丹阳市宅基地使用权流转意愿的影响因素及相互作用

通过丹阳市4个村320户农户实地问卷调查，分析了丹阳市宅基地使用权流转意愿的影响因素，由Logistic回归分析模型，给出了影响因素的驱动力、贡献率的数学表达。结果表明：文化程度、宅基地个数、家庭总收入等影响因素对流转意愿呈正相关；户主年龄、家庭人口数量等影响因素对流转意愿呈负相关。同一农户的影响因素在不同阶段对流转意愿度的贡献率不同，家庭收入和户主年龄是影响宅基地流转的主要因素，他们对宅基地流转分别起着推力和阻力作用，在相互作用过程中，两者之间彼此消长。实地抽样结果分析表明，丹阳农村户主文化程度若为初中且年龄在35岁时，家庭收入能达到34 000元的话，宅基地使用权流转意愿度超过50%。以后每年家庭收入能有一定增速的话，农户流转意愿度将持续保持在50%以上。

INFLUENCING FACTOR OF WILLINGNESS OF RURAL RESIDENCE TRANSFER AND INFLUENCING FACTOR INTERACTION IN DANYANG CITY

Based on 320 farmer questionnaire in 4 villages in Danyang City,the influencing factor about the willingness of rural residence transfer was analysed.Mathematical formula of driving force and contribution ratio of influencing factor was given by Logistic regression model.The result showed that education level,the number of homestead,family income were positively correlated to the willingness.The age of the head of household and family population were negatively correlated to the willingness.Factors at different stages had different effects,and the education level of the head of household affected the most.The family income and age were the main factors affecting the willingness of transfer.They played pull and push role of reaction separately.The study also showed that willingness of transfer would exceed 50% if the head of household’s education level was high school,the age was 35 and family income could reach 34 000 RMB.After the annual family income having a certain growth rate,the willingness of transfer would continue to remain at 50%.