series that lack normality and have strong periodic components are also indicated, as are the advantages of this type of model and the physical significance of the parameters obtained, with respect to the standpoint of hydraulics, ranging from rather homogeneous aquifers (La Villa) to extremely karstic (Aliou), including aquifers with intermediate characteristics (Fuente Mayor).
Keywords:ground water hydrology  ARMA model  time series analysis  karstic spring  hydrograph analysis and modeling  quick-flow  baseflow
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